Eric Segall

Clarence Thomas just hates having all this power

Editor’s note: The following first appeared in Dorf on Law.

On Friday, Justice Clarence "I hate DC" Thomas gave a speech to the Eleventh Circuit Judicial Conference that was so full of anger, false narratives, and whining that it is tragically perfect for the age of Trump. Here are some lowlights annotated.

In response to a question about mean-spiritedness, he said:

“I think there’s challenges to that. We’re in a world and we — certainly my wife and I the last two or three years it’s been — just the nastiness and the lies, it’s just incredible.”

Translation: They would not let my wife and me overturn a presidential election.

"Reckless" people in Washington, DC, will "bomb your reputation."

Translation: Being the darling of Heritage, Fed Soc, and Fox, and having a former clerk as the 10 o'clock anchor on Fox, are not enough for this poor little snowflake.

“They don’t bomb you necessarily, but they bomb your reputation or your good name or your honor. And that’s not a crime. But they can do as much harm that way."

Translation: I have now been subject to a "high-tech lynching" and to word bombs as harmful as real bombs, and that is why, and the only real reason why, I want to overturn New York Times v Sullivan. When I'm criticized, I don't want to have to meet that pesky actual malice standard.

"The regular people I think are being disenfranchised sometimes by the way that we talk about cases.”

Translation: I realize that I am in fact disenfranchising regular people alive today when I take away their rights or subject them to gun violence based on conclusions I justify with cherry-picked quotations describing the practices of 18th-century enslavers, but I can call it the opposite because everyone here is too polite and too scared to say anything.

Editorial comment: You have nothing in common with "regular people."

Why he likes traveling outside DC: “You get to be around regular people who don’t pride themselves in doing harmful things, merely because they have the capacity to do it or because they disagree."

Translation: Only billionaires and Supreme Court justices get to do "harmful things because they have the capacity," not anyone else in our nation's capital.

Editorial Comment: How many times is this lackey to billionaires going to mention "regular people" in one speech?

“I wound up in this job ... and this is, we pray, to do whatever it was that God wanted me to do, what I was being called to do. But being in public life is not something I would have chosen to do.”

Translation: I have been here 33 years and will not leave until my very last breath (unless they take away my billionaire connections and then I'm out of here ASAP).

Editorial Comment: For the record, God didn't call you to your current job; George H.W. Bush and a too-readily-cowed Senate did.

While telling a story about walking with friends he said that was before they started attacking my friends; I hope I still have some."

Translation: Don't take away my luxury RV, my private flights and my yachts, please!!!

“I think what you are going to find and especially in Washington, people pride themselves on being awful. It is a hideous place as far as I’m concerned."

Translation: That is why I have lived and worked there since 1979, worked for the Congress, worked for the president, and worked for the Supreme Court. I am the living embodiment of the separation of powers and if I have to live in a hell hole to spread my evil, so it will be, as that is what I was put here to do.

Obvious Editorial Comment: If you hate DC so much, if you hate government so much, if you love being around regular people so much (like Harlan Crow and Leonard Leo, the most regular of regular people) then for the love of God: RESIGN.

Federalist Society judges are acting badly, again

Editor’s note: The following first appeared in Dorf on Law.

Many of the judges selected by Leonard Leo and Don McGahn during the Trump years have been acting very badly. A little over a year ago, I documented this terrible behavior by discussing many different judges. For example, Justin Walker was only 37 when he was nominated to be a federal trial judge despite absolutely no trial experience. What Walker possessed were ties to conservative groups, including the Federalist Society. Less than one year later, he was confirmed as a judge for the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.

In his brief time as a district court judge, Walker issued a decision in a case involving covid restrictions and prayers on Easter Sunday that reads "less like a judicial decision and more like a screed against Democrats published in an outlet like Breitbart." The first seven pages of the opinion rant about Christians and other religious groups suffering major persecution throughout the ages. The last lines of his opinion speak for themselves: "Christ’s sacrifice isn’t about the logic of this world. Nor is their Easter Sunday celebration. The reason they will be there for each other and their Lord is the reason they believe He was and is there for us. For them, for all believers, it isn’t a matter of reason; finally, it’s a matter of love."

In between these odes to religion, Walker decided to name a bunch of prominent Democrats who long ago belonged to the KKK. There is no connection between that list and any issue in the case. Walker's reward for all this religious and political posturing, as mentioned above, was a promotion to the Court of Appeals.

In that post from a year ago, I also discussed Judge James Ho's decision not to hire graduates of Yale Law School as his clerks. His reasons were quite obscure, centering around, I really don't know, maybe Yale is just too liberal a place for him. I summarized that incident as follows:

Ho was under no obligation to hire Yale clerks in the first place, so why make such a public fuss and call for other federal judges to join the "boycott?" One theory is that he is auditioning for the Supreme Court. Another theory is that he just likes publicity. But the theory does not matter. Except to the extent that actual cases before him sometimes call for judgments that are as much political as legal--which is substantially less frequently for a lower court judge than for the Supreme Court--Judge Ho has no business getting involved in culture wars and taking obvious political sides. To do so is inappropriate for a sitting federal judge.

Well, Judge Ho is back at it again. On Monday, he and 12 other Trump/Leo/McGahn Federalist Society judges sent a letter to the president of Columbia University saying they will no longer hire law clerks who attend Columbia either as an undergraduate or a law student. Again, the reasoning of the boycott is quite obscure but has something to do with vague and unsubstantiated charges of viewpoint discrimination (totally undocumented) and other aspects of how Columbia has handled the student protests over Gaza.

As an aside, it's worth noting that the letter makes various factual assertions, some of which are highly contestable and others which are flatly wrong. For example, the letter concludes by citing a supposed precedent, stating that "Justice William Brennan refused to hire law clerks from Harvard Law School because he disliked criticisms of the Supreme Court by some of its faculty." But that's nonsense, as Judge Ho and his buddies could have discovered by looking at a list of Justice Brennan's clerks. They would have then realized that from 1956 to 1965, Justice Brennan hired clerks only from Harvard; thereafter, he hired from a variety of schools, including from Harvard in most years. The tiny kernel of truth in this mostly false retelling is that for a short period of time Justice Brennan apparently was angry at Harvard over personal matters, but he nevertheless consistently hired Harvard graduates throughout his career. But why let facts get in the way of a good rant?

As for the letter's announcement of the boycott itself, again, these judges do not have to hire any Columbia graduates or any other graduates and probably can choose clerks based on viewpoint discrimination. Therefore, the judges' desire to go public must be for some reason separate from their hiring practices. That being the case, it is obvious that federal judges should not involve themselves in social, cultural and political disputes separate from their case-deciding function. If you want to publicly speak and rant about the pressing and controversial issues of the day, which is all this letter was, do not accept a federal judgeship. It really is that simple.

