Boston and Baltimore’s non-prosecution policies are now at grave risk
Two of the most significant figures in the so-called “progressive prosecutor” movement now seem to be off the table as local top prosecutors. Despite very different circumstances in Baltimore and Boston, where they each presided over groundbreaking non-prosecution policies, these developments should concern anyone who wants to see drug use decriminalized.
In Baltimore, the elected top prosecutor, State’s Attorney Marilyn Mosby, issued a broad non-prosecution policy for drug possession, drug paraphernalia and “prostitution” charges in March 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic kicked in. She announced her intention to maintain the policy post-pandemic, and a 2021 Johns Hopkins University study found that it had averted many arrests without reducing public safety.
But Mosby just got federally indicted on two perjury counts and two counts of making a false statement on a mortgage loan application. The charges are related to Mosby’s alleged claims of financial hardship during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as allegedly fraudulent real estate dealings.
Whether Mosby will resign, either willfully or by force, is not presently known. David Jaros, a University of Baltimore law professor, told a local news station that under Maryland law, Mosby “can be removed from her position if the attorney general files a petition and two thirds of the Senate vote to remove her.”
In Boston meanwhile, Rachael Rollins, who until recently was Suffolk County’s district attorney, has now become the US attorney of Massachusetts instead, after the state Senate confirmed the Biden administration’s pick. As DA, Rollins had made progress on her campaign pledge to default to non-prosecution for 14 low-level misdemeanors.
That switch meant that Governor Charlie Baker, a Republican whose administration was highly critical of Rollins’ policies, got to nominate a successor to hold the Suffolk County DA seat until the November 2022 election. He chose Kevin Hayden, a prosecutor with a more middle-of-the-road track record, as Rollins’ replacement.
Despite a National Bureau of Economic Research study confirming that Rollins’ non-prosecution policies decreased justice involvement without increasing local crime rates, whether they will be continued by the new administration is an open question.
Several insiders, speaking to Filter on condition of anonymity, suggested that Hayden himself does not know yet what he plans to do regarding Rollins’ declination policies. One suggested that Hayden plans to keep the policies in place, while cautioning that actions speak louder than words.
On the other hand, Hayden may already be showing why he was Gov. Baker’s pick. Bobby Constantino, who served in the key role of Suffolk County director of innovation and strategy in the Rollins administration, tweeted on January 13: “For those who are wondering how the transition is going, they reassigned my office yesterday without so much as a warning, and despite several requests to meet with the new team, they are forcing me to resign before I can hand off the office’s research and tech portfolio.”
Unlike in Massachusetts, Maryland top local prosecutors who for whatever reason don’t complete their terms are replaced by Circuit Court judges—who themselves are elected to 15-year terms. This has happened at least once before in Baltimore, back in the 1970s, when the Circuit Court bench elected Howard Cardin as state’s attorney in order to fill a vacancy.
However, that appointment was controversial—the bench’s chief judge was Meyer Cardin, Howard’s father—and the new state’s attorney was defeated in the next election cycle.
The timing of Mosby’s indictment makes things even more complicated, as the filing deadline for the June 2022 state’s attorney primary is only weeks away. No one has officially filed yet, though Mosby, as well as attorneys Ivan Bates and Roya Hanna, had expressed plans to do so.
Her indictment does not legally stop Mosby from running, even if her prospects for winning would now be slim. But if she won and was then sentenced to prison due to a conviction, an interim state’s attorney would have to be selected by the judges.
Alternatively, Mosby could resign, triggering the judges’ need to appoint a replacement immediately. It is unclear how long that process might take, and thus whether that person would be able to run in the primary with incumbency advantage.
However, Jaros told Filter that if it came to that, he would be surprised if the judges appointed someone who would radically alter the non-prosecution status quo.
“I think the more likely and smarter play by the judges would be to choose someone who is currently in the office who will serve as a caretaker of the office’s work as the election plays out,” the professor said, “rather than stepping in to anoint a successor who is not currently there.”
Still, it is entirely possible that a change of guard, aided by the political ammunition the indictment provides, will ultimately mean a reversal of Mosby’s non-prosecution policies toward drugs and sex work.
If Mosby’s exit is confirmed alongside that of Rollins, it would be rather devastating to the progressive prosecutor movement nationally, which is already in a tough spot. Progressive district attorneys in Los Angeles and San Francisco face recall battles this year, while the new state attorney general of Virginia, Jason Miyares, was elected after engaging in scorched-earth political warfare against progressive prosecutors. The safest progressive DA seat is undeniably Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner’s, since he won re-election in 2021 by a large margin against both primary and general election challengers.
This article was originally published by Filter, a magazine covering drug use, drug policy and human rights. Follow Filter on Facebook or Twitter.
