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Even Trump’s own supporters aren’t buying his latest promise

President Donald Trump’s promise to send Americans $5,000 checks if Republicans keep control of Congress is falling on deaf ears with much of the public, with new polling showing skepticism extending into his own party.

This month, at the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, Trump said every adult U.S. citizen would get a $5,000 "dividend" if the GOP keeps both the House and the Senate in November, raising concerns about voter-buying. However, a poll carried out by Strength In Numbers and Verasight from September 16 to 21 showed that only 13 percent of adults believed the president intends to send the money. Sixty-two per cent of the people interviewed thought the promise was mainly a ploy to get votes.

The survey showed that 71 percent of adults thought it was inappropriate for a president to make a financial promise on the premise that his party won the election, including 53 percent of Republicans. About a quarter of respondents believed the checks would be issued if Republicans won.

Support for the payment varied considerably depending on how the proposal was presented. When respondents were asked about payments of $5,000 without Trump's name mentioned or any condition attached to the election, 53 percent backed the idea and 35 percent opposed it. But when it was stated that the money would only be sent if the Republicans won, support dropped to 35 percent, while 54 percent opposed it.

Salon columnist Amanda Marcotte referred to the findings in her latest report, saying Trump's most recent attempt to win over voters with his record is meeting increasing skepticism, even among those who previously supported him. She writes, "The president has perhaps the most staggering track record of defrauding Americans of any hustler in the country’s 250-year history," citing his 34 felony fraud convictions and civil fraud cases.

The article cites the Bulwark’s report on Trump’s long list of cash-incentive promises he failed to keep, including the $5,000 DOGE dividend, the $2,000 stimulus checks tariff rebate, and the $500 Obamacare rebate checks.

Trump has kept up his praise of the economy. At a press conference on Monday, he stated that the United States had "the best economy we've ever had" and told the reporters that their 401(k) accounts had doubled.

“You’re twice as wealthy as you were a short time ago, every one of you,” Trump said. “And that’s because of me.”

His government has publicly defended the TV ads funded by taxpayers which promote Trump and his policies. On Monday, Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota criticized the expenditure, stating that "it shouldn't be paid for with taxpayer money."

The $5,000 promise now offers another indication of whether Trump's argument is influencing voters ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. The polling suggests the payment itself is more popular than the election condition he attached to it.

Who’s to blame if Ken Paxton goes down in flames: former Fox News analyst

How do you solve a problem like Ken Paxton? It's a question that The Hill's politics editor, Chris Stirewalt, can't help but mock as entirely of the GOP's own making.

For the first time in decades, a Texas U.S. Senate seat could go blue because the candidate is so uniquely flawed that even Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) warned his party it wasn't a smart move.

Stirewalt quoted the adage that success has many fathers, while failure is an orphan.

"If Paxton really does manage to lose his Senate race against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico, naming the father of what would be an epochal defeat for Texas Republicans will be a Maury Povich-level meltdown," he said.

Stirewalt described the baggage Paxton drags with him as enough "to fill the cargo hold of the Titanic."

The Texas Republican Party just dropped $54 million in an effort to save Paxton's faltering campaign, campaign finance records show. It's the largest independent expenditure in the 2026 campaign cycle thus far.

It doesn't only come from the GOP's desperation; it comes as a direct result of what Cornyn called a "lazy" candidate.

“Paxton’s a poor campaigner,” Cornyn told the Texas Tribune. “He’s lazy and doesn’t raise money. And he basically is not offering a very compelling case for his election. He’s making this harder than it needs to be. But so be it — we are where we are.”

In fact, Paxton spent a key campaigning time, July Fourth weekend, in Iceland and London with his mistress-turned-girlfriend.

So, it isn't surprising that Stirewalt places the blame at Paxton's feet if he loses. After all, he said, Paxton "brings the verve and energy of a coroner’s inquest to the campaign trail."

Still, Stirewalt said that Cornyn is to blame as he enjoys "his I-told-you-so moment." Stirewalt thinks that if the two men came together in a joint effort after the bloody primary, Cornyn could be out there saving Paxton's skin.

Both Paxton and President Donald Trump made that fairly difficult by turning Cornyn into an enemy, however. Still, Stirewalt includes Cornyn in those who will bear the blame for focusing on Senate races other than Paxton's.