Additionally, the public airing of this grievance by judges is terrible on its own terms, but you do not have to believe me. That bleeding heart liberal Eugene Volokh said that:

We shouldn't threaten innocent neutrals as a means of influencing the culpable. Columbia students aren't the ones who set Columbia policy. They may disagree with that policy, or they may not know enough about the subject to have a view ... They shouldn't be held responsible for what Columbia does, and they shouldn't be retaliated against as a means of trying to pressure Columbia to change.

Eugene also makes the point that we normally reject guilt by association: "We may refuse to hire people who do various bad things, but we shouldn't refuse to hire people who are friends with those people, or who belong to the same groups as those people."

Imagine blaming a lone undergrad or law student for the policies implemented by university officials the students have absolutely no control over. Such a "guilt by association" tactic would be terrible if implemented by a private firm, much less by federal judges.

But maybe guilt by association is exactly the point that these Federalist Society Judges are trying to make by this and the other political stunts I documented in my blog post a year ago. It appears that many (certainly not all) of the judges appointed during the Trump Administration believe that all things secular and liberal are bad, and these judges want the whole world to know that either because they, like Judge Walker, want promotions or they simply want to "own the libs." Both of those reasons are, of course, unseemly and just plain wrong.

It is terrible that federal judges have life tenure and can only be impeached for committing high crimes and misdemeanors. But at least for most of our history, they stayed out of the political wars occurring outside their judicial jurisdictions. But, and this really is not a surprise, these Federalist Society judges feel license to stir up trouble, make controversial public statements, and most recently get in the middle of the terrifyingly hard issues raised by the campus protests relating to the Middle East crisis.

These thirteen judges are acting like immature and hormonal teenagers believing that the world does and should revolve around them and their daily need to unleash terror on those they dislike. Most teens grow out of that particular mindset, but not so for these and many other Federalist Society federal judges. For them, public outbursts of anger and bitterness towards the left are more than fair game; they lead to rewards and promotions. And that is what happens when the leaders of the Federalist Society get to choose our nation's judges.

Constitutional law scholar lays out the Supreme Court’s rule of lawlessness

Editor’s note: The following first appeared in Dorf on Law. As a reminder, click on the headline for a easy-reading experience. –JS

Listening to the oral argument in the Trump immunity case last week, I could not help but think how surreal the conservative justices were acting. It felt like they were going out of their way to ignore our immediate and pressing crisis involving an ex-president who tried to resist the peaceful transfer of power with violence and lies.

The male conservatives also pretended that every potential future issue involving presidential immunity had to be worked out in this case, which is exactly the opposite position of the “good for one day” language and theme of Bush v. Gore. The only similarities between the two cases are Republicans looking out for Republicans, which is exactly what one would expect from a highly partisan ultimate veto council staffed with a majority of Republicans.

The disaster that was the Trump v. United States oral argument reminded me of how little the Roberts court has actually cared about rule of law values and legal transparency during its 18-year run. Leaving aside the overturning or narrowing of numerous landmark cases, from abortion to affirmative action to the free exercise of religion, the Roberts court has consistently, in the court's most important and publicized opinions, engaged in subterfuge, sleight of hand and even outright lying.

In this post, I discuss landmark cases involving affirmative action, health care, voting rights, separation of church and state and the Second Amendment to show, not that I disagree with the results (I do), but instead to demonstrate that no matter what side of the issues you may favor in these country-defining cases, the Roberts court has resolved these questions in a lawless manner because of reliance on demonstrably false facts and obviously misleading descriptions of prior rulings and other legal materials.

In short, the Roberts court has acted lawlessly from the beginning.

Affirmative action
In the first full term of the Roberts court, the conservative justices got off to a terrible start. Parents, teachers, students and school board officials in Seattle and Louisville worked tirelessly for years to devise plans to desegregate their public schools, because most efforts had been stymied by red-lining, residential housing patterns and other forms of institutional racism.

Although their plans were not identical, both cities required a minimum level of desegregation by utilizing racial balancing criteria. These efforts did not affect large numbers of pupils, but a handful of students were not allowed to attend their neighborhood schools. These desegregation goals were not required by court order. but were the products of substantial negotiations among local officials and parents.

The court struck down these important efforts in a 5-4 highly controversial decision. However one feels about the result, part of the majority's rationale is offensively incorrect.

The court's rejection of the efforts by school officials to bring more racial diversity to their public schools was short on text, history and tradition, but did erroneously rely, incredibly, on the plaintiffs’ brief in Brown v. Board of Education for the proposition that “the Fourteenth Amendment prevents states from according differential treatment to American children on the basis of their color or race.”

The court's efforts to recast Brown as an anti-affirmative case were demonstrably false, unnecessary, and nothing less than bad historical fiction.

This out-of-context snippet from a brief, not the actual opinion, misstates both the background to and the rationale of Brown. There is not a syllable in the brief or the case discussing the possibility of local school districts trying on their own to address racial segregation in public schools, because in many states they were not allowed to, and because the case was about the total separation of the races under state law.

Even worse, the brief referred to by the court was written by former Supreme Court Justice Thurgood Marshall and other lawyers associated with the NAACP. We know with certainty that the authors of that brief favored affirmative action once it came along in the 1970s, because Marshall told us so in no uncertain terms on numerous occasions. It is likely that the furthest thing from the minds of the authors of the plaintiffs’ brief in Brown in 1953 was what the 14th Amendment had to say about voluntary efforts by government officials to desegregate public schools given longstanding laws requiring the total separation of the races in public schools.

It was wrong for the court to pretend Brown was on the side of preventing Louisville and Seattle from making efforts to desegregate their own public schools. And it was insulting to suggest that a brief written by Thurgood Marshall, America's most important civil rights litigator, and a man who fought tirelessly in favor of affirmative action, would stand for such a proposition.

The truth is that he didn't, the brief didn't and, unlike the merits of affirmative action, there are not two sides to that debate. The court's efforts to recast Brown as an anti-affirmative case were demonstrably false, unnecessary, and nothing less than bad historical fiction.

Health care
One of the issues in the first Affordable Care Act case was whether Congress could use its spending power to require states to adopt more permissive requirements for people to be on Medicaid as a condition for states receiving future Medicaid payments from the federal government.

The law went into effect in 2010, but this part of the law was inoperative until 2014, and even then, the federal government was going to pay for the larger number of eligible beneficiaries for the first few years. Medicaid had been amended over 50 times since its inception and states had to agree to abide by the new conditions if they wanted to continue to participate in the program.

