oil

Expert lists 4 reasons 'moron' Trump can't save US economy with Venezuelan oil

Bulwark economics editor Catherine Rampell says Trump’s recent invasion of Venezuela is “unlikely to be a good deal for U.S. taxpayers or U.S. companies.”

“Trump … invaded Venezuela because he only believes in war for profit, and for years has been saying U.S. military strategy should be guided by the opportunity to make money by seizing other countries’ natural resources,” Rampell wrote. “But Trump is also notoriously a moron who does zero homework.”

There are four main reasons Trump’s invasion will likely backfire, she said, beginning with the global glut of oil that Trump wants to choke further with even more Venezuelan crude.

“The world is … experiencing oversupply right now, which drove prices down all of last year,” Rampell said. “The annual average inflation-adjusted price of Brent crude oil last year was $69 per barrel, which is the lowest since 2020 — when the pandemic hit and demand for fuel cratered. None of this particularly makes companies anywhere want to expand production a lot, since that would bring prices down further.”

Trump campaigned on ‘drill, baby, drill,’ but former senior U.S. economist at BP Mark Finley told Rampell that the United States “can’t have ‘drill, baby, drill’ and low oil prices.”

Second, there’s the nature of Venezuelan oil itself.

On one hand, Venezuela's claim of “300 billion barrels [of oil]” appears to have been exaggerated or, worse, fabricated by the Venezuelan government to impress markets." Rampell also pointed out that the quality of that oil is “heavy, sticky, dense, highly sulfuric and expensive to extract.”

“That’s among the reasons that the country currently accounts for under 1 percent of global oil production,” said Rampell, and the decaying infrastructure and government dysfunction will make processing it no easier, or cheap. Many oil companies won’t want to touch it — possibly for years.

Thirdly, Venezuela’s political instability and its history of seizing international oil companies’ assets and investments also presents an obstacle. Rampell questioned what profitable oil company would want to throw good money after bad if the government is likely to decide to snatch it once more.

When grouping those factors with Trump’s inability to generate real money for anybody other than himself and his family, Rampell asserted there was a fourth reason international oil producers may stall their investments in Trump’s new broken toy of a nation, according to Rampell.

“While Trump can bully companies into making investments that lack financial sense, he can’t actually bully those investments into profitability,” said Rampell.

Fossil fuel companies might “thread the needle” and appease Trump while not filling their tankers with red ink” by promising “a bunch of vague investments that they don’t really intend to deliver,” said Rampell. “Companies in other industries and countries have already modeled this approach.”

“The upshot is that if Trump believes invading Venezuela to seize its oil was a good investment, then he got rolled,” Rampell said. “And he may well get rolled again soon.”

Read the Bulwark report at this link.

'Clenched teeth and pursed lips': Anti-war Trump officials silent after Venezuela invasion

The Atlantic reports Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard — a former lieutenant colonel in the Hawaii Army National Guard — was always fiercely opposed to U.S. intervention abroad, even during her time as a Democrat. Now a converted MAGA disciple, President Donald Trump’s intelligence chief remained deeply resentful of American imperialism.

“The United States needs to stay out of Venezuela,” Gabbard posted in January 2019. “Let the Venezuelan people determine their future. We don’t want other countries to choose our leaders—so we have to stop trying to choose theirs.”

A few weeks later, the Atlantic reports Gabbard claiming: “The US needs to stop using our military for regime change & stop intervening in Venezuela’s military,” and even later claiming: “Throughout history, every time the US topples a foreign country’s dictator/government, the outcome has been disastrous. Civil war/military intervention in Venezuela will wreak death & destruction to Venezuelan people, and increase tensions that threaten our national security.”

The Atlantic reports she even went so far as to admit her nation’s ulterior motivation in Venezuela was about getting its mitts on their oil, posting “It’s about the oil … again.”

But this week, Atlantic writer David Graham said: “You could almost detect the clenched teeth and pursed lips in Gabbard’s social-media post."

“President Trump promised the American people he would secure our borders, confront narcoterrorism, dangerous drug cartels, and drug traffickers,” Gabbard claimed on X after the capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro. “Kudos to our servicemen and women and intelligence operators for their flawless execution of President Trump’s order to deliver on his promise thru Operation Absolute Resolve.”

Vice President JD Vance is another noninterventionist America First MAGA acolyte suddenly finding himself in an administration acting as an invading force for another nation’s oil.

“No silence has been so conspicuous as that of Vice President JD Vance,” said Graham. “One of the few beliefs that he has not been quick to jettison for political advancement is his opposition to American military interventions, which he connects to his experience serving in Iraq. This spring, in a group chat to which Trump officials accidentally invited Atlantic editor in chief Jeffrey Goldberg, Vance grumbled to colleagues about strikes intended to preserve navigation in the Red Sea. ‘I just hate bailing Europe out again,’ he wrote.

But in the wake of his boss’ Venezuelan invasion Vance has not only fallen silent but gone invisible.

