Edwards Takes Lead in Iowa, Or Did He?

Two new polls of "likely" Iowa caucus-goers offer contradictory results.

First ...

A new InsiderAdvantage poll in Iowa shows John Edwards leading among likely caucus-goers with 30% support, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton at 26% and Sen. Barack Obama at 24%.
This is the first poll to show Edwards ahead of his rivals since summer.
Then ...
The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll from Iowa contradicts the poll last night that showed John Edwards regaining his lead in Iowa. It may also show the tremendous difficulty in trying to poll in advance of a caucus since it is hard to determine who is likely to participate.
This poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading the Democratic field with 33%, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton at 29%, Edwards at 20% and Gov. Bill Richardson at 8%.

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