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Trump still has a firm grip on MAGA — but that could change

According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Thursday, March 19, less than 10 percent of Americans favor using ground forces in President Donald Trump's war against Iran —which so far, has been an air offensive. Yet among Trump's hardcore MAGA base, Trump's Iran war still has plenty of supporters, according to polls. Although the Iran war has some high-profile MAGA opponents — from former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Georgia) to ex-Fox News host Tucker Carlson to former National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent — Trump still has his share of hardcore MAGA voters who trust his judgement.

According to a Politico poll, 81 percent of Trump voters who identify as MAGA "back strikes against Iran."

But in an article published on March 20, Politico's Erin Doherty wonders how much longer the "unwavering trust in the president" among MAGA diehards will last as the Iran war rages on.

According to Doherty, "there are signs" that "Trump's hold on them "could grow tenuous as he intensifies military action" in Iran.

"Trump voters are more split on backing the war if it results in more lives lost," Doherty explains. "The president has called the strikes a success, but America's increasing military build-up in the Middle East has spurred fears that the intervention will involve ground troops and result in a much longer conflict than expected. The war has drawn searing rebukes from prominent anti-interventionist voices within the MAGA movement, including Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly, prompted the resignation of a Trump official earlier this week and fueled concerns over rising oil and gas prices ahead of a midterm election set to hinge on the economy…. And yet, Trump has retained deep loyalty from his supporters on one of the most consequential decisions of his second term."

Republican strategist Barrett Marson warns that the Iran war could hurt Trump with GOP voters if it drags on too long.

Marson told Politico, "The president has to be careful. If things turn just a little bad or if during the summer we are still entangled, those voices will not only get louder but there will be more of them. Trump needs to stick to his four to six weeks, which is fast approaching."

Another GOP strategist, Jeff Burton, told Politico, "MAGA is locked in for Trump. The bigger issue isn't about him or even Iran, it's that foreign conflicts expose a real fault line between more hawkish Republicans and a rising isolationist wing. That tension is only going to grow as 2028 gets closer, and it's going to be a defining challenge for whoever tries to take the MAGA mantle."

Young Republicans driving 'revolt against the MAGA establishment'

President Donald Trump's second administration, unlike his first, hasn't had a lot of turnover — as Trump has made a point of surrounding himself with ultra-MAGA loyalists this time. But a far-right MAGA Republican, Joe Kent, sent shockwaves through the administration when, on Tuesday, March 17, he expressed his disdain for the Iran war by abruptly announcing that he was leaving his position as director of the National Counterterrorism Center.

In his resignation letter, Kent wrote, "I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby…. I cannot support sending the next generation off to fight and die in a war that serves no benefit to the American people nor justifies the cost of American lives."

In an article published by the conservative website The Bulwark on March 18, journalist Andrew Egger stresses that the importance of Kent's resignation goes way beyond Kent himself — as it underscores a "revolt against the MAGA establishment." And much of the revolt, according to Egger is coming from younger American First Republicans.

"The more interesting point now is that (Kent) sees political promise in turning on Trump at all," Egger argues. "For a while, it's been clear that Trump — for all the chaos of his administration and for all his explosive hatred of the liberal establishment — now fully embodies a GOP establishment of his own. These days, your median empty-suit Republican congressman is more likely to make embracing Trump his entire personality than actual internet-poisoned true believers of the MAGA base are. Now, we're starting to see the corollary development: shades of MAGA countercultural revolt against that MAGA establishment."

Egger continues, "With a few exceptions — Tucker Carlson being the most obvious —you see this primarily among younger, smaller stars in Trumpworld. If you have a small right-wing following and you're looking to make it a big right-wing following, and most especially if that following is concentrated among young right-wing people, it's no longer the case that backing Trump to the hilt is the only move."

The Bulwark journalist notes that Carrie Prejean Boller, a MAGA influencer who Trump appointed to his Religious Liberty Commission, "tripled her social-media following after provoking Trump into firing her" by "demanding to know if other commissioners thought her anti-Israel positions made her an antisemite."

"There's no reason to believe that the MAGA base broadly opposes Trump's war in Iran; Trump's voters have always been more blandly fine with Trump's wars than the doves in MAGA media would like to believe," Egger adds. "But the anti-war and anti-Israel types, who are disproportionately young, have established a beachhead in the Republican coalition. Joe Kent won't be the last would-be right-wing star to flee Trump in a play for their support."

