Lindsay Beyerstein

How MAGA is threatened by exposure to certain truths that challenge Trump's lies

Yale professor Evan Morris argues that it’s time to “unyoke the sciences from the humanities,” by which he means that faculties of science should split off from the humanities and form science-only universities to avoid the wrath of Donald Trump.

Scientists at Columbia and Harvard lost grants because Trump falsely accused their administrators of indulging antisemitism on the part of their students.

It was a flimsy pretext to bring the Ivy League to heel, but instead of blaming Trump, Morris incongruously blames humanities professors.

“The humanities are going down and taking the rest of us — grant-funded scientists who focus on medical research or the physical sciences — with them,” he laments.

Morris’ take is shockingly naive.

Trump is at war with all independent sources of knowledge, from unbiased government statisticians to the free press. Any expert who can tell Trump he’s wrong about climate change, vaccines, public health, or sex differences is a direct threat to his power.

Science, therefore, is squarely in his crosshairs.

Let’s review a small part of what Trump has already done.

Trump’s racist crackdown on international students is an existential threat to American science. International grad students do much of the day-to-day work of science in this country. Foreign students are also a major source of revenue for their universities because they pay full tuition. For years, universities have recruited international students to offset dwindling state funding. An all-science university would suffer just as much, if not more than, a regular university from a collapse of international student enrollment because STEM programs draw more students from overseas.

To make matters worse, Trump is trying to cap indirect research funding for the medical and physical sciences. The cap is a direct threat to grant-getting research scientists. This is the money that keeps the lights on in their labs.

It gets worse.

Trump’s handpicked acting US Attorney for Washington, DC, even tried to launch a frivolous criminal prosecution of green energy grantees. He admitted he had no probable cause to show that any of these people had committed crimes, but he still wanted to claw the grant money out of their bank accounts for the crime of working on green energy. The effort fizzled, but this fiasco should serve as a warning. Trump and his allies aren’t done trying to prosecute scientists for inconvenient truths.

Morris wants to ditch the social scientists, but they warned us that populists like Trump demonize intellectuals and experts of all stripes, scientists included.

Any scientist who’s doing work on epidemiology, vaccines, climate, evolution, or sex differences could find themselves in conflict with the White House and its MAGA allies.

And it’s not just scientists in controversial fields who are at risk. International collaboration is the lifeblood of science but congressional Republicans are already trying to label collaborations with Chinese scientists as a national security threat.

What about theoretical mathematicians? Surely that’s apolitical.

There’s still no escape.

If your work has no obvious applications to weapons, artificial intelligence, or crypto, MAGA will label you a decadent parasite and demand that your job be eliminated to pay for tax cuts.

We don’t need to guess how they feel. Vice president JD Vance once gave a talk entitled “The Universities are the Enemy.”

“So much of what we want to do in this movement and in this country, I think, are fundamentally dependent on going through a set of very hostile institutions, specifically the universities, which control the knowledge in our society, which control what we call truth and what we call falsity, that provides research that gives credibility to some of the most ridiculous ideas that exist in our country,” Vance told his audience. “If any of us want to do the things that we want to do for our country, and for the people who live in it, we have to honestly and aggressively attack the universities in this country.”

Universities are a threat to the MAGA agenda because they produce knowledge that contradicts Donald Trump’s lies.

Splitting science from the arts and humanities will shortchange students without protecting the sciences.

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New Supreme Court gamble won’t shield Trump – and he'll have to clean up his own mess

Jose Pagliery outlined a nightmare scenario for the news site NOTUS. What if the US Supreme Court agrees that Jeffrey Epstein’s notorious 2008 non-prosecution agreement shields Ghislaine Maxwell and all potential co-conspirators? If so, Maxwell could shield Donald Trump and everyone else in the Epstein files by naming them as co-conspirators.

As bad as that would be, it’s unlikely.

The Supreme Court probably won’t hear Maxwell’s appeal.

Maxwell’s lawyers argue she should not have been prosecuted because Epstein struck a deal with then-US Attorney Alex Acosta that neither Epstein nor any of his potential co-conspirators would be prosecuted if Epstein pled guilty to soliciting underage prostitutes in Florida.

The question of whether this non-prosecution agreement (NPA) covers Maxwell is moot because it only applies to crimes Epstein committed between 2001 and 2007. Maxwell was prosecuted for trafficking girls starting in the mid-1990s.

Maxwell’s appeal has exactly one thing going for it. Her lawyers have found a so-called circuit split, which is one of the best “hooks” to get a case before the Supreme Court. In this case, several judicial circuits disagree about whether an ambiguous plea deal struck by one US attorney can bind other US attorneys without their consent.

When federal judicial circuits arrive at conflicting interpretations, only the Supreme Court can lay down the law. That’s why about 70 percent of Supreme Court cases resolve circuit splits. Even so, the Supreme Court ignores two out of three petitions asking it to resolve them.

A variety of factors influence the court’s willingness to weigh in. The court considers how important the issue is, how many people it affects, and how long the split has been going on. One of the most important factors is whether resolving the split would change the outcome of the underlying case. Resolving the NPA conundrum wouldn’t change Maxwell’s fate, because she was convicted for criminal conduct outside the scope of the NPA. So, even if the Supreme Court were to find that the NPA covered Maxwell’s later conduct, it wouldn’t matter because her crime spree started before the period covered by the NPA.

That’s the sober legal analysis. Now let’s look at the crass political calculus.

A common assumption is that the Supreme Court automatically does anything Trump wants. This is a bad heuristic. For example, the high court declined to steal the 2020 election for Trump even though he really wanted them to. The best predictor of whether the Supreme Court will cater to Trump is whether the result would advance the conservative majority’s agenda.

Freeing Ghislaine Maxwell wouldn’t make the president more like a king, hobble the administrative state, or deliver a policy win for the conservative base. It’s therefore unlikely that the Supreme Court would volunteer to absorb the political firestorm that would ensue if they freed Maxwell.

Freeing Maxwell might be convenient for Donald Trump personally, because he wouldn’t have to spend the political capital to pardon her, but it would hurt the GOP’s political prospects overall.

So, why would the Supreme Court go out of its way to free the nation’s most notorious pedophile for a lame duck president? They already gave Trump kinglike power to issue corrupt pardons. The most likely scenario is that the Supreme Court ignores Maxwell’s appeal and makes Trump clean up his own mess by pardoning Maxwell.

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The truth finally trickled out of Donald Trump — but the media largely ignored it

The president has been asked repeatedly how his close friendship with child-sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein ended. We got an answer Tuesday.

Trump knew Epstein was hunting teenage girls at Mar-a-Lago. So far, the media has been remarkably blasé about his stunning admission.

The White House initially claimed that Epstein was banned from Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort for “being a creep.” Trump’s assertion in a press conference that he broke up with Epstein, because he was poaching staff from Mar-a-Lago, seemed like a new and contradictory explanation for how they fell out after over a decade of friendship.

But an old item from the New York Post shows that the poaching and the creeping were two sides of the same coin.

On Tuesday, a reporter asked Trump whether any of the poached employees were young women. "People were taken out of the spa, hired by him. In other words, gone,” Trump said on Air Force One.

"And other people would come and complain, 'this guy is taking people from the spa.' I didn't know that," he continued. "And then when I heard about it, I told him, I said, 'Listen, we don't want you taking our people, whether it was spa or not spa.' I don't want him taking people. And he was fine. And then not too long after that, he did it again and I said, 'out of here.'"

Trump tried to make the falling out sound like a G-rated business dispute, as if Epstein were simply hiring away valued employees with in-demand skills. Trump may have played up the poaching angle to deflect attention from his longstanding knowledge of Epstein’s deviant behavior, as he considers whether to pardon Ghislaine Maxwell, Epstein’s highest-ranking and most notorious co-conspirator.

Trump’s story matches a contemporaneous account of Epstein’s exile from Mar-a-Lago reported by Page 6, the New York Post’s gossip column.

“He would use the spa to try to procure girls. But one of them, a masseuse about 18 years old, he tried to get her to do things,” an anonymous source told Page 6 in October 2007. “Her father found out about it and went absolutely ape-[bleep]. Epstein’s not allowed back.”

That source was almost certainly Trump, who was notorious for laundering his version of reality through Page 6, either anonymously or under the pseudonym “John Barron.”

In any event, someone at Mar-a-Lago knew that Epstein was luring girls from the club to sexually abuse them.

Like Trump on Air Force One, the tipster spoke of an ongoing pattern, namely, that Epstein “would use the spa to try and procure girls.”

Aboard Air Force One, Trump acknowledged that Virginia Giuffre was one of the teens taken from his club.

Giuffre was a 16-year-old towel girl who was recruited at Mar-a-Lago by Ghislaine Maxwell in 2000. Giuffre would go on to become one of his most outspoken victims, until her death by suicide in April.

Ghislaine is now serving a 20-year sentence in federal prison.

According to journalist Michael Wolff, her family leaked the birthday greeting Trump gave Epstein on his 50th birthday as a warning to Trump that she has incriminating evidence on him. Wolff said the No. 2 at the Department of Justice interviewed her to find out more.

Giuffre was lured in 2000, but Epstein wasn’t kicked out of the club until seven years later, after he had been arrested for soliciting underage sex in Florida. (Trump denied that Epstein was a member, but four Miami Herald reporters obtained a registry of members, confirming his membership a decade before his arrest.)

Page 6, Trump’s journalistic North Star, covered Epstein’s prostitution case in great detail, so Trump would have been well aware.

According to Trump, he told Epstein to knock it off after he was warned that people – plural – had been taken from Mar-a-Lago. Then Epstein allegedly did it again. This suggests there were at least three victims: Giuffre, one other girl, and a member’s daughter. In their 2020 book, The Grifter’s Club, the Miami Herald reporters said Epstein was banned after “harassing” the daughter of a member .

Moreover, Trump recalled that Epstein resumed his predatory behavior “not too long after” after being told to stop. A seven-year gap after Giuffre would be quite long after. This is another reason to suspect there was an ongoing pattern of predation that Trump was well aware of – before Epstein went after a member’s daughter and risked a scandal.

Did Trump call the police when he learned that an alleged sex offender had been using his spa as a hunting ground for teenage girls?

Did he ever warn employees about Epstein?

Did he do anything to rein in Ghislaine Maxwell, who approached Giuffre and others? Or did he let her keep prowling the spa for Epstein?

Why did he have teenage masseuses at Mar-a-Lago, anyway?

We can all guess the answers to these questions, but someone should ask the president for the record.

Trump aborted the long-promised release of the FBI’s Epstein files after learning that his name appeared therein. The president has reason to be cagey. He and Epstein were best friends for a decade and their friendship was centered around chasing girls.

The nation has been consumed by speculation about what dark secrets the files might hold about Trump. Trump’s admission that Epstein used Mar-a-Lago as a hunting ground may provide a critical clue.

Trump's new strategy is going to backfire — and even his lunatic base won't be appeased

Ghislaine Maxwell is a pedophile, a sex trafficker and a perjurer, and Donald Trump needs her to vouch for him.

In an act of witness tampering as reality TV, Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche raced to Florida to meet with Maxwell on Thursday, before she could speak to congressional investigators pursuant to a subpoena.

Never before has a deputy AG met with a convicted felon under these circumstances. Maxwell is serving a 20-year sentence for luring underage girls for Trump’s former best friend Jeffrey Epstein. Two victims testified at her trial that she sexually abused them from the age of 14.

Blanche is Trump’s former criminal defense lawyer and AG Pam Bondi worked on his impeachment case. Trump squashed the long-promised release of the Epstein files after Bondi and Blanche warned him his name appeared in the files. Trump denied being told he was in the files, but Justice Department officials now admit they briefed him. Now, Alan Dershowitz, who represented both Trump and Epstein, is practically begging Trump to make a deal with Maxwell.

The Maxwell gambit exemplifies Trump’s erratic and self-defeating approach to the metastasizing scandal. The Maxwell arc will keep everyone riveted on a story that he’s desperately trying to kill. Will Maxwell vouch for Trump? Will Trump pardon the only person doing time for the Epstein atrocities?

Maxwell probably would have helped Trump even without a sensational meeting. The two are old friends, after all. Trump even said he wished her well. More importantly, Maxwell is a sophisticated criminal who knows Trump holds the power to pardon her, commute her sentence, or simply make her life more comfortable in federal prison. Now that Trump has made a big show of dispatching his deputy AG for a private audience, nobody will take Maxwell seriously if she swears Epstein’s notorious 50th birthday book is a figment of the Wall Street Journal’s imagination.

It was Maxwell who compiled the infamous 50th birthday album in which Trump allegedly wrote a raunchy note to Epstein in the silhouette of a naked woman with his famously spiky signature doing double duty as the pubes: “Happy Birthday—and may every day be another wonderful secret.”

In addition to testimony before Congress, Maxwell’s testimony could figure prominently in the $10 billion lawsuit that Trump filed against the Wall Street Journal for defamation. Bradley Edwards, a lawyer who has represented over 200 Epstein victims, says the Epstein estate has the book and that Congress could easily obtain it. Critically, Edwards said some of his clients helped to assemble the scrapbook, so we don’t have to take Maxwell’s word about how it came together.

Maxwell is not a credible witness. In addition to the sex crimes, she was charged with perjury for lying about what she knew about Epstein’s crimes in a 2016 lawsuit. "In short, the defendant decides when she wishes to disclose facts to the Court, and those facts shift when it serves the defendant's interests," prosecutors wrote in her sentencing memo.

In the course of her criminal trial and countless lawsuits, Maxwell has locked herself into the story that she didn’t know what Epstein was up to. So it would look suspicious if she suddenly claimed to know salacious details about Trump’s political enemies. The more details Maxwell offered up, the guiltier she’d look, and the more politically costly it would be for Trump to pardon her.

Nevertheless, Trump is notorious for abusing the Justice Department’s vast powers. He used his purported Article II Powers to fire the prosecutor who put Maxwell behind bars. His Justice Department extended a quid pro quo to New York mayor Eric Adams, offering to dismiss his federal bribery case if he supported the administration’s brutal immigration policies. Trump rewarded the January 6th insurrectionists with pardons on his first day in office. Pam Bondi even tried to mollify the lunatic base by dismissing charges against a doctor who destroyed covid vaccines, tricked his child patients, and forged vaccination cards to cover his tracks.

The news that Trump killed the release of the Epstein files after learning he was in them and lied about doing so has moved this scandal to the realm of a coverup. Trump spent years chasing girls with Epstein and the files may prove embarrassing even if they are not incriminating. Whether or not the Epstein files hold evidence of wrongdoing by Trump, he promised to release the files and then reneged to protect himself. Then he lied about knowing he was in the files. Todd Blanche’s hurried trip to Florida to meet with Ghislaine Maxwell should raise further alarm that Donald Trump is once again perverting the course of justice.

Donald Trump is not going to beat the pedophilia suspicions by calling in a favor from the nation’s most notorious living pedophile.

