'Biden Bump is real' as president gains on Trump in key swing states

27 March 2024

During a March 21 appearance on MSNBC, The Lincoln Project's Stuart Stevens — a veteran conservative consultant/strategist — predicted that the United States' 2024 presidential election will turn out to be "1980 in reverse."

Stevens, an outspoken Never Trumper, believes that when voters get a really good look at GOP nominee Donald Trump, President Joe Biden will surge — not unlike Ronald Reagan in 1980. And this time, according to Stevens, the incumbent Democratic president won't suffer a Jimmy Carter-like fate, but will be reelected by a landslide.

However, polls released in March are showing the 2024 election to be a close race and a real dogfight.

Trump has enjoyed small single-digit leads over Biden in many March polls, yet some polls released in late March are showing Biden with narrow leads — including 1 percent (Morning Consult and YouGov/The Economist).

Biden's campaign is paying close attention to polls in swing states, which will ultimately decide the election. In an article published on March 27, The Guardian's Martin Pengelly emphasizes that Biden is enjoying a slight polling "bump" in key swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

"Joe Biden had some good news on Tuesday, (March 26) as polling showed him gaining on Donald Trump in six battleground states, seven months before the presidential election," Pengelly explains. "In response, one leading Democratic strategist said the 'Biden bump is real.'"

The Guardian reporter notes that according to Bloomberg News/Morning Consult polling data, Biden "now leads Trump by a point in Wisconsin, having trailed by four last month, and is tied in Pennsylvania, where Trump had a six-point lead last month."

"The two candidates were also tied in Michigan," Pengelly adds. "In other states likely to decide the presidential election in November, Trump was ahead in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. Only Georgia, however, showed an increased lead for the presumptive Republican nominee."

Biden won Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada and Michigan in 2020, while Trump narrowly defeated him in North Carolina. But the Biden campaign believes it has a chance of flipping North Carolina, according to reports.

In a March 26 post on X, formerly Twitter, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg argued, "Election is clearly changing now, moving towards Biden: - 10 recent natl polls show Biden leading, he's up 1 now in Economist poll average - Harris this week finds Biden gaining 4, this new Bloomberg/MC polling also finds significant movement towards Biden. Biden bump is real."

Read The Guardian's full report at this link.

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