For the first time since the 1930s, the court said Congress had exceeded its spending power authority because the condition was too coercive. Of course, the states had every legal right to refuse the federal money, so it is hard to see the coercion. More importantly, in building the argument for striking down the new requirement, the court described the ACA as including "post-acceptance or retroactive conditions.”

It should go without saying that judges should not lie.

This description is, quite simply, a lie. There is no interpretation of "post-acceptance" or "retroactive" that fits a law passed in 2010 that gives states notice that the requirements for eligibility would change four years later, and no additional money from the states would be needed for several years after that. The law was in no sense retroactive, nor did it in any way impose a post-acceptance condition. Yet those false ideas were an integral part of the court's misguided and inaccurate rationale.

One more thing about this case. Some may protest that this part of the opinion was 7-2, not 5-4, and Justices Kagan and Breyer went along. Of course, Plessy was 8-1 and Roe 7-2, and both cases have now been overturned. More importantly, reporting from CNN's Joan Biskupic shows that Roberts coerced Kagan and Breyer to join the Medicaid part of the opinion in return for Roberts upholding the individual mandate part of the law as a tax. That reporting makes sense because both Kagan and Breyer consistently take a broad view of Congress' powers.

People may not remember how important and in the news NFIB v. Sebelius was back in 2012. In this front-page case affecting millions of Americans, the court described a part of the law that would not go into effect for four years as "retroactive." But the law was prospective only, and it should go without saying that judges simply should not lie.

Voting rights
The Supreme Court’s 5-4 decision in Shelby County v. Holder, striking down Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act, is considered by many scholars to be one of the worst decisions in our country’s history. But however one feels about the case, part of the court's rationale is almost too terrible to be true. But, alas, it is.

The opinion authored by Chief Justice Roberts adopted an equal state sovereignty principle requiring Congress to have a strong reason to treat different states differently when exercising its power to enforce the 15th Amendment through, according to the text, “appropriate legislation.” To justify that anti-historical and non-textual principle, Roberts relied on some bizarre statements he made in a previous case, Northwest Austin v. Holder, involving an earlier challenge to the Voting Rights Act.

No case more clearly demonstrates the Roberts court's playing loose with both the truth and the rule of law than Northwest Austin. In that case, the court said the following: "The [Voting Rights] Act also differentiates between the States, despite our historic tradition that all the States enjoy 'equal sovereignty' ... Distinctions can be justified in some cases. 'The doctrine of the equality of States ... does not bar ... remedies for local evils which have subsequently appeared,' (citation to South Carolina v. Katzenbach omitted). But a departure from the fundamental principle of equal sovereignty requires a showing that a statute’s disparate geographic coverage is sufficiently related to the problem that it targets."

This overturning of a major constitutional principle in a landmark, front-page case by deleting key words and replacing them with ellipses is egregiously bad behavior.

Before Roberts wrote those words, there never was any, much less a “fundamental principle,” of equal state sovereignty limiting Congress’s powers under the Reconstruction Amendments to pass laws regulating our country. That statement is not debatable. So how did the court get there?

As to the Fifteenth Amendment, the court in Katzenbach explicitly rejected the absurd idea of equal state sovereignty in the very same sentence Roberts cites above, but with the most important words replaced by an egregiously misleading ellipse. Here is the original passage from Katzenbach:

“In acceptable legislative fashion, Congress chose to limit its attention to the geographic areas where immediate action seemed necessary ... The doctrine of the equality of States, invoked by South Carolina, does not bar this approach, for that doctrine applies only to the terms upon which States are admitted to the Union, and not to the remedies for local evils which have subsequently appeared.

The phrase “for that doctrine applies only to the terms upon which States are admitted to the Union,” disappeared completely from Roberts’s quotation. Nevertheless, in Shelby County, the conservative majority used this alleged “fundamental principle” of equal state sovereignty several times to argue that Section 5 of the VRA was unconstitutional despite the undeniable fact that no text in the Constitution supports such an idea, and the court explicitly rejected the very same idea in a landmark case.

In Shelby County, Roberts cited his own opinion in Northwest Austin, which completely misquoted and mischaracterized what Katzenbach said about the issue. In fact, Katzenbach said the exact opposite about equal state sovereignty in the part of the opinion that Roberts omitted with ellipses.

This overturning of a major constitutional principle in a landmark, front-page case by deleting key words and replacing them with ellipses is egregiously bad behavior by the Roberts court. Did Roberts think no one would notice? Unlikely, as Justice Ginsburg made these exact same points in dissent so the conservatives knew what Roberts was saying about equal state sovereignty was demonstrably false. Openly overturning Katzenbach on this point would have been bad enough but doing it in this misleading manner smacks of deceit all the way down.

Separation of church and state
In Trinity Lutheran v. Comer, the plaintiff religious school challenged a provision of the Missouri Constitution prohibiting public money going to religious institutions. Trinity Lutheran challenged this exclusion when denied the opportunity to compete for state grants to improve school playgrounds. The lower courts upheld the constitutional provision, which is similar to provisions in many other state constitutions. Although some of these provisions were likely enacted due to anti-Catholic bias in the 19th century, there was no evidence in the record that Missouri made its decision because of such bias.

The court ruled for the church school in a case it never should have decided. The school did not seek damages but simply prospective injunctive relief that its application be treated equally in the future with secular schools. A few months before the decision was handed down, however, the newly elected Republican governor of Missouri announced he was changing the state’s school funding policy. In the future, the governor announced, religious schools would be treated in exactly the same manner as non-religious schools, which was the only relief Trinity Lutheran asked for in its complaint.

Article III’s requirement of a “case or controversy” at a bare minimum requires two parties arguing over something real. In this case, we had two aligned parties arguing over nothing.

After the governor made his announcement, the court asked the parties whether the case was moot. Both the school and the state, now on the same side of this dispute, asked the court to resolve the case anyway because they wanted a final decision striking down the state’s constitutional amendment. The legal basis for their request that the court rule on the merits was an exception to the mootness doctrine that a defendant’s "voluntary cessation of its allegedly illegal conduct does not necessarily moot a case." The court summarily accepted that argument in a footnote.

The court cited only one case for that rule but there was a claim for money in that case (not true in Trinity), and one of the parties in that case urged the court to dismiss it (not true in Trinity). Simply reciting the magic words “voluntary cessation of [illegal conduct] does not [necessarily] moot a case” did not give the religious school a personal injury that could be redressed by the court, nor did it make the claims ripe for adjudication. The state said it had no plans to resume the allegedly illegal behavior, and there was no reason to doubt that assertion. That in some hypothetical future election a new governor of a different political party might (or might not) be elected and might (or might not) change the policy back is simply too speculative to support federal court jurisdiction.

