The Heartland is 'ripping the heart out of Trump’s presidency': data expert

Trump supporters celebrate after Fox Network called the election in his favor at the site of his rally, at the Palm Beach County Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo

President Donald Trump has now started to lose what's left of his coalition from the 2024 election, according to CNN data analyst Harry Enten.

Speaking to co-host John Berman on Tuesday, Enten showed another shocking bombshell number that is destroying support for Republican candidates.

"The target group of voters is white, non-college voters," Enten explained. "They were the heartbeat of President Trump's three presidential campaigns. And right now, the Heartland is ripping the heart out of Donald Trump's presidency because just take a look at these numbers right here. Okay? White non-college voters on Trump. He won those or he was leading against Kamala Harris among white non-college voters just before the 2024 election by 25 points. But down he goes."

Enten revealed that Trump is now suffering the biggest loss among former presidents in their second terms. George W. Bush was down 1 point in 2006 when the GOP lost big.

"And what happened to him? His party lost the United States House, and it also lost the United States Senate, in large part because a lot of voters who had previously been voting Republican decided to vote Democratic," said Enten.

Trump's problem is that he was heavily reliant on non-college white voters to help elect him. In fact, Enten said Trump was more reliant on them than any other group.

"No wonder he's so low," said Enten. "Now, even they have turned on him."

When asked about inflation, the white non-college voters supported him by 24 percent in 2024, but now it's bad enough that all Enten could say was "oh my goodness gracious." Trump is now down 39 points as the election nears.

"This is deep into the Iowa [Rob] Sand -39 points. What is that, Johnny B.? That's a change of 63 points in the wrong direction on the key issue that got Donald Trump reelected to a second term, among the key group that got him reelected," Enten said.

Co-host John Berman said that this might be the key reason Trump is pressing for a $50 billion Iowa steel plant so close to the election. But Trump must do something because it appears that for the first time in 20 years, Iowa could have a Democratic governor, if prediction markets are to be believed.

At the end of March, Kalshi said there was a 48 percent chance Sand could win the governor's race. Today that sits at an 83 percent likelihood.

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