Stirewalt assumes that Paxton's pride got in the way of even asking Cornyn for his endorsement and his help.

The other person to blame, he said, is the president, who picked Paxton over Cornyn in the primary.

Now that he's in the general election, Paxton's close association with the president will only make things worse, even in ruby red Texas. Trump continues to lose ground with independent voters, but now it appears he's dropping with Republicans too, who believed him when he promised "no more wars."

Currently, that war is driving up costs for groceries and gas. The only solution came during his 2026 convention, which Stirewalt called an outright "infomercial for Paxton": Trump's pledge to deliver $5,000 checks to Americans if they ensured Republicans kept the House and Senate.

Trump made the same promise for the DOGE cuts, which were supposed to hit bank accounts in February. It never happened. Trump's $2,000 tariff rebate is another that didn't appear. Trump even promised a $500 rebate check, saying that the Affordable Care Act Americans were overcharged and he'd make it right. Thus far, none of those checks have arrived, adding to Trump's total of $12,500 he hasn't paid Americans but promised.

Even his pledge of support for Paxton was lackluster. It was akin to a roast where he blasted Paxton as dressing poorly and not knowing how to speak in public.

"He got a massive cash infusion and a new persona from Trump as a kind of pitiful figure, which is an improvement over his conventional image as calculating and aloof," wrote Stirewalt.

Still, if Paxton loses, "he will mostly have himself to blame."

'Sickened' George Conway tears apart Trump admin's 'moral' collapse

President Donald Trump's offer of $5,000 to every American voter if Republicans keep Congress during the midterms is "sick" and speaks to the "moral" problems in the Republican's administration, at least according to two conservative commentators: attorney George Conway and political consultant Sarah Longwell

"He's dug himself in on that," Conway told Longwell on a podcast for The Bulwark. "At the same time, the one thing he was promising to make things better was $5,000 a head, right? Nobody believes that. They're truly affected by the diesel prices. They can't afford things they normally could. $5,000 ought to be a real sale item. Of course, anybody who actually does the math — $5,000 times however many people you want to give it to — will say we can't afford that. But they don't believe it. And that says something about late-stage Trumpism, doesn't it?"

Longwell agreed.

"It does," Longwell told Conway. "There was a great woman in the focus group who said something like: He said there were going to be DOGE checks, and there were going to be tariff rebates, and now there's supposed to be $5,000 if they win. This dude owes me $22,500, and I'm never going to see it. Most people at this point are hip to the fact that it's not coming. But you know what's even sadder? When you get people in the group who say, well, I heard he was going to give us this dividend, so I check my account and look for it, but it hasn't come. The sadder thing is when people believe him and think there's money coming, and they spend it..."

Conway interrupted, "It's never coming." After the two described how some Trump supporters will actually expect and depend on the president's promise despite his previous broken vows, Conway noted that Michigan's Democratic Seante candidate "Abdul El-Sayed made this great point. I wish we had the clip. I think it was last week. He talked about how part of what's going on with Trumpism is that people don't want to admit they were wrong. He said it better than I've ever said it. And to your point, it's not just that people don't want to admit they're wrong. People don't want to admit they were fleeced, that they were taken for fools. Do you sense a difference now? Not all Trump voters, obviously — not all three-time or two-time Trump voters — but are there people in the electorate feeling like, okay, I bought into a pile of lies and I was had?"

Longwell speculated, "There are sometimes people who describe it that way, but most people don't, because people are psychologically motivated against saying they were wrong."

Speaking to AlterNet in September, former Social Security Commissioner Martin O'Malley described the proposed $5,000 divided as a "bribe."

"I don’t think that’s socialism or capitalism, that’s bribery," O'Malley told AlterNet. "That’s paying people to vote a certain way. If he stood outside a polling place in Baltimore and around the corner from it was offering to give people $5,000 to vote for him, they’d put handcuffs on him, if he were a citizen. So that’s not capitalism or socialism, that’s just straight-up bribery."

The reviews are in: Trump’s vanity-fest backfires on him — and the GOP

Nearly two weeks on from the Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, pundits and pollsters have had the chance to look over the response and judge its impact, and the news isn’t good for the GOP. The event – dubbed “Trumppapalooza” and intended to rally unenthusiastic conservative voters – appears to have had the exact opposite effect. As the Week notes, in the wake of the convention, President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to an all-time low.