MAGA buyer’s remorse driving Trump’s plummeting approval: analysis

President Donald Trump's approval ratings hit record lows this week across numerous polls, and according to a new breakdown from The Hill, this decline is being driven in large part by buyer's remorse from his MAGA base.

In a report published Wednesday, The Hill cited a new poll from YouGov and The Economist, which found that only 35 percent of respondents approved of Trump's performance as president, while 58 percent disapproved, putting him a substantial 23 points underwater. That was the worst result on record for the president from that particular poll, matching the two lowest points for his predecessor, Joe Biden, both of which came during his final year in office.

Trump's YouGov approval has seen a steady decline in recent weeks, sitting at 18 points underwater last week, 19 points the week before, and 15 points the week before that. The polling firm only recorded a lower approval rating, 34 percent, once across Trump's two terms in November 2017.

According to a breakdown of this new poll's specific demographics, The Hill found that Trump has seen a remarkable erosion in support from his core MAGA base. The outlet attributed this trend to issues like the declining stock market and the DHS shutdown, as well as the war in Iran, which broke his core 2024 campaign promise to avoid foreign wars. While poll respondents who voted for Trump in 2024 still supported him by a considerable margin, the number has dwindled considerably in the last three weeks.

"The decline in Trump’s approval rating is largely driven by a softening of support from Trump’s own base, which has come amid a ramping up of U.S. military action in Iran, a partial government shutdown and a decline in the stock market," The Hill's report detailed. "The latest survey shows, among 2024 Trump voters, 76 percent approve of his handling of the presidency, compared to 19 percent who disapprove. That net +57 approval marks a 15-point drop from three weeks ago, when 84 percent approved and 12 percent disapproved."

Trump's approval ratings among older voters, who have tended to support the Republican Party over the decades, and younger voters, who swung considerably towards him in 2024, are also showing major signs of erosion as his second term wears on.

"The latest survey marks a new second-term low for Trump’s net approval among Americans 65 and over, who’ve registered a net -17 percentage point approval of the president, with 57 percent disapproving and 40 percent approving of his handling of his job in office," the report continued. "Last week, net approval was -10 points, after starting this presidency at net -1 percentage points. Voters under 30 have also seen a sharp drop in support, with net approval at -40 percentage points this week, down from net -25 points last week, -39 percentage points the week before and net -29 points the week before that."

MTG tears into Trump for Republican losses

President Donald Trump “defends the Epstein class” and is taking the entire Republican Party down with him, warned a former Republican lawmaker and ex-staunch Trump supporter on Wednesday.

Former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) on Wednesday slammed Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Mark Levin, Laura Loomer and other Republicans for what she called “leading Republicans into the slaughter before the midterms.”

“I never changed,” declared former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) on a social media post on the platform X. “Trump and the GOP betrayed their voters and took in the trash we threw out of the party.” Singling out supporters of the Iran war like influencer Laura Loomer, radio host Mark Levin and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Greene said they “are the BEST political consultants the Democrat Party could ever imagine!!!”

Mentioning that Florida Democrats recently won a special election in a Republican district where Trump himself happens to live, Greene added that overall Democrats have flipped 12 state legislative seats in special elections throughout 2025 and 2026. When Greene resigned from Congress to protest Trump and what she claimed was his destruction of the Republican Party, she said that she would not “fight for Trump and the Republican Party that defends the Epstein class, wages pointless foreign wars, and pursues America LAST.”

Earlier this month Greene told CNN’s Pamela Brown that Trump had committed a “complete betrayal” of his MAGA base by going to war with Iran.

"It makes absolutely no sense, Pamela, going into midterm elections," Greene argued. "Let's remove Donald Trump out of it. Let's just put any president in there. Why would an American president lead his political party into the midterms, waging a full-scale major war, completely unprovoked on Iran, on behalf of Israel? And that's the way most Americans see it. They see this is for Israel, not for America."

Greene concluded: "Why would an American president do that, which is forcing gas prices to hike right here going into spring break, where families are going to be driving out of town, going into summer? Declaring and waging a major full-scale war that seems to have no end in sight. That is not de-escalating. It's escalating every single day. And it just doesn't make sense... I went to, I can't even tell you, countless rallies all over the country for President Trump, campaigning for him and Republicans, because we wanted to win. And we said on every single rally stage, no more foreign wars, no more regime change. It's time to put America first, and this is a complete betrayal of those campaign promises."

