Trump's negative impact is ripping through the GOP and eroding their chances of maintaining Senate control

24 October 2020

'The most powerful Republican in Washington?' McConnell's steamrolling of Trump on stimulus signals a 'shift' for GOP

As Election Day approaches, President Donald Trump's poll standings have signaled trouble ahead not only for him but also his Republican lawmakers.

While Trump has expressed confidence in Republicans' ability to take back the House of Representatives, well-documented polls suggest otherwise. Not only has Trump jeopardized his own chances of re-election but also Republican lawmakers' possibility of retaining control of the Senate.

According to a report published by CNN, Trump is trailing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in every critical battleground state including: Arizona (by 7 points), Colorado (by 9 points), Maine (by 5 points), Iowa (by 2 points) and North Carolina (by 3 points). In 2016, Trump carried three out of five of the critical states—which were Arizona, Iowa, and North Carolina. However, it does not look that will be the case for the upcoming election. In fact, not only is Biden leading in key states but there is only a 3-point difference in his polling margin compared to that of Democratic lawmakers.

The chances of Republican lawmakers taking the House of Representatives is even lower than the possibility of the maintaining control of the Senate. The report also laid out an explanation to explain the downward trajectory of Republican presence in the chambers.

"The chance of Republicans recovering in the race for the House is much lower. They lost their majority in 2018, when Republicans lost almost every single seat in districts carried by Hillary Clinton in 2016.This year, Republicans' chances at a House majority have been all but squashed because they're doing poorly in what should be red territory."

Based on all that has transpired over the last several months, Republicans also appear to be suffering from the reality that Trump is not as popular among voters as he once was.

Here is one of the main explanation of the difference in Trump's current polling compared to his stance in 2016 that led to a campaign victory.

"Look at Maine's 2nd district, New Jersey's 2nd district and New York's 22nd district. Trump won them by margins ranging from 5 points (New Jersey's 2nd) to 16 points (New York's 22nd). Today, polls have Trump doing 9 points to 17 points worse than he did in 2016. He is ahead in none of these districts. Not surprisingly, the Republican House candidate faces a deficit in all these districts."

Although Election Day is still more than a week away, it may be too late for Republicans to change the trajectory of the election since more than 50 million Americans have already cast early votes for the 2020 election.

From Your Site Articles