According to the Week, “The music was loud, the flags were everywhere, and the ‘sense of panic’ was inescapable, said Nikki McCann Ramirez in Rolling Stone. With Election Day less than two months away, and polls showing Republicans in danger of losing both the House and Senate, the GOP earlier this month held its first-ever midterm convention in Dallas. The MAGA luminaries addressing ‘Trumpapalooza’ barely mentioned soaring gas prices or the quagmire in Iran, the related catastrophes that have dragged Trump’s approval rating down into the mid-30s. Instead, they gushed over Trump’s leadership; warned of an America overrun by Islamists, ‘killer migrants,’ and trans athletes if ‘evil’ Democrats win, and left it to Trump himself, addressing both nights of the event, to rally the MAGA faithful.”

But as New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie put it, “The cult of Trump is waning.” Thousands of seats went unfilled, many left empty by candidates who skipped out entirely, leaving fewer attendees to follow in the pledge Trump had them recite to “the greatest president in the history of the United States” before promising to “cheat like hell” in November.” He went on to promise a $5000 check to every adult American if Republicans win both houses of Congress in the midterms, but as the Week notes, “Far from juicing turnout for the GOP, Trumpapalooza may have just reminded the voting public of why they need to elect Democrats.”

“No one is falling” for Trump’s dividend “gimmick,” said the Washington Post. As the Week elaborates, “Congress would need to approve the payout, and not even the GOP’s Trumpified House delegation wants any part of a vote-buying scheme that would turbocharge inflation and add another $1.2 trillion to the $40 trillion national debt.” According to the Atlantic, Trump’s “$5,000-check promise may be the moment he finally underestimated his audience.”

“Does he really think voters have forgotten the DOGE ‘refund’ checks that were supposedly in the mail?” asks the Week. “Or the ‘tariff rebate’ checks he also promised? Trump’s free-money ‘ruse,’ like the rest of his shtick, has worn thin.”

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Exposing the ‘overcharge’ lie: The origin of Trump’s new $500 bribe

They’re at it again. The billionaires who own and run the GOP — including the billionaire in the White House and the billionaires in his cabinet — are throwing out another desperate “let’s buy some votes” scheme by sending a million Americans their own money.

According to the White House, over the next few days about a million Americans will get a check for $500 in the mail, prominently signed by Donald Trump, along with a letter telling them a naked lie about it being money Joe Biden kept from them.

It appears this all started when Trump, on September 9th at his “convention” in Dallas, promised to send a check for $5,000 to every American family if only us voters keep Republicans in charge of both the House and the Senate. You vote the way he wants, in other words, and you get paid.

Trump’s problem is that anybody with a memory knows it’s a lie. He promised us $5,000 DOGE dividend checks, $2,000 tariff rebate checks, and $1,500 we were supposed to get when Republicans reconfigured Obamacare, and none of them materialized. Just before the 2020 election he also promised us a $2,000 Covid stimulus check that never came.

And then there were the promises for the 10% rate on credit cards, “1000% cheaper” medications, inexpensive groceries and gas, no more stupid wars, a Trump national healthcare plan, the balanced budget, the Epstein files, and “millions of jobs.”

So, that’s why now he’s cutting these $500 checks for almost a million of us, so his $5,000 check story will sound more credible. It’s essentially the down-payment on a bribe, designed to make people take it seriously.

And one of the really disgusting parts of the whole scam is that he’s also using it as an excuse to take a swipe at Joe Biden based on a lie.

The checks will come with a letter claiming that the Biden administration had “massively overcharged” people who bought insurance on the Obamacare exchange by collecting more in marketplace user fees than they needed, and then sat on the cash. In his video announcement Trump put it this way:

“The last administration knew about this, they studied it, but they kept the money.”

Not only did Trump or his people fail to offer even the tiniest shred of proof of that claim, but health policy experts at KFF say most likely the money came from Trump’s own first term, when his administration collected so much more in fees than it spent that it left behind an estimated $1 billion in unspent funds.

KFF’s Larry Levitt told the New York Times that Biden actually lowered those user fees, but the leftover money that Trump is sending out exists because Trump refused to spend money that was set aside for advertising and for the groups that help Americans sign up for coverage, all because he wanted Obamacare to fail.

In other words, Trump’s so-called “Biden overcharge” is money Trump “saved” by making it harder for average Americans to get cheap health insurance.

