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Pollster reveals the one Trump official who is 'really, really, really popular'

With President Donald Trump serving out his lame duck term, there has been much discussion about who will be heir to the Republican throne. While no clear leader has emerged, according to CNN’s Harry Enten, one White House official is gaining steam.

“Marco Rubio is really, really, really popular with Republicans,” Enten revealed on Wednesday. “His chances to be the Republican nominee in 2028 are up like a rocket taking off from Cape Canaveral.”

According to Enten — who is CNN’s chief data analyst — evidence of Rubio’s snowballing popularity comes from the prediction market Kalshi, on which odds that the Secretary of State will be the GOP nominee jumped from 11 percent in January to 30 percent by the end of May.

“All of a sudden, the people putting their money where their mouths are are really liking Rubio’s chances,” said Enten.

While it was once widely assumed that Vice President JD Vance would lead the Republican ticket in 2028, his political cache has diminished due to a number of recent setbacks and humiliations tied to the undesirable tasks he was handed, like stumping for the failed reelection of former Hungarian strongman Prime Minister Viktor Orban, and overseeing early peace negotiations with Iran that fizzled embarrassingly. Meanwhile, Rubio has tended to enjoy less precarious tasks like visiting the Vatican to ease tensions with the Pope or accompanying Trump to UFC fights, which have garnered him generally positive or at least neutral media coverage.

Consequently, Rubio’s popularity has grown precipitously. As Forbes reports, among Republicans, his “net approval rating is the highest of any member of Trump’s administration at +77 points, according to Quinnipiac. JD Vance sits at +69, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at +63, and FBI Director Kash Patel at +49.”

Or as Enten explains, “Marco Rubio is, simply put, the most popular Republican in the Trump administration besides the president himself, and also, if you zone in a little bit more, of the Cabinet itself.”

That being said, Enten notes that Rubio still faces a -6 net approval rating among all voters, but while that means there is still ground for him to make up, he remains firmly ahead of other Trump officials like Vance (-15), Hegseth (-21), and Patel (-26).

“[Rubio] is underwater,” said Enten, “but not by that much…and he’s nearly 10 points more popular than JD Vance.”

That being said, some experts have noted that Rubio faces a number of difficult “roadblocks” in his path toward the Oval Office. To win, he has to thread the needle between garnering MAGA support and addressing the “major departure” from Trump polls suggest is desired by most voters. He also may yet get ensnared in some of the administration’s key policy disasters, like the war with Iran.

And while Rubio may be popular with many Republicans, there is no shortage of those who remain unconvinced. According to the influential conservative Ann Coulter, he is unlikely to appeal to the “America First” ethos expected by many Republicans.

“The half-wits like Rubio and his donors feel like big intellectual global strategists, striding the globe, rearranging things,” said Coulter recently. “But every time they rearrange things, it’s an unmitigated disaster.”

Trump praises CNN analyst who just called his poll numbers 'downright atrocious'

President Donald Trump praised a CNN analyst who has repeatedly highlighted his sinking poll numbers — a striking turn given his long battle with the network.

On the same day that CNN data analyst Harry Enten asked of the president’s poll numbers, “How low can you go?” Trump called him an “honorable guy” who gives “the good and the bad,” as The Daily Beast reported.

“Mr. President,” a reporter asked on Tuesday, “why is the establishment media claiming so desperately that MAGA is divided?”

“Well, I think it’s the strongest it’s ever been,” Trump replied. “I think MAGA’s never been more together, actually.”

Noting that Enten has called Trump’s poll numbers “downright atrocious” and some of “the ugliest numbers” he has ever seen, The Daily Beast reported that Trump “proceeded to launch into a rave review of Enten.”

“I mean, I appreciate the question because even CNN, they did a poll two, three weeks ago,” Trump continued. “They said Trump is at 100 percent.”

“That’s Harry Enten,” Trump said. “I like Harry Enten. You know, he’s got a lot of energy. I like him. But he did a poll and he’s a good pro. And he gives the good and the bad, but I think he’s an honorable guy. He did a lot of good.”

Back in March, Enten had declared Trump had unanimous approval among his MAGA base — even if he was falling among some conservatives.

