President Donald Trump is having an unhappy anniversary when it comes to his net approval rating.

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten averaged a year’s worth of political polling and discovered Trump has a negative net approval rating for an entire year. That means Trump is more underwater than any president in this century, Enten claims.

“According to my average of polls, what we've been looking at is every day since March 12th, 2025, President Trump has been underwater. ... We have now reached the point in which Trump has been swimming with the fishes for a year.”

Independent voters are a key reason why, Enten says.

Compared to other presidents at this point in their second term, Trump’s 38 percent underwater approval is “worse than (Barack) Obama by 20 points. That is worse than George W. Bush by double digits,” even with Bush’s drag on approval caused by the botched Katrina hurricane recovery efforts, the Iraq war and the Great Recession.

A Fox News poll indicates the dissatisfaction with Trump stems from a belief that he’s focusing on the wrong things. Some 60 percent in general believe that, with a whopping 78 percent of independents holding that view, Enten says.

That indicates an extreme likelihood that the midterms will be a blue wave for Democrats.

“We've been talking about the House and pretty much every historical marker, all the prediction markets, all the polling, indicates that the Democrats are in the catbird seat when it comes back to taking back the House,” Enten said. “But how about combining it with the United States Senate? That is taking back the whole enchilada, taking back all of Congress.”

Enten labeled the prospect of Dems taking both bodies “quite shocking, because a lot of folks like myself thought Democrats would take back the House. But the idea of taking back the Senate as well, that is a pretty big deal.”

There is an election on Tuesday in several states, but one is standing out to CNN data analyst Harry Enten: the Wisconsin Supreme Court.

Speaking to host John Berman on Monday, Enten explained that the seat is currently held by a conservative state Supreme Court Justice. Given how these elections have been turning against Republicans, however, it could turn the liberal leaning majority into "an overwhelming majority."

These races are non-partisan, but in recent years, they have become increasingly partisan, with specific ideologies being revealed through policy positions.

The challenger, Chris Taylor, is heavily favored to win the race, Enten explained, citing the "prediction markets."

"And this would take the court from four three liberal to five two liberal" majority, Enten explained.

The state has become important, Berman said, because in the presidential elections it tends to break with a 50/50 split. Given it has so many electoral votes, it has become a critical battleground state in the Electoral College.

As President Donald Trump launches lawsuits over election matters, a liberal state Supreme Court majority will make important decisions on election laws and any legal battles around state legislation.

"But more than that, the trends in Wisconsin tend to go countrywide," Enten highlighted. "What are we talking about in terms of this? Enthusiasms, enthusiasms, enthusiasms, to quote my dear friend John Berman there, quoting somebody else. More enthusiastic voters for 2026. Look at this: At this point, for the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, Democrats have a 19-point edge on extremely motivated, extremely enthusiastic voters. Look how similar that is to what we're seeing in the national polls for the U.S. House race for Congress, right?"

In that case, Democratic enthusiasm for Congress is at 17.

"So what happens in Wisconsin is very unlikely to stay in Wisconsin. It is reflective of what we're seeing nationally, which is Democrats are revved up and ready to go," Enten said.

He also compared Wisconsin to the off-year elections seen in New Jersey and Virginia. In 2017, when those two states went blue, Wisconsin's off-year elections did too.

"It looks a whole heck of a lot like what we saw back in the 2017, 2018 cycle, right? N.J. gov, Virginia gov, Wisconsin Supreme Court. They flipped the seat there back in 2018," Enten said.

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President Donald Trump is leading the Democrats to victory in North Carolina, CNN data analyst Harry Enten reported on Tuesday.

While it's election day in states like Georgia and Wisconsin, North Carolina is growing increasingly likely to flip a U.S. Senate seat due to Trump's unpopular war with Iran.

Analysts expect the House of Representatives to flip to Democratic Control, but there are now growing reports that Republicans might lose the Senate as well.