Trump’s base feels humiliated because they were played for suckers — and they know it

The good news is that Democrats have found the wedge issue that can shatter the MAGA coalition.

The bad news is that it’s Jeffrey Epstein.

The Bulwark’s Sarah Longwell focus-grouped 2024 Trump voters who are disillusioned with Trump over the notorious FBI/Department of Justice memo that effectively closed the Epstein case.

The memo made it clear that they will not be releasing any more documents or pursuing cases against Epstein’s friends. It declared that there was no client list, no jailhouse murder, and no international blackmail ring.

This is all true, but to the QAnon base, it’s akin to the Pope tweeting, “We’ve reviewed the files and Jesus didn’t rise from the dead. Thank you for your attention in this matter.”

There’s no coming back from that.

MAGA’s headed for schism.

Longwell asked the group whether they thought Trump cynically hyped the Epstein story or whether he was in on the conspiracy.

Overwhelmingly, they thought Trump was in on it.

This is a potentially explosive finding.

Normally, it’s impossible to get Trump supporters to believe that Trump has ever made the slightest misstep, but here we have former MAGA's declaring that The Donald’s in league with ultimate evil.

Longwell understands how central Epstein is to the MAGA worldview. The base expects the Epstein files to fulfill prophecies broadcast on rightwing radio in the 1990s and elaborated through Pizzagate and QAnon. It was foretold that Bill and Hillary Clinton and all the Satanic Democrats would one day be exposed for their crimes against God and man.

To reasonable people, the Epstein saga is an outrage, but not a world historical event. To us, he was a degenerate billionaire who raped girls with his rich friends, dodged taxes and loved eugenics. To MAGA, however, Epstein was a leader of the Jewish Cabal that runs the world.

For us, exposing Epstein’s confederates would undercut elite impunity and deliver justice to victims. For them, it would expose the Illuminati.

According to QAnon theology, Trump is on a divine mission to fight the cabal of the deep state. To many, Trump’s willingness to hunt down Epstein’s co-conspirators is a test. If he won’t do it, he’s not the Chosen One. As far as they’re concerned, Trump deserves to be our supreme leader because QAnon says so.

By implying that the globalist Epstein conspiracy isn’t real, Trump is undermining his own authority. Trump ran on exposing the Epstein files as part of his campaign against the deep state. Key members of his government like Kash Patel and Dan Bongino built their careers on it.

The Epstein case is a particularly effective wedge because Trump’s conspiracist base feels humiliated. They were played for suckers and they know it. As historian Richard Hofstadter observed in his famous essay, “The Paranoid Style in American Politics,” status anxiety is an accelerant for conspiratorial thinking. People gravitate towards conspiracy theories when they feel insecure. It’s a special affront, then, to be treated with contempt by the very people who were supposed to salve their egos.

Attorney General Pam Bondi humiliated some of MAGA’s favorite far-right influencers by meeting them at a much-hyped event at the White House and presenting them with binders full of what she implied would be blockbuster secrets. In fact, the binders contained information that had been public for years. Then she left them to explain to their angry fans why there were no secrets in those binders. Bondi stalled by claiming that the Epstein client list was on her desk.

Now even Daddy Trump is yelling at MAGA to stop talking about Epstein. Bongino and Patel allegedly co-wrote the infamous Nothing to See Here memo. It appears these career conspiracists were more than willing to brush the Epstein files under the rug until the backlash hit. The Epstein bait-and-switch is proof that not even the conspiracists’ most ardent and well-compensated champions in Washington care about them.

Some Democrats are hesitant to fan the flames of this scandal because they’re afraid of legitimizing conspiracy theories. That’s a valid concern. This saga has moved QAnon to the very center of our politics – even more than the antics of the QAnon Shaman at the J6 insurrection or Marjorie Taylor Greene’s career.

However, there are also reality-based reasons to be up-in-arms about the Trump administration’s handling of the Epstein saga. There’s an opportunity for congressional Democrats to demand meaningful transparency on the Epstein case. The key is to stick to legitimate grievances, namely Trump’s broken promises, lies and conflicts of interest.

The DOJ-FBI memo claims that there are no more releasable documents. The FBI’s Epstein files are probably about 1 percent as interesting as people expect, but the government is lying about what they have. They say that there’s only child porn and material that would expose the identities of victims. However, we know from lawyers who worked on Epstein lawsuits for years that there’s plenty of material that could be safely redacted and released. There’s probably no client list per se, because Epstein wasn’t running a bordello and blackmail is the wrong model to understand what he was up to. The men who came to the island were friends, not customers. Epstein surely collected kompromat on them, but the FBI may not have gotten a hold of much of it. Epstein had years of advance warning that he might be charged and he had IT pros to help him hide it.

Initially, Bondi had agents working around the clock to gather materials from footlockers and hard drives in far-flung FBI field offices. This is material that presumably wasn’t available to the Biden-era DOJ. We were supposed to get huge revelations any day. Then suddenly they put out a memo saying there’s nothing to see. It’s fair to ask what changed.

There’s also a glaring conflict of interest. Depending on how you define the Epstein files, Trump is already all over them. Epstein’s black book, which has been public for years, contains 20 different ways to reach Trump and his household. He rode on Epstein’s plane. In fact, Trump and Epstein were best friends for over a decade. Their friendship was largely based on chasing girls.

“I’ve known Jeff for 15 years. Terrific guy,” Trump told Landon Thomas, Jr. of New York magazine in 2002. “He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.”

In the early 1990s, Trump flew in 28 models for a “beauty contest” where he and Epstein were the only guests. Trump appointed the US attorney who gave Epstein his notorious and illegal federal immunity deal to be his first-term secretary of labor. Epstein died on Trump’s watch. Let’s not forget that Trump is an adjudicated rapist in his own right. Elon Musk’s accusation that Trump is in the Epstein files may have finally given MAGA a permission structure to take this mountain of evidence seriously.

Astonishingly, Trump recently declared on Truth Social that the Epstein files were “written by Obama, Crooked Hillary, Comey, Brennan, and the Losers and Criminals of the Biden Administration,” which is tantamount to admitting that there are Epstein files with derogatory information about him. Whereupon, the president was ratioed on his own platform for the first time in Truth Social history.

I wouldn’t count on Trump to have a good handle on what’s in the files. He’s lazy and senile, after all. But something seems to have spooked him. Perhaps it’s just that the inexplicable force field that shielded Trump from the consequences of his well-known ties to Epstein is starting to crack and he wants to change the subject before it shatters entirely. Whatever it is, Longwell’s focus-groupers can sense it.

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The real reason behind Trump's conspiracy theories

On June 15th, Donald Trump declared war on blue cities.

”[W]e must expand efforts to detain and deport Illegal Aliens in America's largest Cities, [which are] are the core of the Democrat Power Center, where they use Illegal Aliens to expand their Voter Base, cheat in Elections, and grow the Welfare State, robbing good paying Jobs and Benefits from Hardworking American Citizens,” Trump posted to Truth Social, riffing on the interlocking conspiracy theories that define his second term.

The next day, at the G7 summit, a reporter asked Trump about the post. Why was he singling out Democratic cities? Trump falsely claimed that Joe Biden let in 21 million migrants of whom “vast numbers” were “murderers, killers, and people from gangs.” Canadian prime minister Mark Carney’s mouth fell. His eyes darted back and forth, as if he were scanning the back of the room for a rescue party.

Trump continued. Most of those people are in Democrat-run cities, he claimed, “and they think they’re going to use them to vote. It’s not going to happen.” Before Trump could elaborate, Carney abruptly ended the press conference, but it was too late.

Trump had tied the Big Lie to the Great Replacement on the world stage. He had voiced the astonishing lie that Democrats were deliberately importing illegal migrants to expand their political power through electoral and benefits fraud, and that he was bringing the might of the federal government against Democratic cities to stop it.

Earlier, Trump’s secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem boasted that the feds were occupying Los Angeles in order “to liberate” it from “socialists.” Noem was not speaking metaphorically, as Trump had already deployed the National Guard and the Marines to LA.

Conspiracy theories have driven policy before. George W. Bush advanced the conspiracy theory that Saddam Hussein launched the 9/11 attacks to sell a war of aggression in the Middle East. Red scares have been used to justify deportations and political purges. But Donald Trump’s second term stands out because his entire domestic policy agenda is driven by three interlocking conspiracy theories that form the core of MAGA ideology: The Deep State, the Big Lie, and the Great Replacement. These Big Three conspiracy theories drive Trump’s brutal immigration crackdown, his assault on the welfare state, his purge of the civil service, and more.

In MAGA mythology, the Deep State includes any part of government or civil society that checks Trump’s power: civil servants, Democratic legislators, state and local officials, unions, scientists, judges, George Soros, Hollywood, the FBI, antifa, DEI, and any part of big business Trump happens to be beefing with. Sometimes, the Deep State is said to be communist, globalist, neoliberal, satanic, or Jewish. These players don’t get along, but that’s irrelevant. The Deep State is whatever maga needs it to be. One thing is certain. Whatever goes right is from Donald Trump’s genius and whatever goes wrong is the deep state’s fault.

Trump clings to the Big Lie of a stolen 2020 election and blames the Deep State for his defeat. He also accuses the Deep State of deliberately engineering the recent influx of immigrants. It’s not that the US attracts migrants because it’s a beacon opportunity for people facing poverty, crime, climate catastrophe, or political repression at home. People aren’t coming here because it’s a wonderful place. No, according to MAGA, America is a dystopian hellscape that nobody would immigrate to if the Deep State weren’t bribing migrants with welfare to commit election fraud. It’s not just that borders were “left open,” Elon Musk claimed on X, “There was a massive, concerted campaign to usher in as many illegals as possible on an unprecedented scale in order to achieve permanent one-party rule. Treason.”

On the campaign trail, Trump claimed Times Square had been taken over by migrants with super-weapons and that migrant gangs were poised to overrun the state of Colorado and depose the governor. The media shrugged. In office, he seized extraordinary powers on the false pretext that the Tren de Aragua street gang was an invading arm of the Venezuelan military.

An eccentric castle-dwelling French intellectual named Renaud Camus coined the term Great Replacement in a 2012 book by the same name. Camus argued that treacherous European governments were deliberately replacing their white citizens with Muslim immigrants in what he called a genocide of white people. More explicitly antisemitic variants of the same theory alleged that the Jews were behind white genocide through mass migration.

The concept of the Great Replacement was popularized by mass shooters who name-checked the conspiracy theory in their manifestos. These include the Christchurch mosque shooter, the El Paso Walmart shooter, and the Buffalo supermarket shooter. The Nazis on the streets of Charlottesville chanted “Jews will not replace us,” as they marched by torchlight.

In the last few years, the Great Replacement has jumped from mass murder manifestos podcast rants to mainstream Republican rhetoric. Last month, Elon Musk’s Grok AI bot went nuts on X and tried to shoehorn the concept of white genocide into every conversation, leading many to wonder if the head of DOGE was putting his thumb on the scale to promote the concept. Then Donald Trump ambushed the president of South Africa with baseless allegations of white genocide during an Oval Office visit.

ICE head Tom Homan breezily blamed a conspiracy by the United Nations and NGOs to manipulate Joe Biden into letting in so many migrants. “This was by design. Do I think Joe Biden had the expertise to do it? No, I think someone’s pulling his strings,” Homan told Tucker Carlson.

Trump and Musk are using the Big Lie and the Great Replacement to justify their extremely unpopular attacks on the welfare state. The vast majority of Americans want to see Social Security defended and even expanded. Trump is trying to convince his base to welcome its own impoverishment by painting the benefits they rely on as a Democratic conspiracy to enrich illegal immigrants.

On Fox, Musk smeared Social Security and other entitlements as “a mechanism by which the Democrats attract and retain illegal immigrants by essentially paying them to come here and then turning them into voters.”

Undocumented immigrants can’t vote or collect Social Security. Migrants who use fake SSNs actually subsidize the program by paying for benefits they never collect. Trump’s immigration crackdown is hurting Social Security by driving those hardworking taxpayers away.

Last month, Trump reversed his prior opposition to Medicaid cuts on the grounds that the Republicans’ plan to strip health insurance from 14 million low-income people will “kick millions of Illegal Aliens off of Medicaid to PROTECT it for those who are the ones in real need.” Meanwhile, 81 percent of Americans oppose Medicaid cuts to fund upperclass tax cuts, according to a 2025 poll by Navigator Research.

Donald Trump’s are so bizarre that they don’t register mainstream media as political arguments. They are often dismissed as bluster or cognitive glitches. However, one can’t understand Trump and his policy priorities until you accept that conspiracy theories dominate his worldview and that all his major initiatives are justified to his base in conspiratorial terms. Donald Trump has used conspiracy theories as a pretext to declare war on Democrats and shore up authoritarian rule.

The cost of criticizing the Trump administration's most notorious member

Terry Moran is out at ABC thanks to a White House pressure campaign. Donald Trump campaigned on free speech, but in office, he persecutes media companies with frivolous lawsuits and threats of punitive regulation. ABC is cowed. The broadcaster announced that they weren’t renewing Moran’s contract, because they felt his deleted tweet about deputy chief of staff Steven Miller being a hater violated their standards of objectivity and professionalism.

“Miller is a man who is richly endowed with the capacity for hatred. He’s a world-class hater,” Moran tweeted and later deleted, early Sunday. “You can see this just by looking at him, because you can see that his hatreds are his spiritual nourishment. He eats his hate.”

“ABC is gonna have to answer for what their so-called journalist put out on Twitter ... we have reached out to ABC,” said Leavitt. “They have said they will be taking action, so we will see what they do ... hopefully this journalist will either be suspended or terminated."

No doubt the White House is still mad at Moran for exposing Trump’s demented conviction that the labelled symbols M-S-1-3 on a photograph of deported Salvadoran migrant Kilmar Abrego Garcia were tattoos.

Miller is, objectively, a hater. The mainstream media says so all the time. “[Miller] is extremely hostile to immigrants. He has always, as far back as high school, rejected the idea that immigration is a net positive for America, and he's been very consistent in that,” Jonathan Swan, a White House reporter for The New York Times said on the Daily podcast.

“This is all I care about,” Miller said of his uncontrollable zeal to eject migrants during Trump’s first term. “I don’t have a family. I don’t have anything else. This is my life.” That was before he met his wife Katie on a junket to watch children being separated from their parents at the border. Now, Miller has a partner who bragged that “DHS sent me to the border to see the separations for myself – to try to make me more compassionate – but it didn’t work.”

Anyone who has watched one of Steve Miller’s twitchy podium-pounding rants knows the truth. Miller repeatedly recommended Camp of the Saints, a polemic about a black giant called Turd Eater whose minions rape a white woman to death.

Trump reportedly said that if Miller had his way, there’d only be 100 million Americans and they’d all look like Steve. It’s hard to think of a human being whose hateration is better documented than Miller’s. It’s a cornerstone of his public image. The MAGA base loves his Peewee German persona.

