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Pollster reveals the one Trump official who is 'really, really, really popular'

With President Donald Trump serving out his lame duck term, there has been much discussion about who will be heir to the Republican throne. While no clear leader has emerged, according to CNN’s Harry Enten, one White House official is gaining steam.

“Marco Rubio is really, really, really popular with Republicans,” Enten revealed on Wednesday. “His chances to be the Republican nominee in 2028 are up like a rocket taking off from Cape Canaveral.”

According to Enten — who is CNN’s chief data analyst — evidence of Rubio’s snowballing popularity comes from the prediction market Kalshi, on which odds that the Secretary of State will be the GOP nominee jumped from 11 percent in January to 30 percent by the end of May.

“All of a sudden, the people putting their money where their mouths are are really liking Rubio’s chances,” said Enten.

While it was once widely assumed that Vice President JD Vance would lead the Republican ticket in 2028, his political cache has diminished due to a number of recent setbacks and humiliations tied to the undesirable tasks he was handed, like stumping for the failed reelection of former Hungarian strongman Prime Minister Viktor Orban, and overseeing early peace negotiations with Iran that fizzled embarrassingly. Meanwhile, Rubio has tended to enjoy less precarious tasks like visiting the Vatican to ease tensions with the Pope or accompanying Trump to UFC fights, which have garnered him generally positive or at least neutral media coverage.

Consequently, Rubio’s popularity has grown precipitously. As Forbes reports, among Republicans, his “net approval rating is the highest of any member of Trump’s administration at +77 points, according to Quinnipiac. JD Vance sits at +69, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at +63, and FBI Director Kash Patel at +49.”

Or as Enten explains, “Marco Rubio is, simply put, the most popular Republican in the Trump administration besides the president himself, and also, if you zone in a little bit more, of the Cabinet itself.”

That being said, Enten notes that Rubio still faces a -6 net approval rating among all voters, but while that means there is still ground for him to make up, he remains firmly ahead of other Trump officials like Vance (-15), Hegseth (-21), and Patel (-26).

“[Rubio] is underwater,” said Enten, “but not by that much…and he’s nearly 10 points more popular than JD Vance.”

That being said, some experts have noted that Rubio faces a number of difficult “roadblocks” in his path toward the Oval Office. To win, he has to thread the needle between garnering MAGA support and addressing the “major departure” from Trump polls suggest is desired by most voters. He also may yet get ensnared in some of the administration’s key policy disasters, like the war with Iran.

And while Rubio may be popular with many Republicans, there is no shortage of those who remain unconvinced. According to the influential conservative Ann Coulter, he is unlikely to appeal to the “America First” ethos expected by many Republicans.

“The half-wits like Rubio and his donors feel like big intellectual global strategists, striding the globe, rearranging things,” said Coulter recently. “But every time they rearrange things, it’s an unmitigated disaster.”

CNN data guru has more bad news for Trump

CNN data guru Harry Enten has some bad news for President Donald Trump: the vast majority of Americans — including most Republicans — think he surrendered to Iran in order to end the war asap rather than because he had achieved any of his objectives. According to Enten, two-thirds of all voters held this opinion, but surprisingly, over half of Republicans — 53 percent — shared this view.

“Look at this,” said Enten. “66 percent of Americans simply think he wanted to end the war, and even among Republicans, his own party, don’t think that, in fact, the Trump administration met its war goals. In fact, they think he wants to just end the war.”

What’s more, the numbers show that most Americans don’t believe Trump’s claim that the U.S. won the war. Said Enten, “What they think happened was Iran was fighting back, America looked at the chance of victory in terms of what Trump initially laid out as the chance of victory — they did not think that that was possibly going to be accomplished. We’re talking about two-thirds of Americans, and even a majority of Republicans.”

According to Enten, disapproval of the conflict has been consistent, starting at around 64 percent during its early weeks, rising to 66 percent, then dropping back to 64 percent, with 75 percent of independents holding negative views.

“No matter what deal has been made, the clear majority, two-thirds of Americans, still disapprove of the job that Donald Trump is doing when it comes to that conflict,” Enten said, noting that opinions haven’t shifted since the peace agreement was signed. “Americans still disapprove of the job that Donald Trump is doing on Iran. The polling is quite steady.”

What’s more, the latest polling shows that 57 percent of Americans think the war caused more problems than it solved, with only 21 percent saying the opposite and another 21 percent saying the situation is exactly the same as before. That’s 78 percent of Americans who think the outcome is the same or worse than before the conflict: hardly a ringing endorsement of Trump’s decision to launch war in the first place. That same poll, conducted in the final days of the war, found that 78 percent of Americans believe the U.S. should end the war immediately, versus just 22 percent who think the U.S. should persist until Iran gives up further concessions.