The Times also reported that $500 is more than any of these folks could have personally paid in excess fees, and that the liars and hustlers (my phrase) in this administration still haven’t published the actual accounting behind the program.

If this were really about giving back an overcharge, the simple fix would be to lower the fee today and let premiums drop for people on the Obamacare exchanges. That very rational way of distributing the overcharge money, however, wouldn’t put a check in a million voters’ hands just weeks before an election.

And they’ve done their homework on who to target with this free money over Trump’s signature. These are all people who bought their own health insurance through the federal ACA exchange, so virtually all of them must be making under $65,000 a year: think farmers, ranchers, small business owners, hourly workers, and early retirees.

Their insurance costs have exploded by literally thousands of dollars this year because Trump’s Big Beautiful Billionaire’s Bill let the ACA/Obamacare subsidies expire to pay for a tax cut. Roughly three million Americans were so price-shocked that they simply dropped their coverage altogether (which will show up in premature deaths soon) and, because they’re no longer on the plans, they’ll get nothing at all from this latest Trump check scam.

And insurers are already asking for another 15% increase in Obamacare premiums for next year, as their already-bloated profits aren’t enough and their morbidly rich CEOs need to buy another yacht, trophy wife, or Swiss chalet.

So, to summarize, Trump took money from these families, is handing back five hundred, and wants a thank-you vote from them on November 3rd. And the 30 states where the checks are going just happens to include Texas, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona.

None of this is new behavior for this billionaire-owned and -run crowd. Elon Musk handed out million-dollar checks to voters in Pennsylvania in 2024, and did it again in Wisconsin’s 2025 Supreme Court race, where a bipartisan state elections commission found probable cause that he broke the state’s election bribery law.

Trump told two dozen morbidly rich oil executives at Mar-a-Lago in 2024 that if they’d throw a billion dollars at his campaign he’d gut any environmental rules they wanted. He’s followed up by paying companies billions to abandon wind and solar projects, increasing subsidies and deductions for the fossil fuel industry, gutting our clean air protections, killing EV subsidies, and reviving coal-powered electric plants.

His Department of Homeland Security then blew $220 million of our money on ads thanking him, and — surprise! — firms tied to his own campaign operatives pocketed at least $23 million in commissions.

This is simply how today’s Republican Party believes politics should work, a belief that’s been ratified by five corrupt Republicans on the Supreme Court. Money goes in and favors come out. It’s spread across every major industry in America, as you can see by the parade of CEOs constantly bringing gifts and million-dollar checks to the White House so they can kiss Trump’s you-know-what and shine his shoes.

The oil barons, the drug companies, the banks, and the tech billionaires write the checks, and their obedient Republican politicians write the laws those “donors” want. They’ve lived inside that arrangement for so long that they assume the rest of us operate the same way, and that a voter, like a senator, will leap to respond to anybody who writes them a check.

This used to be a crime. After the robber baron scandals of the Gilded Age, Teddy Roosevelt pushed a humiliated Congress to pass the Tillman Act in 1907 to make it a felony for any corporation to give any sort of support or money to the campaign for any candidate for federal office.

As I lay out in The Hidden History of the Supreme Court and the Betrayal of America, it started with Lewis Powell’s 1971 memo, Nixon putting Powell on the Court in 1972, and then a series of corrupt all-Republican decisions from Bellotti (authored by Powell himself) to Citizens United, to redefine political bribery as “free speech.” Republicans built that pay-to-play system, they use and defend it daily, and now their president is offering it to everyday voters.

A political party that believes votes are something you purchase doesn’t believe in democracy, a system that’s grounded in the idea that citizens should choose their leaders based on what’s good for their families and their country, and that our government works for our people rather than for whichever billionaire or corporate behemoth hands out the most cash.

A party that rejects that idea, and proves it with taxpayer-funded ads, cash-for-control promises, and election-eve checks wrapped in a lie about the last president, has long ago abandoned and forfeited any claim to legitimacy.

If one of these checks shows up at your house, cash it. It’s your money. Then vote like you know who raised your premiums in the first place.

GOP rep unravels live on CNN after getting wrecked by his own words

Rep. Buddy Carter had a difficult time speaking to CNN host Boris Sanchez on Thursday when it came to the economy, inflation and the war with Iran.