There is a vast literature documenting Miller’s hatefulness stretching all the way back to elementary school. Moreover, he’s the architect of an immigration policy that sends innocent people to foreign torture prisons and rounds up random brown guys outside Home Depot for looking foreign. He slanders judges who rule against the Trump administration as communists and rails against the enemy within.

ABC claims that Moran showed a lack of objectivity in his blunt and critical assessment of Miller. In fact, Moran’s analysis of character and motive is in line with all the Trump/Musk breakup pieces that dominated straight news coverage for days.

What makes this person tick? What role do they play in the administration? How does their ideology inform their actions?

These are analytical questions that lie at the heart of journalism.

Disallow them and you reduce journalists to stenographers who merely transcribe what powerful people say. Moran erred only in taking the tweet down.

Now read: So much for Trump's big promise to America

If you think chemtrails are real, you’re probably up in arms — about Canadian ostriches

If you think viruses are fake, chemtrails are real and public health is a conspiracy, you’re probably up in arms about four hundred potentially diseased Canadian ostriches.

Federal inspectors are poised to euthanize the flock to contain a novel strain of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) that killed 69 ostriches on a remote farm in Edgewood, British Columbia.

After losing their court case to save the flock, the owners of Universal Ostrich Farms invited the dregs of the antigovernment antivax trucker convoy that paralyzed Ottawa to surround the premises to stop the cull.

The fate of the ostriches has become a cause célèbre in rightwing media. We didn’t hear a peep out of maga when Trump declared open season on migratory birds, but every self-respecting antivaxer is an ostrich fancier now. In keeping with their philosophy of governance by trolling, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr and his wingman Dr. Mehmet Oz are stirring the pot.

Oz offered to adopt the enormous flightless birds and bring them to live on his 900-acre Florida estate because, apparently, we don’t have enough bird flu at home. “The Canadians should stop putting their heads in the sand,” he said, indulging in a little light colonialism. “We just have to get [the ostriches] out of Canada.”

After initially rejecting the offer, a spokesperson said the farmers would consider it as a last resort. Oz’s grandiose gesture coincided with HHS’s abrupt cancellation of a $766 million contract with Moderna to finish testing a promising mRNA bird flu vaccine.

“I think this is an incredibly stupid idea,” said Dr. Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the University of Saskatchewan. Oz is pitching the move as an opportunity to study the effects of bird flu in ostriches, but Rasmussen sees zero scientific value in his plan because “[t]here are no controls, no baseline immunological data, no testing, and no clear experimental objective.”

The birds wouldn’t pose an imminent threat to the health of Americans, Rasmussen says, but they would pose a risk to Oz’s employees and the birds could also spread the virus to wild birds and animals in Florida.

Highly pathogenic avian influenza can be lethal to people. Currently, the virus does not spread readily between humans, but if it mutated, experts say, it could cause a pandemic several times deadlier than covid.

The farm’s owners insist that their birds are healthy, but they actually have no way of knowing. Ostriches can be asymptomatic carriers of the virus, Rasmussen warns. The birds could be passing the bug around like the world’s tallest kindergarten class.

The longer the virus circulates, the more opportunities it has to mutate into something more dangerous. Experts fear that someday, somewhere in some innocent-looking duck or chicken or ostrich, the virus will mutate into a human-to-human transmissible variant. It’s a numbers game. That’s one reason why the Canadian authorities stamp out HPAI wherever they find it. Nobody wants to be responsible for Ostrich Zero. Another reason is that Canada is bound by trade agreements to stamp out HPAI and British Columbia poultry farmers are locked out of key export markets until the flock is culled. Finally, stamp-out is the law in Canada and the courts have found no basis to overrule CFIA.

Showing no awareness that Canada is a sovereign nation with laws, treaty obligations, and a justice system, Kennedy tried to browbeat the head of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) into sparing the birds. Because “my fans love ostriches and hate the government” isn’t a persuasive argument, Kennedy insinuated that Universal Ostrich is actually an elite biomedical research outfit probing the mysteries of bird flu. The birds should be spared, he argued, because the flock is in a controlled environment where it can be studied.

However, court records paint a picture of a decidedly uncontrolled environment on an ordinary farm with lax biosecurity. The owners have produced no evidence to CFIA that any research is taking place on the premises and in the agency’s opinion, “the current physical facilities at their location are not suitable for controlled research activities or trials.” The farm has also been fined $20,000 by CFIA for failing to report the outbreak and failing to follow quarantine procedures. This lackadaisical attitude is particularly alarming because the farm is on the great Pacific Flyway, a river of migratory birds that runs from Patagonia to Alaska and is a major conduit for novel strains of bird flu. The ostriches live in giant outdoor pens that bring them into direct contact with wild birds.

To add insult to injury, the owners have invited strangers from all across the country to commune with the birds, creating even more opportunities to spread the virus. Rasmussen notes that “the avian freedom fighters of the True North are not abiding by quarantine protocols and are in the pens with the ostriches.”

Luckily, the Canadians don’t take our overexcitable Secretary of Health and Human Services any more seriously than we do. Asked about Kennedy’s pressure campaign, Canadian Minister of Agriculture Heath MacDonald said he didn’t think it was appropriate for Canadians to make major decisions based on social media. CFIA says it is still planning to euthanize the birds.

A normal HHS secretary might have qualms about egging on antigovernment protesters on friendly foreign soil, but not Kennedy. Dozens of protesters have been gathered at the farm for weeks and additional reinforcements rolled in recently. The atmosphere is festive with merch, live music and plenty of drumming for the ostriches.

However, if protesters tried to resist federal agents, the situation could devolve into another standoff like we saw at the Bundy ranch, the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge, and the siege of Ottawa. In the winter of 2022, a convoy of antivax truckers laid siege to Canada’s capital city for three weeks. As a private citizen, Kennedy supported the convoy financially and assailed the Canadian government as “a monster” for freezing the occupiers’ bank accounts.

The Universal Ostrich conflict is unique because instead of protesting the containment of an existing pandemic, these extremists might be causing the next one. By offering to import the birds and killing the most promising bird flu vaccine, Kennedy and Oz are only too eager to help.

Delusion: The mental state that drives Trump's hardcore supporters with scary accuracy

Donald Trump campaigned against consensual reality and won. Every plank of his platform – from the economy to immigration to abortion – was based on easily provable lies.

Despite Trump’s bombastic assertions to the contrary, inflation is down, growth is up, illegal border crossings are down, crime is down, and vaccines work great. Tariffs are taxes on imports and American companies say they’re planning to raise prices.

None of that mattered at the polls because Trump created a conspiracist permission structure to ignore the facts and focus on hate.

Delusion strongly predicted a vote for Trump. An Ipsos poll in the final weeks of the campaign found that voters who falsely believed that we are living through a record-breaking violent crime wave favored Trump by 26 points, while those who knew the truth broke for Harris by 65 points. Those who knew that the inflation rate is back to the historic average favored Harris by 53 points. Respondents who knew that illegal border crossings are down favored Harris by 59 points.

ALSO READ: A funny thing happened on the way to closing the U.S. Department of Education

Part of the problem is the media. Certainly, the mainstream media is shy about stating the truth and the rightwing media-influencer complex is dedicated to disseminating lies. Social media barons use algorithms to maximize their profits at the expense of our edification.

But the problem goes deeper than that: You also have to look at the conspiracist mindset that says the mainstream media is the enemy of the people, the government is controlled by the Deep State, and scientists are on the take, because it’s what makes people turn away from consensual reality.

CBS correspondent Leslie Stahl once asked Donald Trump why he constantly attacked the press. “I do it to discredit you all and demean you all so when you write negative stories about me, no one will believe you,” Trump replied.

Trump also discredits the government as a source of information. When the latest statistics showed that crime was down, Trump accused the FBI of making them up. When the jobs report was revised, Trump accused Harris of faking it.

The conspiracist mindset allowed Trump’s followers to reinterpret his 34 felony convictions as evidence of the plot against him, rather than evidence of his terrible behavior.

Once you adopt a conspiracist mindset where you can dismiss any evidence that clashes with your prejudices as part of the conspiracy, you are free to create your own reality. Since it’s a worldview that scapegoats your fellow citizens as diabolical deceivers, that reality is bound to be ugly. Worse still, your willingness to discount mainstream sources of evidence in favor of the outlandish claims of demagogues becomes a badge of ideological purity. You welcome the lies.

This is why social scientists have been warning about the link between conspiracism and totalitarianism for a century. There was never any evidence that the Jews secretly controlled the world – but it didn't matter because lack of evidence was proof that the Jews controlled the press, and the universities, and science and the arts. Jews in pre-war Germany didn't control any of those things – but no evidence to the contrary could penetrate the conspiracy theory. And the complete absence of evidence for their hegemony was just proof of their total domination.

Another reason why conspiracism and totalitarianism are closely connected is that conspiracy theories take away our ability to have good-faith debates. If everything you don't like becomes evidence of your opponent's plot to destroy you, you can't discuss anything rationally. Human-caused climate change is a fact. But conspiracism takes the debate out of the realm of evidence and into the realm of character assassination of scientists and their supporters. It paints us as hoaxers and saboteurs. Vaccines have saved hundreds of millions of lives, but instead of debating their merits based on evidence, anti-vaxers portray their opponents as agents of a nefarious coverup to kill children. And it's completely irrefutable within their conceptual framework. When scientists or the government or journalists come forward with evidence that vaccines save millions of lives and prevent untold suffering, the conspiracist answer is: Well, that's what conspirators to kill our children would say.

There’s a much-needed movement afoot to fix our media ecosystem, but we can’t do that until we address the conspiracist mindset that predisposes people to believe Trump’s lies.

NOW READ: It’s science: Trump voters are dumb It’s science: Trump voters are dumb

For Trump appointees, being a predator isn’t a liability — it’s a career booster

Editor's note: The sixth paragraph of this op-ed has been updated to clarify that Supreme Court Associate Justice Brett Kavanaugh administered the oath of office to Vice President JD Vance. Hyperlinks were also added in the eighth and penultimate paragraphs.

Before leaving office, President Joe Biden announced that the Equal Rights Amendment to the United States Constitution had been ratified. A few days later, Donald Trump, an adjudicated rapist and convicted felon, took Biden’s place as the president of the United States.

The contrast could not be more stark.

In a Trump administration, rape is a career-booster. And why not? For the narcissist-in-chief, slavish emulation is the sincerest form of flattery. Trump has been accused of rape, sexual assault, and sexual harassment by at least 26 women since the 1970s, including his ex-wife Ivana and writer E. Jean Carroll.

Trump confessed to a pattern of sexual assault in the 2005 Access Hollywood tape, in which he confided that he habitually grabbed and kissed women without asking, because "when you're a star, they let you do it. You can do anything. ... Grab 'em by the pussy."

Carroll won a lawsuit against Trump for raping her in the dressing room of Bergdorf Goodman in the mid-1990s and a defamation lawsuit against him for claiming she made the whole thing up. The jury found that Trump shoved his fingers into Carroll’s vagina against her will. The judge clarified that this was rape as most people understand the term, and therefore that Carroll’s claim that Donald Trump raped her was true – even though New York’s outdated rape statute only covered rapes with penises. The law has since been updated to include all forms of non-consensual penetration.

Trump chose Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh to administer the oath of office to JD Vance. Kavanaugh was confirmed despite compelling testimony that he attempted to rape Christine Blasey Ford. Kavanaugh’s contemptuous denials and self-pitying antics won him the admiration of Trump, who considers such performances as a testament of strength and a badge of honor.

Trump’s first pick for US Attorney General was Matt Gaetz, who resigned from Congress and withdrew from consideration before the House Ethics Committee could reveal substantial evidence that Gaetz violated Florida's statutory rape law.

Prospective Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth paid a $50,000 settlement to a woman who said Hegseth raped her at a Republican convention in 2017. Hegseth blindsided the Trump transition team by not disclosing the California episode, but willingness to furiously deny a rape allegation counts for more than honesty in Trump’s book.

Trump stood by his nominee while his allies waged an unprecedented campaign to intimidate witnesses who might speak to Hegseth’s drinking and his stormy history with women. Republican Senators enabled the deception by refusing to meet with Hegseth’s accuser. During his confirmation hearing, Hegseth refused to say whether rape would be disqualifying for a secretary of defense.

Trump’s nominee to head the Department of Health and Human Services, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. apologized by text to his former babysitter after she alleged that he sexually assaulted her in the 1990s, cornering her in a bedroom and groping her against her will. In public, however, Kennedy was contemptuous of the allegations and hinted there were many more where that came from. “I had a very, very rambunctious youth,” Kennedy said when asked about the allegations, “I said in my announcement speech that I have so many skeletons in my closet that if they could all vote, I could run for king of the world.”

SpaceX paid $250,000 to silence a SpaceX flight attendant who accused Trump’s co-consul Elon Musk of exposing his erect penis to her on a flight, pawing her leg and promising to buy her a horse if she jerked him off. Musk was also sued by eight former employees who claim that Musk personally fired them after they objected to the sexually-charged work environment he created at SpaceX, accusing him of running high-tech empire like the “dark ages,” barraging employees with vile sexual banter, obscene memes and degrading comments, and retaliating against anyone who complained.

There’s not enough space to delve into the allegations against senior Trump’s campaign strategist Corey Lewandowski, senior advisor Jason Miller, former personal lawyer (and former lawyer) Rudy Giuliani, prospective secretary of education Linda McMahon, or future ambassador to the Bahamas, Herschel Walker.

Whether Putin is paying Gabbard is beside the point

If Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as director of national intelligence, she will become the president’s top intelligence advisor and the head of the sprawling US intelligence community. She will be tasked with evaluating and synthesizing intelligence from 18 different agencies. Above all, the job requires discernment. It should therefore alarm us that Gabbard is incapable of differentiating fact from fiction.

Gabbard’s political allegiances shift like quicksilver, but her devotion to conspiracy theories remains constant. Her career arced from Democratic congresswoman to failed presidential hopeful to Trump surrogate. In every era, she has spouted conspiracy theories on topics ranging from Syrian chemical weapons attacks to “Ukrainian biolabs” to antidepressants.

Gabbard rails against an alleged “Great Reset” by a think tank called the World Economic Forum. The Great Reset is the conspiracy theory that the WEF cabal exploited the covid pandemic to usher in what Gabbard calls the “totalitarian dream” of a “cashless society” where people “own nothing” and are subject to constant surveillance.

The WEF is akin to the Bilderberg Group, the Trilateral Commission, or the Bohemian Grove in the paranoid imagination. These are non-governmental entities with no real power onto which paranoids can project their fears. In consensual reality, the WEF is best known for hosting a swanky annual meeting in Davos. To sensible people, Davos is a byword for self-satisfied CEOs rubbing shoulders with politicians. Not great, but not particularly sinister. To conspiracy theorists, it’s the Illuminati. When the World Economic Forum mildly suggested that insect protein might help avert world hunger in the face of climate change, the conspiracists alleged that the cabal was trying to force us to eat bugs.