This has proven a major drag on the president's approval rating in general. As USA Today explains, “Trump's approval rating overall has been underwater for the majority of his return to office, but the war's disruption to the global oil supply chain has pushed prices up, and his approval rating down.” Since the war’s end, Trump’s approval has ticked up just slightly, reaching 38 percent.

CNN data analyst tears apart voters who thought Trump 'couldn’t get any worse'

If President Donald Trump thought his ratings couldn't get any worse, he was wrong, said CNN's data analyst, Harry Enten.

The numbers guru reported Tuesday that, on foreign policy, Trump has taken a nosedive in America's trust in him.

"So how's the president doing on foreign policy?" asked CNN host John Berman.

"Bad. Bad. I mean, you know, he came into office. 'Oh, you know, I'm going to end the wars.' Well, the wars aren't ending," Enten said. "And if anything, we're adding to them. And you can just see it right here. I mean, Trump and foreign policy in 2024 versus Kamala Harris. Foreign policy was a strength for this president. He was trusted more on foreign policy than Kamala Harris!"

That is no longer the case, however. While Trump may have been up by 10 points over Harris in 2024, that number has not only flipped, but it has double-flipped.

"The net approval now on foreign policy in 2026 — down he goes right into the Strait of Hormuz," Enten joked, referencing Trump's failures in the Iran war.

"Look at this: 22 points in the negative direction. A minus-22-point net approval rating," he continued. "That is a drop of over 30 points. And among independents, he is now at negative 30 points. You know, I love those notes at the bottom of the screen. Johnny B, so that is a movement of 44 points among independents."

Foreign policy was a huge strength for Trump in the 2024 campaign because he promised he would stop the so-called "forever wars" like Iraq and Afghanistan. He also bragged he could end the war between Ukraine and Russia in 24 hours and even said he might end it before he even takes office.

"Well, here in reality, the war is still going on," Enten said, mocking the president. "And obviously that has been in the news very much recently. And you could see it right here. Trump in the Russia-Ukraine war. Look at this in 2024. Again, it was a strength for him, slightly more trusted than Kamala Harris by two points."

But the shift there has been considerable. Trump went from up by 2 points to down by 19 points.

"That's a 20-point switcheroo," Enten said.

Independents make it even worse. He was up 7 points with them and is now down 36 points, a more than 40-point drop in less than two years.

The Iran war was already unpopular, but it has grown more unpopular.

"Look at this again, you start in the negative at -19 points. You say it can't get any worse. It absolutely has gotten worse. We're talking now -28 points a shift again of about ten points in the negative direction from an already low point. And I'm not thinking that the rise in gas prices will help him out," Enten closed.

Data expert issues huge warning to Trump’s GOP: 'This is what kills parties'

CNN data analyst Harry Enten sounded the alarm that President Donald Trump appears "so politically tone deaf" around issues like the economy and affordability.

Speaking on CNN Friday, Enten addressed the high fuel costs that are soaring as a result of renewed bombing in the Middle East. While Trump's name isn't on the ballot in 2026, his party and his policies are.

When asked whether they believe that the Iran war was worth the high gas prices, 65 percent of Americans said "no." These numbers were before the huge increase in costs over the last few days, Enten added.

On one end, he said, Trump is claiming "it is what it is," while Americans disagree.

CNN host Sara Sidner asked if that translates to all Republicans.

"If there's any fantasy that is out there that somehow what is going on, the blame that's being put on the White House won't funnel its way down ballot? Well, I'm here to extinguish that false belief," said Enten.

In polling done before the recent escalation of the Iran war, only 27 percent of Americans blame Democrats for high fuel prices, while 65 percent blame Republicans.

"Look at this lion's share again, this two and three," he repeated, showing two in three Americans blame Republicans for high gas prices.

"So all that pain that Americans feel that they are putting ... on Donald Trump, that idea that it won't funnel its way down the ballot — as I said at the beginning, it is a false belief. It, simply put, isn't true. Republicans, it is quite unlikely that they will be able to escape the blame that is being put on the White House when it comes to the ballot box come this November if the gas prices remain where they are," Enten continued.

Sidner added that Republicans hold all of the power in Washington, and Enten agreed.

Enten went on to say that one of the main reasons that Trump got elected in 2024 was because of high inflation. It was on a downward trajectory, but under his administration, his decisions have led to higher inflation. In 2024, Americans trusted Trump more on dealing with inflation by six points. Today, that number has more than flipped, with Americans trusting Democrats more by a ten-point margin.