"So you want to talk about a state that Donald Trump has won three times? Three times. But it looks to me that Roy Cooper, the former governor of the great state of North Carolina, has a real shot here," Enten said of the Democratic candidate running for U.S. Senate.

Outgoing Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican, announced last year that he would retire at the end of his term, leaving the seat open for the popular governor to swoop in.

Citing prediction markets, Enten said that in October, Cooper was looking good with a 63 percent likelihood he would win. The probability that Cooper will win has now increased to 86 percent. Trump won the seat in 2024 by three points.

"So Donald Trump has won North Carolina three times," Enten recalled.

"In the spring of 2025, Donald Trump was three points underwater overall among independents. He was 18 points underwater. Look at how low he has fallen now among independents; he's 42 points underwater," Enten continued. "And overall, he's 15 points underwater right now. North Carolina is not a pink state. It is much more of a purple, dare I say, light blue state, with how unpopular Donald Trump is dragging down Republicans. And he may, in fact, push Roy Cooper into the Senate."

Net approval for the war in North Carolina is -19, but among Independents it's -41 points.

"This war, if it continues on, will continue to drag Republican candidates down across the political map," Enten warned.pre

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CNN data analyst Harry Enten reported on Wednesday that the impending runoff for the GOP may be at the top of the news after Tuesday's primary election in Texas, but there's a huge story in the numbers.

The top takeaway is that the Texas Democratic Primary may not have been close, but it was the highest ever turnout in a primary ever. It was so significant, he said, that Democratic turnout was more than the GOP turnout. However, the state has significantly more Republicans than Democrats.

"We're already up to 2.3 million. And that's only with 92 percent of the estimated vote in that will climb ever higher," said Enten.

The one that came closest was the race between President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in 2008.

"As I said, the word to describe this is tremendous," Enten said.

"It's not just that this 2.3 million is such a large portion, the largest ever for a Texas Senate Democratic primary," he explained. "It's that more people voted in the Democratic Primary than the Republican Primary. Look at this, the share of Texas midterm primary ballots. Look at this 2000s average was less than a million."

In the past, there has been a 3-to-2 ballot selection in Texas primaries, with more choosing the GOP ballot than the Democratic ballot. This election, that changed.

"So far, Democrats, more people are actually choosing the Democratic ballot. This is extremely, extremely unusual," Enten said. It's particularly unusual given there is a highly contested Republican Senate race."

In 2024, male voters were the most important voting bloc in President Donald Trump’s victory. Two years later, with the economy floundering, however, men are abandoning him in droves.

According to CNN statistical analyst Harry Enten, the latest poll numbers are not looking good for the president. In the last election, Trump won among men by a margin of 13 percentage points, but today, his net approval among men is -7 points — a 20-point plunge overall. That’s not only bad for Trump's approval ratings, but for the GOP in general.

“I think it is very difficult for Republicans to do well in this midterm cycle if Donald Trump is underwater with men,” said Enten.

The largest change is among men under 45. While in 2020 young men voted Biden by a large plurality, by 2024 they had made a massive shift toward Trump, allowing him to win among young men by 5 points. Today, however, that number has free-fallen to -19 points — a massive 24 point drop.

“Those men that had switched their allegiances over to the Republican party are seeing what the president is doing,” said Enten. “They don’t like what the president is doing, and they have very much soured on the president.”

When asked what issue was most driving that change, the answer was simple. In the famous words of Democratic strategist James Carville, “It’s the economy, stupid.”

According to polls, in 2024, male voters trusted Trump with cost-of-living issues by a margin of 10 points. Today, he’s down by a staggering 30 points among the same demographic.

In recent weeks, anger over Trump’s handling of the economy has been discussed primarily in the context of his war on Iran, which has driven up the cost of gas — and therefore just about everything else — precipitously. But even before the war, opinions of the economic situation were dismal due to a combination of tariff-driven inflation, a poor job market, and other factors.