“You don’t have to be a mathematical genius to know you can’t go higher than 100 percent,” Enten said. “The bottom line is this: if you are a member of MAGA, you approve of Donald Trump.”

Clearly that had stuck with the president.

“MAGA is most of the Republican Party,” Trump said on Tuesday. “The RINOs (Republicans in Name Only) are gone to a large extent.”

Last week, Enten also had bad news for the president.

“The bottom has completely fallen out when it comes to Donald Trump and Latino voters,” he said on Friday. Latino voters from 2024 “have abandoned him with the utmost, just, dislike of what he is doing so far — just 28 percent, a drop of 18 points.”

“Again, the bottom has just completely fallen out, and, of course, when you look across that political map, there are so many races that will be involving a lot of Latino voters, and when you see numbers like this, I just go, ‘Uh oh,’ if I am a Republican running for Congress,” he said.

'Underneath the cornfields': CNN data guru maps out 'rural revolt against Trump'

The Iowa primary election ended President Donald Trump's sweep of his endorsed candidates, with a non-Trump endorsed candidate winning after GOP voters cast ballots for them over the president's pick. Now, CNN's data guru is looking at how Trump is working out for those in farm country.

"You know, Iowa has been traditionally a field of dreams for the president of the United States. But it's quickly turning into a potential field of nightmares," said data analyst Harry Enten on Friday.

Enten thinks that it's as a result of a " rural revolt" that is unfolding against Trump.

"Take a look here. Rural voters and Trump look, according to Fox News, he was easily winning them back in October of 2024 versus Kamala Harris, 18 points ahead. The exit poll even had it by a bigger margin. But look at where he is now. Whew! Down there underwater, underneath the cornfields. He's now 14 points underwater," continued Enten.

It's a 30-point drop for Trump on whether people trust him to navigate the economy. It proves to Enten that there is a "rural revolt" against Trump.

One of the factors is that rural voters simply didn't like the Democratic nominee in 2024. Under Trump, however, the economy and inflation are the largest factors working against him.

Enten looked specifically at rural America's attitudes on those issues, showing that Trump was up 37 points, and now is down 17. It's an over-50-point drop.

"Rural voters, like the rest of the country, are turning against Trump on the key issue that got him elected to a second term back in 2024," Enten said.

CNN host John Berman was shocked to see the significant drop in the numbers.

Ironically, the candidate Trump endorsed won the "vote by mail" ballots, while the candidate he didn't support won as a result of the vote on Election Day cast in person.

"It seemed to me that Iowa Republicans said, you know what? We hear you, Donald Trump, but you know what? We're dismissing that message again, part of a larger picture in my mind of rural voters not tuning in to what Donald Trump is telling them at this point," explained Enten.

Enten then suggested the idea that it could put the Iowa Senate race in jeopardy for Republicans.

"If, all of a sudden, you're able to put Iowa on the board, if you're a democrat hoping to win back control of the United States Senate, that would be a massive piece of the puzzle. And the last time Iowa elected a Democratic governor was all the way back in 2006. And that looks like a more likely possibility than not," Enten closed, citing the prediction markets.

'Uh oh': CNN data guru stunned by Trump's death spiral numbers

CNN analyst Harry Enten was dumbfounded at how deeply President Donald Trump’s approval rating has collapsed, especially among Latino voters.

“The bottom has completely fallen out when it comes to Donald Trump and Latino voters,” Enten said on Friday.

“What a different world,” he exclaimed. “Oy vey, if I’m the president of the United States, because just take a look here.”

Trump won a “record share” of Latino voters for a “Republican presidential nominee, 46 percent of the vote,” Enten said, “going all the way back since we had the advent of exit polls back in 1972.”

Trump’s job approval rating, in an average of CNN polls, is 28 percent — “an 18 point drop,” Enten explained.

Latino voters from 2024 “have abandoned him with the utmost, just, dislike of what he is doing so far — just 28 percent, a drop of 18 points.”

And with Latino men, Enten said, “Oh, my goodness gracious.”

Trump is at -41 points, a “movement of 51 points, a shift away from the president of the United States.”

