Trump is taking the GOP to an increasingly scary place

Trump is taking the GOP to an increasingly scary place
President Donald J. Trump departs the White House and prepares to board Marine One Monday, Jan. 20, 2020, en route to Joint Base Andrews to begin his trip to Davos where he’ll participate in the World Economic Forum annual meetings. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

Unless you've been living under a rock, you've likely noticed that just about every week brings a new headline about a once-reliably Republican demographic group that has now soured on Donald Trump. The catastrophic headlines just keep coming for Trump and GOP lawmakers partly because more voting blocs continue to defect from them and partly because new polling continues to confirm the initial trends being reported.

It's been a little head spinning, but let's take a look at all the groups of voters who are starting to realize what a treasonous buffoon Trump is and have decided they simply cannot cosign another four ruinous years under his leadership.

Older white voters: We used Civiqs data back in late April to look at this trend, but the New York Times had a fresh look over the weekend.

White non-college educated women: Here's Civiqs data, and here's the Washington Post on the trend.

Suburban women: Actually not new, suburban women turning against Trump and Republicans in sizable numbers was the story of the 2018 midterms and nothing has changed since then.

Suburban everyone: What is new-ish is that Trump is repelling pretty much all suburban voters, white-collar voters. CNNPoliticoPostU.S. News and World Report.

White votersPost and NYT.

Swing votersNYT and Axios.

Of course, none of this assures Democratic success in November, but it sure makes Trump's path to reelection nearly unimaginable at this point. Given that he won the Electoral College in 2016 with just 46% of the vote, once he loses a point here and a point there, the math becomes nearly impossible.

At this rate, Trump's going to be down to white supremacists and neo-Nazis by November and that's about it. That may be a deeply loyal coalition, but sorry, that's not a winning coalition.


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