Inside the big lie at the heart of Trump's huge tariff hoax

On Sunday night, the U.S. announced that it is cutting tariffs on Chinese imports from 145 percent to 30 percent, for 90 days, and that China is dropping tariffs on U.S. goods from 125 percent to 10 percent, also for 90 days.

The stock market soared on the news. (Anyone with inside knowledge of the deal made a killing.)

But what’s the ultimate goal here? What will happen over the next 90 days?

It’s impossible to know what’s in Trump’s mind (other than an insatiable thirst for money and power), but Trump trade and manufacturing adviser Peter Navarro says the “bigger picture is restoring the American manufacturing base.”

In 1970, more than a quarter of American workers held jobs in the manufacturing sector. Today, it’s only about 8%. The Trump regime says sweeping tariffs will reverse this decades-long decline.

Trump also promises to revive America’s coal industry. Last week he issued an executive order to rescind regulations limiting coal development. He even ordered federal agencies to stop considering the economic damage caused by coal and other carbon emissions when writing regulations. And he’s doing whatever he can to destroy green energy — solar and wind.

Um … manufacturing? Coal mining?

These sorts of jobs won’t make America great again. They’ll make American workers sick, injured, and killed on the job again.

I was secretary of labor. I saw close up how awful most of these jobs are. I met workers who had lost limbs in manufacturing jobs because machines they were cleaning or repairing accidentally started up. Others I met suffered carpal tunnel injuries from repetitive motions on assembly lines.

Child labor was — and still is — a pervasive problem. So, too, with dangerous sweatshops crammed with people working for subminimum wages (if they’re lucky enough to be paid at all).

And mining? I met mine workers with black lung disease from exposure to coal dust. Despite being on the decline after the 1970s, black lung has been on the rise for two decades. Changes in mining technology have let mine owners dig deeper, exposing miners to even more highly toxic silica.

The reason many working-class Americans want manufacturing and mining to return is not that they loved the work. In most cases it was grueling and dangerous or mind-numbingly boring.

It’s because that work paid far better than the service jobs in fast-food and retail outlets, hospitals, and hotels that many have been forced to take in their absence.

And the reason those manufacturing and mining jobs paid far better was that they were unionized. Unions gave workers in manufacturing and mining the bargaining leverage they needed to force employers to offer better pay (along with more job security and safer working conditions).

But since the Reagan years, corporations have been busting unions. In the 1960s, a third of all workers in the private sector were unionized. Today, just 6 percent are.

And if there’s one thing Trump and his cronies don’t want, it’s unions giving workers more bargaining power. He has gutted the National Labor Relations Board, eviscerated OSHA, and is filling the Department of Labor with corporate stooges.

So even if it were possible to restore manufacturing and mining to America — even if we stopped foreign trade and forced American consumers to pay enormous sums for stuff made here, even if we filled the atmosphere with carbon, even if we prevented new technologies (including artificial intelligence) from replacing manufacturing workers and miners — the American working class would be no better off if their pay is still in the cellar.

A return of manufacturing and mining jobs won’t make Americans great again. Good-paying jobs will.

The easiest and best ways to raise the pay of working-class Americans are to (1) strengthen unions, (2) raise the minimum wage (which hasn’t been increased since 2009), (3) expand the Earned Income Tax Credit (a wage subsidy) for lower-income workers, and (4) institute a universal basic income.

Will Trump do any of these things? No chance in hell.

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