“Again, the bottom has just completely fallen out, and, of course, when you look across that political map, there are so many races that will be involving a lot of Latino voters, and when you see numbers like this, I just go, ‘Uh oh,’ if I am a Republican running for Congress,” he said.

Enten also said that one of the reasons Trump had “record performance with Latinos back in 2024, was because the issue of the economy. They trusted Donald Trump by a three-point margin against Kamala Harris.”

But his net approval on the economy now? “Minus 46 points.”

“No wonder the bottom has fallen out with Latino voters and Latino men in particular,” he added.

'Down he goes': CNN analyst stunned by core Trump group in 'absolute collapse'

CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed on Monday support for President Donald Trump is “collapsing” among GOP-leaning independent voters — a core constituency.

“Who are the people who are dragging down President Trump’s approval rating?” Enten asked. “We are talking about a very important bloc for the president of the United States. That is, Republican leaning independents.”

In his first term in office, Trump at this point was at 73 percent support from that core constituency. But that’s changed.

“Down he goes, an absolute collapse,” among those voters, Enten explained. “Now, just 53% of independents who lean Republican now approve of the President of the United States.”

Enten also said that during the 2024 election against Vice President Kamala Harris, Trump received 91 percent support from those independent GOP-leaning voters.

“But down he goes, down into the deep blue sea,” he said. “Now, at 53% on the job approval rating,” noting the 38-point drop from where Trump was during the 2024 election.

“This is a core group for Donald Trump, and they are waving, ‘Adios, amigos, goodbye.'”

Enten also suggested that Republican members of Congress are saying, “Oh, my God, I hope this doesn’t affect me.” He said, “if it does, a lot of those swing district congressional members, right on the Republican side, will be waving adios, amigos goodbye.”

Enten said what’s going on is GOP-leaning independent voters had supported Republican candidates “by 83 points, but now it’s 68 points — that’s a 15 point drop, again, in only 18 months time.”

“These are not numbers that Republicans win with. These are numbers Republicans lose with,” he warned.

Data analyst sees 'collapse' for Trump — even among his base

"The calls are coming from inside the house," CNN host John Berman said on Tuesday.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten agreed.

"Why don't we talk about the key issue of inflation," Enten began. "And what are we talking about? We're talking about a complete collapse of the floor. Look at this. Republicans' net approval of Trump on inflation. You know, you go back when he was running for reelection back in 2024. For term number one, look at that net approval rating. It was plus 68 points in terms of how they viewed Republicans' views on inflation and Trump."

Term number two is a different matter.

"Look at this! Collapse!" exclaimed Enten, citing the Ipsos poll. " ... There are now multiple polls showing that Donald John Trump is underwater within his own Republican Party."

On gas prices, Enten said that Republicans are "calling again." The numbers last summer show a 51-point approval, while it has now shifted to minus four, a 55-point swing.

"This isn't just something about the center of the electorate. This is with Donald Trump's base as well. This is a huge shift. He's underwater again, the floor completely collapsing underneath," said Enten.

"So, you know, we're talking about the collapsing floor, but, you know, if this is an old ruddy house that we don't really care about, then who really cares?" Enten said about the GOP's poor polls. "But this is the house that is most important because you take a look here. Okay, Republicans' top issue is the economy and the cost of living."

In Jan. 2026, 43 percent of Republicans identified the cost of living as the most important issue. That is now 54 percent of Republicans who say it's important.

"Multiple polls showing him underwater on inflation," Enten closed. "A very, very, creaky floor."

'No fantasy': CNN data guru sounds the alarm for the Texas GOP

Texas is absolutely in play,” CNN analyst Harry Enten says. He wants to put to rest the idea that Democrats can’t win Texas.

“Republican senators are running scared,” following President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Texas MAGA Attorney General Ken Paxton over mainstream Republican U.S. Senator John Cornyn. It appears Paxton is now favored to win the nomination for Cornyn’s seat.

A Paxton primary win, Enten says, could land Texas Democratic state Representative James Talarico in the U.S. Senate seat.

“James Talarico could very well win in Texas,” Enten says, noting that the scenario is now very different from 2018, when Democrat Beto O’Rourke tried to unseat Republican Senator Ted Cruz.

Enten also notes that “the numbers, at this point, absolutely support the conclusion that James Talarico can win.”

