U.S. President Donald Trump attends an event to honor Angel Families at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 23, 2026. REUTERS
Fox News Chief Political Analyst Brit Hume is one of the Network’s most serious voices. And on Wednesday he very seriously declared Congress likely lost to the GOP were elections held today.
“I think people are concerned about the economy, and the Republicans are likely to pay a price for that,” said Hume, when asked by a Fox anchor to for perspective on the midterms. “There’s some hope among Republicans that if we get a successful outcome of this war in Iran, or above Iran actually, that the gasoline prices and other prices will come down, people will feel better about the economy, that [President Donald Trump's] program will bring about some strengthening growth, that some of the measures he’s taken in terms of taxes and regulation will pay off, and that they’ll have a chance of doing well in the midterms.”
But Hume was not at all ready to skew that optimistic at this point.
“I think the House is a long shot for [Republicans] because the margin is so tiny and historical precedent is so strong that the in-party loses in the midterm in a new president’s first term,” said Hume, before adding: “I think if the election were held today give how we’re in the middle of this conflict that the House would be obviously gone and a chance that the Senate would go, too.”
It’s a nice thing to hope for, but Hume was not quite ready to lay his hopes there considering the sheer scope of punishment that could be underway should Trump fail to end his self-made Iranian conflict and settle the global energy prices and inflation that came of it.
“The war outcome, I think, will produce a reset, for better or for worse, for each party. If it turns out well, I think the president would have a lot to run on, and the party would swing behind that because they’ve been behind this war,” said Hume. “But if it turns out in a way that is unconvincing to people that it was worth it, woe be unto the Republicans.”
As of now, Trump is aggravating Iran's squeeze on the Strait of Hormuz by imposing a second U.S. blockade on the critical oil-supply thoroughfare, and gas prices are raising accordingly.
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