Gabbard’s twitter feed offers a glimpse into her deeply conspiratorial mindset. “Just like Biden wasn’t the one calling the shots, Kamala Harris won’t be either. She is the new figurehead for the deep state and the maidservant of Hillary Clinton, queen of the cabal of warmongers,” Gabbard tweeted in July.

Then she upped the ante, accusing “the establishment TV networks” of committing “election interference” as the “propaganda arm of Kamala’s campaign and Deep State.” Gabbard has even dabbled in the Big Lie of election fraud, claiming that Joe Biden was only elected because the “Dems/National Security State/MSM rigged the election by deliberately suppressing Hunter Biden laptop story.”

In 2019, Gabbard sued Google for $50 million for violating her freedom of speech after her AdSense account went down for a few hours on the night of the 2020 Democratic primary debate. Gabbard’s only “evidence” that she faced censorship rather than poor customer service was her mean tweets about big tech. Google explained that the account was temporarily frozen by an automated security system that detects unusual activity and reinstated after Gabbard complained. The lawsuit was dismissed.

Gabbard trafficks in false-flag allegations worthy of Alex Jones. She claimed that Russian-allied Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad was framed for chemical attacks he unleashed against his own people. In fact, the Syrian regime’s use of chemical weapons has been confirmed by the United Nations, the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), Human Rights Watch (HRW), and countless media outlets. Russian intelligence waged a disinformation campaign to discredit claims that Assad used poison gas on his own people and Gabbard fell for it.

In 2017, Gabbard secretly travelled to Syria and met with Assad. She later claimed she didn’t know she was going to meet with the dictator, but former Republican congressman Charlie Dent told MSNBC that Gabbard told him she was planning to meet with Assad before she left. Gabbard ended up paying for the Syria junket out of her own pocket because the Assad crony who initially footed the bill out of his own pocket falsely claimed that the money came from a mainstream Islamic social services charity.

Russian state media celebrated Gabbard’s 2020 presidential bid. Even though Gabbard was a nuisance candidate who won less than 1 percent of the vote, state media gave her twice as much coverage as front-runners Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. Gabbard appeared on the Russian-funded Tenet Media network, which funneled millions of dollars to rightwing influencers in a bid to influence the 2024 election.

When Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine in 2022, Gabbard leapt to Russia’s defense, tweeting that the war could have been avoided if the west had acknowledged Russia’s “legitimate security interests” (aka imperial ambitions) in Ukraine. Russia’s most bizarre pretext for invading Ukraine was the baseless charge that the United States was "filling Ukraine with biolabs” with an eye to “destroying the Russian people at the genetic level." The Kremlin even insinuated that the covid-19 virus was produced in one of these non-existent facilities. Russia’s defense ministry unveiled the official crazy wall, tracing a fantastic biolab narrative that encompassed Hunter Biden and George Soros. It should come as no surprise that Gabbard amplified the biolab lie, tweeting a two-minute video demanding that these imaginary facilities be immediately dismantled.

It has become a parlor game in Washington to speculate about whether Tulsi Gabbard is a Russian asset. A New York Times investigation found no evidence that Gabbard has ever knowingly collaborated with Russian intelligence. Gabbard dropped her defamation lawsuit against Hillary Clinton for suggesting that Gabbard was being groomed by the Russians before discovery could shed light on the matter one way or the other. However, the question of whether Gabbard is being paid by Russian intelligence is a red herring. The problem is she genuinely loves conspiracy theories and broadcasts them for free to anyone who will listen. It’s hard to imagine a person less suited for a high-level intelligence position.

NOW READ: GOP 'sociopaths' live among us — and it's 'contagious': neuroscientist

The one belief that predicted Trump voters with scary accuracy

Donald Trump campaigned against consensual reality and won. Every plank of his platform – from the economy to immigration to abortion – was based on easily provable lies.

Despite Trump’s bombastic assertions to the contrary, inflation is down, growth is up, illegal border crossings are down, crime is down, and vaccines work great. Tariffs are taxes on imports and American companies say they’re planning to raise prices.

None of that mattered at the polls because Trump created a conspiracist permission structure to ignore the facts and focus on hate.

Delusion strongly predicted a vote for Trump. An Ipsos poll in the final weeks of the campaign found that voters who falsely believed that we are living through a record-breaking violent crime wave favored Trump by 26 points, while those who knew the truth broke for Harris by 65 points. Those who knew that the inflation rate is back to the historic average favored Harris by 53 points. Respondents who knew that illegal border crossings are down favored Harris by 59 points.

NOW READ: How to root out Trumpism

Part of the problem is the media. Certainly, the mainstream media is shy about stating the truth and the rightwing media-influencer complex is dedicated to disseminating lies. Social media barons use algorithms to maximize their profits at the expense of our edification.

But the problem goes deeper than that: You also have to look at the conspiracist mindset that says the mainstream media is the enemy of the people, the government is controlled by the Deep State, and scientists are on the take, because it’s what makes people turn away from consensual reality.

CBS correspondent Leslie Stahl once asked Donald Trump why he constantly attacked the press. “I do it to discredit you all and demean you all so when you write negative stories about me, no one will believe you,” Trump replied.

Trump also discredits the government as a source of information. When the latest statistics showed that crime was down, Trump accused the FBI of making them up. When the jobs report was revised, Trump accused Harris of faking it.

The conspiracist mindset allowed Trump’s followers to reinterpret his 34 felony convictions as evidence of the plot against him, rather than evidence of his terrible behavior.

Once you adopt a conspiracist mindset where you can dismiss any evidence that clashes with your prejudices as part of the conspiracy, you are free to create your own reality. Since it’s a worldview that scapegoats your fellow citizens as diabolical deceivers, that reality is bound to be ugly. Worse still, your willingness to discount mainstream sources of evidence in favor of the outlandish claims of demagogues becomes a badge of ideological purity. You welcome the lies.

This is why social scientists have been warning about the link between conspiracism and totalitarianism for a century. There was never any evidence that the Jews secretly controlled the world – but it didn't matter because lack of evidence was proof that the Jews controlled the press, and the universities, and science and the arts. Jews in pre-war Germany didn't control any of those things – but no evidence to the contrary could penetrate the conspiracy theory. And the complete absence of evidence for their hegemony was just proof of their total domination.

Another reason why conspiracism and totalitarianism are closely connected is that conspiracy theories take away our ability to have good-faith debates. If everything you don't like becomes evidence of your opponent's plot to destroy you, you can't discuss anything rationally. Human-caused climate change is a fact. But conspiracism takes the debate out of the realm of evidence and into the realm of character assassination of scientists and their supporters. It paints us as hoaxers and saboteurs. Vaccines have saved hundreds of millions of lives, but instead of debating their merits based on evidence, anti-vaxers portray their opponents as agents of a nefarious coverup to kill children. And it's completely irrefutable within their conceptual framework. When scientists or the government or journalists come forward with evidence that vaccines save millions of lives and prevent untold suffering, the conspiracist answer is: Well, that's what conspirators to kill our children would say.

There’s a much-needed movement afoot to fix our media ecosystem, but we can’t do that until we address the conspiracist mindset that predisposes people to believe Trump’s lies.

NOW READ: Do not submit: Your guide to a way out of this catastrophic mess

Conservatism is dead. Conspiracism is dancing on its grave

Conspiracist ideology has consumed the Republican Party. At his rally at Madison Square Garden, Trump pledged to demolish the deep state, drive out the globalists, and rout the fake news media. Speaker after speaker referenced the Great Replacement conspiracy theory, a dogma that was once confined to the manifestos of mass shooters, but which is now the Trump campaign’s closing argument for the presidency.

Former Fox host Tucker Carlson, who promoted the Great Replacement over 400 times on his now-defunct show, told the crowd at Madison Square Garden that the political class “despises [the people] and their values and their history and their culture and their customs really hates them to the point that it’s trying to replace them.”

The former president’s son, Donald Trump, Jr, was even more explicit.

“The Democrat[sic] Party has forgotten about Americans. Rather than cater to Americans, they decided, “You know what? It would just be easier to replace them with people who will be reliable voters.”

"Our elections are bad, and a lot of these illegal immigrants coming in, they're trying to get them to vote," Trump Sr., said last month.

The Republican National Committee under Lara Trump is claiming that millions of undocumented migrants could vote next week. A vast body of research, including recent audits by Republican-controlled states like Georgia, has found that voting by non-citizens is essentially non-existent.

By hyping this fake threat, Republicans are creating a pretext to challenge the election if Trump loses, putting a racist spin on their perennial allegations of voter fraud, and creating excuses for Republican governors to purge their voter rolls.

However, this obsession with non-citizen voting goes deeper than that. The lie of mass voting by undocumented migrants is the conceptual glue that binds the three major components of their conspiracist ideology: The Deep State, the Big Lie, and the Great Replacement.

Let’s review their delusional belief system:

The Deep State is a shadowy network of elites inside and outside of government who supposedly direct the course of history. This cabal is responsible for everything from Trump’s impeachments and prosecutions to voting laws and immigration policy. Some say it controls the weather.

The Big Lie is the debunked claim that voter fraud cost Donald Trump the 2020 election. Trump kicked off his Madison Square Garden rally by vowing to “totally obliterate the Deep State.”

The Great Replacement is the charge that the Deep State is deliberately importing migrants in order to replace white Americans, a process sometimes known as “white genocide.” The lie of massive noncitizen voting explains why the Deep State is supposedly importing all these migrants to commit election fraud.

These beliefs meld seamlessly into a paranoid whole. Trump told rally-goers in Atlanta that the only reason Democratic immigration policy must be the result of evil or stupidity. “Well, they’re not stupid because anybody that can cheat on elections that good is not stupid,” Trump told rally-goers in Atlanta. “But I never really talked about the third reason because it’s so sinister, but they want to sign these people up to vote, and if they do that, this country is destroyed.”

Trump has been blaming migrants for his political failures for years. In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote and blamed it on millions of illegal voters. Incredibly, Trump claimed that he would have won deep blue California – a state he lost by 30 points and 4 million votes – if not for those improbably civic-minded migrants. Trump convened a special commission to investigate voter fraud, which fizzled without finding evidence of the conspiracy.

Conservative ideology as we knew it is dead.

Conspiracism is all.

Why Trump tariffs would be world’s biggest protection racket

You wouldn’t expect a presidential candidate to make a massive middle class tax hike the centerpiece of his economic platform, but that’s exactly what Donald Trump is doing.

Trump has vowed to slap a 20 percent tax on all imports, a 60 percent tax on all Chinese imports and a 2,000 percent tax on imported cars.

These taxes are known as tariffs. Everything from tequila to video game consoles would cost more. Trump’s tariffs would cost the average family nearly $4,000 a year and rising prices would accelerate inflation.

Trump claims that other countries will pay for the tariffs, but consumers paid for nearly all of the tariffs he imposed in his first term through higher prices.

And then we paid billions more to bail out the farmers who were ruined by the tariffs our trading partners imposed in retaliation.

So why is Trump so keen on taxing imports?

Because the Trump tariffs would create the greatest engine of corruption in history, an institutionalized kleptocracy where import-based business lives or dies by Trump’s favor. Elon Musk’s imported parts might be exempted while GM’s are not.

Congress has given the president sweeping powers to impose tariffs, and critically, to waive those tariffs for a favored few. US imports totaled $3.8 trillion in 2023. The thought of a 34-time convicted felon wielding that kind of power is terrifying. Powerful interests at home and abroad want to save money and gain an edge over their competitors by dodging tariffs. Trump is just the man to make that happen, for a price.

Trump’s business empire creates limitless opportunities for would-be tariff dodgers to convert cash into official acts. In all, Trump’s businesses raked in nearly $2 billion in revenue during his first term, including millions from the governments of China, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. If emoluments won’t suffice, there’s always bribery. Trump is credibly accused of taking 200 pounds of cash worth $10 million from Egypt in exchange for a friendlier diplomatic posture towards the autocratic regime.

Trump politicized tariff waivers in his first term.

The Brookings Institution found that “a bewildering array of politically favored importers won tariff relief” during that time. Bibles from China got a waiver because the religious right insisted, but textbooks are still taxed. Now the Trump Bible is made in China, too. Salmon and cod got waivers because powerful Republican senators threw their weight around. Chinese tiki torches got the nod for reasons that remain as murky as a bad fish farm. Governments including China, Russia and Argentina are suspected of granting Trump and his family trademarks worth millions of dollars in the hopes of securing more favorable trade relations.

Technically, the Commerce Department grants the waivers. These concessions are supposed to be based on the national interest, but the process is notoriously opaque and politicized at the best of times.

In a second Trump term, it would become completely corrupt. In the name of fighting an imaginary “Deep State,” Trump plans to purge career civil servants and replace them with maga hacks who will do his bidding. The Heritage Foundation, home of Project 2025, is already flooding federal agencies with Freedom of Information Requests to find out which civil servants aren’t Trumpy enough. Heritage shelled out $100,000 for Project Sovereignty 2025 to draw up a McCarthyite list of civil servants that Heritage President Kevin Roberts considers to be a “deep state of entrenched Leftist bureaucrats.”

If you wondered why JD Vance called on Trump to “fire every single mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state, replace them with our people,” there’s your answer. It’s the mid-level bureaucrats in every federal agency that stand in the way of turning the federal government into a Trump protection racket.

Trump’s tariff plan would give him discretion to play favorites over trillions of dollars of trade. We know he’d follow through because he played favorites with tariffs in his first term. The second time around, he will vastly increase the amount of goods subject to tariffs and purge the civil service of anyone who might oppose his bid to reward his friends and punish his enemies.

Trump’s ambassador of paranoia

Vice presidential hopeful JD Vance recently took the stage at an event organized by the most influential far-right pastor you’ve never heard of. His name is Lance Wallnau and he popularized a doctrine that calls for Christians to conquer every sphere of society from the government to professional sports.

Wallnau is a self-proclaimed Christian Nationalist who preaches that leftists aren’t even people, just vessels for demons. He accused Vice President Kamala Harris of witchcraft. He prayed for God to kill Trump’s enemies. Wallnau’s message is a mishmash of Bible memes and conspiracy theories. He preaches the Big Lie as gospel truth, fusing Christian nationalism and election denialism.

In 2020, Wallnau gathered the faithful for the insurrection of January 6th. Today, he’s responsible for a good chunk of the Trump campaign’s Get Out the Vote effort. He rails against George Soros, the globalists, the World Economic Forum and vaccines. He hypes quack stem-cell therapies and Donald Trump figurines as fervently as he hypes Jesus.

Most importantly, Wallnau preaches that Donald Trump is a modern-day King Cyrus, a heathen anointed by God. The upshot is that no matter how immoral, blasphemous or criminal Trump is, it doesn’t matter because he’s God’s instrument to impose Christian dominion. If you’ve ever wondered why evangelicals don’t care that Trump is a philandering felon, Wallnau’s King Cyrus meme explains a lot.

