Fissures and splinters
Mark Tapscott is Director of the Center for Media and Public Policy at the conservative Heritage Foundation, and he's written two recent columns about the potential upcoming fall of the Republican Party -- one pre-Katrina, one post. In the post-Katrina column, he notes the response to the first one:
"The 'time to dump the GOP' column generated more than 200 emails, many brimming with anger, disbelief and disgust. Less than a dozen came from people saying the GOP is just fine. The vast majority said they either have already or are planning to switch to the Libertarian Party or Constitution Party.
Emails inspired by an online column donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t make a scientific survey, of course, but what if those responses do reflect an as-yet unreported gathering revolt of the GOP base? All thatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s required for a GOP-majority ending electoral earthquake is five percent or so of the base staying home or voting third party on election day."
Ooooo, I love a good party split. Tapscott goes on to cite the horrors happening in the country that are causing this, including the 'alien invasion' of illegal immigrants (yes, it's the Canadians, isn't it Mark? I've had my eye on those wily buggers for years).
"Political parties in America donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t always die quickly. It took several elections before the demise of the Federalists and the Whigs became obvious to all but the most die-hard supporters. Thanks to the microchip, the GOP might not have long to linger once the base splinters."
Now, if progressives can just shove their crowbars in those cracks (exhibit A: there was this hurricane...), and if the Democrats sprout long wasted-away spines, we might see something interesting in 2006 and 2008.