'Good Luck to JD Vance': CNN data guru says Trump’s signature bill is worst in decades

20 August

President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance on January 20, 2025 (The White House/Wikimedia Commons)

CNN survey analyst Harry Enten crunched the numbers and predicted a hard road ahead for Vice President JD Vance selling President Donald Trump's signature budget bill.

“Yeah. good luck to JD Vance trying to sell this bill. That's all I can say,” said Enten. “Look, even among Republican voters, it's far less popular than Donald Trump is. But look at voters, overall, right? I think this gives you a real understanding of what's exactly cooking.”

Enten examined a slew of polls and found Trump’s Big Beautiful budget bill to be woefully unpopular on every one.

“On every. Single. Poll — it is underwater,” Enten told CNN host Erin Burnett. “When the best you can do on the net favorable rating is minus ten points, you know it's an unpopular bill. Minus ten, minus 14, minus 19, minus 22. I have not seen a single reputable poll in which this thing is anything more popular than being 10 points underwater. Truthfully, as I said at the top here: JD Vance, good luck to you, buddy.”

“But one group of voters that Trump needs to watch in particular is really not happy,” said Burnett.

“No, no. That's independents. I mean, look, we know that elections are won and lost in the center of the electorate. You know what the favorable rating is in this bill among independents? It's 30 percent. What is the unfavorable rating? Look at this — 60 percent! That is a net favorable rating among independents of -39 percentage points,” Enten said. “If this is what the election is about, you can wave adios, amigos, goodbye to that Republican majority in the House. And you may be able to say adios, amigos, goodbye to that Republican majority in the Senate.”

“Well, tell me something else I don’t know,” challenged Burnett.

“I'll tell you something else that you don't know," Enten said. "I went back, and I looked at every single major piece of legislation that was passed since 1990. The most unpopular bill that was passed? Guess what it is? It's the Big, Beautiful bill. Even worse than Obamacare.”

“Even worse than Obamacare?” asked Burnett, referring to the health bill's initial unpopularity before later becoming popular among Americans.

“At minus eight points was Obamacare," Enten said. "Look at where the Big Beautiful bill is: 17 points underwater there. Simply put, there isn't anything close to how unpopular the Big Beautiful bill is."

“I can't believe that's really its name,” said Burnett. “Sometimes you got to be careful what you wish for.”

“You got that right,” agreed Enten.

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