JD Vance is not an evangelical, but he seemed at home at the Courage Campaign. At least, he seemed as comfortable as he gets in the presence of actual voters. And why not? Vance is the interface between the C-suites and the fever swamps of Magaland. It’s why he spends so much time on weird podcasts. As a Yale-educated US senator, he legitimates the fringe. As a rightwing podcast bro, he shores up the Trump ticket’s bona fides with the supplement-slurping conspiracist base.

One of Vance’s key functions is to validate all the factions of the maga conspiracist coalition.

Conspiracism is the overarching ideology of the maga movement. The three pillars of the maga platform are the Deep State, the Big Lie and the Great Replacement, and Vance eagerly expounds on all three.

Moreover, Vance moves effortlessly among integralist Catholics, protestant New Apostolic Reformation types, and the more secular Silicon Valley contingent exemplified by Elon Musk.

Vance’s other role is to reassure the more staid elements of the conservative coalition that unchecked conspiracism is politically useful. In 2021, Vance exhorted the future leaders of the conservative movement to make common cause with Alex Jones, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and other raving conspiracy theorists. According to Vance, the conservative movement is doomed unless it makes common cause with lunatics.

“Believing crazy things is not the mark of whether somebody should be rejected. Believing important truths should be the mark of whether we accept somebody, and if they believe some crazy things on the side, that's fine," Vance said. "Doesn't mean you have to defend their craziest views. But by all means, if this movement is going to survive, we need to speak for truth.”

The truth, according to Vance, is that an international cabal of financier sex perverts is ruining our society. This is the closest thing Vance has to an ideology. Like Wallnau, Vance is willing to use flawed instruments. As long as someone’s willing to affirm the core conspiracy premise, Vance is flexible about whether it’s dressed up in religious lingo, or whether his brother- or sister-in-paranoia also believes in Jewish space lasers or a federal plot to turn the frogs gay.

The GOP response to Trump’s conviction is incoherent — until you remember the conspiracy theories

Republicans have conjured a conspiracy to justify their self-righteous anger and their plans for revenge.

Merrick Garland is a reasonable man in unreasonable times.

Predictably, Republicans responded to Donald Trump’s 34 state felony convictions by loudly proclaiming the outlandish conspiracy theory that president Joe Biden engineered Trump’s conviction.

Rather than grapple with the unanimous verdict of 12 jurors who heard the evidence, Republicans have conjured a conspiracy to justify their self-righteous anger and their plans for revenge.

Conspiratorial thinking is essential to this project because it allows maga Republicans to cast themselves as martyrs rather than accomplices.

On Tuesday, the attorney general had uncharacteristically blunt remarks for the House Judiciary Committee, which is dominated by some of Trump’s most zealous partisans.

For Garland, it was time to state the obvious.

"We do not control the Manhattan district attorney, the Manhattan district attorney does not report to us," Garland testified. “It comes alongside false claims that a jury verdict in a state trial, brought by a local district attorney, was somehow controlled by the Justice Department,”

“That conspiracy theory is an attack on the judicial process itself,” he added. He’s absolutely right. Maga has used a conspiracy theory to justify their wholesale rejection of the rule of law.

It’s not a conspiracy theory to think Trump is innocent of paying off a porn star to win an election, or that every day should be The Purge for fascist billionaires. One of those opinions is stupid and the other is despicable – but they're not inherently conspiratorial. Whereas, any version of “Biden engineered Trump's prosecution and fixed the outcome of his trial” is a conspiracy theory and it’s the Republican Party line.

Rather than blaming Trump for falsifying business records to win an election – or themselves for nominating a candidate facing dozens of felony charges – a group of far-right Republican senators accused the White House of “making a mockery of the rule of law” and altering our politics in “unAmerican ways.” In retaliation for this wholly imaginary injustice, they pledged to oppose Biden’s legislative agenda. They were already doing that, but it’s the paranoid thought that counts.

“An incoherent response to a case brought by the Manhattan DA in state court in front of a state judge. What do Democratic senators have to do with it?” tweeted noted muckraker Judd Legum.

In fact, the Republican response is perfectly coherent if you fill in the blanks with a conspiracy theory, as the maga faithful do instinctively.

Some, like Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, falsely alleged that Biden schemed to have the Department of Justice assassinate Trump during the search of Mar-a-Lago.

One advantage of avenging imaginary crimes is that you can adjust the size of the transgression to justify your preferred punishment.

Magas are vying to outdo each other with the bloodthirstiness of the punishments they want to inflict on the Democrats, the legal system and the left.

Former Justice Department official turned J6 co-conspirator Jeff Clark urged Trump to sue Bragg under a convoluted theory that reminded everyone that Clark’s expertise was environmental law.

Trump strategist Steve Bannon, threatened to throw New York prosecutor Bragg in prison if Trump is reelected.

“Not just jail, they should get the death penalty,” said Laura Loomer, a far-right activist and associate of Donald Trump.

Conspiracism is the dominant discourse of the Republican Party. Every item in their agenda has a conspiracist spin.

The Great Replacement theory was once relegated to the fringe, but today it is front-and-center in GOP immigration rhetoric.

Elected Republicans routinely call for the defunding of the FBI, the DOJ, and other mechanisms of accountability on the grounds that they’ve been “weaponized” by the “deep state.”

This kind of talk was relegated to Infowars a decade ago, but now you hear it on “Meet the Press.” The House GOP conference has squandered its time in the majority investigating conspiracy theories ranging from a US government cover-up of alien visitations to lab leak theories to advanced topics in Hunter Biden.

You have to wonder if the magas believe their own outlandish rhetoric. There are some true believers, but for most, this embrace of frothing conspiracism is an excuse to justify the authoritarian measures they’ve long wanted to implement.

“To say that Joe Biden brought this case is one of the most ridiculous things I’ve heard,” former Trump lawyer Joe Tacopina said during a TV appearance. “We know that’s not the case, and even Trump’s lawyers know that’s not the case.”

Extreme apocalyptic rhetoric is everywhere

Judging by her 100,000-follower X account, Danielle Johnson was a typical astrology influencer. She chided Cancers to stop being chaotic and Tauruses to lay off the carbs. She burned candles, cast spells and peddled energy healing sessions.

It was your standard sunny apolitical pseudo-spiritual shtick, but her tone darkened abruptly in the days leading up to the solar eclipse.

Jones started sharing antisemitic conspiracy theories and QAnon verbiage. She retweeted far-right conspiracy mogul Alex Jones, antivax loon Naomi Wolf and a Jew-hating flat-earther.

As an astrologer, Johnson was primed to believe that celestial bodies influence daily life, but this was different. She seemed to believe something terrible was coming and that real-life action was needed.

She begged her fellow spiritual healers to keep their people safe. On April 5, she tweeted, “WAKE UP WAKE UP THE APOCALYPSE IS HERE.” The coming eclipse, she said, was the epitome of spiritual warfare. It was time to pick a side.

In the early morning hours of eclipse day, Johnson plunged a knife into the heart of her boyfriend, threw her children from a speeding car, and plowed into a tree at a hundred miles an hour. Johnson is dead, as is her boyfriend and her infant daughter. We are left with grief and questions.

In light of her social media and the tarot cards strewn around the crime scene, investigators initially suspected that the apocalyptic anxiety may have been a factor in the killings, but now they say we’ll never know. Johnson and her boyfriend are dead and it’s hard to explain what went wrong. Neither Johnson nor her partner had a record of domestic violence. Johnson’s mother confirmed that her daughter had a history of postpartum depression.

Johnson’s case isn’t as clear-cut as that of Taylon Celestine who announced that God had commanded her to start shooting people because of the eclipse before she opened fire on I-10 in Florida, hitting two drivers.

Extreme apocalyptic rhetoric is everywhere. Most of us shrug it off and get on with our lives, minding our carbs and keeping the chaos in check, but some people are vulnerable. Maybe they’ve been spiritually or politically radicalized, maybe they’re suffering from mental illness.

Politicians like Marjorie Taylor Greene, operatives like Steve Bannon and Alex Jones, and clerics like demoted bishop Joseph Strickland flooded the zone with eclipse-related bulls—t. They spoke of martial law, demonic portals and the urgent need to repent before the judgment of God. Donald Trump routinely tells his followers that he is their retribution and promises to lead them in the Battle of Armageddon. This kind of talk has become so normalized it’s hard to draw causal connections between rhetoric and violence. That’s the point.

These far right eclipse influencers probably didn’t mean to incite violence — this time. The eclipse was just more low-effort content. They keep themselves rich and powerful by keeping their audience in a constant state of terror and rage. They’ll exploit whatever’s in the news to do it. Stoking this turmoil is useful because these people can be activated, like when the faithful were called to the Capitol on January 6 for “spiritual warfare” against the seat of American democracy.

Terrified true believers are a fertile field for stochastic terrorism. That’s when a demagogue with a huge platform demonizes an enemy knowing that in a country with any number of disturbed people and who knows how many guns, something terrible could easily happen.

The gym chain Planet Fitness has received bomb threats at 38 locations across the country after the anti-trans Twitter account LibsofTikTok (LoTT) put the establishment on blast for canceling the membership of a patron who photographed another guest in the women’s locker room and shared on to social media, accusing the person of being a man. Schools and hospitals have also been hit with bomb threats after negative attention from LoTT.

If someone follows through on one of these bomb threats, it will probably be impossible to prove that LoTT is to blame. That’s the nature of stochastic terrorism. It creates a climate of fear where people and businesses may not speak out for fear of being targeted.

It’s too late to help Danielle Johnson, or even to fully understand what drove her crime spree. But it’s not too late to repudiate the apocalyptic clout-chasing that she was tapped into.

Republicans are now literally demonizing their opponents

“I will not feed a demon,” Ruby Franke told her son. The former YouTube influencer starved, kicked and bound the 12-year-old, and twisted him into stress positions. When the boy’s restraints lacerated his flesh, Franke rubbed honey and cayenne pepper into the wounds and let them suppurate until the whole house stank.

Franke pled guilty to four counts of aggravated child abuse. This week prosecutors released the underlying evidence in her case, including a diary in which she records the degradation of her children in meticulous detail and justifies it in the name of exorcism.

Franke believed that her children were possessed by demons that could only be cast out by horrific abuse and neglect. There are many similarities between Franke’s case and that of Lori Vallow, a cult leader who orchestrated the murder of her two children, her lover’s wife, (and probably her ex-husband,) and justified the slaughter by claiming her victims were possessed.

There’s no indication that Franke or Vallow had a partisan political agenda, but demonization is becoming a partisan political problem in its own right.

As Donald Trump seeks a second term, more and more high-profile Republicans are literally demonizing their political opponents. The candidate kicked off his reelection campaign in apocalyptic terms promising to be his voters retribution in the “final battle,” implicitly likening himself to a returned Christ in the final battle against the Antichrist.

Trump confidante Roger Stone claims to have seen a swirling demonic portal over Joe Biden’s White House. Trump strategist Steve Bannon has been railing about spiritual warfare and Democratic demons since at least 2021, according to an analysis by Media Matters.

Earlier this month, Republican senatorial hopeful and supreme Trump toady Kari Lake blamed demons for stealing the 2020 election. “We have to continue fighting. The devil is working. Evil is working. Those stolen [2020 and 2022] elections were meant to make us feel like we have been beat down and there's no hope,” Lake told a podcaster.

Trump lawyer Alina Habba tried to deflect criticism of her dismal courtroom performance by blaming Trump’s legal woes on demons.

You might think this is just the usual overheated sulfurous political rhetoric. After all, demons can be a potent metaphor for everything from the psychological problems of rock stars to the laws of thermodynamics. It’s hard for secular folks (or even worldly Christians) to relate to those who explain mundane events in terms of demons, but just because we can’t relate doesn’t mean it’s not happening.

Last week, Republican operative Charlie Kirk was babbling about Haiti being demonically possessed. “Haiti is legitimately infested with demonic voodoo” that allows practitioners to do “quasi-levitation stuff,” Kirk proclaimed. And furthermore, Kirk continued, he knows a guy who knows some guys who say Haitians turn into cats at night. Kirk also claims that witches made him sick in Albuquerque. When Fox News host Jesse Watters accused a Trump grand jury foreperson of witchcraft, Kirk amplified his charges.

Since the 1980s, growing numbers of Americans have embraced the idea of “spiritual warfare” against demons, which they believe to play active roles in politics and everyday life.

The fastest growing and most influential contingent of demon-believers is found in independent charismatic Christianity, including the radical movement known as the New Apostolic Reformation (NAR). In NAR theology, demons command physical locations and worldly institutions such as journalism, academia and the government.

Anything a believer doesn’t like can be framed as demonic. Biden getting more votes than Trump is a "stolen" election in Lake's mind because it was the result of demonic influence. Anything that doesn't go their way is demons. Car breaks down? Demons. Depressed? Demons. Kid gay? Demons.

Thousands of protesters were enticed to Washington on January 6 by NAR leaders who promised to lead them in spiritual warfare against the demons that supposedly possessed the Capitol. The shofars honking around DC were NAR battle calls. For some, spiritual warfare spilled over into literal combat. This can easily happen when followers are steeped in violent rhetoric and their opposition is portrayed not as misguided or even malicious, but as demonic

An estimated 10 million Americans identify as independent charismatic Christians. However, a preoccupation with demons is not unique to the NAR. A Catholic priest from Nebraska told a videographer on January 6 that he had exorcized a tattooed demon named Baphomet from the Capitol. Trump’s circle of demon-pushers includes Baptists like Greg Locke and Robert Jeffress and Roman Catholics like Mike Flynn. Franke and Vallow identify as Mormon.

In the nineteen eighties, millions of Americans became convinced that satanists had infiltrated key sectors of society, including the C-suites of Fortune 500 companies, the recording industry, and the nation’s daycare centers. We laugh about the Satanic Panic, but we're living through something much worse.

A convention fight is a pure pundit’s fantasy

A snarky aside from a Republican special counsel, lackluster presidential poll numbers and a pass on a Super Bowl interview have plunged certain pundits into full-blown, sweaty-palmed panic.

Ezra Klein of the Times, Damon Linker of The Atlantic, and Substacker Nate Silver say president Joe Biden should refuse to seek a second term despite his outstanding record in office because … he seems kind of old.

Klein and Linker propose instead that Biden release the delegates he wins in the primary to choose the Democratic nominee at the party’s convention in late August. This proposal is madness. If punditry had standards, it would be malpractice.

A new poll released Friday by Emerson College showed Biden trailing Trump by one point with 11 percent of voters still undecided. The same poll had Trump beating vice president Kamala Harris by three points, California Governor Gavin Newsom by 10 points, and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer by 12 points. This is in line with the rest of the polling. All of the most bruited alternative candidates poll worse than Biden in a head-to-head with Trump. So why are we having this discussion?

A convention fight is a pure pundit’s fantasy. First off, it’s predicated on Biden voluntarily stepping aside, which is not going to happen. Although Linker’s not above a little light blackmail to try to force the issue:

“For starters, every major figure in the party prevailing on Biden to drop out. That can be done behind the scenes at first, out of respect for the president. But if he refuses to budge, then it will be time for embarrassing leaks to the press. I would like to think that Biden will see the only way to preserve his reputation, record, and self-respect is by announcing, somewhat as Lyndon B. Johnson did in March 1968, that he’s withdrawing from the race.”

