U.S. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One to the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., January 20, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
When Donald Trump pulled off a narrow 1.5 percent victory over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election, there were two very different types of Trump voters: (1) his hardcore MAGA base, and (2) swing voters and independents who, feeling frustrated over inflation, were willing to give him a chance. But President Trump, now almost 13 months into his second presidency, is suffering from weak approval ratings in poll after poll.
Trump is faring badly among independents in many polls. And according to The Lincoln Project's Rick Wilson and liberal journalist Molly Jong-Fast, Trump is also seeing a "splintering" in his MAGA base.
In a "Fast Politics" video posted on Sunday night, February 15, Wilson — a Never Trump conservative and former GOP strategist — told Jong-Fast, "We're seeing it in the polls. For years and years and years and years, it was that 35 percent that could not be moved. And now, it's the 25 percent that can't be moved. And I think there's some stuff that's happened out there. I think it's the economy. His absolute botching of the economy, I think that's a huge factor — you can't unweigh that factor."
Wilson argued that many of the swing voters Trump picked up in 2024 — including Latinos — are now turning against him in a big way.
Wilson said of Latinos, "They've not only flipped back to their median, where they've always sort of been politically — they've gone further towards the Democrats. I don't know about you, but I don't think in nine months, Donald Trump is going to turn this ship around."
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