Greene is not the only MAGA Republican to claim Trump abandoned the values for which he stood during the 2024 election. In February Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) told NOTUS that he too is loyal to the values Trump ran on in 2024 rather than what he has done since starting his second term.

“My constituents already know I’m ‘America First,’ I’m not for starting another war,” Massie argued. “I’m not for deficit spending. And I led the charge to expose a bunch of rich and powerful and politically connected men in the Epstein files. Those are the areas that I’ve differed with the president. So where I differed with the president, my constituents understand why I’ve differed with the president.”

Similarly, after Trump invaded Iran in March, right-wing podcaster Joe Rogan admitted that a lot of Trump supporters felt “betrayed” by his flip-flop on the issue of staying out of wars.

“Well, it just seems so insane, based on what he ran on. I mean, this is why a lot of people feel betrayed, right?” Rogan argued. “He ran on, ‘No more wars,’ ‘End these stupid, senseless wars,’ and then we have one that we can’t even really clearly define why we did it.”

The real reason Trump went to war wasn't about helping Israel: NYT editorial

President Donald Trump was not manipulated into the Iran war by Israel, a prominent columnist explained on Wednesday — but it will be difficult to avoid an upsurge in anti-Semitism because Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did indeed play a critical role in persuading Trump.

“For those who suspect that Israel manipulated America into war, the resignation of Joe Kent, Donald Trump’s director of the National Counterterrorism Center, surely seems like confirmation,” New York Times columnist Michelle Goldberg wrote on Wednesday. Yet because Kent’s narrative “taps into old antisemitic tropes about occult Jewish control,” it is bound to become potent in American politics.

Of course, Trump’s own bungling of the war effort has not helped matters much.

“This conflict, whose timing and purpose Trump barely bothered to explain to the American people, was probably always going to increase anti-Jewish animosity among Americans, especially when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel gloats that he’s ‘yearned’ for such a war for 40 years,” Goldberg wrote. “But the more it drags on, the more I worry about a full-blown American ‘dolchstoßlegende,’ a modern version of the stab-in-the-back myth that German nationalists used to blame Jews for their humiliation in World War I.”

Goldberg pointed out that this myth will be harder to dispel in the case of the Iran war because officials like Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) have bragged about working closely with Netanyahu to persuade Trump.

“Given Israel’s deep involvement in almost every aspect of this war, it takes care and subtlety — both in short supply in our politics — to tease out the difference between reality and conspiracy theory,” Goldberg wrote. Yet she said perhaps the key detail is that Trump was not uniquely influenced by Israel in terms of his warmongering. Trump was just as bellicose during his first term and always seems susceptible to persuasion by strong-willed people around him, not just when it comes to Israel and Iran.

“A major distortion in Kent’s letter is that it presents Trump as a naïve victim of the Israelis rather than an eager collaborator,” Goldberg wrote. “Trump has always been more hawkish than the isolationists in his orbit admit; he ordered more drone strikes in his first two years in office than Barack Obama launched in eight. It wasn’t Netanyahu who made Trump abduct the president of Venezuela, an operation that seems to have both whetted his appetite for foreign adventure and convinced him that war can be easy.”

She added, “This week he boasted that he can ‘take’ Cuba and ‘do anything I want with it.’ Long obsessed with military might and displays of masculine aggression, Trump was enamored of the idea that he could rid the world of the anti-American regimes that bedeviled his predecessors. He went to war in Iran for his ego, not for Israel.”

Nevertheless, Goldberg ominously warned that the anti-Semitism problem in the Republican Party will only get worse from here.

“Kent is slated to appear on [Tucker] Carlson’s show this evening, and then at a gala alongside Candace Owens, one of the most nakedly antisemitic figures in American public life, tomorrow,” Goldberg wrote. “We can expect him to tell them that based on his view from the heights of American power, they were right all along.”

Writing in a piece for The i Paper published Wednesday, U.S. commentator Simon Marks pointed out that the recent resignation of Joe Kent as the director of the National Counterterrorism Center reveals on a deeper level that Trump cannot continue to hold together his MAGA coalition.

"The White House must now regret expending significant political capital last year to drag his nomination across the finishing line," Marks wrote. "On Tuesday, Kent became the most senior figure in Trump’s inner circle to betray the President. In doing so, he spoke for the substantial number of core 'Make America Great Again' and 'America First' supporters who believe that by waging war alongside Israel against Iran, Trump has lost the plot, if not his mind."

