Fox News’ chief political analyst just issued stunning wake-up call to Trump’s GOP

Fox News' chief political analyst Brit Hume had a shocking wake up call for Republicans on Thursday.

There have been a few big boosts for the GOP over the past few days: The Supreme Court effectively eliminated a key aspect of the Voting Rights Act that could hand a district to Republicans in Louisiana and Florida Republican lawmakers passed new maps attempting to gerrymander congressional lines in the state.

But Hume argued that it still isn't enough.

“I think if the election were held today, given in the middle of this conflict, that the House would be obviously gone. And there’s a good chance that the Senate would go, too,” Hume said.

The one way that President Donald Trump could help his party, Hume added, is to give up on Iran.

“If it turns out well, I think the president would have a lot to run on, and the party would swing behind that because they’ve been behind this war,” Hume said while chatting with Bret Baier. He said that a successful outcome could provide a "reset" for both parties.

“If it turns out in a way that is unconvincing to people that it was worth it, woe be unto the Republicans,” Hume continued.

At issue is the affordability crisis. Trump spent the 2024 campaign claiming that he would fix the economy. That hasn't done much for the crisis, however. Trump's tariffs first raised the cost of goods, while his war with Iran has increased fuel costs.

Overnight, fuel prices spiked, prompting Republican House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) to falsely claim that gas wasn't that bad because it was over $6 under President Joe Biden. According to the AAA gas tracker, while there was a spike in 2022, the average U.S. price only barely touched $5.02.

"People are concerned about the economy and Republicans are likely to pay a price for that," Hume cautioned.

While the House GOP currently has a five-seat advantage, the Cook Political Report expects a shift of five House races to Democrats. The six-seat Republican majority in the Senate could shift four races to Democrats, Cook also said.