GOP hemorrhaging 'nearly all' these voters in trend that 'overwhelmingly favors' Democrats

Protester at the Reopen Wisconsin rally at the Capitol on April 24, 2020 (photo by Luther Wu).

Conservative columnist T. Becket Adams writes in a Substack post that "the Republican Party faces a more severe version of the Democrats’ current demographic crisis: the GOP has lost nearly all female voters under 30.”

"Millions of words and hours of news programming have been devoted to the issue of the Democratic Party’s recent loss of male voters aged 18 to 29," Adams writes, adding that "Even less discussed is the fact that, while Democrats rack their brains trying to find ways to win over young men, the right doesn’t seem to recognize the seriousness of its own predicament, much less have a plan to fix it."

He also notes that while Republicans in past elections have lost key voter blocs including Black and Jewish voters, " losing one more probably feels more a matter of routine than a sign of impending doom."

Demographics, however, make this crisis worse, Adams explains.

"Considering that there are eight million more registered female voters than male voters in the United States, and considering that of the overall number of female voters, the 10 percent to 12 percent that fall into the 18-to-29 age bracket are much more politically active than men their age, Republicans simply cannot accept that they’ve lost another voting group," he writes.

Democrats, he says, can afford to lose some male voters and make them up with "more politically engaged female voters," but the "GOP has no cushion."

"The Republican Party’s struggle to attract young female voters was evident once again following the recent elections in New York, Virginia, and New Jersey," he writes.

The Democrats won by "huge numbers" of females, he explains: "In the Big Apple, Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani won 84 percent of the vote among women aged 18 to 29. In New Jersey, Governor-elect Mikie Sherrill won 81 percent of the same age group. In Virginia, Attorney General-elect Jay Jones won 76 percent of these voters, while Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger won 81 percent."

These numbers, Adams writes, are "further evidence of an electoral trend that overwhelmingly favors Democrats" and Republicans, he says, are responding in ways that won't help them.

"Instead of urgency or even panic, the typical conservative media or even GOP response to this kind of electoral drubbing tends to include mockery, disdain, and a general disregard," he writes.

A recent analysis shows "a mind boggling" trend of young men shifting back to the Democratic Party, and despite his criticisms of their efforts, Adams says it further highlights Republican failures.

"Any attempt to win back disaffected voters, no matter how silly, is better than acting as if the problem doesn’t exist. Say what you will about the clown car that is the modern-day Democratic Party, but at least it is trying to win over young men," he writes.

"The same can’t be said for the Republican Party, which will continue to suffer electoral defeat at the hands of young women until it takes its demographic losses at least half as seriously as Democrats take theirs," he adds.

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