Similarly acclaimed historian Timothy Snyder commented that Trump’s inability to hold together his MAGA base on the Iran war jeopardizes his seeming attempts to seize power illegitimately during the 2026 midterm elections.

“Kent never should have been the director of the national counterterrorism center” in the first place, Snyder observed, writing that “he had no qualifications for this position” and indeed had “anti-qualifications,” including his sympathies for Russia and overt hate for Jews. Yet he was chosen because of his staunch MAGA loyalty, and his resignation “signals a certain clash within the pro-Trump elite between people who are out and out antisemites and people who are so-called Christian Zionists.” While the former simply hate Jews and Israel, treating the two as interchangeable, Christian Zionists “think that a war in the Middle East might be a good thing” because it could usher in a Biblical apocalypse.

“If Mr. Trump is going to succeed in breaking the November election in order to stay in power, he’ll have to have around him a tight, cohesive elite that really sincerely believes – for whatever set of bad reasons – that it’s worth sacrificing the republic for this person,” Snyder argued. The schism over the Iran war will make it harder to do.

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Even the best propaganda can't rescue Trump from Americans' wrath

A new University of Massachusetts-Amherst opinion poll, conducted August 21-26, finds profound American disillusionment with President Donald Trump, with his Iran War, and with its economic fallout in their lives.

Apparently the Ellison family’s attempt to drum up support for Donald Trump and his Iran War by buying up CBS News and gutting it as a respected news organization was a costly failure. Likewise, Rupert Murdoch’s NewsCorp and his various pro-Trump organs, from Fox Cable News to The Wall Street Journal, have not pulled the wool over the public’s eyes in the ways that Murdoch hoped. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu boasted of the effort he expended convincing the American people to go to war with Iran, saying he had a thousand hours on US television , but while he may have prevailed on the gullible and avaricious Trump to fall on that country like a ravenous wolf, he did not succeed in altering the views of the American public on the desirability of such a war. The only significant impact of Netanyahu on most Americans has been to convince them that the Israeli government is a combination of genocidal maniacs and welfare queens that Americans should cut off economically and perhaps even militarily.

The UMass poll asked a weighted sample of respondents how well Trump has handled his Iran War. The response of 55% of those asked this question was “not well at all.” Ouch. Another 13% replied “not too well.” So 68%, over two-thirds, think he has done a piss-poor job on his Iran War, which was his war of choice. Two-thirds is the percentage needed in the Senate to impeach and remove a president, so if our representatives actually mirrored public opinion, Trump would be toast.

That question had to do with Trump’s handling of the war. Asked whether they approved of the war on Iran, a majority, 54%, said they strongly or somewhat disapproved, and another 20% were noncommittal, which I would interpret as not actively supporting the war even if they didn’t particularly oppose it. Those statistics yield a picture of a war that nearly three-fourths of Americans either oppose or about which they just don’t care. It isn’t what the commander of a war would want to hear from his own public.

Trump and the Republicans are always campaigning on being the party of business and therefore the party that knows how to handle the economy, but only a tiny minority, 7%, think Trump is handling the economy very well.

A majority think the war was a mistake and question whether it has made the US safer or forestalled an Iranian bomb.

Another way of putting it is that only about a quarter of respondents think the US should have gone to war with Iran, and that the US is winning.

The UMass report on the opinion poll noted that Raymond La Raja, professor of political science at UMass Amherst and co-director of the poll, said, “Americans are overwhelmingly negative about Trump on the Iran situation.” He continued: “Only 1 in 4 Americans thinks he is handling Iran well. The real divide is increasingly between Trump’s hardcore MAGA base and almost everyone else. Among Republicans who identify very strongly with MAGA, 87% approve of Trump’s handling of Iran. But that falls to 58% among Republicans who are ‘somewhat MAGA’ and just 30% among Republicans who say they are ‘not MAGA at all.’ The more loosely attached Republicans are to the MAGA identity, the more skeptical they are of the war.”

Conducting a war in the Middle East, as even the cowboys in the G. W. Bush administration recognized, requires at least some allies. But Americans don’t think Trump plays well with other children. Asked how he has handled working with allies in global affairs, 52% say “not well at all” and 12% say “not too well,” showing that nearly two-thirds view his foreign policy performance negatively.