Moreover, a brokered convention is a unicorn, a beguiling chimera that gets conjured by nerds every cycle but never materializes in the modern world because its existence is incompatible with real life.

Klein breezes past the fact that the last contested Democratic convention was a disaster of epic proportions. In 1968, the deeply unpopular incumbent, Lyndon Johnson, dropped out and threw his support behind his vice president, Hubert Humphrey. The convention became a flashpoint for intraparty conflict so fierce that newsman Dan Rather was beaten by police on the convention floor. Humphrey prevailed, but Democrats were in disarray for real. Richard Nixon won the general election.

In 2024, a contested convention would become an arena to settle every score from Gaza to Medicare for All. A free-for-all would shatter the fragile Democratic coalition that Joe Biden so carefully knit together. If Kamala Harris won, people would complain that Joe Biden put his thumb on the scale, even if he didn’t. If Harris didn’t win, an equal and opposite faction would be furious that she was passed over. We have no idea who would win this hypothetical battle royale. We don’t even know who might enter. Virtually any Democrat over 35 could throw their hat in the ring. Klein rattled off a list of fourteen potential contenders. A chaotic and crowded race would increase the odds that someone completely unvetted got the top spot.

By then it would be late August and the Democratic party would have about two months to refocus on beating Trump with whatever nominee came out on top.

But given that party elites picked the nominee, there’d be no guarantee that the rank-and-file would accept their choice. The pundits are asking a couple thousand Biden delegates to pick the future leader of the free world. They’re also asking Biden to disregard the will of the Democratic primary voters who pulled the lever for him. This is profoundly undemocratic and unlikely to play well in a party where there are still people fuming about the superdelegates of 2016.

Klein and Linker are well aware that a contested convention would be risky.

“Could it go badly? Sure. But that doesn’t mean it will go badly,” Klein writes, “It could make the Democrats into the most exciting political show on earth.”

The absolute last thing the Democratic Party needs is to be the greatest show on earth.

Joe Biden’s polling isn’t where it needs to be. That should scare everyone who enjoys living in a democracy.

That anxiety is eating at us all, but pundits should not be dangling the false hope that some mystery candidate will solve Joe Biden’s electoral problems. This is a binary choice between Joseph R. Biden and Donald J. Trump. Period. One is rated by historians as the 14th-best president of all time, the other is a proven rapist and fraudster with 91 indictments and a failed coup under his belt.

It’s time to shelve the childish fantasies and focus on the task at hand: Supporting Joe Biden to defeat Donald Trump. He’s done it before. He can do it again, but he needs our help.

Special counsel turns Biden’s willingness to cooperate into a smear

Exoneration shouldn’t be this painful. This week, a special counsel’s report concluded that no criminal charges were warranted against Joe Biden for hanging on to classified materials after his vice presidential term.

Attorney general Merrick Garland appointed Robert Hur, a Republican, to investigate Biden. It’s another example of what Josh Marshall calls the universal rule: “Republican special counsels are chosen to investigate Democrats.”

However, the DC press corps is, predictably, taking the emotionally charged impressions of a two-time Trump appointee at face value. A front-page story in the Times crowed that Hur’s special counsel’s report referred to Biden as a “well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.” The strange line jumps out of the dry 345-page document, as it was no doubt intended to do: “We have also considered that, at trial, Mr. Biden would likely present himself to a jury, as he did during our interview of him, as a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.”

It’s no surprise that a two-time Trump appointee like Hur would come up with a juicy soundbite that perfectly meshes with the Republicans’ number one political attack on President Biden. Instead of sticking to the facts, Hur indulged in colorful speculation about how a hypothetical jury might see Biden years from now, should a case ever be brought to trial. But according to his report, the evidence isn’t there.

The report explains that Biden comes off as sympathetic and well-meaning because, unlike Trump, he cooperated fully and willingly with investigators: “[Biden’s] cooperation with our investigation, including by reporting to the government that the Afghanistan documents were in his Delaware garage, will likely convince some jurors that he made an innocent mistake, rather than acting willfully-that is, with intent to break the law-as the statute requires.” Such forthright behavior would indeed impress a jury, but Hur is spinning Biden’s good intentions as embarrassing or nefarious.

The report also leaves out important context. Hur’s impressions are distilled from a five-hour interview conducted the day after the October 7 attacks on Israel while Biden was responding to the biggest national security crisis of his term. While speaking to investigators, the president was juggling calls with heads of state, cabinet secretaries, and legislators, as well as repeated meetings with his own national security team.

Biden’s memory is somewhat relevant to his defense against these allegations, but Hur brought it up nine times and even resorted to cheap shots about Biden not recalling what year his son Beau died or the dates of his vice presidency. Without reviewing the interview, it’s impossible to know whether these are significant lapses. However, Hur’s undisguised animus should arouse our skepticism.

As vice president, Biden was allowed to have classified materials at home for eight years. However, a month after his term ended, he remarked to his ghostwriter that he still had some classified materials at home. It was this disclosure that Hur considers the strongest potential evidence of criminality. However, Biden later told Hur’s investigators that he didn’t deliberately keep those documents all these years, he simply forgot to return them. The report allows that “finding classified documents at home less than a month after leaving office could have been an unremarkable and forgettable event.” And indeed, according to the report, there’s no indication that Biden ever mentioned them again.

The report also concedes that Biden believed he was entitled to keep classified handwritten notes from his time in office because Ronald Reagan famously hung on to his diaries. The report suggests that Biden may have gotten bad or conflicting advice on whether the notes were personal property that he was entitled to keep. All this counts against the idea that he had any criminal intent.

Finally, Biden wouldn’t be the first person to stress the limitations of his memory when talking to prosecutors. “I do not recall” is a cliché in Washington and its deployment generally suggests savvy rather than befuddlement.

Trump lawyer gave astonishingly candid instructions on how to steal 2020 election in Nevada and Arizona

The attorney general of Nevada announced that six fake electors, including the chair and vice chair of the Nevada GOP, have been indicted for their bid to steal the 2020 election for Donald Trump.

The state will have a significant advantage. The intellectual architect of the fake electors scheme, Ken Chesebro, has agreed to travel to Nevada and neighboring Arizona to assist prosecutors.

Of all the members of Trump’s legal team, Chesebro is the most enigmatic. The sixty-something was a mild-mannered liberal until he made several million dollars trading cryptocurrency, split from his wife of 20 years, and married a woman in her early twenties. Whereupon, he reinvented himself as a far-right Republican.

The Harvard-educated Chesebro pled guilty in October to a single felony count of conspiring to file false documents in Georgia. This was a generous plea deal given that Chesebro conceived the massive fake electors’ scheme and micromanaged its execution. Moreover, he signed his name to everything. A smart lawyer and a dumb criminal, Chesebro sent detailed written instructions to state-level Republican operatives on where and how to cast their fake votes. At times, he was astonishingly candid about how outrageous his plan was.

“[Two Republicans officials] are concerned it could appear treasonous for the AZ electors to vote on Monday if there is no pending court proceeding that might, eventually, lead to the electors being ratified as the legitimate ones,” Chesebro wrote to Rudy Giuliani, bolding the word “treasonous” for emphasis.

“Which is a valid point…” he conceded, before explaining why they were going to do it anyway. There was, in fact, no pending litigation in Arizona that could have declared Trump the lawful winner of the state’s electoral votes.

It should be noted these concerned Republican officials participated in a standoff with armed federal law enforcement at the Bundy Ranch in 2014. When they’re concerned about the treason optics, the situation is truly dire. Chesebro described Nevada as “an extremely problematic state” for the coup plotters, because, he observed, the secretary of state had to preside over the casting of the electoral votes and the votes could only go to the winner of Nevada’s popular vote. Neither of those provisos applied to Chesebros’ handpicked fake electors and he knew it.

Chesebro reached for a historical precedent to justify the fake electors scheme. In 1960, Richard Nixon carried the state of Hawaii by a mere 140 votes. A recount ensued. The Democrats selected alternate electors just in case the recount went their way. The Democrats did, in fact, prevail on the recount and the governor certified their slate as the genuine article. There was no evidence that the Democrats intended to deceive anyone, let alone to push their claim in the face of a failed recount. Indeed, there would have been no point, given that John F. Kennedy had already secured enough electoral votes to win the election. The Hawaii Dems of 1960 were simply using their alternate slate as a placeholder. Only two slates of fake electors, Pennsylvania and New Mexico, stipulated that their votes should only be counted if their side prevailed in litigation, the rest, including Nevada and Arizona, simply falsely asserted that they were the real electors from their states.

Chesebro has already obtained a proffer in Nevada, which guarantees that he won’t be prosecuted under the laws of that state if he testifies against the fake electors. Such leniency to the Cheese may seem unfair to Nevada’s fake electors, given that they were merely running Chesebro’s playbook. But that’s how plea deals work. The sooner you flip, the sweeter the deal.

Elon Musk is emulating Henry Ford

Last week, X CEO Elon Musk endorsed a tweet accusing Jews of pushing “dialectical hatred against whites” and supporting “hordes of minorities … flooding their country.”

“You have said the actual truth,” Musk replied.

In parroting the Great Replacement conspiracy theory, and giving antisemites free rein on his site, Musk is emulating Henry Ford, a car mogul who bought a media platform to spread antisemitic libels.

The Great Replacement is the delusional belief that someone is trying to replace white people by championing liberal immigration policies and racial justice. As is typical, Musk cast the Jews in the role of racial puppet masters.

When fascists in Charlottesville chanted “Jews will not replace us,” they were referencing the myth of the Great Replacement. The following year, Robert Bowers accused the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society (HAIS) of perpetrating white genocide before his shooting spree at the Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh:

“HIAS likes to bring invaders that kill our people,” Bowers said. “I can’t sit by and watch my people get slaughtered. Screw your optics, I’m going in.”

In 2019, a gunman killed 52 people in two mosques in Christchurch, New Zealand. His manifesto was entitled “The Great Replacement.” The same year, a shooter cited the Great Replacement to explain why he took 23 lives at an El Paso Walmart. The Buffalo supermarket shooter was also a believer.

Jewish philanthropist George Soros is routinely cast in conspiracy theories for his foundation’s support of liberal causes, such as criminal justice reform and the Black Lives Matter movement.

During the civil rights struggle of the 1960s, American Jews played a prominent role in founding and funding major civil rights organizations. Many of the white student Freedom Riders were Jewish and 17 rabbis were arrested alongside Martin Luther King in St. Augustine in 1964. Segregationists spread their own conspiracy theories about Jews teaming up with Blacks to destroy the white way of life.

In fact, the image of the liberal Jew goes back at least as far as the French Revolution. In the prevailing spirit of liberalism, the revolutionary government became the first in Europe to grant citizenship to Jews in 1791. In keeping with this liberalizing ethos, various European countries emancipated their Jewish residents. This wave of emancipation vastly expanded opportunities for Jews in terms of where they could live, what jobs they could do, and how they could participate in politics, business and the arts. Not surprisingly, many Jews embraced liberal ideologies because liberal tolerance improved their lives.

It was during the 19th century that Europe’s longstanding Jew-hatred curdled into modern antisemitism. It was during this time that the myth of the international Jewish conspiracy was fully fleshed out.

Some scholars argue that conspiracy theories are the defining characteristic of antisemitism. It’s wrong to hate someone for their religion, but the animosity is rooted in a real difference of opinion: Jews aren’t Christians, and some Christians have had a problem with that for centuries. Whereas, antisemitism is based on pure racial and political fantasy.

Modern antisemitism construes Jews as both the racial other and as agents of malignant modernity. Jews are identified with both communism and capitalism. The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, the most successful antisemitic tract of all time, was forged by agents of the Russian secret police in the late 19th century. It purports to reveal the secret deliberations of a group of rabbis gathered in Prague to take over the world. By some estimates, the Protocols have been republished more than any other book except the Bible.

In 1920, Henry Ford began publishing the Protocols under the header of “The International Jew” in his newspaper, the Dearborn Independent. At the time, the Independent had a greater national reach and more influence than the Times. Hitler praised Ford by name in Mein Kampfas the “single great man” of the “American Union” standing against “the Jews.”

The Protocols were debunked as a crude forgery in 1920 and Ford was eventually forced to retract them and apologize after being sued for libel by an American Jewish lawyer whom Ford accused of furthering the conspiracy by founding farm cooperatives.

In endorsing the Great Replacement conspiracy theory, Musk is partaking in an ancient and ugly tradition of twisting one of Judaism's proudest traditions – a commitment to social justice.

Snitching will get you everywhere in the Georgia RICO case against Trump

Two of Donald Trump’s co-defendants in the Georgia election theft case plead guilty last week and a third followed suit on Tuesday.

Former Trump lawyers Sidney Powell, Kenneth Chesebro and Jenna Ellis have agreed to testify against the former president and the remaining co-defendants. Assuming they successfully complete their probation, none of these newly minted convicts will face prison time.

The remaining defendants, including Trump, are being prosecuted under Georgia’s Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) statute, a law that was originally designed to fight organized crime, but which is now being applied to various illegal networks.

Powell’s decision to plead guilty on the eve of her trial came as a shock to the Trump camp. “[Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis and her team] managed to break the woman who was never supposed to be breakable,” a deluded person told Rolling Stone. Powell will go to her grave believing conspiracy theories, but her loyalty to Donald Trump is not inexhaustible. Trump threw Powell under the bus publicly, ridiculed her privately, and cut off all contact.

Chesebro pled guilty to a single felony count of conspiracy to file false documents in connection with his role in the fake electors scam. Powell didn’t even have to concede that much. She was allowed to plead to six misdemeanors. She’ll be free to file more frivolous lawsuits someday. But before you start complaining about our rigged justice system, consider how much these two have to offer as witnesses.

Why did the lawyers get such generous plea deals? Because they can testify against defendants who are even guiltier than they are. Mid-level conspirators are particularly useful if they can testify to both the orders of the ringleaders and the operational details of the scheme. Snitching will get you everywhere.

The lawyers worked directly with Rudy Giuliani, John Eastman and Donald Trump himself. Powell met with Trump in the Oval Office and presented him with a blueprint for declaring martial law and seizing voting machines. Her proposal was not acted upon, but the mere fact that she had that kind of access speaks volumes.

Critically, the lawyers can testify that the flurry of illegal activity to overturn the election was a conspiracy. That may sound obvious, but proving the existence of an illicit network to a legal certainty can be a big hurdle for a RICO case. The more insiders who can explain how the pieces fit together, the more likely Willis is to secure RICO convictions.

Powell has something else going for her as a cooperating witness. She has now pled guilty to orchestrating the theft of voter data from Coffee County. A bail bondsman named Scott Hall has already pled guilty to his role in the theft. Critically, the indictment asserts that Hall was working on behalf of Donald Trump. If Hall and Powell can link the Coffee County heist to Trump, that would be a boon to the prosecution’s case against the highest-value defendant of all.