None of this bodes well for Republicans heading into the midterms, with polls indicating that the Democrats stand to win in elections across the country.

“There is no way on God’s green Earth that the Republican party can hold onto the House of Representatives if this number holds,” declared Enten. “That means see you later to that Republican House majority, and maybe that Senate majority as well.”

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten sifted through the latest numbers from the network's poll and revealed that President Donald Trump is now doing worse than his predecessors.

Speaking about the numbers released Wednesday, Enten said that American anger about gas prices has exploded. A whopping 76 percent of Americans disapprove of the way that Trump is handling fuel costs. While gas prices were higher under President Joe Biden during the post-pandemic energy and inflation crisis, the jump in gas prices under Trump has been significant enough to rile Americans.

Host John Berman began the segment, citing the president's approval at just 31 percent, "an all-time career low for him."

"This is no April Fool's joke. This is disaster," Enten said. "All these numbers are a disaster for President Trump. Let's just talk about inflation, which is the name of the game."

The numbers there show that more people disapprove of Trump on the issue of inflation than both Biden and former President Jimmy Carter, who was in office during an energy crisis in the 1970s.

"And Jimmy Carter, whose presidency, just like Joe Biden's, was absolutely wrecked by inflation, was at 66 percent about at this point in his presidency back in 1978, Donald Trump, even worse than they are," said Enten.

Of Carter, Trump said in 2019, “He’s a nice man. He was a terrible President. He’s been trashed within his own party. He’s been trashed.”

Trump added an addendum to his opinion in April of 2025, saying, "Jimmy Carter died a happy man. You know why? Because he wasn't the worst. President Joe Biden was."

In Trump's case, 72 percent disapprove of his handling of inflation.

On the economy, the highest disapproval for former President George W. Bush around this same time was 57 percent. Trump has exceeded that and more, with 69 percent of Americans disapproving of his handling of the economy. At the same time in his presidency, President Barack Obama's worst numbers were 56 percent.

"And of course, the gas prices — just adding up. It's like a pancake tower, and you're just reaching the top. And this is not a tower you want to climb," said Enten.

In that case, Trump is at 76 percent disapproval on his handling of fuel prices. Biden's was 72 percent. The average price per gallon under Biden topped out at $5, the Palm Beach Post said, citing AAA data. Trump's average is currently at $4.06. USA Today said that, adjusted for inflation, the July 2008 gas prices would be equivalent to about $5.25.

President Donald Trump wants more countries to help with his war in Iran, but so far, he hasn't had any takers. According to CNN data analyst Harry Enten, there's a good reason for that.

Speaking about the growing disgust with the United States, Enten said that the global community is out.

"The people in those countries hate, hate, hate the U.S. military action in Iran," said Enten.

In Canada, that number is -27 percent. Japan is -73 points. The U.K. is -34 percent.

"The people in those countries absolutely despise the U.S. military action. Iran. No wonder the leaders in those countries are, let's just say, a little apprehensive about helping out the U.S.," he added.

Indeed, most U.S. allies rejected Trump's requests for help, even countries that rely on Iran for oil. Others haven't indicated one way or the other.

CNN host John Berman compared the Iran war to the Iraq war in 2003. During that war, President George W. Bush had administration officials court allies' involvement and made the case before the United Nations.

Canada is now 27 points less in its support for Iran over Iraq. Japan is 45 points down from its support of the 2023 war, and the U.K., which went to war with the U.S., is down 48 points from those 2003 numbers.

One of Trump's campaign comments in 2024 was that the global community doesn't "respect" the United States. Now it has become clear the world likes America a lot more under President Joe Biden than under Trump. Support for the U.S. under Trump has dropped by 79 percent.

"The bottom line is this: the folks overseas are far less likely to view the U.S. favorably. And those chickens are coming home to roost in this situation, as there's very little support abroad for the U.S. military action in Iran," Enten closed.

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