Poll-Watch: Big Convention Bounce for Obama?
As Steve M. over at No More Mister Nice Blog points out, there's been quit a bit of hand-wringing about the degree to which the Democratic Convention is moving Obama's campaign forward. But according to Gallup's daily tracking poll, the head-to-head numbers have swung 8 points in Obama's favor in the past 3 days, and the senator now leads by 6 points nationwide.
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Of course, we'll have to wait until we get some data collected after Obama's speech tonight to see what the real effect is. And we'll have to see who McCain picks as VP -- probably later this evening -- before we know how the dust will settle.
Rasmussen's tracking poll over the same period shows a more modest one-point bump, giving Obama an insignificant lead over McCain (they're tied when "leaners" are included).