The numbers come from a recent Fox News poll, and Enten said it's the largest number that Democrats have held on inflation in a Fox News poll.

Data analyst reveals how Trump lost young Republicans on foreign policy

President Donald Trump is not only underwater with Democrats and Independents, but now he's losing young Republicans.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten revealed that when it comes to the Iran war and foreign policy in general, Trump has lost his own base.

"Trump [has a] historically strong performance with younger voters. And here we're talking about voters under the age of 45. He beat Kamala Harris with them, or at least beat the prior Republican baselines with them," said Enten. "And you can see it right here on foreign policy. He absolutely crushed Kamala Harris, who was more trusted under the age of 45, on foreign policy."

Trump had a nine-point lead over Harris on foreign policy, but that has shifted significantly.

"He has a net approval rating now on foreign policy — 40 points underwater, a nearly 50-point switcheroo," Enten said.

"So, after putting in the strongest performance, more trusted on foreign policy, the first since George W. Bush all the way back in '04, [Trump] has completely lost that advantage way down there. He is no longer groovy. According to the young people of America," Enten said.

Those foreign policy numbers are coming from Trump's failure in the Iran war.

"Just take a look at how people under the age of 45 feel about Iran not being worth the cost," said Enten. "Look at this: four in five —81 percent said the Iran war is not worth the cost. And look at Trump's disapproval. Basically simpatico with this, 77 percent of those under the age of 45 say the Iran war, or, excuse me, say that Trump's disapproval of the Iran war is way up there, up there like a rocket at 77 percent."

The generations make it clear that it isn't worth the cost.

The older end of those under 45 are members of the Millennial Generation, who faced the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. Brown University's Costs of War Project showed that the casualty and injury rate for the 19 years of war come overwhelmingly from the Millennial Generation.

The Harvard Institute of Politics showed that "young adults [18 to 29] are overwhelmingly skeptical about the current U.S. strategy in Iran."

Trump underwater in 6 key states GOP needs to keep the Senate: CNN analyst

CNN data analyst Harry Enten says President Donald Trump is dragging down Republican Senate candidates in six battleground states Democrats hope to win to flip the chamber in November — and Trump will bear the blame if Democrats retake the majority. Democrats need to pick up four of the six to help turn the Senate blue.

“Donald John Trump is an anchor dragging down these Republican candidates across the board,” Enten said. “If they lose the Senate, it will be because of Donald Trump becoming so unpopular, especially on the cost of living.”

The issue of affordability will “drag those Republicans down and boost the Democrats to a Senate majority,” he added.

According to polling Enten cited, Trump is underwater in Alaska, Texas, Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, and Maine — and on affordability, he is down by double digits in those six states.

“If Democrats are going to take back control of the United States Senate it will be in large part because of one man and one man alone,” Enten said. “And it is this man right here, Donald John Trump, because he is an anchor, he is an anchor, on Republicans running for the United States Senate.”

Enten compared Trump’s popularity in 2024 to recent polling in those six states. Just two years ago his net approval rating was plus eight points. Now, it is negative 11 points.

“In 2024, on average, he won those states by eight points,” Enten explained. “And most of them he won by double digits. But look where he is now on his net approval rating. Down down, he goes into the Ohio River. Look at this, he’s at minus 11 points. It’s a nearly 20 points switcheroo in the negative direction.”

“So Donald Trump across the board, across the board, in each of the six key Senate states is now underwater in all of them, despite winning in five of six of them.”

“Why have the people in these states so turned against the President of the United States in five of the six of these that he won? It comes down to the cost of living.”

Enten showed that Trump is underwater on affordability — voters’ number one issue — by 22 points in Alaska, 21 points in Texas, 24 points in Iowa, 26 points in Ohio, 29 points in North Carolina, and 36 points in Maine.

If affordability remains an issue in November, “it will drag those Republicans down and boost the Democrats to a Senate majority.”

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he attends the opening night of 'Chicago' at the John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, renamed by the Trump administration to The Donald J. Trump and The John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 31, 2026.

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he attends the opening night of 'Chicago' at the John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, renamed by the Trump administration to The Donald J. Trump and The John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 31, 2026. U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he attends the opening night of 'Chicago' at the John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, renamed by the Trump administration to The Donald J. Trump and The John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts, in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 31, 2026. REUTERS/Evan Vucci

'Underneath the cornfields': CNN data guru maps out 'rural revolt against Trump'

The Iowa primary election ended President Donald Trump's sweep of his endorsed candidates, with a non-Trump endorsed candidate winning after GOP voters cast ballots for them over the president's pick. Now, CNN's data guru is looking at how Trump is working out for those in farm country.