All the parties in Trinity agreed on every single issue in the case, both the merits and the jurisdictional question. Article III’s requirement of a “case or controversy” at a bare minimum requires two parties arguing over something real. In this case, we had two aligned parties arguing over nothing. I cannot find any other Supreme Court case in American history where the parties agreed on every single issue in the case. But the Roberts court wanted to resolve the controversy, so it did. Never mind that there was no dispute at all between the parties and only the slenderest of possibility the controversy could ever arise again.

The Second Amendment
In New York State Pistol & Rifle Ass’n v. Bruen, the Roberts court issued one of the most unusual and potentially dangerous opinions in American history. Justice Thomas, writing for the conservatives, instructed lower court judges to rely exclusively on history and tradition to resolve Second Amendment cases and to completely ignore the government’s asserted public interests in passing gun control laws. Assuming that a person’s conduct is arguably covered by the Second Amendment’s text, the justices said, the government can only prevail in a case challenging a gun reform law if it demonstrates similar laws were enacted in the past.

The court’s exclusive focus on history and tradition in Bruen radically departs from the court's constitutional law jurisprudence. Prior to Bruen, the justices looked at the importance of a constitutional right and compared that to the public policy interests put forward by the government to justify the restriction of that right. New conditions obviously sometimes require new rules to govern the difficult relationship between gun safety and gun rights. The Bruen idea that the court must ignore the reasons why a law was enacted and what public purposes the law was trying to accomplish is absurd, radical and not supported by case law.

In the name of history and tradition, the Roberts court in Bruen adopted a new and radical methodology and then lied about how that approach had been used before.

Justice Thomas argued in Bruen that this myopic tradition-and-history-only method has also been employed by the justices in First Amendment speech cases. But that assertion, like many of the statements made by the Roberts court in huge cases, is simply and demonstrably false.

The court does consult history and tradition at times to determine whether a plaintiff’s allegedly illegal conduct is speech or expression that is protected by the First Amendment. If not -- ie, if the conduct, even if expressive, falls within a category of proscribable speech (like true threats or incitement) -- the plaintiffs lose. If so, however, the court doesn't just stop but balances the importance of the asserted speech right against the public interest the law is trying to achieve using various levels of scrutiny depending on the restriction and speech at issue. What the court has not done in speech cases — or in almost any other constitutional challenge — is completely ignore the asserted rationale for the law at issue.

In the name of history and tradition, the Roberts court in Bruen adopted a new and radical methodology and then lied about how that approach had been used before.

Rejecting rule of law values
This type of misleading decision-making occurs all-too-often in the Roberts court. This blog post, along with a few published law review articles, is the beginning of a book-length project that will show that, regardless of how one feels about the results reached by the Roberts court, its method of deciding cases has been to reject rule of law values like consistency, transparency, and simple truth-telling. The Roberts court will go down in history as one of the most, if not the most, lawless courts in American history.

10 fascinating SCOTUS facts to tide us over until it wrecks the country in June

Editor's note: The following first appeared in Dorf on Law.

Between now and the end of the term, the Supreme Court will issue decisions concerning abortion, guns, administrative law and Trump, Trump, and more Trump. (In addition to the high-profile cases, for example, today the court hears oral argument in a case that tests whether the statute used to try January 6 defendants applies to their conduct.) My guess is that a lot of pain is coming our way as we head towards that great artificial deadline the justices created for themselves known as "June."

As we are in a bit of a holding pattern with tornado-type turbulence surrounding us, I thought I'd provide a bit of, well, let's call it legal levity, as we wait for the court to inflict pain on our people and our country.

Here are 10 fascinating facts about SCOTUS you might not know.

1. MARBURY V. MADISON: THE POLITICAL TURNS PERSONAL AND THE PERSONAL TURNS POLITICAL
Most academics view much of Marbury v. Madison skeptically for many reasons, including that Chief Justice John Marshall likely should have recused himself from the case and because he made up a pretend statute to strike down so nobody would question judicial review.

But what's really interesting is that President Thomas Jefferson (who had denied Marbury his commission to be a judge) and Marshall, both from Virginia and distant cousins, hated each other with a passion. They disagreed politically (Marshall a Federalist and Jefferson an Anti-Federalist) but their animosity was also personal. Jefferson publicly called Marshall a hypocrite while Marshall publicly labeled Jefferson a dishonorable "great lama." Additionally, Marshall married into a wealthy family who had rejected Jefferson (Marshall's wife's mother had declined a marriage proposal from Jefferson).

The foundational case of American constitutional law was as much a personal dispute as a political one. Constitutional law was not off to a great start.

2. THE GREAT LEAK
Most of us lived through the mysterious leaking of the Dobbs decision, but this was not the first leak of a landmark and controversial court decision. As Professor Mark Graber recounts here, President Buchanan was tipped off by Justice Catron about the infamous Dred Scott opinion a few weeks before its scheduled release, and then the president pressured a northern justice to join the opinion along with the southerners on the court. Buchanan and Chief Justice Taney thought the decision might go a long way to settling the slavery issue so they orchestrated the decision for maximum consensus.

Three years later, the Civil War began.

3. DESEGREGATION IS ANOTHER FORM OF SLAVERY?
Most people know that in The Civil Rights Cases of 1883, the most ironically titled decision in Supreme Court history, the justices held that Congress could not end segregation in hotels, restaurants and theaters because Section 5 of the 14th Amendment only allowed Congress to regulate state action and the commerce clause was barely a twinkle in the court’s eye. In other words, the court ended Congress's efforts to stop Jim Crow before they began.

The author of that opinion, Justice Joseph Bradley, wrote this in his personal diary after the case: "depriving white people of the right of choosing their own company would be to introduce another kind of slavery."

Say what now? Think his personal attitude and values affected his decision?

4. SCOTUS AS A NUMBERS GAME
There has been a lot of discussion from the left about adding three or four seats to the court to make it more liberal and to undo the harm caused by Mitch McConnell's norm-breaking manipulation of the court's vacancies. The number has been nine since 1869, but before that the number of justices had been manipulated by Congress and the president over and over for political reasons. For example, the original number was six, but in 1801 President Adams and the Federalist Congress reduced the number to 5 after Jefferson won the 1800 election. The number shifted to six to 10 to seven, finally settling on nine in 1869 where it has been ever since.

But make no mistake, you originalists out there. The tradition of changing the number of justices for political reasons goes back to the very beginning of our history.

