Arnold's sagging special election

Arnold Schwarzenegger picked four initiatives (74-77) to take to the California voters, and all of them are faring poorly in the latest polling. Not one is garnering more than 50%. Even the initiative designed to lure anti-abortion stalwarts to the polls -- 73 -- is lagging.
But it's not time for cheering. 74 and 75 aren't out of the woods, numbers-wise. And if turnout is low, as expected, these could go in Arnold's direction.

The poll is by the Public Policy Institute of California, numbers (likely voters, 1,079 sample size), reported by the the AP:

- Proposition 73, the parental notification initiative, had support of 42 percent of likely voters but was opposed by 48 percent.

- Proposition 74, the teacher tenure initiative, was supported by 46 percent of likely voters and opposed by 48 percent.

- Proposition 75, the union dues measure, was split evenly among supporters and opponents, at 46 percent.

- Proposition 76, the governor's spending cap and the centerpiece of his ballot agenda, was favored by 30 percent but opposed by 62 percent, with 8 percent undecided.

-Proposition 77, the redistricting measure, has supported by 36 percent but opposed by 50 percent, with 14 percent were undecided.

Other notes from this report:

- Schwarzenegger's approval rating remained low, with 38 percent approving, 57 percent disapproving and 5 percent undecided.

- Approval for the Legislature was just 21 percent, with 65 percent disapproving and 14 percent undecided.

I wrote a piece about the special election; check it out.


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