"You know, Iowa has been traditionally a field of dreams for the president of the United States. But it's quickly turning into a potential field of nightmares," said data analyst Harry Enten on Friday.

Enten thinks that it's as a result of a " rural revolt" that is unfolding against Trump.

"Take a look here. Rural voters and Trump look, according to Fox News, he was easily winning them back in October of 2024 versus Kamala Harris, 18 points ahead. The exit poll even had it by a bigger margin. But look at where he is now. Whew! Down there underwater, underneath the cornfields. He's now 14 points underwater," continued Enten.

It's a 30-point drop for Trump on whether people trust him to navigate the economy. It proves to Enten that there is a "rural revolt" against Trump.

One of the factors is that rural voters simply didn't like the Democratic nominee in 2024. Under Trump, however, the economy and inflation are the largest factors working against him.

Enten looked specifically at rural America's attitudes on those issues, showing that Trump was up 37 points, and now is down 17. It's an over-50-point drop.

"Rural voters, like the rest of the country, are turning against Trump on the key issue that got him elected to a second term back in 2024," Enten said.

CNN host John Berman was shocked to see the significant drop in the numbers.

Ironically, the candidate Trump endorsed won the "vote by mail" ballots, while the candidate he didn't support won as a result of the vote on Election Day cast in person.

"It seemed to me that Iowa Republicans said, you know what? We hear you, Donald Trump, but you know what? We're dismissing that message again, part of a larger picture in my mind of rural voters not tuning in to what Donald Trump is telling them at this point," explained Enten.

Enten then suggested the idea that it could put the Iowa Senate race in jeopardy for Republicans.

"If, all of a sudden, you're able to put Iowa on the board, if you're a democrat hoping to win back control of the United States Senate, that would be a massive piece of the puzzle. And the last time Iowa elected a Democratic governor was all the way back in 2006. And that looks like a more likely possibility than not," Enten closed, citing the prediction markets.

CNN data analyst warns GOP: Trump’s election conspiracy theories are a 'losing message'

Georgia Republican Senate candidate Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) is parroting President Donald Trump's 2020 election conspiracy theories, even though it's a "losing message," as one data analyst said.

Trump's administration staged an FBI raid on the Fulton County elections offices, claiming that they needed all ballots cast to search for election fraud.

Speaking to CNN on Monday, however, data analyst Harry Enten made it clear that if Collins wants to win, he should keep his mouth shut about 2020.

He's in good company when it comes to the Republican Party, but the rest of America is calling it bunk.

"I mean, they just believe this garbage," Enten said about the GOP. "Look at this: GOP that says that the 2020 election was stolen."

In 2021, 60 percent of Republicans said that the 2020 election was stolen, and in 2026, that number has risen to 63 percent.

Enten said that Collins is "starting to feel a whole lot like Herschel Walker 2.0." Walker lost his election in 2022. He explained that Collins' comments to CNN's Manu Raju make sense in the larger GOP narrative, but when it comes to reality, the rest of America isn't along for the ride.

"Most Republicans, despite all of the evidence to the contrary, believe that the 2020 election was, in fact, stolen," said Enten.

That's all well and good in a primary, but the general electorate doesn't embrace the sentiment.

"The Republican Party [is] all the way over on the right, and the rest of the American public is in the same camp, and the actual — this is the real world we're dealing with here," an animated Enten said.

In 2021, 59 percent of Americans didn't believe the election was stolen, and that number has jumped up to 64 percent who said that they don't think the election was stolen.

"So what you see is the American people believe in the results, rightfully believe in the results of the 2020 election, and then you have Republicans all the way in another camp. It is a losing message!" he concluded.

"That's why I say that Mike Collins is starting to sound like Herschel Walker 2.0," he concluded.

Data analyst says 'younger voters have never been more pessimistic'

The younger generation, known as Gen. Z, is quickly losing its faith in the United States.

According to CNN's data analyst Harry Enten, he isn't certain that he's ever seen so many young people angry about the government and the future of America.

"I don't think that younger folks have ever been more p—— off and pessimistic in terms of what we're seeing from our government or faith in our country," said Enten.

Millennials have an approval rating for democrats

He drew attention to the support among Millennials, those under 45, who have 73 percent approval and pride in being American and among Gen Z, those under 29, who are about 31 percent proud of the U.S.

"These are some of the most worrying stats, some of the most worrying trends that I think I've seen in the polling data, about how the youngest folks coming into the electorate feel about our country," said Enten.

Gen Z also isn't all that crazy about the U.S.'s form of government.