I vote we add three libs as soon as possible to get us back to an even number, just like at the beginning.

This idea is not a joke.

5. TORCHING THE COURT
If you think you are angry about the court reversing major decisions on abortion, affirmative action and many other important issues, I can assure you that President Franklin D. Roosevelt was likely even angrier back in 1937. After the justices struck down several major New Deal programs, he said the following on the largest and most important media of the day:

It is perfectly clear, that as Chief Justice Hughes has said: "We are under a Constitution, but the Constitution is what the judges say it is."
The court in addition to the proper use of its judicial functions has improperly set itself up as a third House of the Congress — a super-legislature, as one of the justices has called it -- reading into the Constitution words and implications which are not there, and which were never intended to be there.
We have, therefore, reached the point as a nation where we must take action to save the Constitution from the court and the court from itself. We must find a way to take an appeal from the Supreme Court to the Constitution itself. We want a Supreme Court which will do justice under the Constitution — not over it. In our courts, we want a government of laws and not of men.

If only President Biden ... well, you know.

6. WAS JUSTICE HUGO BLACK UNCONSTITUTIONAL?
Professor Will Baude, who among other things coined the phrase "the shadow docket," wrote a short and persuasive little ditty that Justice Black's appointment to the court was likely unconstitutional. Here is the story.

Article I, Section 6 of the Constitution says: “No Senator or Representative shall, during the Time for which he was elected, be appointed to any civil Office under the Authority of the United States . . . the Emoluments whereof shall have been encreased during such time." The Senate, while Black was a member, voted to increase the pensions for Supreme Court justices, thus increasing the "emoluments" of that office and thereby rendering Justice Black's appointment a violation of the United States Constitution. Eventually someone sued, challenging the appointment and the court did what it often does when the law unequivocally points in a direction the justices simply do not want to go.

The case was dismissed for lack of standing.

7. CITIZENS UNITED, ELENA KAGAN AND THE QUESTION THAT HAD NO PLAUSIBLE ANSWER
Most liberals and progressives view Citizens United v. FEC as a four-letter word. When it comes to the overbroad rationale of the case, fair enough, but when it comes to the specific result, those critics have it all wrong.

The case involved a prior restraint on political speech. A public-interest, nonprofit corporation was prohibited from distributing a movie about Hillary Clinton a set number of days before the presidential primaries (unless it funded the movie out of segregated funds). This problem was exactly why the First Amendment was adopted in the first place. If you don't believe me, here is the liberal Brennan Center's description of the case: "A conservative nonprofit group called Citizens United challenged campaign finance rules after the FEC stopped it from promoting and airing a film criticizing presidential candidate Hillary Clinton too close to the presidential primaries." What? Exactly.

Justice Kagan argued the case when she was the United States Solicitor General and after the court held it over for re-argument (so that the conservatives could effectively rewrite the questions presented). In the first argument, there was quite a discussion about whether the law that barred the movie too close to an election could also bar political books during the same time period. The government fumbled this question at the first argument, but Kagan said that the government had changed its position and now: “We went back, we considered the matter carefully, and the government's view is that although [the statute] does cover full-length books, that there would be a quite good as-applied challenge to any attempt to apply [the law] in that context. And I should say that the FEC has never applied [the law] in that context. So for 60 years a book has never been at issue."

Listen folks, if the law couldn't be applied to books, then it can't be applied to movies, and the government had to lose. Full stop.

8. ALITO’S AWFULNESS
From 2006-2019, the court had five conservative justices and four liberal ones (with the exception of most of 2016 after Justice Scalia passed away and the aforementioned McConnell acted badly). During that time, Alito the Awful was the only conservative who never sided with the libs in a 5-4 case. Ever.

Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Thomas, not exactly left-leaning fellows, both sided with the libs in important 5-4 cases, such as when Roberts saved the Affordable Care Act and Thomas joined the libs upholding Texas’s decision to ban Confederate flags on license plates. In that case, by the way, Alito compared the Confederate flag to football slogans.

Alito the awful is always awful.

9. "GET OVER IT”
Justice Scalia used to hammer audiences with this command when asked about Bush v. Gore. But maybe just maybe he also used it during his very first oral argument as a justice when, during the middle of it, Justice Powell, a soft-spoken southern gentleman, leaned over to a colleague and whispered, "do you think he knows that the rest of us are here?''

Scalia likely did not care.

10. THE THOMASES
“Do not concede. It takes time for the army who is gathering for his back.”

Ginny Thomas's advice to Trump’s Chief of Staff Mark Meadows in a text message urging him not to accept the 2020 election. She also wrote him the following:

This is a fight of good versus evil. Evil always looks like the victor until the King of Kings triumphs. Do not grow weary in well doing. The fight continues. I have staked my career on it.

Ginny Thomas was in the crowd listening to Trump on January 6, but she did not go to the Capitol.

In related news, Trump’s role in the January 6 attack on the Capitol and election interference is before the court later this month.

In more related news, the Supreme Court has no enforceable ethics or recusal code and there is no indication Thomas will recuse.

And, in related, adjacent news, the Thomases together and individually are a serious threat to the rule of law, the civil rights of many groups and American democracy.

Now we wait until June.

There's a constitutional apocalypse on the horizon. Don’t take it lying down

(Editor’s note: The following first appeared in Dorf on Law, and is reposted with permission.)

Alexander Hamilton explained in Federalist No. 78 the rationale for the Founding Fathers giving judges the power to strike down laws enacted by the legislature. He said the following:

The courts were designed to be an intermediate body between the people and the legislature, in order, among other things, to keep the latter within the limits assigned to their authority. The interpretation of the laws is the proper and peculiar province of the courts. A constitution is, in fact, and must be regarded by the judges, as a fundamental law. It therefore belongs to them to ascertain its meaning, as well as the meaning of any particular act proceeding from the legislative body. If there should happen to be an irreconcilable variance between the two, that which has the superior obligation and validity ought, of course, to be preferred; or, in other words, the Constitution ought to be preferred to the statute, the intention of the people to the intention of their agents.

Nor does this conclusion by any means suppose a superiority of the judicial to the legislative power. It only supposes that the power of the people is superior to both; and that where the will of the legislature, declared in its statutes, stands in opposition to that of the people, declared in the Constitution, the judges ought to be governed by the latter rather than the former. They ought to regulate their decisions by the fundamental laws, rather than by those which are not fundamental.