President Donald Trump announced out of the blue that he would send $5,000 checks to Americans if they voted for Republicans in November. It's an illegal move, but it's also one that even MAGA Republicans are complaining will make inflation so much worse while adding to the national debt.

Trump has consistently failed to deliver on all the promises he's made about sending Americans checks for money he says the U.S. is either saving from government cuts or earning from tariffs, said Business Insider.

Carter claimed that Americans have been "taxed enough," and that's why they need the checks. He then turned around and said that Republicans cut those taxes in the "One, Big Beautiful Bill."

Sanchez recalled Carter's comments back in 2022, when Americans were still dealing with the global pandemic and the economic crisis that hit as a result of it

"You argued that giving Americans $1,400 checks under President Biden's American Rescue Plan fueled 'waste and inflation.' You actually wrote a bill, The PAID Act, to take the leftover money from those pandemic funds and put it toward the debt. Now, Trump wants to give more than three times that amount. How is that consistent?" Sanchez asked. "How is this different from the money Biden was trying to give folks?"

Carter claimed it was different because the money "was the result of a pandemic that the Democrats and Fauci had pulled out and pulled the wool over our eyes. And there's no question about that."

He called it trying to compare "apples and oranges."

"We are trying to put more money in people's pockets in order to stimulate our economy. And this is why this is so important," said Carter, on why he supports the same move under Trump.

Sanchez was confused. "Pull the wool over our eyes?" he asked. "How exactly. The entire economy effectively shut down during the pandemic. The argument from the Trump administration and then the Biden administration was that these supplemental funds were going to help people. Right now, unemployment is 4 percent, inflation is creeping up, gas and diesel prices are near record levels. The president wants to throw about $1 trillion on top of that. Are you just supporting this idea of giving Americans money because the president is a Republican?"

Carter swore that he wasn't and that he fully understands that the U.S. is in $40 trillion in debt, but said that because "people are hurting" that "they need more money in their pockets and this is a way for us to get more money to them."

He maintained that it was still different because he said that Trump has created so much wealth.

Sanchez pushed, "Congressman, the argument you made was that inflation was worse under Biden and Harris because they gave Americans money, just supplemental funds. And now you're saying we should actually give them more than three times that amount, and that won't lead to inflation?"

Carter fumbled, promising that wasn't his take. He said people just need a stimulus because it would stimulate the economy.

After rattling off things Carter said Trump has done to help Americans have more money, Sanchez said it doesn't answer the question about why it was bad under Biden but good under Trump. Carter maintained it was "apples and oranges."

It got worse once they pivoted to talk about the Iran war. At one point Carter blamed Iran for attacking the USS Cole. On October 12, 2000, a group of suicide bombers exploded a small boat alongside the USS Cole. According to the FBI, their "investigation ultimately determined that members of the al Qaeda terrorist network planned and carried out the bombing. The investigation also revealed that the USS Cole bombing followed an unsuccessful attempt on January 3, 2000, to bomb another U.S. Navy ship, the USS The Sullivans."

- YouTube youtu.be

CEO has 'had enough' of Trump's big scheme to save the US economy

President Donald Trump’s tariffs are wrecking America’s economy, a conservative wrote on Sunday — and it is doing so in the way he said they would help.

“Trump’s trade wars have jeopardized the jobs of the hundreds of Americans whom Weyco actually does employ, in those twenty-first-century jobs that the United States excels at creating,” The Bulwark’s Catherine Rampell wrote, referring to the footwear company that distributes Trump’s favorite Florsheim shoes. Last week Rampell interviewed the CEO of Florsheim, who broke down how his company has suffered due to Trump’s tariffs. After breaking down how tariffs on Weyco shoes “reached as high as 161 percent. Which adds up,” Rampell explained how Thomas Florsheim decided he had “had enough” when his company was hit by a surprise tariff bill of over $1 million last December, prompting his company to sue the Trump administration.

Now that Trump has been ordered by the courts to reimburse companies that were forced to pay illegal tariffs, Rampell analyzed the fallout — which has been quite messy.

“Most companies I’ve spoken with in recent weeks have indeed decided to claim what’s theirs,” Rampell wrote. “In part, they’re hoping for safety in numbers: More than 300,000 importers of record are eligible for refunds. Surely, they reason, Trump’s Customs and Border Protection agency can’t audit all of them.”