Part of the reason that these numbers are bad, Enten said, is that when asked whether our "constitutional government has withstood the test of time, they appear less willing to be 'proud to be an American' than the millennials in 2015."

When asked about whether the Constitution-based government is working, 50 percent of Americans say "yes," but among those under 30, the number is half, just 25 percent.

"What we're talking about is just that they don't feel that those under the age of 30, Gen Z, do not feel that the constitution-based government, which has been our government for a very long period of time, is working anymore," Enten said.

The political parties are doing even worse among Gen. Z.

"They hate everybody! They hate everybody! That's what's going on," said Enten. "Voters under the age of 30 disapprove of Trump. Three in four, 76 percent." Meanwhile, 75 percent are dissatisfied with the Democratic Party.

Data analyst reveals 2028 presidential candidate is 'way underwater' in his home state

One of the potential Republican candidates for president in 2028 isn't doing very well back home in his own state — and he's suffering considerably with female voters.

Vice President JD Vance has been on shows defending President Donald Trump, but it comes at a time when he also has a new book out. CNN host John Berman said that a new political book generally means the author is running for president.

Speaking to CNN, data analyst Harry Enten cited some of the prediction markets showing that numbers have changed since the beginning of the year. On Jan. 1, the chances that Vance would win the 2028 GOP nomination was about 50 percent, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio came in with a distant 11 percent. Rubio is now up to 28 percent, and Vance has fallen significantly to a 33 percent chance of becoming president again in 2028.

"Look at this! The gap — it is closing. It is closing," Enten said with gusto.

He noted that the thing that changed is the Iran war.

Approval ratings among Republican voters are important if one of the two intends to run for president. Net approval in Vance has declined, according to the Quinnipiac University Poll. He was up 81 percent and now is closer to 69 percent approval. Rubio has increased, standing at 75 percent, and now is at 77 percent approval.

Back home, things are looking worse for Vance. According to Enten, one can tell a lot by how a candidate's home state feels about them. In Vance's Ohio, his net favorability was up 5 percent, but now it's down 7 percent. Among Independents, Vance is 27 percent underwater.

"JD Vance, not so popular in the Buckeye State," said Enten.

Berman called it "Problems at home." How about his net approval overall?

Overall, Enten said that Vance is still suffering with women. A few years ago, Vance attacked single cat ladies, it didn't do much to help him with the women's vote. With women, Vance is down 26 percent and down 2 percent with men.

Trump praises CNN analyst who just called his poll numbers 'downright atrocious'

President Donald Trump praised a CNN analyst who has repeatedly highlighted his sinking poll numbers — a striking turn given his long battle with the network.

On the same day that CNN data analyst Harry Enten asked of the president’s poll numbers, “How low can you go?” Trump called him an “honorable guy” who gives “the good and the bad,” as The Daily Beast reported.

“Mr. President,” a reporter asked on Tuesday, “why is the establishment media claiming so desperately that MAGA is divided?”

“Well, I think it’s the strongest it’s ever been,” Trump replied. “I think MAGA’s never been more together, actually.”

Noting that Enten has called Trump’s poll numbers “downright atrocious” and some of “the ugliest numbers” he has ever seen, The Daily Beast reported that Trump “proceeded to launch into a rave review of Enten.”

“I mean, I appreciate the question because even CNN, they did a poll two, three weeks ago,” Trump continued. “They said Trump is at 100 percent.”

“That’s Harry Enten,” Trump said. “I like Harry Enten. You know, he’s got a lot of energy. I like him. But he did a poll and he’s a good pro. And he gives the good and the bad, but I think he’s an honorable guy. He did a lot of good.”

Back in March, Enten had declared Trump had unanimous approval among his MAGA base — even if he was falling among some conservatives.

“You don’t have to be a mathematical genius to know you can’t go higher than 100 percent,” Enten said. “The bottom line is this: if you are a member of MAGA, you approve of Donald Trump.”

Clearly that had stuck with the president.

“MAGA is most of the Republican Party,” Trump said on Tuesday. “The RINOs (Republicans in Name Only) are gone to a large extent.”

Last week, Enten also had bad news for the president.

“The bottom has completely fallen out when it comes to Donald Trump and Latino voters,” he said on Friday. Latino voters from 2024 “have abandoned him with the utmost, just, dislike of what he is doing so far — just 28 percent, a drop of 18 points.”

“Again, the bottom has just completely fallen out, and, of course, when you look across that political map, there are so many races that will be involving a lot of Latino voters, and when you see numbers like this, I just go, ‘Uh oh,’ if I am a Republican running for Congress,” he said.

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