What Hamilton did not anticipate was that much of the Constitution's imprecise language, such as the text of the First and Second Amendments, would be applied by future judges to a constantly changing society. He likely thought the very heavy burden of proof he was placing on those challenging laws (plaintiffs must show an irreconcilable variance between a statute and the Constitution) would keep judges in their place. But, of course, he was wrong, and starting in 1857 with the infamous Dred Scott decision, the justices have been striking down laws at a rate and, in important cases, in ways that few Founding Fathers, especially Hamilton, anticipated.

In most of these cases, the court is not acting as an agent of the people or the enforcer of a supreme law, but the creator of constitutional rights and limits that simply do not follow from the constitutional text or its history. Dred Scott, The Civil Rights Cases, Lochner, Reynolds v. Sims, Roe, Heller, Shelby County, Seila Law, Trinity Lutheran, Bruen, and SFFA v. Harvard are just a few examples of many country-changing decisions where there is no available argument that the laws invalidated were at an "irreconcilable variance" with the Constitution. Liberal, conservative and moderate justices have all invalidated major legislation without serious and persuasive grounding in the text or history of the Constitution.

And now we have what might be the most important Supreme Court term in American history. The justices have to decide cases concerning presidential immunity (which might be directly relevant to the next presidential election and the very existence of our democracy), gun control, abortion, state regulation of social media, administrative law and the death penalty, among other important cases. (Obviously, a ruling granting Trump immunity would be catastrophic for the country and the court. I do not expect that to happen.)

But how the Roberts court handles the rest of the term will likely impact America in a dramatic and controversial manner. If the Roberts court continues on its partisan course, and decides these cases like Justices Alito and Thomas prefer, meaning the major consideration is always the values promoted by the Republican Party and the Federalist Society, we are heading towards a June that may damage our country considerably, perhaps beyond repair. The current partisan imbalance on the court is taking such an extreme form that it is difficult to find historical analogues.

During the Warren and early Burger court's liberal period, for example, the justices issued numerous landmark opinions that were extremely conservative. For example, in Brown II, the justices told the country to move with "all deliberate speed" to end segregated schools, but that turned out to be almost no speed at all. In 1963, nine years after Brown, Southern schools were still about 98 percent segregated.

After a very short period of judicially imposed desegregation rulings during the late 1960s and early 1970s, the court effectively ended serious efforts to desegregate public schools by saying states did not have to cure segregation not caused directly by formal state laws. But centuries of legal slavery, segregation and red-lining caused segregated housing patterns. To the majority of justices, too bad, so sad. To poor Black Americans, this hands-off attitude was and is a tragedy, dooming many of their children to poverty and racially imbalanced public schools.

In 1959, the court upheld literacy tests for voting. In 1961, the court upheld Sunday closing laws against a religious clauses challenge. These were important conservative decisions.

Skipping ahead a few years, the year the court decided Roe, the justices rejected efforts by liberal groups to classify public school education as a fundamental right and to make poverty a suspect classification for equal protection purposes. The rejection of these efforts had major negative impacts on the poor and people of color.

And in perhaps the most under-appreciated case in American history in terms of its impact, during this period the court also held that plaintiffs must prove intentional discrimination to win an equal protection clause case – a racially disproportionally impact, no matter how large, is not enough. The effect of this holding was to answer 400 years of legally allowable racism with a shrug and say racial impacts alone do not justify judicial intervention. But racially neutral laws in a country with our sordid history lead directly to more racial inequality on the ground. Few lawmakers, even in the Trump era, are foolish enough to leave a trail of intentional racism.

As Professor Justin Driver has said so well, the "scholarly attention lavished upon liberal achievements has regrettably obscured how constitutional conservatism significantly shaped the Warren court era. Examining those underappreciated instances where liberal victories were attainable, but the court declined to deliver, should bring the Warren court into a sharper historical focus."

Although the Rehnquist and early Roberts courts issued some important liberal decisions, those days are over. Since Justice Kennedy retired and Justice Ginsburg passed away, the Roberts court has been on a conservative rampage, overturning Roe, turning the Second Amendment into a super-charged destroyer of reasonable gun reform, ending affirmative action, greatly strengthening the free exercise clause, ignoring and/or distorting the establishment clause, and trying to return to a libertarian, pre-New Deal understanding of the administrative state.

In other words, the justices in a very short time have implemented a substantial part of the Federalist Society's most important policy agenda. Although there have been a handful of moderate decisions, there have been no liberal victories remotely comparable to the Warren and Burger court’s conservative decisions described above. In short, there is no balance at all.

A few years ago, I wrote that the court should return the issues of abortion, affirmative action and gun control to the political process. My personal philosophy about judicial review goes all the way back to Hamilton. The justices should not overturn laws absent clear constitutional error – meaning an irreconcilable variance between a law and the Constitution. That regime, if faithfully implemented, would give me both losses and defeats, given my own values, and I can live with that. I think most Americans could live in a country where they get their way or not based on voting (assuming fair elections). But Americans have a hard time, and they should, being told what to do by elite judges based on their values and politics, not the text and history of the Constitution.

The justices might or might not be sensitive to these concerns. My best guess is that they think they can run the table on their own politics as long as they deny Trump immunity. But I think that reasoning is likely to backfire. There's a constitutional apocalypse on the horizon, and I do not expect We the People to take it lying it down.

Justice Thomas makes life harder for people of color one case at a time

News broke last week that US Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas hired as a law clerk a former fired employee of a far-right organization whose text message to a friend included these sentiments, “I HATE BLACK PEOPLE … I hate blacks. End of story.” The background to this entire sordid story can be found here.

That he would go out of his way to help this woman raises challenging questions about Thomas and race that have perplexed legal scholars for decades. Why would a person who grew up in the segregated south issue so many decisions that hurt people of color?

Those trying to answer this question have taken it as a matter of faith that Thomas’s decisions have in fact, and on the ground, hurt racial minorities. But conservatives dispute that premise, so it is important to establish how truly awful Thomas’s jurisprudence has been for non-white Americans. Why he has engaged in this path of racial destruction is less important than assessing the damage his decisions and his rhetoric have caused.

Thomas has called on the court to overturn one of its landmark decisions, Gideon v. Wainwright, which gave people accused of crimes a right to a government-paid attorney if they can’t afford one.

Thomas would leave people accused of serious crimes, even those subject to the death penalty or life imprisonment, to their own devices without legal representation. Such a shift would disproportionately hurt racial minorities.

Thomas believes that if police engage in constitutional violations leading to their possession of unlawful evidence, or if the police illegally coerce a confession, the exclusionary rule (which, absent an exception, keeps such evidence out of court) does not apply to the states. If the full court were to adopt this position, abusive police behavior against minorities, which happens regularly in our criminal justice system, would get worse and there would be no effective remedy against such practices.