Cruz was up by seven points in the polls in May of 2018. Paxton now is down by seven points.

“Ted Cruz was actually decently popular, but Ken Paxton is anything but — in poll after poll after poll, he is underwater.”

Cruz “was clearly ahead. But look at the polling average now when you match up Ken Paxton versus James Talarico — it’s actually Talarico that’s ahead by four points.”

Enten notes that “Talarico is polling better than any Democrat in at least 24 years. You have to go all the way back to 2002 to find a Democrat, even polling anywhere close to where Talarico is polling right now.”

Texas Democrats have “dreamt” about turning the Lone Star State blue, and this time, “the numbers actually support the idea that they may actually be able to do it.”

The other part of the equation, Enten notes, is that in 2018 Trump was up by four points in Texas polling. Now, he is down by three.

“Trump is considerably less popular in Texas, which, of course, matches what we’re seeing nationally, which is that Donald Trump is less popular now than he was at this point in term one,” Enten said. “You put it all together, you look at the general election pulse. You look at the popularity of the potential Republican candidates.”

“Talarico winning in Texas is no fantasy,” Enten added on social media. “The GOP is right to be scared.”

Dem discontent 'never been higher': analyst

The Democratic base is split on where they want the party to go — left, center, or stay put — but the majority can agree on their dissatisfaction with the party’s direction, says CNN data guru Harry Enten.

Fewer Democrats are currently satisfied with their party than they were after President Joe Biden’s debate performance that led to him dropping his reelection bid, Enten noted.

Democratic voters’ “p—— offness” Enten added on social media, “has never been higher with their own party in Congress.”

Noting that 46 percent of Democratic voters currently are satisfied with the Democratic Party, Enten reiterated that the majority are dissatisfied.

Looking specifically at Democrats’ net approval of congressional Democrats, Enten explained that after the shutdown in October of last year, congressional Democrats had a net approval rating of plus 22 percent.

“Today, though, look at that,” he said, pointing to a net approval rating of minus 9 points.

“That is an over 30 point drop, at the climb, right into the ocean, right there,” he said.

“And I will note it had never been negative. Democrats had always had a positive net approval rating of their own party in Congress in every Congress before this one.”

“Congressional Democrats are underwater with their own party, and that’s why I think these primaries are going to be so interesting, because they’re going to tell us, okay, which way do Democrats want their party to go?”

He said the “big problem” is “Democrats aren’t sure what direction they want their party to go.”

Nearly three in ten (28 percent) want the party to move to the left, he said. Less than one in five (18 percent) want the party to not move at all. And nearly half — 47 percent — want the party to move to the center.

“This is a party divided, where they’re not actually giving a clear message of where they want their party to go,” he noted.

Offering a note of caution to lawmakers in primary races, Enten said that “if all of a sudden, Democrats are actually going to move to the left — which is not what their party wants — that will actually upset the rest of the electorate.”

Enten said the “only thing” that unites the Democratic base right now is “they are very upset with Donald Trump, and I think the candidates who are able to actually capture that, that’s the candidates who are going to advance to the general election.”

Trump trapped in 'politically devastating nightmare': data analyst

The American people have reached a new level of frustration with President Donald Trump over the affordability issues affecting their budgets.

On Thursday, CNN data analyst Harry Enten revealed that no president that he could find has had such historic disapproval ratings on fuel prices than Trump.

During the pandemic, as Americans went back to work, fuel prices spiked to slightly over $5 per gallon, but even President Joe Biden didn't suffer Trump's level of disapproval.

Speaking to co-host John Berman, Enten explained that often when gas prices go up the president is the one who "pays the price." Never has it been this much, he said.

"We're talking about a record here," Enten said. "Take a look at this: highest disapproval on gas prices. Look at this. President Trump, 79 percent. Seventy-nine percent of Americans disapprove of him on gas prices!"

He displayed numbers from former Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Joe Biden and the current Trump administration.

It "also reached the 70s, but [it was] never this high," Enten said about the oil crisis of the 1970s. "This is a record high in terms of looking back at every single president this century. Again, President Trump is breaking records across the political map. But on this one, he is also doing. And in a way, simply put, don't want to be breaking records."

