New analysis explains why Trump endorsements could destroy the GOP’s chances of controlling the House

21 September 2022

A new analysis is explaining how former President Donald Trump's endorsements could be doing more harm than good for the Republican Party. In fact, its believed that Trump's endorsements could blow the party's chances of regaining control of the House.

According to HuffPost, a number of former Republican leaders and political analysts aren't exactly pleased with the Republican Party's primary and midterm election performances and projections.

Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, expressed concern about Trump transforming the party into an entity that reflects his own likeness. “Odds are, even if the GOP gets the single net seat it needs to take control, Republicans would have done at least two to three seats better with the establishment candidates,” he said.

“[Trump] certainly bears much responsibility, but Rick Scott and Mitch McConnell are not bystanders in this train wreck,” former Rep. David Jolly (R-Fla.) said. “The Trump endorsement impact is not new to them, and they control the resources and many of the strategies.”

Republican consultant Sarah Longwell also noted that the former president changed the voter dynamic. “It’s just not about Trump anymore. It’s about the forces he unleashed on the party,” she said.

However, Amanda Carpenter, a former high-ranking aid for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), believes the Republican Party would have ended up in this situation even if Trump hadn't caused so much chaos after the 2020 presidential election.

“Even if Trump had gone away, these problems wouldn’t have ceased to exist,” she said, pointing to conspiracy theorists like Kari Lake in Arizona and Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania who actively sought out politics without any encouragement from Trump and are now the Republican party’s nominees for governor in those states. “The beast is self-operational, at this point ... The incentives that steer the candidates toward crazy are still there.”

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