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How the FBI's latest data on murders is being twisted to serve the whims of those in power
The FBI's annual Uniform Crime Report is severely limited. Although 85 percent of America's 15,875 police agencies send their local crime data for inclusion, participation is completely voluntary and several major cities—including New York, Chicago and New Orleans—are unrepresented.
Despite that, every time this report is released in late September, there is substantial fanfare. It is the closest thing that professional crime nerds have to an official holiday, as national reporters flock to them for a week before forgetting about them until next year.
Politicians, especially those on the right, also join in on the feigned excitement as an opportunity to flex their toughness. This year, Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL), who was still the Governor of Florida when it became the third-most murderous US state in 2018, grabbed his pitchfork and blamed the "radical Left's Defund The Police movement" for the increase in murders shown in the report.
Ironically, since the UCR consistently lags behind a year, this year's report is actually about 2020, when President Trump was still in office.
Nonetheless, the data are scary, showing a 30 percent murder increase from 2019 to 2020. (Important caveats include that year-to-year comparisons are not reliably indicative of trends; and also that overall crime fell, as it has been doing for many years.)
People are entitled to expect such numbers to be explained and interpreted by reasonable experts. Unfortunately, many figures whose reactions are often sought by the media are arguably neither reasonable nor experts.
For its coverage on the UCR, the New York Times published Jeff Asher of AH Datalytics, a non-credentialed "crime expert" who was previously caught concealing his employment with the Jefferson Parish Sheriff's Office, a police agency that inspired yet another media expose on its racism just days ago.
While being equivocal on some of the details, Asher simultaneously fed the Ferguson effect theory to the masses: the idea that police stop doing their jobs when criticized, which leads to more violence. Back in 2016, he went so far as to take two cherry-picked variables—shootings and drug arrests in Baltimore—then imply that shootings went up because drug arrests went down. He often uses year-to-date data in the same way many police departments do: to make crime trends look worse than they are. In 2021, he is lending credence to suggestions that people being angry about George Floyd's murder by the police is a factor behind the murder spike.
Not only are these arguments inflammatory and speculative, they serve the whims of those who hold power, such as the police. As the Drug Policy Alliance has explained, police by and large want to keep drugs illegal because larger numbers of arrests help justify the "increased hiring of officers, more overtime pay, more equipment, and more advanced technologies." Bolstering the argument that drugs need to be kept illegal so that officers are more proactive and inadvertently, indirectly stop shootings is a convenient work-around to the growing unpopularity of the drug war.
Asher's takeaway is not that different from those of other members of the crime-obsessed, justice-ambivalent criminologist cadre. Professor Justin Nix at the University of Nebraska-Omaha also sought to reanimate the corpse of the Ferguson effect so he could pin the murder rate on someone—read: those whose direct experiences or attention to events make them view policing negatively, and the "small group [who] felt emboldened as a result of the legitimacy crisis."
For all the talk of legitimacy that such talking heads harp on, there is little acknowledgment of how little police officers are willing to work to earn any sense of legitimacy in harmed communities. Very little has been made of the abject failure of the Obama administration's work on restoring legitimacy, for example. Under Obama, millions of dollars went to a program meant to teach police to treat members of marginalized Black and Brown communities with basic human respect; a comprehensive audit showed barely any progress. Before and after surveys showed that officers' negative views about the communities they police are highly entrenched.
John Roman, a senior fellow at the NORC think tank at the University of Chicago, offers a more intuitive explanation for the murder increase. In his analysis, it's not that people are mad at the cops or that cops are afraid to do their jobs: It's that boys and young men in distressed neighborhoods, often impacted by trauma and with access to guns, have been stuck at home without opportunities. Circumstances that practically invite a cycle of settling scores are not unknown to violence prevention professionals like David Kennedy, who invented the strategy of focused deterrence. It's just that the pandemic has almost certainly heightened these circumstances.
Yet even relatively erudite thinkers would rather talk about a culture war.
To blame protestors or people from impacted communities is cruel as well as wrong. Calls to defund the police come from frustration at a police reform-industrial complex that continuously fails to generate either safety or liberty.
And despite limited evidence—so far—to support the efficacy of some alternative safety proposals like violence interrupters, at least the people behind such programs are trying something new.
While the police as a whole are making no real effort to change a broken way of doing things, they have benefitted from false claims—proclaimed by the most performatively pro-police political figures—that there is a major police defunding happening in our cities, despite the opposite being true overall.
Too little ever changes when it comes to the police. That is why the "defund" movement is here to stay, even if the murder rate goes up another 30 percent next year.
This article was originally published by Filter, a magazine covering drug use, drug policy and human rights. Follow Filter on Facebook or Twitter.
The Influence Foundation, which operates Filter, previously receieved a restricted grant from the Drug Policy Alliance to support a Drug War Journalism Diversity Fellowship.