“He was not present Friday night when the administration set up an impromptu war room at Mar-a-Lago, and he was also not part of the press conference the next day where Trump celebrated the mission and talked about taking over the Venezuelan oil industry. Instead, the front man for this operation has been Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

But these two have already seen the cost of defying Trump, said Graham. Gabbard found herself pushed into the wilderness after she warned against the bombing of Iran this past summer, “before quickly falling back in line.”

“One more break might get her sacked,” said Graham, adding that “no one has as much to lose” as Vance.

“He is clearly the front-runner to succeed Trump and is desperate to lead the MAGA movement once Trump leaves office, but yesterday’s January 6 anniversary is a reminder of how viciously Trump can turn on a vice president who doesn’t support him in all things — he even watched indifferently while a mob threatened to hang Mike Pence,” wrote Graham. “Vance may not like what’s going on in Venezuela, though unless he says so, no one knows. Until then, his willingness to keep his mouth shut speaks loudly.”

“Deeply held principles are fine, but staying in power is even more alluring,” Graham said.

Read the Atlantic report at this link.

'This is extortion': Social media erupts after Trump admits US may go to war for 'oil'

Social media piled on President Donald Trump’s admission that his mounting aggressive action against the nation of Venezuela is about mineral resources.

"Getting land, oil rights, whatever we had -- they took it away because we had a president that maybe wasn't watching,” Trump told reporters on Wednesday. “But they're not gonna do that. We want it back. They took our oil rights. We had a lot of oil there. They threw our companies out. And we want it back."

“This is extortion,” said actor Jon Cryer on Bluesky. “This is the president of the United States admitting he is extorting another country.”

Critics at the conservative National Review called Trump’s reasoning a “sprinkle [of] lots of crazy on top of legitimate allegations.”

“Presumably … the president is talking about the American oil companies that developed Venezuela’s rich oil resources until a series of Venezuelan regimes first nationalized the oil industry and eventually expropriated the property of American and other corporations,” wrote National Review Institute senior fellow Andrew McCarthy, who added that “U.S. oil companies were compensated” during the nationalization process.

Zak Taylor, a professor of public policy at Georgia Tech echoed Cryer’s sentiment, posting: “So this is just conquest? Nothing to do with gangs or drugs after all?”

“What corrupted version of the history of US-Latin American relations did Stephen Miller slip in front of Donald Trump?” demanded American University Assistant Professor David Ryan Miller.

National Security Reporter Zach Dorfman posted, however, that “This kind of statement would once be made inside the most rarified councils of state, some ultra-limited Special Group, wherein POTUS and his most trusted advisors would commit to never putting anything in writing yet some handwritten archival scrap excavated 50 years later would reveal the truth.”

Iraq veteran Alex Wright posted on Bluesky that “I thought we didn’t go to war over oil?”

MS NOW anchor Chris Hayes, like Wright, also noted Trump’s drastic turn from Republican policy, posting: “I guess I'll say, for someone of my age, it's wild to see a Republican president just come out and say we're going to wage war for oil.”

'Nothing is stopping him': Veteran calls Trump's tanker seizure a 'significant escalation'

Veterans of America CEO Paul Rieckhoff likened President Donald Trump's recent seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker as an official announcement that he can take other nations' property with impunity

“You and I have talked for months about this,” Reickoff told MS NOW anchor Nicolle Wallace on Wednesday. “I think the biggest story in the world is that Donald Trump can do anything he wants with the most powerful military the world has ever seen, and nothing is stopping him. That includes now seizing oil tankers. It includes potentially killing survivors. It includes potential black sites. I mean, he is all gas and no brakes right now. And when I spoke to you a couple weeks ago, I said the pieces were in place for a strike on Venezuela. It was just a matter of when. This is a significant escalation today.”

Trump announced the unexpected seizure on Wednesday, telling reporters: “We’ve just seized a tanker on the coast of Venezuela — a large tanker, very large, the largest one ever seized actually.”

Trump, speaking during a meeting in the Roosevelt Room at the White House, did not share reasons for the seizure. The president also declined to provide information on who owned the tanker or its destination when asked by reporters, but Reickhoff warned the rest of the international community does not smile on acts that can be interpreted as national enrichment through blunt force.

“I mean, oil prices are up. The country, the world, is going to wonder if this is why he wants Venezuela, for the oil,” Rieckhoff said. “And our troops are staged all over the region. They’re in Puerto Rico, we had F-18s 20 miles from the Gulf. So, it looks like this is happening … an escalation of military action against Venezuela.”

This includes troops on the ground in Venezuela, Reickhoff added, as well as limited airstrikes, and amphibious assault.

“And I think it's really important to underscore that Congress does not support this and hasn't authorized it,” Reickhoff said. “Most of the country doesn't support this and isn't behind it. And he's still going full speed. So, I think the country needs to ask everybody to put the brakes on here, because there is nothing more important than a potential regime change war just in time for Christmas.”

Watch the segment below:

- YouTube youtu.be

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