She added, “Plus, for some firms, filing for a refund felt like something of a civic victory—the triumph of the rule of law over an imperialistic president who had been arbitrarily swiping money from companies and consumers.” As one midsized fashion brand CEO confidentially told Rampell, “I would like [the] rule of law to win the day. Capitalism exists by the permission and structure of democracy. But there’s a reason I’m not speaking out publicly. Like, my board of directors would have a heart attack if I was speaking out publicly about it.”

By contrast, the Balkan plum brandy importer Stephen Chamberlin is applying for the refunds because he risks going out of business if he does not.

“The tariff threw us way into the red last year,” Chamberlin told Rampell. “Never even occurred to me not to apply. That $19,000 is just too important to us.”

Yet even though some of the companies illegally tariffed by Trump will get compensated, this does not mean the negative ramifications of Trump’s tariffs will dissipate too.

“The ongoing trade uncertainty—plus Iran war–related cost spikes, and various erratic market interventions from this president—suggest that the tariff refunds trickling out may be less of an economic tailwind than once seemed possible,” Rampell wrote. “Multiple companies told me they’re not planning to use their tariff rebates to expand or hire because they needed it to patch holes in their balance sheet. Or they planned to sock the funds away just in case their tariff rates surged again.”

She continued, “Ironically, this lack of clarity about the tariff landscape may also be discouraging firms from reshoring manufacturing—Trump’s stated goal—because they too don’t know what their costs will be.”

Other conservatives have also blasted Trump’s tariffs for their economic impact. Writing for The Wall Street Journal last month, former Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Texas) and Donald J. Boudreaux, a professor of economics at George Mason University argued that “if the economy was 'dead' in 2024, there's no evidence Mr. Trump's tariffs have brought it back to life,” adding that when he announced his tariffs “most economists predicted that the economy's performance would be negatively affected. Thus far data overwhelmingly indicate that is what has happened."

Additionally, they shared Rampell’s analysis that the tariffs have in no way helped revitalize manufacturing in the United States.

"The world isn't deglobalizing,” Gramm and Boudreaux explained. “It's reglobalizing around partners who commit to rules rather than those who wield tariffs like a club." To prove this, they cite how "in 2025 the pace of losing manufacturing jobs accelerated to 1.2%, faster than the decline in 2024 of 0.7%. In 2017 manufacturing jobs actually increased by 0.7%."

Mona Charen, another pundit for The Bulwark, warned in February that Trump’s tariffs may even contribute to Republican losses in the 2026 midterm elections.

“Voters are rarely able to connect policy to outcomes, but they have done so in the case of tariffs,” Charen wrote. “Back in 2024, Americans were about equally divided on the question of trade, with some favoring higher tariffs and roughly similar numbers opting for lower tariffs. Experience has changed their views.”

Hawley says tariff 'rebates' would go to 'Trump blue-collar voters' — not 'Biden voters'

U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) says the legislation he is filing to send $600 tariff rebate checks to Americans are not for “Biden voters,” but for “Trump blue-collar voters.”

“Well, you wouldn’t give it to everybody, you’d give it to the working people,” Senator Hawley told far-right podcaster Steve Bannon on Tuesday (video below). “You’d give it to our people.”

“I mean, you know, the rich people don’t need it, and but what I mean by that is all those Democrat donors of Wall Street, all these hedge fund guys who all hate the tariffs, by the way.”

Hawley said, “we’re on track to raise over $150 billion from tariff revenues this year alone, this calendar year alone.”

He did not mention that most of the tariff money is paid by U.S. consumers and U.S. companies.

“My view is, we ought to give a portion to that back to our working class blue collar voters who powered the Trump revolution, who got this president into office multiple times, and who are the backbone of this nation.”

READ MORE: Loyalty Litmus Test? Trump Allies Quietly Prep SCOTUS Short List

“Biden has crushed these people,” Hawley alleged. “What a legacy for Donald Trump to say, ‘I’m gonna take a portion of this massive money’ that he’s raising on these tariffs, and return it to the people who run this country and are gonna build our future.”

Hawley then got down to some specifics.

“It’d be $600 for every adult and child, so if you’ve got a big family, you’re gonna get more,” he said, calling his plan “fantastic.”

“And you’d phase it out for income, you know? So again, the wealthy—you start making six figures, you get into the big six figures—you’d phase the thing out.”

