The latest polls have much to say about how Americans view President Donald Trump and his performance, with his overall approval rating cratering to a new low of just 35 percent, his approval on cost of living plummeting to net -46, and surprisingly high support for impeachment. Now according to seasoned pollster G. Elliott Morris, there’s more bad news for Trump. Not only is his coalition shrinking, but he is “unpopular almost everywhere.”
Typically, Republicans like to show geographic polling maps that display the vast majority of the U.S. in red, implying widespread support for Trump and the GOP. But as Morris notes, “few people actually live” in that red, as most of it is empty space. When you instead look at what is known as a “population cartogram,” in which each map point is scaled to the number of people who live there — in other words, you look at where voters reside rather than empty land, because land doesn’t vote — something interesting is revealed: “Trump is unpopular almost everywhere people actually live.”
In fact, “Trump is above water with only two demographic groups.” He still has relatively strong support among those who voted for him in 2024, currently holding 84 percent. But while that number may appear high, the loss of 16 percent of his previous voters represents a major shift. While he’s still at just over 50 percent with male voters over 65, that’s a sizeable drop from a year ago. At the same time, his approval is abysmal with nearly every other voting bloc, and surprisingly low with two of Trump’s previous support groups: white, non-college voters and males aged 45-64, with the former split at 50 percent and the latter down to 48 percent.
“Yikes,” writes Morris. “Even some of the groups that went strongest for Trump in 2024, like white voters without college degrees and older men, are bunched in the low-to-mid 40s. There is no group short of his own 2024 voters where Trump cracks 60 percent approval. The only way you get to a sub-40 approval rating is to lose a little bit, among every type of voter, everywhere.”