Over the course of four decades, Thomas has voted to strike down every affirmative action program he has ever faced – no exceptions. As others have pointed out, the irony of this aspect of his work is that Thomas was most likely accepted at Yale Law School in part because of affirmative action.

Throughout these cases, Thomas argued that Black students at elite schools often fail because they “can’t compete in the cauldron of competition.” There is no reliable data underlying that conclusion, but there is, as Justice O’Connor once pointed out, strong evidence that elite colleges and law schools produce a disproportionate number of America’s political, economic and legal elites.

Without substantial access to these schools, racial minorities will have a much harder time becoming successful leaders. Would Thomas even be on the Supreme Court if he had attended a second-tier law school instead of Yale? Given that eight of the nine current justices went to Harvard or Yale, and the ninth went to Notre Dame, the answer is almost certainly no.

Reasonable people can disagree over the value of affirmative action to minorities, but Thomas’s extreme opposition based mostly on policy, not legal grounds, coupled with his pernicious, repeated, and unsupported rhetoric that Black students cannot compete at elite schools makes this aspect of Thomas’ agenda quite disturbing.

In 2013, the Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act (after it was overwhelmingly renewed by Congress and signed by President George W. Bush) by saying Congress had to re-enact a formula determining which states had to pre-clear election law changes.

The four conservatives on the court other than Thomas were content to just tell Congress it needed to update the law. Thomas would have gone much further and would have held that Congress could not constitutionally enact a new law with a different formula to determine which states were the most egregious offenders of voting rights. He also has voted to unduly limit the reach of a different section of the Voting Rights Act, making it harder for plaintiffs to sue states for racial discrimination in election procedures.

Thomas’s rulings on voting rights have hurt people of color to a considerable degree, and he would go further than any other justice in taking power away from Congress to ensure that racial minorities can fully participate in our political process. These votes seem much more aligned with the Republican Party’s desire to make it harder for people of color to vote than any reasonable interpretation of the United States Constitution.

There is an aspect of equal protection clause doctrine that prohibits states from conditioning the exercise of fundamental rights on payments that the poor cannot afford. For example, if a state provides appellate review for criminal cases, as all fifty states do, indigents have a right to appeal without paying the costs. This rule also applies to child termination cases and other government-required costs, such as mandatory fees to obtain a divorce. The central ideal of these cases is that the government should not be allowed to condition participation in important legal proceedings on the ability of people to pay for those services.

Thomas disagrees with all of these cases because in his view the Constitution does not require the government to waive fees for important services when people are too poor to pay those fees. His complete indifference to the plight of the indigent, and thus disproportionately racial minorities, simply cannot be denied.

Thomas was also the only justice in the landmark Citizens United decision to rail against laws requiring corporations to disclose who makes contributions to their political spending. One cannot help but wonder whether this aggressive stance against disclosure is based in part on Thomas’s experiences being wined and dined by wealthy billionaires who, of course, fight disclosure tooth and nail. In any event, Thomas’s desire to strike down disclosure laws, if he found four other votes, would help the rich and powerful (and mostly white) avoid responsibility for their political spending decisions.

Thomas has on rare occasion come down on the side of people of color, such as when he voted with the liberals to allow Texas to refuse to issue Confederate flag-themed specialty license plates. But such cases are extremely difficult to find and are lonely exceptions to the rule.

Thomas’s legal positions are extreme and often solitary.

Why he is adamantly opposed to addressing society’s race and poverty issues is less important than the fact that his record on these issues is so much worse than even the other far-right conservatives on the Court. Through his votes and opinions on affirmative action, voting rights, criminal procedure and other important constitutional law issues, Thomas has done enormous damage to laudable efforts by lawmakers and others to achieve a less racist and more just America.

How lawmakers can distinguish real versus phony religious tests for judicial nominees

A number of years ago, I sat on a long plane ride next to an orthodox Jewish man. We struck up a conversation and found out that we each had three children. I have three daughters, while he told me he had two daughters and a son. When I told him I was a law professor, he told me with delight that both of his sons had expressed some interest in going to law school. I asked him about his daughter and he said that she would, of course, be a wife and mother and take care of the home.

I expressed surprise at this (naive, I know) and asked him what his teen daughter thought about these differing expectations based on gender.

The man said that she didn't have a choice but in any event, his daughter was quite comfortable with this life plan.

I asked him if I could speak freely and he kindly responded in the affirmative. I asked how he could justify limiting his daughter this way, especially in light of how proud he sounded about his sons wanting to be lawyers. His response was that this is the way they live, it works, and he saw no need to alter this lifestyle for his daughter.

Here is my question: if this man were nominated to be a federal judge, should his views on gender disqualify him from the position?

The judicial outcomes of sincere belief

Before turning to that question, let's agree on one thing.

A federal judicial nominee who in a confirmation hearing testified that he did not think women should be CEOs, senators, lawyers or bankers – because their proper place is in the home and that we would all be better off with more precise gender roles – would not be confirmed.

Does the calculus change if the nominee testifies exactly the same way but says his views are based on sincere religious faith?

Hold that question.

The US Constitution provides in no uncertain terms in Article VI that "no religious test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public trust under the United States."

I am glad we have this provision. No one should ever be asked about their faith as a precondition for Senate confirmation as a federal judge.

But does Article IV prohibit all questioning about a nominee's views that are part of his faith? The answer to this, I think, has to be no.

If it were part of a person's sincere religious faith that sometimes children have to be sacrificed to the gods in cases of terrible climate events, it would be more than fair to disqualify that person from holding judicial office based on that opinion irrespective of its basis.

If a nominee said his faith requires him to believe that white and Black school children should never go to school together, he too should not become a judge, not because of faith, but because of his racist views.

Test of religion or character?

So returning to my orthodox Jewish friend:

If he testified that he believed the only legitimate career path for girls and women is to be wives and mothers, and he was rejected for holding that view, is that a religious test for public office?

I think the answer has to be no. He would not be rejected for his faith, ie, his views on the afterlife or membership in a religious group. He’d be rejected because of values he holds that affect the secular world.

What if the nominee who holds these kinds of sexist or religious views says he can and will put them aside when deciding cases?

At first that may seem like a more difficult question, but is it?

Imagine a nominee who says that his personal views are that white people are superior to Black people, and that men are superior to women, but that he would put aside those views in his role as a judge.

Could and should that person be given a federal judgeship?

Of course not.

Views of faith, views of public office

Now imagine that the racist and sexist views above are expressed as part of a wholesale and sincere religious belief system.

Does and should that matter?

I don't think so. There is no reason to think a religious bigot will be any more capable than the secular bigot of discarding his personal views.