The lawyers also had the advantage of being among the first to plead guilty. Prosecutors want to leverage the prisoner’s dilemma to create a sense of urgency: If nobody talks, everybody walks; but the person who talks first gets the best deal. Powell and Chesebro were the first nationally known defendants to plead guilty. Rest assured that the remaining co-defendants are watching carefully. Now that the united front is beginning to crumble, others may fold as well.

It’s not sunshine and rainbows, though. Powell’s cachet as a witness might be tarnished by her long history of spouting outlandish conspiracy theories starring Hugo Chavez, George Soros and other fan faves from the QAnon cinematic universe. Trump’s lawyers will try to undermine her credibility. They must tread carefully, however.

The more they paint Powell as crazy, the harder it’s going to be to justify Trump’s decision to rely on her advice. Trump’s defense will likely hinge on his sincere belief that the election was stolen. And yet there’s already testimony from the J6 Committee that Trump dismissed Powell’s conspiracy theories as crazy.

The defections of three well-placed co-defendants in the Georgia RICO case is a huge blow to Trump and his top lieutenants.

The point is smearing the president

With a slim majority and a number of members representing districts carried by Joe Biden, it’s doubtful that the GOP has the votes to impeach Biden. Trump doesn’t care, the point is to announce the investigation.

The House Republicans will hold their first impeachment hearing for Joe Biden next week, a non-event that even backers admit will present no new evidence.

The extreme rightwing of the GOP caucus is in open rebellion against Speaker Kevin McCarthy. So, as a sop to the insurgents, McCarthy agreed to allow impeachment hearings. However, McCarthy had to use a procedural trick because he would have lost a vote on the issue.

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Even the most vocal proponents of impeaching Joe Biden admit that there’s no evidence that he was involved in any of his son’s influence-peddling schemes. Given that the Republicans have been investigating Hunter Biden’s messy business dealings and turbulent personal life for years, it seems unlikely that the extra subpoena power that impeachment proceedings allow is going to generate any new leads.

After the mind-wipe of the pandemic and the betrayal of January 6, it’s easy to forget that Donald Trump was first impeached for trying to strong-arm Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky to announce an investigation into Hunter Biden’s time on the board of the Ukrainian energy company, Burisma.

Ambassador Gordon Sondland testified that Trump didn’t care whether the investigation actually happened. All he wanted was the announcement of an investigation ahead of the election. “He had to announce the investigations. He didn’t actually have to do them, as I understood it,” Sondland explained during Trump’s first impeachment.

Trump’s goal was to tarnish Biden before the election. Now, Trump’s threatening House Republicans with immediate primary challenges if they don’t vote to impeach the president. With a slim majority and a number of members representing districts carried by Joe Biden, it’s doubtful that the GOP has the votes to impeach Biden. Trump doesn’t care, the point is to announce the investigation.

The repeatedly debunked allegation is that as vice president, Joe Biden pressured Ukraine to fire the prosecutor who was looking into corruption at Burisma. Biden did indeed push for Ukrainian Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin to step aside. Trump and his allies alleged that Biden was freelancing to benefit his son. In fact, pushing the prosecutor to step down was official US policy. Far from shaping US policy to benefit his son, Biden was executing the Obama administration’s anti-corruption agenda. Furthermore, the Shokin inquiry had already been shelved by the time Biden tried to force him out and its scope never extended to Hunter’s time on the board anyway.

The Republicans have tried to keep the furor alive by hyping the contents of Hunter Biden’s laptop. Vish Burra, a Republican operative from New York, bragged that he spent nearly two months holed up in a hotel room with Steve Bannon trying to create “an October Surprise” with the data from Biden’s laptop. Burra said they called their effort “the Manhattan Project because we were essentially creating a nuclear political weapon.”

The October Surprise largely flopped because the mainstream media and social media giants recognized the laptop dump for what it was – a transparent attempt by the Republicans to manipulate the election with a fake scandal, just as Trump had tried to do in Ukraine.

Operatives like Burra and Bannon have done their best to spin conspiracy theories about Biden’s involvement in Ukrainian biolabs, Chinese intrigues and imaginary sex-trafficking schemes. But none of these allegations have gained traction outside the Republican fever swamps, most likely because Hunter Biden was a sad dude who dined out on his family name like countless Washington failsons, but who didn’t actually convince his father to intervene on behalf of his clients. As Hunter’s former business partner Devon Archer put it, Hunter sold “the illusion of access.”

By opening impeachment hearings with zero evidence of wrongdoing by president Biden, the GOP is running a tired Trumpian play. It doesn’t matter whether an investigation uncovers anything, all that matters is that the investigation be announced.

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Musk is building a mainstream hate platform

The bullsh*t artist known as Elon Musk is blaming Jews for the implosion of X (perpetually known as Twitter, because “X” is simply too ridiculous).

Specifically, Musk is blaming the storied Anti-Defamation League for driving advertisers away from the social media platform by complaining about all the defamation that goes on there.

Musk tweeted that the site’s revenue had dropped by 60 percent “primarily due to pressure on advertisers by @ADL (that’s what advertisers tell us), so they almost succeeded in killing X/Twitter!”

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Keep in mind that Musk is a ketamine-addled manchild who lies constantly. The ADL has no power to force advertisers to stop advertising on Twitter. All it can do is spread the word about the hateful speech that’s rampant on the platform. Blaming/crediting the ADL with a 60 percent drop in revenues is absurd, but it wouldn’t surprise me if ADL’s warnings were getting traction with advertisers. Most companies don’t want their products displayed next to the musings of @gasthejews6969. It’s bad for business.

Musk’s tantrum will probably never see the inside of a courtroom. For one thing, he’s broke. Musk can’t even pay the rent on Twitter headquarters. Furthermore, Musk threatens to sue people all the time and usually doesn’t follow through with it. The point of that tweet was pure vice-signaling to the far right. Musk wants to show that he’s a team player.

It’s a mutual admiration society. Musk consistently chats up the worst antisemites on Twitter. In June, Musk was cheerfully bantering in the replies to a tweet about “adrenochrome” and “hating the J’s [Jews].” Adrenochrome is QAnon’s twist on the ancient antisemitic trope of blood libel.

“The ADL’s favourite tactic is financially blackmailing social media companies into removing free speech on their platforms,” tweeted self-proclaimed “raging antisemite” and white nationalist Keith Woods on Aug 31, “Why should they have a platform on X to hold @elonmusk to ransom? It’s time to #BanTheADL.”

READ MORE: 'Edgelord' Musk accused of 'insidious efforts' to ban the Anti-Defamation League from Twitter/X: report

Musk liked the tweet, which launched the hashtag #BanTheADL, and offered to “run a poll” of his subscribers on the question. The hashtag was picked up across the far-right including by Andrew Torba, the founder of the social media platform Gab, who refuses to speak to Jewish reporters, and by “groyper” Nick Fuentes. Fuentes bragged that he and his fellow antisemites now have a “captive audience” in Musk.

When Musk took over Twitter in 2022, he reinstated large numbers of accounts that had previously been banned for posting hate. The number of antisemitic slurs on Twitter surged by over 60% in the weeks after Musk took over the platform. At one point, Musk even reinstated neo-Nazi fugitive Andrew Anglin. Anglin became a fugitive because he blew off a multi-million dollar judgment for terrorizing a Montana family.

“Elon Musk sent up the Bat Signal to every kind of racist, misogynist and homophobe that Twitter was open for business,” Imran Ahmed, the chief executive of the Center for Countering Digital Hate told the New York Times at the time, “They have reacted accordingly.”

Musk claims to be a free speech absolutist, but he’s threatening to sue a nonprofit for speaking out against the permissive environment he’s nurtured for hate speech and conspiracy theories. It’s literally the Anti-Defamation League’s job to sound the alarm about hate speech. The League monitors hate speech and shares its conclusions with the public, as it has done since its founding in 1913.

Musk is following the footsteps of generations of conspiracy theorists who have blamed the Anti-Defamation League for fomenting a worldwide conspiracy. The ADL is a stock villain on the far-right along with Bn’ai Brith, the Rothschilds, and the Trilateral Commission. And Elon Musk is here for it. He’s building a mainstream hate platform.

READ MORE: Vivek Ramaswamy will appoint Elon Musk if elected 'because he laid off 75% of the employees at Twitter'

Women’s bodies are not public parks

Editor's note: The author of this editorial has been corrected to Lindsay Beyerstein.

Welcome to The Uterus, America’s newest national park, please enjoy your stay and exit through the gift shop. At least, that’s the vision of Judge James Ho of the Fifth US Circuit Court of Appeals.

Ho is part of a three-judge panel that ruled recently to restrict access to long-approved abortion drugs. Ho went even further than his fellow judges, however, arguing that anti-choice doctors could challenge the availability of the drug by arguing that it deprives them of their right to gawk at cute fetus pictures.

“Unborn babies are a source of profound joy for those who view them,” Ho went on. “Expectant parents eagerly share ultrasound photos with loved ones. Friends and family cheer at the sight of an unborn child. Doctors delight in working with their unborn patients — and experience an aesthetic injury when they are aborted.”

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Ho is borrowing a concept from environmental law known as “aesthetic injury.” Until now, the concept has been used to safeguard tourists’ right to enjoy pristine wilderness areas, but now a federal judge wants to put women on the same level as plants and animals. Sexism doesn’t get more obvious than that: Women’s bodies exist to gratify bystanders who can sue to preserve the view.

“It’s well-established that, if a plaintiff has ‘concrete plans’ to visit an animal’s habitat and view that animal, that plaintiff suffers aesthetic injury when an agency has approved a project that threatens the animal,” wrote Judge Ho, who argued that because researchers can sue to curb pesticide use, doctors should be able to sue to the FDA approval of an abortion drug 20 years after the fact.

Ho’s argument is even more breathtaking than a daybreak view of the cervix. If Ho had his way, anyone who planned to leer at pregnant bellies would have a legal basis to sue to protect his aesthetic supply. There’s no reason why aesthetic rights should be limited to doctors rather than, say, pregnancy fetishists on PornHub.

Such trolling in the guise of legal argument is exactly what you’d expect for a judge who was sworn in under the watchful eye of Clarence Thomas’s billionaire bestie Harlan Crow.

READ MORE: How 'MAGA cultists' and 'white evangelical cruelty' are making young American Christians avoid church

Even if the Supreme Court were to uphold such reasoning, it would be a violation of medical ethics for any physician to champion his aesthetic enjoyment over the wellbeing of the patient.

The moral conviction that a physician must never put personal gratification over patient wellbeing is as old as medicine itself. The Hippocratic Oath has largely been superseded by more modern formulations, but the old Greek version contains many principles that still govern medical ethics today. The original oath states that “Whatsoever house I may enter, my visit shall be for the convenience and advantage of the patient.”

In other words, the doctor’s duty is to attend to the wellbeing of the patient not to gratify their own urges, aesthetic or otherwise. This proviso was originally a promise not to have sex with patients, enslaved or free, but the moral imperative of disinterested beneficence has been elaborated and extended to create the principle of patient-centered care that all physicians must strive to uphold today.

READ MORE: White men have controlled women’s reproductive rights throughout American history

Anthony Fauci rebuked Rand Paul, and it still stings

"Senator Paul, you do not know what you are talking about, quite frankly, and I want to say that officially," Dr. Anthony Fauci testified in July 2021.

US Senator Rand Paul, of Kentucky, had accused Fauci, who was at the time the head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, of lying to the Congress about the funding of a gain-of-function (GOF) experiment at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and of “trying to obscure responsibility for four million people dying around the world from a pandemic.”

The hearing became a battle between one of the country’s most respected scientists and Rand, a non-practicing eye doctor who created a fake medical board in order to falsely promote himself as “board certified.”

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Clearly, Fauci’s rebuke still stings.

Recently, Rand announced that he had asked the US Attorney for the District of Columbia to prosecute Fauci for perjury. Paul tried to interest the Justice Department in perjury prosecution in 2021. That request went nowhere, because challenging Paul’s crackpot theories is not a crime.

Fauci testified that NIH scientists “up and down the chain” determined that the project did not qualify as gain-of- function under the agency’s criteria.

Experts disagree about how gain-of-function should be defined. However, the ostensible purpose of Paul’s line of questioning was to find out if NIH violated its own rules, so the NIH’s definition was the relevant one.

READ MORE: 'Slitting throats' and 'stone-cold dead': DeSantis ramps up violent rhetoric

Paul’s real agenda was to push the conspiracy theory that NIH caused the covid pandemic by funding this particular experiment. This is impossible. Neither the original bat viruses in this experiment nor the end product could possibly have given rise to the virus that causes Covid-19.

Fauci stated in emails that the Wuhan Institute of Virology engaged in gain-of-function research. Paul is now claiming this proves Fauci lied to the Congress. This is a dishonest equivocation by Paul. Fauci testified that the experiment that the NIH helped fund was not GOF. He didn’t testify as to whether there was any GOF going on at the Wuhan Institute.

At the very beginning of the pandemic, some leading virologists entertained the idea that the virus might have leaked from the Wuhan Institute. So they investigated the question and decided that the seemingly mysterious features of the SCV2 virus were found in nature. They published a paper making that case and lab-leak boosters have been trying to concoct some kind of scandal out of the normal operation of the scientific method.

Since the paper’s publication, its conclusions have been supported by a growing body of scientific and intelligence data. The geographical distribution of early fits an emergence from the Huanan Seafood Market in Wuhan, not the lab across town. Viruses ever more similar to SCV2 are being found in wild bats.

As the scientific credibility of the lab-leak theory has dwindled, the vitriol of its proponents has increased. Paul isn’t the only rightwinger seeking vengeance on Fauci. “We need to pop him good, and hang a felony on him is what we need to do. People lost their lives because of this nonsense, and they are playin’ God,” said Tennessee Congressman Tim Burchett. Colorado Congresswoman Lauren Boebert called for Fauci’s prosecution. The head of the Oklahoma Republican Party called for his execution. Last year, a West Virginia man was sentenced to three years for threatening to drive Fauci and his family into the street, beat them to death and set them on fire.

Two years after the confrontation between Fauci and Paul, the evidence for a natural origin for SCV2 continues to accumulate while the lab-leak boosters clutch at straws to keep their cherished theory alive.

READ MORE: 'Clearly defined body count': Florida and Ohio Republicans experienced 43 percent more COVID deaths than Dems

Fear not, the right to lie is safe

As soon as Donald Trump was indicted last week on federal conspiracy charges for his bid to steal the 2020 election, his lawyer alleged that the charges infringed upon his client’s right to free speech.

“Our defense is going to be focusing on the fact that what we have now is an administration that has criminalized the free speech and advocacy of a prior administration during the time that there’s a political election going on. That’s unprecedented,” said defense attorney John Lauro.

A parade of Republicans came forward to fret about how the right to lie was under attack.

READ MORE: Kayleigh McEnany declares: 'You’re saying it’s not a big deal that the president of United States lies

Congressman Gary Palmer of Alabama lamented the “criminalization of disinformation and misinformation,” which to be fair, are indispensable political tools for Republicans.

