Why Israel/Palestine peace treaty won't work

There are generally three camps on Israel/Palestine.

1. Palestinians are evil suicide bombers.
2. Israel is an evil state.
3. Aye yayay.

The latest Hudna, or peace treaty, between the nations has already been "broken," according to a headline in Ha'aretz: Day into truce, militants in Gaza fire rockets at Israel.

Of course it has. If it weren't so tragic there'd be humor in this game between rightwingers in each country. This game is why incremental peace plans have almost no chance of working. Until many people in each nation are given a palpable sense of change that they're loath to lose, they'll throw their support behind revenge factions.

Or: Both Hamas (and a variety of other militant orgs) and Likkud (and other parties) trade in fear and revenge -- much like the right wing in any nation. Peace treaties threaten their power and encourage violence as a means to retaining power and support. If the populations haven't been given any reason to withdraw their support (like a better standard of living, the withdrawal of troops and onerous and humiliating checkpoints, etc), they're unlikely to oppose revenge, a powerful currency for those who lose hope.

If Israel and Palestine want peace, Israel will have to give up the territories. Just leave. There will be bombings and attacks the very next day. There will be violence for some time, perhaps. But, as the justifications for those bombings is removed in the eyes of the world and as the Palestinian street begins to fear the loss of their newfound opportunity, they'll be the ones to take care of the violence.

Remove the demand and you'll end the supply. Discuss.


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