'No guarantee' Trump will 'be tried anywhere in 2024': ex-prosecutor

'No guarantee' Trump will 'be tried anywhere in 2024': ex-prosecutor
President Donald J. Trump, joined by Vice President Mike Pence, walks to a news conference Friday, March 13, 2020, in the Rose Garden of the White House. (Official White House Photo by D.Myles Cullen)
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As Donald Trump continues to face four indictments amid his pursuit of the 2024 presidency, MSNBC's Deadline: White House blog writer and former prosecutor Jordan Rubin breaks down the reasoning behind which trial could come first.

Rubin emphasizes, "The D.C. case arguably poses the greatest risk to Trump, due to its combination of seriousness and the likelihood of going to trial with a judge inclined to move quickly," while noting that "the schedule isn’t fully in the control of U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan, who had to put the case on hold pending Trump's immunity appeal."

Additionally, he highlights the fact the US "Supreme Court rejected special counsel Jack Smith’s request to step in early and decide the issue, so it's proceeding along the normal (albeit expedited) route through the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit."

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Furthermore, January 9 oral argument will likely leave "the calendar up to the Supreme Court, which hasn’t been eager to jump into the dispute," Rubin notes.

The former prosecutor adds, "That could leave the Manhattan case as the first indictment to go to a jury. That one has gotten short shrift in the seriousness category, though it could also be viewed as an election interference case of sorts, because the alleged scheme to silence Stormy Daniels’ claimed affair with Trump and then cover it up took place against the backdrop of the 2016 election."

Still, Rubin notes, "Just as there was no guarantee Trump would be charged anywhere heading into 2023, there’s no guarantee he’ll be tried anywhere in 2024."

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Rubin's full blog is here.

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