Fear not, America, the right to lie is secure.

As the indictment makes clear, Trump has every right to run his mouth in public, even to lie about election fraud.

What matters is the corrupt agreement that Trump and his confederates allegedly acted on in a bid to reverse his electoral defeat.

READ MORE: 'Very scary': Former RNC staffer dishes on the more terrifying members of GOP's right-wing

The indictment alleges that the former president conspired to pervert the federal government’s administration of the 2020 election and to derail the certification ceremony on January 6, 2021; and that if his plot had succeeded, it would have deprived millions of voters of their right to have their votes counted.

While the indictment provides overwhelming evidence that Trump knew (or should have known) that his claims of outcome-altering fraud were bogus, that was just one dishonest facet of an alleged scheme that was rotten to its core.

This is a nation of laws. If you think an election was stolen, you take that up with election officials and the courts, and you abide by their determinations. You don’t conspire to falsify legal documents and intimidate elected officials into counting the fakes over the genuine articles. Which is exactly what Trump is alleged to have done through the fake elector scheme.

The fake electors' scam is the base of the indictment pyramid, and the other allegations stack on top of it. The “wild protest” and the intimidation campaign of J6 was a bid to force Pence to count the fake electoral votes and disregard the real ones. The indictment also alleges that Trump pressured the Department of Justice to proclaim that the fake electors’ slate from Georgia was real.

Donald Trump and his co-conspirators recruited GOP loyalists in seven battleground states to pose as electors and cast fake electoral votes. Trump then tried to browbeat vice president Mike Pence into counting their fake electoral votes instead of the real ones. When he couldn’t convince Pence to play along, he turned the mob on the Capitol to physically intimidate Pence. The VP was whisked from the Capitol just ahead of a mob chanting “Hang Mike Pence!”

The indictment alleges that the conspirators lied to the fake electors, promising them that their “votes” would only be counted if a court reversed the outcome of the election in their state. In fact, the courts reversed bupkis, but the conspirators submitted these fraudulent certificates anyway and tried to strongarm Mike Pence into counting them during the certification. It is fraudulent to forge legal documents and submit them to the federal government, whether you think there was election fraud or not.

The indictment alleges that one of Trump’s co-conspirators acknowledged in writing that in many states these fake electors couldn’t fulfill the legal requirements for how and where to cast electoral votes, but the conspirators knowingly submitted those defective certificates anyway.

Trump may try to fall back on an “advice of counsel defense,” claiming that his lawyers told him that the plot was legal. But that’s going to be an uphill battle because John Eastman, Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell and Kenneth Chesboro are Trump’s alleged co-conspirators. You can’t just add a lawyer to your conspiracy and make everything legal.

As former federal prosecutor Mary McCord told The New Yorker, “A lawyer who is part of the conspiracy himself will cause an advice-of-counsel claim to falter.”

Furthermore, the indictment is full of examples of Trump’s Co-conspirators at Law admitting that aspects of their scheme were illegal.

For example, Eastman admitted to Mike Pence’s lawyer that the Supreme Court would unanimously reject his plan. He later asked the lawyer to indulge him in just one more violation of the Electoral Count Act. Even the so-called Eastman Memo – which Trump’s lawyer is waving as a get-out-of-jail-free card – acknowledges in passing that certain aspects of the plan violate the Electoral Count Act.

Trump’s lawyer is wrapping his client in the mantle of free speech because he has no other defense. Jack Smith’s indictment is full of damning evidence of conspiracy and obstruction and the advice of counsel is dead in the water. This case is about what Trump did, not what he said. The former president is standing trial for his actions, not his words.

READ MORE: Constitutional law scholar breaks down how Trump lawyer 'completely misused' his work in coup memo

Using abortion, red states try to expand power over blue states

On a sweltering night in 1858, 48-year-old Abraham Lincoln rose to accept the Republican nomination for the Illinois senate race. The future president gave a speech that echoes to this day, as the states square off over abortion rights in a post-Roe world.

“A house divided against itself cannot stand,” Lincoln warned, alluding to the notorious Dred Scott decision in which the Supreme Court decreed that enslaved people remained in bondage even if they were taken to free states, forcing the free states to bend their laws to the will of enslaving states.

“Popular sovereignty” was the buzzword of the day, a supposed compromise in which the white men of each new state got to vote on whether to hold Black people in bondage. It was no compromise at all.

READ MORE: GOP senator blocking 265 military promotions falsely promoted his father’s WWII service: report

As Lincoln spoke, enslavers were flocking to the western territories, getting those territories declared slave states. Free-staters feared that these newly-added slave states would tip the national balance of power in the Senate and the Electoral College and one day enshrine slavery nationwide.

Votes on whether to allow slavery in new states became desperate struggles marked by election fraud and even terrorism. “Popular sovereignty” wasn’t a compromise. It was an accelerant.

“I do not expect the Union to be dissolved -- I do not expect the house to fall -- but I do expect it will cease to be divided,” Lincoln continued, “It will become all one thing or all the other.”

Lincoln hit upon a dynamic that continues to bedevil this country. What happens to a system based on local control when states try to project their powers beyond their borders? Can the walls of our home withstand the pitched battle within?

READ MORE: Nebraska teen sentenced to 90 days in jail after self-managed abortion

Two years after Lincoln’s prophetic address, a new federal Fugitive Slave Law forced free states to cooperate with slave-catchers pursuing slaves who had fled to the North, and empowered federal marshals to assist the slave-catchers on free soil. Some free states passed their own laws barring sheriffs from assisting slave-catchers and county jailers from holding fugitive slaves. The Fugitive Slave Law helped galvanize average Northerners for civil war. Even those who didn’t care about the rights of Black people were alarmed that the slave states were determined to subjugate the free states.

Today, we face a similar conflict over abortion. When the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, it promised that each state would have the right to allow or ban abortion. But red states are already colluding to force their extremist agenda onto blue states where abortion is legal.

Last week, 19 Republican attorneys general demanded that the federal government give them access to the medical records of patients who travel to other states to get legal abortions. Rest assured, the Biden administration is not going to give it to them, but they’ll get what they want if the Republicans retake the White House.

Our federalist system protects the right to travel between states in search of a legal climate congenial to one’s values. Some states allow casino gambling, recreational cannabis, or permitless carry. If you want to do these things, and your state doesn’t allow them, you’re free to go to another state where they’re legal. It would be unconstitutional for Texas to directly criminalize traveling for an abortion. However, these attorneys general are trying to pry loose private medical records of care in states where abortion is legal. The root of the problem are the bounty-hunting laws which give residents the right to sue over abortions, including ones obtained legally out of state.

As during the Fugitive Slave crisis, many blue states have already passed laws of their own preventing cooperation with out-of-state investigators seeking information on legal abortions and many reproductive rights activists are looking to the historical precedent of resistance to the Fugitive Slave law.

Several blue states have started abortion pill pipelines to red states. After Dobbs, they passed laws that guarantee that no doctor will be extradited for delivering medical care that’s legal in their home state. That includes prescribing abortion pills by telemedicine. So, a doctor in New York state can prescribe abortion pills to a woman in Texas. The federal government controls the mail, so as long as there’s a Democrat in the White House, there’s little the red states can do to stop it.

The solicitor general of Texas is warning that authorities in Texas could set up a sting operation and charge a New York doctor with attempted murder for prescribing these drugs. That doctor would be safe from extradition under New York law – assuming that law would survive before the hard-right Supreme Court. What happens if the court were to deny New York’s right to protect legal abortion care on its own soil is anyone’s guess, but if the Court were to deny New York’s right to protect its doctors, the ensuing conflict would shake our house to its very foundations.

READ MORE: Missouri Supreme Court orders Republican state AG to let abortion ballot initiative go forward

For the GOP, the scientific method is evidence of conspiracy

A scientific paper now ranks with the grassy knoll in the minds of conspiracy theorists. “The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV-2” (2020) has become an object of obsession complete with its own rich folklore. Last week, House Republicans devoted a three-hour hearing to haranguing the scientists who wrote it.

Two of the paper’s authors, Dr. Kristian Andersen and Dr. Robert F. Garry, were hauled before the committee to answer for their defiance from GOP orthodoxy.

The GOP party line is that Dr. Anthony Fauci somehow forced a group of university professors to publish a peer-reviewed paper arguing that Covid-19 wasn’t a bioweapon or a laboratory construct. Fauci supposedly wanted to discredit the lab leak because he helped the Wuhan Institute of Virology create the virus. No, really. They get indignant when you call it a conspiracy theory, but that’s the B-movie plot they’re pushing.

READ MORE: Did Trump let Americans die purely for political purposes?

The proximal origin of Proximal Origin was not Fauci’s NIAID lair, but a teleconference organized by Dr. Jeremy Farrar, then the head of a UK research charity. Farrar set the agenda, invited the guests, and even provided tech support. The witnesses testified that Fauci hopped on the call but said little of substance.

Andersen also testified that, far from pressuring him to debunk the lab leak, Fauci had encouraged him to publish any evidence that he might find of a leak and offered to help him share any such evidence with the proper authorities. These are not the actions of someone orchestrating a massive coverup.

In lab leak lore, the researchers’ open-mindedness is evidence of coercion. The subpoenaed emails show that, far from being reflexive leak deniers, the authors of this paper thought they saw features that couldn’t have evolved naturally. If they couldn’t explain how the virus might have arisen in nature, that raised red flags that it might have been engineered. But once they delved into the quirks of SCV2 and explored the weird and wonderful features of wild coronaviruses, their doubts were allayed.

If Fauci was orchestrating a coverup, why would he pick scientists who said they took the lab leak seriously?

READ MORE: Ron DeSantis’ surgeon general 'personally altered' key data on COVID-19 vaccines’ safety: report

Another plank in the GOP conspiracy theory is that Fauci bribed Andersen to argue against the lab leak with a federal research grant. In fact, that grant was awarded before the pandemic started. As is standard for such grants, the award was based on high scores by independent reviewers, not the whims of Tony Fauci.

The majority falsely claimed in its report that the authors sent the paper to Fauci for editing and approval before it was published. In fact, Fauci received a copy of the manuscript that had already been accepted by the journal and didn’t offer any comments.

Most disturbing of all, Republicans tried to spin the scientific method itself as evidence of a conspiracy. They seized on a snippet of an Andersen email stating that he and his colleagues were trying to disprove the lab leak theory. That’s not a conspiracy, that’s science. Experimenters start with a testable hypothesis like, “Sars-CoV-2 leaked from a lab” and then they do their best to knock it down. If they can’t defeat it, the hypothesis survives to be tested again another day. As Andersen explained, they couldn’t definitively disprove a lab leak, but the evidence convinced them it was unlikely.

“My early hypothesis was that of a ‘lab theory’ and when I stated that we were “trying to disprove any type of lab theory,” I was specifically referring to the concept of falsification,” Andersen said in his written remarks.

“This is a text-book example of the scientific method in use.”

READ MORE: 'Ignorance about the biological function': Virologist dispels testimony from GOP’s lab link 'expert'

RFK can’t resist the adulation of his real base — online cranks

Robert F Kennedy, Jr. cannot help himself. In his quixotic bid for the Democratic presidential nomination, he initially sought to distance himself from the 15-year crusade against vaccines that has defined him as a public figure. But this week he reverted to form, making outrageous claims during a panel discussion that he convened with fellow antivaxers and advertised on his campaign channels.

“I do not believe that infectious disease is an enormous threat to human health,” Kennedy said on the livestream, a bold statement in the wake of more than a million excess deaths in the US in its first two years. Kennedy also pledged to target medical journals and defund epidemiology if elected, according to Rolling Stone.

And that was just the beginning.

He falsely claimed that vaccine research created HIV, the Spanish flu and Lyme disease. He has previously insinuated that HIV doesn’t cause AIDS, and that the only reason all reputable scientists think it does is because his nemesis, White House covid czar, Anthony Fauci nixed funding for research into alternative theories.

When Kennedy threw his hat into the ring, many observers were surprised that his campaign website was silent on the vaccine issue, as the candidate sought to rebrand himself as a normal Democrat who criticizes corporate power while reminding boomers of his dead relatives.

The reputational rehab was never going to be easy.

Kennedy made his name as an antivaxer by doggedly promoting the debunked link between vaccines and autism. The pandemic dramatically raised Kennedy’s profile as an opponent of public health measures and vaccine mandates. He published a bestselling book that spins an elaborate and baseless conspiracy theory about how Fauci knowingly denied Americans access to effective covid treatments because the vaccine couldn’t be authorized if treatments were available. In fact, Kennedy’s pet therapies were tested and found worthless and had there been an effective drug treatment for covid, it would have made no effect on the vaccine’s approval process.

Vanity Fair dubbed him “the antivax icon of America’s nightmares.” A well-earned moniker, given that Kennedy founded Children’s Health Defense (CHD), the most influential antivax group in the country. CHD stoked panic about the measles vaccine in Samoa and helped cause an outbreak that killed about 50 babies and toddlers.

During the pandemic, Kennedy became notorious for likening vaccine mandates to the Holocaust. Kennedy is also a prolific spreader of conspiracy theories, including the rumor that 5G networks are being used to “harvest our data and control our behavior.” What’s more, former Donald Trump advisor Steven Bannon keeps bragging about how he convinced Kennedy to run to spread the antivax gospel.

Despite his aspirations to court normie Democrats, Kennedy can’t resist the adulation of his real base – online cranks.

The pandemic made Kennedy a superstar on the right and he prefers the fawning attention of conspiracy-minded podcaster Joe Rogan to the slightly tougher questions of the beltway media. Kennedy’s antivax antics on the campaign trail ramped up sharply after his appearance on Rogan’s show. The candidate also got drawn into a bizarre harassment campaign of vaccine scientist Peter Hotez, who declined to debate Kennedy on Rogan’s show, on the grounds any debate with Kennedy would devolve into the “Jerry Springer Show.” Billionaires like Elon Musk rushed in to defend Kennedy and smear Hotez. Hotez was deluged with abuse online and antivax YouTubers even showed up at his home.

This week Kennedy got the band back together, convening a panel on public health featuring some of the antivax movement’s most notorious figures, which he promoted through official campaign channels. Kennedy’s guests included fellow members of the Disinformation Dozen, a rogues gallery that’s collectively responsible for the majority of online antivax content. One of his guests, Dr. Sherri Tenpenny, testified before the Ohio Statehouse that covid vaccines make people magnetic and create “5G interfaces” to link our bodies to cellular networks.

"You can put a key on their forehead, it sticks,” Tenpenny told Ohio legislators in 2021, “You can put spoons and forks all over and they can stick because now we think there is a metal piece to that."

Perhaps Kennedy is returning to his antivax roots because the rest of his program is at odds with the Democratic base. He rejects common sense gun reform and instead blames school shootings on antidepressants; he dismisses US defense aid to Ukraine as a NATO proxy war against Russia; he refuses to criticize Donald Trump and says he’s proud the former president likes him.

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