Updated: Bellwether races!

Again, grain of salt, not all precincts reporting, etc. But these results, from CNN, are what analysts are looking at to see whether tonight will feature a wave:

In Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District, incumbent Republican Rep. Anne Northup was trailing Democratic challenger John Yarmuth by 3 percentage points, 51 percent to 48 percent with 71 percent of precincts reporting.
In Indiana, the focus was on three races.
With 21 percent of precincts reporting in Indiana's 8th Congressional District, Rep. John Hostettler, the Republican, trailed Democrat challenger Brad Ellsworth 65 percent to 35 percent.
UPDATE: Fox calls Ellsworth over Hostettler.
In Indiana's 2nd District, GOP incumbent Rep. Chris Chocola and Democrat Joe Donnelly were splitting the vote 50-50 with 5 percent of precincts reporting.
And in Indiana's 9th District, GOP incumbent Rep. Mike Sodrel was knotted with Democrat Baron Hill at 48 percent.
If two of three bellwethers in Indiana go it's a sign of a big night for the Dems. Ellsworth blowing out Hostettler is also good (and Hostettler's a terrible legislator), but with 21% reporting … doesn't mean much yet.

Watch for whether those 'moderate" Republicans drop across the NE.

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