Based on this sounding, we can further project that Americans are even more angry about the main fallout of the failed war on Iran, which is high inflation. Fully 80% of respondents said that the Iran War has increased the cost of gasoline and groceries. Asked about how Trump has dealt with inflation, 57% responded, “not well at all.” A further 18% said “not too well.” That is 75%, fully three-fourths, who disapprove of his handling of inflation. Trump and the Republicans are always campaigning on being the party of business and therefore the party that knows how to handle the economy, but only a tiny minority, 7%, think Trump is handling the economy very well, and I presume they are wealthy investors in Trump’s casino stock market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq is up 14-16% so far this year.

WSJ reveals new evidence MAGA is 'tuning out' Trump

On Wednesday, new reporting by the Wall Street Journal revealed that “conservative podcasters appear to be losing interest” in President Donald Trump. According to the paper’s analysis of 70,000 hours of podcasting, while “Trump has urged voters to keep him front of mind” with the midterms looming, “MAGA podcasters aren’t playing along.”

“Mentions of Trump’s name per hour on conservative podcasts have fallen nearly 70 percent from their peak in the run-up to the 2024 election,” writes the Journal. “Advisers have told the president that the Iran war is sapping his supporters’ enthusiasm. Gas is nearly $4.50 a gallon nationally. The share of Republicans who say the economy is better than a year ago has collapsed from over 70 percent in January to 29 percent in September, according to a New York Times/Siena poll.” According to the Journal, “The podcasts show that same souring. Monthly mentions of his name have fallen 30 percent since the U.S. launched the war in late February, with some hosts airing disapproval of it, and a few, like former Fox News host and conservative media personality Tucker Carlson, breaking publicly with the administration.” The paper included a chart of MAGA podcast Trump mentions, which showed an up-and-down decline after the 2024 election, followed by a relentless cratering once he launched war with Iran.

The Journal’s analysis found that far-right conservative podcasts have largely shifted to a new political topic: Democratic senatorial candidate James Talarico, which polls show may deliver Texas its first Democrat in statewide office since 1994. “Trump has called him ‘Talafreako,’ and railed against him at the GOP midterm convention,” writes the Journal. “MAGA podcasters portray Talarico as a radical leftist out of touch with Texans. They frequently attack him for past comments he has made about religion, transgender rights and immigration.” The Journal describes Talarico as “a state legislator who has campaigned on his Christian faith,” asserting that he is in a “tight race against Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton, a MAGA warrior beloved by Trump’s base and backed by national Republicans pouring money into the state to shore him up.” While the paper cites close polling for its “tight race” assertion, the latest numbers show Talarico pulling well ahead of a scandal-stricken Paxton. According to an internal Republican poll released Monday, Talarico leads 52 percent versus Paxton’s 42 percent.

Waning podcast mentions aren’t the only evidence of Trump’s failing grip on MAGA. On Tuesday, new reporting by the New York Times revealed MAGA voter frustration with Trump’s “insulting” lies. “We drank the Kool-Aid, and we were wrong,” said one, who went on to explain that his eye starts “twitching” whenever Trump claims prices have gone down. “I can’t even listen to him talk anymore.”

3-time Trump voter 'over the Trump thing' in 'dangerous sign' for GOP

With the United States' 2026 midterms only two and one-half months away, GOP strategists are hoping that a strong turnout from MAGA voters will help them hold both branches of Congress. But a disillusioned MAGA voter in Iowa, according to MS NOW and the Daily Beast, is a troubling sign for Republicans.

Iowa resident Shane Foot voted for Trump in three U.S. presidential elections in a row: 2016, 2020 and 2024. In an interview with MS NOW reporter Alex Tabet, however, Foot laid out some reasons why he has grown frustrated and disillusioned with the 80-year-old president.

Interviewed at the Iowa State Fair, Foot cited inflation as a key reason for his frustration.

Foot told Tabet, "The prices haven't gone down. I don't know, I'm just, I'm over it, I think, over the Trump thing, the Trump wagon — whatever you want to call it."

In the 2024 presidential election, many Trump voters pointed to inflation as a top reason for their decision. And that included hardcore MAGA voters and the Trump base as well as independents and swing voters — some of whom had voted for Democrat Joe Biden in 2020.

But Foot voted for Trump, not Biden, in 2020 — and now, he is finally giving up on the president.

