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'Signals flashing red': Republicans fear Trump's economy 'could cost them dearly'

Axios' Zachary Basu reports President Donald Trump's effort to “rebrand the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act can't mask a grim reality: His economic approval is collapsing, and the data underneath is only getting worse.”

“Trump is in danger of getting trapped in the same ‘vibecession’ dynamic that doomed President [Joe] Biden — only this time, the structural signals are flashing red and Trump's signature legislation is toxic," he wrote.

According to the outlet, Republicans are already panicking, fearing “inflation could cost them dearly in the 2026 midterms, warning Trump has only a few months to reset his trajectory on voters' most important issue.”

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Pollster G. Elliott Morris puts Trump's approval rating on inflation and the cost of living at -24, nearing Biden's lows during the peak of the 2022–23 price surge. His favorability on jobs and the economy overall is better, but still underwater at -13.

CNN’s Harry Enten described Trump’s -13 rating on jobs and unemployment as “a 24 point drop since January of 2025. “Biden … was in the basement. and yet Donald Trump is even lower down than him,” Enten said. “You can barely get an elevator that goes that low.”

Meanwhile the worst that Trump can do appears to already be done with the passage of his budget bill, meaning “Trump has few levers left to pull,” Axios reports.

“Poll after poll shows Trump's Big, Beautiful Bill Act — which extended his 2017 tax cuts while slashing Medicaid and other safety net programs — is the most unpopular major piece of legislation in years,” Axios reports, and Trump campaign officials acknowledged the PR crisis in a closed-door briefing, urging Republicans to call the bill the "Working Families Tax Cut Bill."

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Democrats say that’s not going to work, especially with the Congressional Budget Office reporting the poorest 25 percent of households will lose money under Trump’s law while the richest reap the benefits.

Inflation is creeping higher, the labor market is softening, layoffs rising and economic activity is contracting in on itself, Axios reports. “Trump may wind up learning Biden's hard lesson: You can't convince voters the economy is strong when their lived experience tells them it's weak.”

Read the full Axios report at this link.

'Completely stagnated': Experts say 'extraordinary low' jobs numbers 'ominous' for economy

Economic experts are sounding alarms over the latest jobs report, showing the Trump economy added just 22,000 jobs in August — far below expectations of 75,000. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.3 percent, its highest level since October 2021, near the height of COVID.

“Another WEAK jobs report,” wrote Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal.

“The August jobs report shows the job market is going from frozen to cracking,” Long added. “The only thing keeping this from being a 5-alarm fire is the fact that the labor force grew by +436,000 people. That’s a surprise, especially given immigrants are leaving the U.S. labor force.”

Long also noted that the June report was revised down, to a loss of 13,000 jobs.

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“Jobs growth remained extraordinarily low in August,” noted Steven Rattner, MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” economic analyst and chairman of a prominent investment firm.

“The job market continues to slow, and it’s worrying. We’re (just) keeping our head above water (for now),” warned professor of economics Justin Wolfers, a popular cable news guest.

“I know the focus today is on ‘the numbers.’ But lemme share a feeling: I’m worried,” Wolfers added. “The economy was in a good place in late 2024. That’s no longer true. And the trajectory is, at a minimum, concerning. That’s millions of peoples lives, and millions of stories of pain.”

Veteran finance reporter Ron Insana noted that “the composition of the newly unemployed appears to be policy-driven. Government, trade services and manufacturing. Healthcare is keeping the number above water. Those gov’t workers getting severance aren’t yet counted as jobless. That changes next month!”

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Long issued an additional warning.

“The US economy lost -13,000 jobs in June –>The first negative month since December 2020 (!) There’s barely been any job growth in the past 4 months. Almost all the jobs added are in healthcare. Without healthcare, job growth would be NEGATIVE in the past few months.”

Economics writer Joey Politano observed that “US blue-collar job growth has completely stagnated, hitting the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic—manufacturing is currently losing jobs at a rapid pace, and growth in construction/transportation has slowed to a crawl.”

He added, “the labor market is in the worst place since the pandemic.”

Hinting at the upcoming change in leadership at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, professor of economics Howard Forman wrote: “If this is, indeed, a more reliable report, it remains ominous.”

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'Can anyone spell recession?' Trump slammed as jobs report stuns economists

Payrolls processing firm ADP reported private sector hiring contracted unexpectedly in June, with private payrolls losing 33,000 jobs.

The news came as a surprise because economists polled by Dow Jones in the weeks ahead of the ADP report had forecast an increase of 100,000 jobs for the month, despite growth in May being revised to just 29,000 jobs rather than 37,000.

The bulk of job losses happened in professional and business services and health and education, according to ADP, with the Midwest and Western regions seeing the strongest contractions.