Moreover, do sexism and racism become more tolerable because they are based on religious, not secular, ones? I don't think so.

This is not to say that the government should interfere in the internal affairs of religious organizations that hold such views. That is quite a different question. In most contexts, the answer should be no.

But the government not interfering with religious activities and the government requiring people to not hold racist and sexist beliefs as a prerequisite to public office are very different things indeed.

I think it would be fair to say to my orthodox Jewish friend that his views on the proper role for girls and women disqualify him from being a judge, just as he would be disqualified if he believed white people and Black people should be separated under law even if he says that's only a personal, religious view that he can set aside as a judge.

Applied to Roe

Now imagine a nominee who said her faith teaches her that life begins at conception and that abortion must be banned at all times and in all places with no exceptions, and she would not put aside those views when deciding abortion cases and would not recuse in such cases.

Would her rejection be the same as a religious test for public office?

I think we would all agree the answer is no.

What if she said that she would put aside those religious views when deciding cases? Would her disqualification be illegal as a religious test for public office by pro-choice senators? I don't think so.

Her rejection would be based on her views about abortion, not her association with a particular religion.

In other words, to disqualify a person based on a view that they happen to hold because of their religion, when one would also disqualify a person who held the same view based on secular premises, is not imposing a religious test for public office.

Imagine the following dialogue.

Senator:

Professor Smith, I want to ask you whether you agree with your church's position that women cannot be leaders in your church. Do you agree with that rule?

Professor Smith:

No Senator, I do not. I am proudly (name a religion) but I do not agree with all of the policies and rules of my religious leaders and that is one I do not agree with. However, I want to add that I am also a proud American and I do not agree with many of President Biden's policies. But I can no more shed my Americanism than I could shed my _ism.

I think we can all agree that this church's position on women should not disqualify this nominee.

Imagine a different dialogue.

Senator:

Professor Smith, I want to ask you whether you agree with your church's position that women cannot be leaders in your church. Do you agree with that rule?

Professor Smith:

Yes I do, Senator. I would not allow that view to affect my decisions as a judge, including in gender-related cases, but I do agree with my church that women should not be leaders in the church.

Proper or improper questions about religion

Before the answer, let's remember a person who said he thinks the world would be a better place if women (or Black people) were excluded from being mayors, governors, CEOs, judges and presidents would surely not be confirmed and surely shouldn't be confirmed.

Of course, that hypothetical isn't the same because a church is different from the government or a private organization.

But is the view that women (or Black or LGBT-plus people) shouldn't lead any less pernicious because it's based on faith, not secular values?

I think the answer might depend on the reasons the nominee gives for her agreement that women (or Black or LGBT-plus people) should be excluded from leading whichever faith she is associated with.

But would such a line of questioning be improper?

I think not.

If that’s true, questions about a nominee's views on abortion should be proper, regardless of whether from faith, reason or something else.

If a Senator believes women can never be equal without control of their reproductive destinies, or if a Senator believes that abortion is always murder, then asking prospective judges about their views on abortion, or any other issue with secular consequences should be allowed. It is not barred as a religious test for public office.

So long 'stare decisis' – we hardly knew ye

The Supreme Court has confirmed that the draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey is authentic, but, like all drafts, might change before it is final. Below are a few observations.

If the final opinion is substantially the same as the draft one, the tone is egregious and full of hubris. Reasonable people can disagree about whether the right to abortion should be protected by the Supreme Court. But the dismissive rhetoric by Justice Samuel Alito of the reasoning in both Roe and Casey is unnecessary and hateful.

There are ways to write an opinion overturning those landmark cases that are sensitive to both sides. The draft is not such an opinion. If unchanged, it will further increase polarization on this difficult issue.

The opinion reads more like a dissent by the late Justice Antonin Scalia or an inflammatory argument of a media pundit than a Supreme Court opinion dealing with the most difficult of topics.

By using “unborn human beings” and similar rhetoric, the court may be laying the groundwork for future courts to strike down abortion protections in blue states, a calamity beyond imagination.

The draft opinion's discussion of the history of abortion law does not accurately reflect our country's real struggles with this issue.

Abortions before quickening were not illegal in America as a general matter before the mid-19th century. So much for serious originalism.

As Mike wrote today in a Verdict column, this draft opinion is likely just the beginning of major changes in constitutional doctrine. He said:

The Alito draft … distinguish[es] the abortion right from the rights recognized in the cases on which Roe and Casey rely. Crucially, Roe and Casey do not rely on Lawrence or Obergefell, as both of those rulings post-date Roe and Casey. The not-so-subtle implication is that the court stands prepared to overrule Lawrence and Obergefell.

What this means, and what I have been saying for a while, is that the xourt's striking down of state same-sex marriage bans in Obergefell, and federal bans in Windsor, may well be overturned by the court.

Chief Justice Roberts ended his dissent in Obergefell by saying:

If you are among the many Americans — of whatever sexual orientation — who favor expanding same-sex marriage, by all means celebrate today’s decision. Celebrate the achievement of a desired goal. Celebrate the opportunity for a new expression of commitment to a partner. Celebrate the availability of new benefits. But do not celebrate the Constitution. It had nothing to do with it.

I have always thought Roberts wrote the last two sentences that way so he would feel justified in reversing Obergefell some day.

I fear for the LGBT-plus community in the US, as that case may be coming sooner rather than later either by the Supreme Court or ambitious Donald Trump appointees to the lower federal bench.

Assuming the draft opinion becomes the law of the land, one does not have to be a hardcore legal realist to understand and appreciate its major implications for the role of stare decisis at the Supreme Court.

Throughout the 1980s and up to the Casey decision, the federal government expressly asked the court to overrule Roe altogether.

The court ducked the issue. Then, in Casey, it said it was not going to reverse Roe despite those efforts expressly on the basis of stare decisis.

It was that reasoning that led many to label Casey a "super-precedent." Alito’s draft opinion throws all that away with language more appropriate to a political campaign than a judicial opinion.

But if the court can reverse a "precedent on precedent" in one of the most important cases, is any precedent meaningful? I think not.

Others will write and comment on the leak itself. I will only say that if it turns out that the leak came from another justice, unlikely but still possible, the Supreme Court might never be the same.

Finally, we are here today solely because Mitch McConnell blocked President Obama from appointing anyone in 2016, which led to the confirmation of Niel Gorsuch, and then he rushed through the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett at the end of Trump's term.

Without those two, Roe and Casey would not be in danger.

That chain of events is excellent fodder for political scientists and legal realists. But what I want to say is that, assuming the draft opinion becomes law, the Constitution had nothing to do with it.

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