When Tabet asked Foot what he would tell Trump about the Iran war, tariffs and the economy, the Iowa voter responded, "Stop the bulls––. Make America great, like you said, that's what I'd say."

The Daily Beast's Cameron Adams points to Foot's frustration as a very bad sign for Trump, describing the Iowa voter's comments during the MS NOW interview as a "fiery tirade against the increasingly unpopular 80-year-old."

Adams notes, "Trump's appeal is continuing to dwindle within his own supporter base, a dangerous sign ahead of the looming midterm elections. Only 35 percent of Republicans said they 'strongly approve' of Trump's performance in a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the president's approval rating continues to sink as his war with Iran keeps gas prices soaring."

Many polls are showing independents growing frustrated with Trump. But the fact that Foot voted for Trump three times in a row, according to Adams, is especially important.

"Trump's net approval rating remained stuck at an alarming 33 percent, the lowest of his presidency, according to Reuters," Adams observes. "Remarkably, 64 percent of Americans said they disapprove of his job as president."

'They don’t like it': Trump insiders warn MAGA is reaching a breaking point

President Donald Trump's committed MAGA base has continued to support him through numerous missteps, but according to a new Washington Sun report, Republicans are learning directly that there is one issue that even they are turning on.

According to the Wednesday report, GOP lawmakers returning to Washington, D.C., after the recent congressional recess have bad news about the MAGA die-hards back home: they are sick of Trump's war with Iran and "want answers" about when it will end. Sen. Bill Cassidy, a Louisiana Republican whose reelection bid was derailed by Trump interference, spoke to the Sun about what he has heard from voters back home.

“They don’t like it,” Cassidy explained. “Even the people that love the president don’t like it.”

Sen. John Cornyn, a Texas Republican and another target of Trump's revenge endorsement campaign, expressed similar sentiments, telling the Sun that voters remain frustrated about the president's poorly explained motivations for the costly war.

“If the president was clear on what the objectives were that we were trying to achieve, I think they would be more patient,” Cornyn said. “But in the absence of that, I think there’s just confusion.”

Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican who opted to retire next year rather than face Trump's wrath, described the war as "a top-three campaign issue in North Carolina, where the large military and veteran population has kept the war’s human cost at the forefront."

"Voters remain most focused on the economy, he said, but the war’s duration has made the lack of measurable progress harder to ignore," the report detailed.

Sen. Mike Rounds, a South Dakota Republican, said that his constituents are losing patience with the conflict, especially after administration officials said that it would be wrapped up in a matter of weeks.

“Most of them thought it would be quick in and out, similar to Venezuela, and that wasn’t the case,” Rounds explained.

“It’s time to be clear on the strategic objectives and start measuring results,” Tillis added. “And that’s not something that we’ve had since they started the conflict. You just can’t have some throwaway statement saying it’s going to end just after the election. The American people are smarter than that.”

Trump and Vice President JD Vance have recently claimed that the conflict with Iran should be wrapped up just after Election Day, a claim that comes as gas prices have once again started to creep up to historic levels. The Sun noted that, privately, Vance and other Trump officials have warned that Iran is likely to resist ending the war for the rest of his second term.

'This isn't TV reality': Inside the disastrous week Trump tried to hide

President Donald Trump's war in Iran has long been derided by defense experts for being unsustainable, yet the Republican continues to insist that the war is "small potatoes" and working out in his favor. Yet according to a recent report, the last week alone contained so much bad news from the conflict that it's impossible for Trump to wave it off.

"In this week alone, 13 separate incidents in the Middle East prove this is not the ghost war the president is trying to convince his MAGA base it is," The Daily Beast's David Gardner reported on Sunday. "This isn’t TV reality. It’s the real thing. Trump’s biggest bluff didn’t work. He should have folded. Instead, he twisted. Into knots. And now he is trying to pretend it never happened."

Noting that 18 American soldiers have been killed and 820 have been wounded since the conflict started, Gardner elaborated on just a handful of the violent incidents that have recently occurred which prove the Iran war is a bigger deal than Trump is making it out to be.

"Overnight Iranian attacks on Tuesday also hit the Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan, damaging as many as nine U.S. aircraft," Gardner wrote. "Missiles 'struck the maintenance, preparation, and deployment sites of F-35, F-16, and F-15 fighter jets, as well as their shelters, inflicting heavy damage on the enemy,' claimed the IRGC."