“So this is not going to the hedge fund managers or all the Biden voters. This is not going to the Wall Street king pins. So they don’t need any of it.”

READ MORE: Ex-Pence Chief Scorches Tariff Rebates—Likens Them to Soviet-Style Central Planning

“This is going to the Trump blue collar voters, the people who Joe Biden crushed, the people who didn’t get a raise under Joe Biden for four long years, the people who cannot afford their gas, because Joe Biden shut down our energy, who can’t afford their groceries, because Joe Biden drove up the price of everything,” Hawley claimed, despite prices on many items being higher under President Trump.

“And it is a message from us to them, from Trump to these folks that he is here to deliver for them.”

Senator Hawley is facing blowback from critics who say the $600 checks should not be issued, but rather, should be used to pay down America’s debt, which Republicans including President Trump just increased by about $3.4 trillion, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Watch the video below or at this link.

READ MORE: ‘Adios’ to GOP House Control if Trump Can’t Fix Issue That Got Him Elected: CNN Analyst

Ex-Pence chief scorches tariff rebates — likens them to Soviet-style central planning

Marc Short, who served in the first Trump administration as White House Director of Legislative Affairs and then as Vice President Mike Pence’s Chief of Staff, is blasting not only President Donald Trump’s tariffs but also U.S. Senator Josh Hawley’s (R-MO) plan—supported by Trump—to hand out tariff rebate checks to every person in America.

On Monday, NBC News described Hawley’s plan to “provide tariff rebate checks of at least $600 per adult and child to American families,” as “similar to the stimulus checks the government distributed during the Covid pandemic.”

Short, a conservative Republican who got his start in politics in the 1990s, has an MBA from the University of Virginia.

In a social media post Monday, he scorched the Trump tariff agenda—slamming both the tariffs themselves and the proposed rebates (which he acknowledges are paid by U.S. consumers)—and likened it all to Soviet-style, communist, or socialist economies, where government “central planners” dictate prices and decide who gets what.

READ MORE: ‘Adios’ to GOP House Control if Trump Can’t Fix Issue That Got Him Elected: CNN Analyst

“Why do we need rebates if foreign nations are paying the tariffs?” Short asked. “And how bout Congress exercises its constitutional authority and eliminates [the] tariff tax rather than trying to be central planners redistributing $. ?”

Last week, Short also blasted the tariff system, the proposed rebates — and the Trump administration.

“I’ve never seen a Republican administration with this many central planners,” he wrote on social media. “Rebating tariff revenue sounds like a Democrat idea. If you really want to help working families, don’t send checks—cut the tariffs. It’s Americans paying them, not foreign governments.”

Those remarks came alongside an interview (video below) of him speaking with Bloomberg News.

“I’ve never seen a Republican administration with so many central planners in their economics department,” he said.

“This is basically the policy of the Democrats, which you’ve seen in the last couple of years, the Republicans advanced legislation to raise a federal minimum wage,” Short said. “You’ve seen Republicans embrace more regulations. And so I think it reflects the dramatic shift [economically] in the Republican Party.”

READ MORE: Ghislaine Maxwell Files SCOTUS Appeal as Trump Again Leaves Door Open to Possible Pardon

“I think rather than saying ‘rebate checks,’ it’s important to remind people that the money rolling into the Treasury is a tax on the American people. It’s not a foreign government paying the tariff. It’s American citizens paying the tariff. So rather than giving a rebate check, one thing to do would actually be to lower the tariffs, if that’s what they want to do to provide help to working families.”

President Trump’s tariffs are widely unpopular.

Last week, a YouGov poll found a majority of Americans (56%) disapprove of Trump’s tariffs. Nearly seven in ten Americans (69%) say tariffs are paid by U.S. companies and consumers. A majority (55%) said tariffs do more to hurt rather than help Americans. And nearly half (49%) said Trump does not have a clear U.S. trade policy.

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3 times Trump promised stimulus checks — and never followed through

Since his second term began in 2025, President Donald Trump has exhibited a pattern of pledging to address a problem by sending stimulus checks to all Americans. But as one analyst documented, he has yet to actually deliver on that promise.

