Poll-Watch: Big Convention Bounce for Obama?
August 28, 2008

(click for larger version)
Of course, we'll have to wait until we get some data collected after Obama's speech tonight to see what the real effect is. And we'll have to see who McCain picks as VP -- probably later this evening -- before we know how the dust will settle.
Rasmussen's tracking poll over the same period shows a more modest one-point bump, giving Obama an insignificant lead over McCain (they're tied when "leaners" are included).
As Steve M. over at No More Mister Nice Blog points out, there's been quit a bit of hand-wringing about the degree to which the Democratic Convention is moving Obama's campaign forward. But according to Gallup's daily tracking poll, the head-to-head numbers have swung 8 points in Obama's favor in the past 3 days, and the senator now leads by 6 points nationwide.

(click for larger version)
Of course, we'll have to wait until we get some data collected after Obama's speech tonight to see what the real effect is. And we'll have to see who McCain picks as VP -- probably later this evening -- before we know how the dust will settle.
Rasmussen's tracking poll over the same period shows a more modest one-point bump, giving Obama an insignificant lead over McCain (they're tied when "leaners" are included).