He added, "In Kuwait this week, Iran claimed it attacked America’s Ali Al Salem Air Base with bombs and drones and struck the rooms of a U.S. commander. Off the coast, more details emerged about a 19-year-old sailor who tried to jump to his death from the rusting USS Lincoln as Patriot missile stockpiles were depleted and diesel prices hit an all-time high of $6 a gallon on Friday."

The journalist concluded, "All this in a week that Donald Trump was seeking to convince a midterm convention in Dallas that Iran was handled. We may not like to think about it, but this war is far from over. And it could get a hell of a lot worse."

Trump's invasion of Iran is so controversial that parents of children who died in the conflict are speaking out.

"Jim Khork, along with his wife, Stacey, sat down for an exclusive interview with CBS News to share more about their grief, but also, their frustrations about what they consider is a lack of accountability for military shortcomings ahead of the deadly attack," CBS News' Jonah Kaplan reported on Thursday. "The Army confirmed to the Khorks and CBS News that its probe into the deadly Iranian attack was completed in early July, but they have yet to release it."

In April, an economist outlined the long-term damage the war is causing the US economy.

“I would guess that yes, destruction of Iranian (and some other) energy facilities in the Persian Gulf area will have at least a medium-term effect keeping prices for crude oil and chemical fertilizer high, and that in turn means gasoline prices may come down only slowly,” Dr. Ed Gresser, Vice President and Director for Trade and Global Markets at the Progressive Policy Institute, told AlterNet. “Same for other petroleum-based products such as plastics, skin creams, and so on. The high potential of conflict also adds risk premiums to shipping and other costs.”

He added, “Longer-term, lots of open questions. One is whether the administration will really concede that Iran has a right to close the Strait of Hormuz and assess tolls on shipping passing through it. That would make the smaller Gulf monarchies and to some extent Iraq reliant on Iranian good will for all of their exports. Likewise, Asian countries are the main buyers of Persian Gulf energy, and their supplies would be much less secure.”

Trump's draft will backfire —and decimate Republicans for decades: expert

Since the beginning of President Donald Trump’s unilateral war with Iran, some advisors — and the MAGA community in particular — has speculated how much wealth and lives Trump and his Secretary of Defense are willing to throw at his futile campaign.

Christopher Lee, veteran campaign operative and Foresight Strategic Advisors founder, said any proposal for a draft and ground invasion had best be off the table unless Trump wants to get his Republican Party curb stomped for the foreseeable future.

“The reason is simple: invading Iran with ground forces has the same practical military sense as would building a house on top of an active volcano,” Lee told the Mirror.

Lee’s comments come days after Trump threatened Iran yet again and warned Americans in the region to prepare as he said that “the biggest attack of them all is waiting in the wings” in a Truth Social post.

The Mirror reports speculation of a draft really took off earlier this year with the news of changes proposed by the Selective Service System, transforming the draft from a self-registration system to an automatic registration system. This could come into effect as early as December of this year.

For now, Lee pointed out that Trump’s Iran conflict has largely been fought in Gulf waters by air by either carrier-based aircraft or land-based heavy bombers, making the draft and a U.S. ground invasion unnecessary. But Trump is not making progress with “death from above” tactics — and he and his secretary of defense have rapidly depleted U.S. ammunition stockpiles. They’ve also ballooned U.S. debt with Trump’s unnecessary military invasion. Add to that the resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz and subsequent price increases on fuel and fertilizer for Americans and farmers and Trump is feeling the heat to end the war before the November midterms.

Declaring defeat could be one option, but it will leave a stain of impotence on both the 80-year-old president and the Republican Party that enabled and allowed his war. The only other real option is escalation — but that would involve ground forces, and likely blood and U.S. casualties. The Iran War has already caused the death of U.S. servicemembers. More coffins piling up at military airports would look bad on a president who himself repeatedly avoided the military draft in the Vietnam War.

Worse, if Trump activated the draft, Lee said the president will find that he has deported a sizable portion of the draft’s most eligible young people.

“As is the case within any draft, it will be solely men ages 18-26. Again, the irony bites Trump hard here. The law passed in 2025 would require every male citizen to register. But, interestingly enough, the very people the Trump Administration wants to deport from this country could also be subject to any draft. This includes refugees, people seeking/granted asylum and green card holders,” said Lee.

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