Key Trump voters looking more likely to ditch GOP ahead of midterms

President Donald Trump looks on as he speaks to members of the media aboard Air Force One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, March 29, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz

President Donald Trump's reelection in 2024 has been credited to numerous different groups who pushed his campaign over the edge, and according to new findings from Politico, one of the more important groups is showing signs of "broad frustration and dissatisfaction" and is increasingly likely to ditch the GOP in the midterms.

After suspending his own 2024 campaign, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorsed Trump, leading a considerable number of his supporters to vote for him in the general election. This led the former environmental lawyer to a spot in Trump's cabinet as Secretary of Health and Human Services, allowing him to pursue a controversial federal health policy agenda rife with vaccine skepticism and nutrition guidelines contested by most of the scientific community, an agenda now broadly known as "Make America Healthy Again," or simply, "MAHA."

Like many Trump 2024 voters, however, MAHA supporters have shown signs of growing discontent with the president's actions since returning to the White House, often accusing him and Kennedy of not going far enough for their tastes. According to a poll released by Politico, there are signs of "both broad frustration and dissatisfaction with the Trump administration on health priorities" among these voters, presenting major "opportunities for Democrats to make inroads with" them.

"A majority of Americans associate MAHA with the Republican Party, but not overwhelmingly, and most believe the Trump administration has not done enough to 'Make America Healthy Again, — including a 41 percent plurality of Trump’s own 2024 voters," Politico explained.

Politico's data shows Trump and MAHA supporters split down the middle on his health agenda. While 41 percent of 2024 voters overall say he has not done enough, 40 percent said that he has, with 19 percent unsure. Looking at the results for self-described MAHA followers, 47 percent say Trump has not done enough, while 45 percent say that he has, with only 8 percent unsure.

Trump's second-term agenda has largely been defined by deregulation pushes for many businesses and industries. While Republicans may cheer these moves, they run counter to the MAHA's desire for heavier crackdowns on "pesticide companies, food manufacturers and drugmakers," Politico explained.

"The burgeoning political movement that officials in both parties credit with helping President Donald Trump win in 2024 has already begun to reshape how the GOP approaches health policy — driving everything from a redesign of the food pyramid to a rollback in vaccine recommendations," Politico's report continued. "At the same time, however, many poll respondents view Democrats as better positioned on the movement’s key health priorities. They were more likely, for example, to say the Democratic Party can be trusted to make the country healthier and are more eager to improve health in America, while fewer said the same of Republicans. The GOP, on the other hand, is seen as more likely to be influenced than Democrats by lobbyists for the food and pesticide industries, who rank among the MAHA movement’s top enemies."

The degree to which these shifts might impact the GOP in the midterms, according to Politico, will be influenced by how important health issues become by November. As of now, the outlet's poll found that health ranked below affordability and the cost of living when voters were asked to prioritize current political issues.

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