The main reason those numbers are as bad as they are, he explained, is that Republicans are now also angry at Trump. While Democratic disapproval (97 percent) is frequently high, and his Independent voter disapproval (85 percent) has climbed, his GOP voter disapproval on gas prices has now reached 52 percent.

Enten said he even sifted through the records of the second Bush presidency, saying he didn't reach those historically bad numbers with Independents until the very end of his presidency, as the economy collapsed. Trump is tied with those numbers.

"And that is why he, of course, has the highest disapproval rating of all time, at least that I could find for any president on gas prices," Enten closed.

Stubborn GOP voters still back Trump despite his polling collapse

President Donald Trump’s hold on independent and non-affiliated voters keeps shrinking, but CNN analyst Harry Enten says Trump is as popular and powerful as ever among Republican voters.

Enten looked at this week’s results in the Indiana primaries, where a majority of Republican state lawmakers who opposed the president’s push for redistricting were voted out of office.

“As Indiana goes, so goes the nation when it comes to Republican voters and Donald John Trump,” Enten said. “He absolutely still has the juice, and when you’re a Republican and you go against Trump, you get voted off the island.”

Enten extrapolated that result to the rest of the country, saying that Indiana “is emblematic of what we see nationwide with Republicans.”

“I think there’s this myth that’s going on right now that, oh, ‘Trump is really losing support among Republicans.’ But compared to other midterm cycles, he’s just as popular with Republicans as he has ever been at this point in midterm cycles,” he said

Enten found that at this point in his first term, in 2018, Trump’s approval rating among his GOP base was 85 percent. Now, it’s 84 percent.

“That 85 looks a whole heck of a lot like this 84 percent right here,” Enten said. “The bottom line is this: Donald Trump still absolutely has juice with Republican voters.”

“You saw it in Indiana, and I think that you’ll see it down the line, as well, if any Republicans try and go against the President of the United States, who is still very much beloved by Republican voters nationwide.”

Enten says that the core Republican base “really loves Donald Trump.”

“The people who really love him, they’re the ones who are absolutely juiced up to go out and vote.”

“They would go over hot coals to vote in those primaries,” Enten observed, “and you saw that in Indiana, where the clear majority of those representatives who went against Trump on redistricting, well, they’re no longer gonna have a job come the next session.”

Enten continued, saying that “support among Republicans is just as strong as it was going into the 2018 midterm cycle.”

“So it’s not just that Republicans really like Donald Trump — it’s they want their leaders to follow Donald Trump, and when they don’t, as I said at the beginning, you get voted off the island.”

But while the distillation of far-right Trumpists works well in GOP primaries, the primary winners will soon have to face voters who are not nearly so accommodating in November.

Data analyst drops bombshell: GOP still can’t win the House

After what unfolded in Virginia's redistricting battle, the Democratic Party's chance of winning the 2026 midterm election isn't what it once was, CNN data analyst Harry Enten said on Monday.

Speaking to host John Berman, Enten said that it's still possible, but it's a heavier lift.

Citing prediction markets, Enten said that just last month, in April, there was an 86 percent chance that the Democrats would take back the House. Today, that number has dropped by 10 percent. That said, it's still high, at 76 percent.

The job for Democrats "has become more difficult," Enten explained.

"Why is that? Because let's take a look at the national House vote margin. You know, for control, you under the current lines, you know, the ones that were fought under in the 2024 election cycle," said Enten.

"For example," he continued, "they needed to win the national House vote by less than a point. They basically just needed to win the national House vote, and they'd win a majority. But look where it is now with redistricting. Now they have to win the national House vote by somewhere between 3 and 4 points. Based, of course, upon what the rest of the redistricting cycle looks like."

He explained that regardless of how the "nut" is cracked, Democrats can still win; however, they must climb a higher mountain to take back the House than they did a few weeks ago.

The good news is that the current lead shows Democrats are still favored to win six districts more than Republicans, and they only need three to four. It's still a win, but it's a lower number than Democrats would likely prefer, he said.

"But the bottom line is this, their lead right now in the national House vote polls is higher than the margin that is necessary in order to take back the U.S. House of Representatives. Even with redistricting," he closed.


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