In a Thursday essay for the Bulwark, columnist Catherine Rampell recounted all the times Trump has dangled the prospect of free money only to yank it away and never mention it again. The Bulwark writer noted that affordability of basic needs like food and housing has dominated the political conversation, and that Trump has been struggling to justify his tariffs — 95 percent of which are paid by consumers, per the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) — while costs of goods continue to climb. Rampell found that promising stimulus checks is a frequent solution Trump defaults to whenever high costs dominate the news cycle.

1. The "DOGE dividend"

In early 2025, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency quasi-agency rampaged through federal agencies and fired thousands of workers, ostensibly for the purpose of saving taxpayer money. Trump at one point promised a "DOGE dividend" of $5,000 for each American household coming from the supposed savings Musk's effort created. However, the professed savings were much smaller than initially claimed, and Rampell reminded readers that federal spending actually went up in 2025 in spite of DOGE. The checks never went out.

2. $2,000 tariff rebate checks

The president's tariffs have resulted in the average American household paying $1,000 more for goods in 2025 compared to 2024. And if they stay in place, Americans can expect to pay roughly $1,300 more for consumer goods. Trump has toyed with the idea of sending $2,000 checks to every American using the revenue generated from tariffs. But Yale University's Budget Lab found that even when making exceptions for high-income earners, such a proposal would cost roughly $450 billion — more than double the revenue from Trump's tariffs.

3. Replacing the Affordable Care Act with stimulus checks

Toward the end of 2025, when Democrats in Congress were attempting to secure an extension of Affordable Care Act (ACA) tax credits, Trump proposed an alternative. Instead of tax credits to help offset the cost of health insurance premiums — which were expected to rise by more than 300 percent in some states — Trump proposed "SENDING THE MONEY DIRECTLY BACK TO THE PEOPLE." The proposal was never fully fleshed out, and aside from a one-time stimulus wouldn't help Americans afford significantly higher monthly health insurance premiums, any stimulus program would need to be approved by Congress. Rampell wrote that while stimulus is sometimes necessary during austere times when spending needs to be encouraged, it would also prove to be expensive for taxpayers, and could lead to a significant bump in inflation.

"[Stimulus is] not exactly something Congress should pull the trigger on simply because the president’s polls are flagging. Especially not when the problem with the economy is that it might still be running too hot," she wrote. "Inflation has been persistently above target for five years now. And as the Wall Street Journal’s Greg Ip recently pointed out, fiscal, monetary, and credit policy are each already dialed toward stimulus this year. Under these conditions, giving the entire American populace more cash to chase the same amount of goods is likely to bid prices up higher—that is, to make inflation worse."

'Like hiring someone to rob me': Trump ridiculed over new 'rebate' proposal

President Donald Trump says he is considering issuing rebate checks to consumers from the tariffs the federal government has collected. Rebates are a partial refund for the overpayment of taxes, or if there is a surplus.

Trump made his remarks on Friday before heading to Scotland for a five-day trip to visit his golf courses. Both Trump and his administration have insisted that consumers do not pay the tariffs, but importers and retailers often end up passing most or all of the additional costs onto the end purchaser in the form of higher prices. Peter Navarro, Senior Counselor to the President for Trade and Manufacturing, has gone as far as to claim that tariffs are tax cuts.

“We have so much money coming in,” from the collection of tariffs, Trump told reporters on Friday, “we’re thinking about a little rebate, but the big thing we want to do is pay down debt, but we’re thinking about a rebate.”

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The President went on to describe the possible rebates as being “for people of a certain income level,” which he did not define.

Responding to Trump’s remarks, U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) quickly announced he will propose legislation to give “every working person” in America a rebate.

“Rebates would return to consumers some of the higher prices they’ve paid as a result of those tariffs — but could also raise the specter of inflation, similar to previous rounds of government stimulus,” Axios warned.

“While customs duties are giving a boost to US revenues and Trump regularly casts tariffs as being paid by foreign trading partners,” Bloomberg added, “data show those increases are being shouldered by American businesses and consumers.”

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NBC News senior national politics reporter Jonathan Allen mocked Senator Hawley’s proposal:

“The suggested policy is to raise prices by taxing imports and then subsidize taxpayers with a rebate — like hiring someone to rob me and then donating a little of the $ back to me. Could just skip tariffs, but this way Big Brother gets a cut and pols claim hero status.”

Congressional reporter Jamie Dupree added: “The current estimate of extra tax revenue from tariffs will still leave the deficits under Trump at over $1.5 trillion per year, in other words, not close to balance.”

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