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Social media exploded at the news, partially because economists had predicted a more stable and robust economy weathering the impact of President Donald Trump’s incessant tariff threats.

“Can anyone spell RECESSION?” posted New York legislator Jon Cooper.

“This must be a huge problem for Joe Biden, right?” quipped YouTube host David Pakman, referring to Trump’s habit of blaming his predecessor for economic bumps in Trump’s economy.

Pakman pointed out that the job losses amounted to the first “in over two years,” while political analyst Marco Frieri demanded: “Is that what they call ‘Making America Great Again’?”

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On the same day of the ADP report, Chamber of Progress Director Tahra Hoops noted Trump congratulating himself on the strong U.S. economy.

“THIS GROWTH has already begun at levels never seen before,” Trump declared on Truth Social, which prompted Hoops to wonder what world Trump was inhabiting.

“He lives in an alternate universe,” Hoops posted. “… It's clear employers are growing weary over Trump tariff impacts and just the continuing levels of uncertainty,” Hoops added.

Public Notice writer Aaron Rupar, meanwhile, noticed Trump’s allies at Fox news initially playing down or ignoring the bad news.

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“[Entertainer] Maria Bartiromo was just on Fox News to discuss economic news, but new data showing the private sector losing jobs last month didn't come up,” Rupar posted. “Instead, she and [entertainer] Dana Perino discussed Waffle House.”

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‘They’re scared’: Auto workers say tariffs already killing jobs

Last month, Mack Trucks announced it would be laying off about 10 percent of its unionized workers at its Lehigh Valley, Penn., plant. Company officials blamed tariffs and the economic uncertainty they’ve caused as the reason.

“We were very surprised,” Mack Trucks employee and UAW Local 677 District 1 Committeeperson Dan Hand told Vox. “We have people that just started working on the shop floor Monday of last week. … They’re scared.”

The layoffs come one year after Mack Trucks’ parent company, Volvo, announced it was building a massive new truck plant in Mexico. The company claims it only planned to supplement its American workforce, not replace it, but union local UAW 577 slammed Mack’s decision and even endorsed tariffs as a tool to fight offshoring before President Donald Trump announced tariffs in earnest this year.

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However, tariffs still get mixed reviews from employees even as the plant shuts down a tenth of its workforce. Plant employee John Taniser told Vox the short-term pain is worth it for long-term change.

“It could be a year. It could be two years. But what we’re looking for is a path forward to thrive and not just sustain and exist,” said Taniser, a production line worker who voted for Trump in 2024.

Hand, meanwhile, voted for Trump in 2016, but then turned on him because of his treatment of organized labor in his first term. "It doesn’t seem like there’s a good game plan [at the White House],” said Hand

Economists say manufacturing will never be what it was in the U.S. because as nations get richer, their manufacturing jobs get replaced with service sector jobs. Vox reports the largest employers in the county are now hospitals and Amazon warehouses. And even the manufacturing that remains are more technology oriented requiring fewer human workers.

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Read the full story at Vox.

'New Tiffany Trump': Marco Rubio mocked after being given yet another White House role

The New York Times reports Secretary of State Marco Rubio is now interim national security adviser to President Donald Trump, in addition to serving as acting administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development and acting archivist for the National Archives and Records Administration.

“Like a Christmas tree bedecked with shiny ornaments of every shape and size, Marco Rubio, 53, has accumulated four titles starting with his confirmation as secretary of state on Jan. 20, the same day that Mr. Trump took his oath of office,” The Times reported. However, X had considerably more responses.

“Times are so tough in the Trump economy that Marco Rubio needs to hold three jobs (Secretary of State, National Security Advisor, USAID administrator) just to get by,” wrote Matthew Yglasias, a writer for the American Prospect, The Atlantic, and Slate.

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“LMAO! Think you're busy? Try being MARCO RUBIO! Who is now: - U.S. Secretary of State - Acting U.S. National Security Advisor - Acting Archivist of the U.S. - Acting Administrator of USAID,” wrote Florida Voice Assistant News Director Eric Daugherty.

Bloomberg News anchor and correspondent David Gura appeared more impressed.

“Marco Rubio is now, simultaneously, secretary of state, interim national security adviser, acting administrator of USAID, and acting archivist of the United States,” Uhdeb wrote, seemingly without sarcasm.

Still other personalities, like Semafor Congressional Bureau Chief Burgess Everett were content to tick down Rubio’s expanding list of titles, while Democratic Party strategist Adam Parkhomenko described the multi-hat-wearing Rubio as “a month away from being New Tiffany Trump.”

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Self-made X-platform comedians also had their way, with one poster declaring, “In addition to his duties as Secretary of State, National Security Advisor, National Archivist and ASID Administrator, Marco Rubio will also now be a judge on American Idol.

Read the full New York Times article here.

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