'Abject disaster': Data analyst says Trump is deep underwater on inflation

13 August

U.S. President Donald Trump attends the commencement ceremony at West Point Military Academy in West Point, New York, U.S., May 24, 2025. REUTERS Nathan Howard

CNN analyst Harry Enten said Republicans have no hope of holding the House with current poll numbers.

“This is an abject disaster,” said Enten, pointing to an aggregate of recent surveys showing Trump's tariffs are being passed along to consumers — and consumers hate them.

“He won the 2024 election because [voters believed] he was more entrusted on inflation than Kamala Harris by a margin of nine points. But look at where his net approval stands today on inflation. My goodness gracious: into the gutter we go,” Enten said, pointing low to the CNN newsroom floor. “… He's 25 points underwater. That is where the Little Mermaid is, and … that's how far underwater he is on the issue that got him elected.”

CNN reported inflation may be holding steady, but it is holding steady at unpleasant levels. When asked to look forward to 2026, when “a lot of Republicans are going to be on the ballot,” Enten declared polls “looking much better” for Democrats.

“Yeah, if Republicans in Congress think that they can escape the wrath of the voters when it comes to inflation, I have a bit of a rude awakening for them,” said Enten, pulling up additional survey responses.

“You go back to the 2022 midterms — look at this — Republicans led by 13 points on 'which party was more trusted on inflation'. But look at where we are now: Nearly a 15-point shift in the Democrats’ direction. It's within the margin of error, but the Democrats are up by a point,” Enten said. “This just looks totally different from where we were back in 2022, when Republicans took back the House.”

CNN anchor Jessica Dean asked Enten how high up inflation ranked on voter’s minds, however, compared to other issues. And again, Enten delivered bad news for GOP incumbents.

“… What is the top issue for you right now? It's a runaway for inflation at 34 percent, compared to the economy, which is basically very similar at 16 percent, Medicare and Social Security are at 14 percent. … The bottom line is voters in poll after poll after poll say that Donald Trump has taken his eye off the ball, off the big issue of the day, which is inflation.”

“I can guarantee you this, Jessica: if these numbers look right now like they do or will look on Election Day 2026, there is no way on God's green earth that Republicans can hold on to the House of Representatives.”

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