An attendee holds an anti-Trump sign as veterans rally against federal cuts, immigration policies, and other programs under U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration during a Veterans Day protest at Union Station on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 11, 2025. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst
President Donald Trump has been credited for his unique ability to maintain a base of loyal MAGA voters and others, but according to a new Politico report, "cracks are starting to show" as a major chunk of his 2024 base appears to be looking for the exits.
Politico's report is based on the findings of a new polling survey conducted on the current state and future of Trump's MAGA political movement. Notable amongst the findings was the fact that 38%, over one-third, of Trump's 2024 voters do not identify as part of his "MAGA" at all, and are therefore inclined to be far less loyal to him overall.
It's not just a personal branding issue with these voters, however, as those non-MAGA respondents were found to be far more discontented with the president's second term.
"And not only are they less loyal to Trump than self-identified MAGA Republicans," the report explained. "The poll suggests some of them have already begun to turn on him: Non-MAGA Trump voters are much more likely to blame Trump for the state of the economy, say he has too much power and be pessimistic about the future."
Politico's findings led it to suggest that Trump's 2024 coalition, far from representing a substantive and durable shift in the American electorate, was a rare mix based on a number of unique factors, and one that the future standard-bearers for the Republican Party and the MAGA movement will be hard-pressed to replicate.
The outlet noted that an early sign of these troubles came in the recent 2025 elections in places like New Jersey, Virginia and New York City, which saw Latino voters and young male voters, two groups that swung hard for Trump in 2024, break for Democrats by considerable margins. Overall, the findings presented a wide gap between the sentiments of MAGA loyalists and non-MAGA Trump voters, leaving whoever comes next for the GOP with a tough task heading into the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential race.
"There’s something in the MAGA Republican voter mentality — a kind of economic optimism — that is durable even amid the current turmoil. Trump’s definition of reality permeates their own," Politico concluded. "And the GOP has less than four years to turn Trump voters into reliable Republican voters."