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Water

Global Warming's Twin Evil: Wildfires and Drought

By Dr. Reese Halter, AlterNet. Posted June 30, 2008.


The 850 fires burning in California alone should be a wake up call that we're unprepared for rapid climate change.
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The hundreds of fires hitting California right now are a wake-up call to both government and California residents: we're unprepared for a rapid climate change crackling at our doorstep.

The facts are unequivocal, and point to a troubling future ahead. Over 850 fires, scorching some 200,000 acres, have set a new 2008 record for early-season wildfires in California. And from March to May precipitation has been the lowest since the inception of record keeping in 1894. In California as well as throughout the West, mountain snowmelts are occurring earlier, and winter storms are arriving later, extending the fire season by at least several weeks.

On June 5, 2008 Governor Schwarzenegger declared a state-wide drought. Droughts fuel wildfires. Across western North America global warming has caused prolonged droughts -- some areas are now entering their 13th year -- and warmer temperatures. These are the same kind of conditions that led to the mega fires of 2003 and 2007.

What's more, in California and throughout the West, millions of acres of drought have created tinder-dry kindling through weakened forests that have been ravaged by billions of indigenous bark beetles and disease. Currently, there is no serious policy being implemented to clear out these dead trees, fireproof communities and inform residents of a plan of action.

Why is this happening?

A mismanaged forest policy has suppressed the natural occurrence of fire, and as a result, many of our California forests are overstocked, and now tinder dry. When lightning strikes occur in combination with drought, mega-fires can't be far away.

Meanwhile, global warming is known to fuel mega-wildfires, particularly in the northern Rocky Mountains. In addition, over the past two decades mountain ecosystems across the West ranging from 5,300 to more than 8,000 feet above sea level have had the largest increase in big fires. It is these mountain ecosystems that are important for retaining snowfall and releasing it slowly into reservoirs. There are at least 350,000 homes in California that are on the urban/wildland interface and they remain at high risk to ever-increasing threat of wildfires.

Global warming is also significantly impacting our security by impinging upon our water supply. Even though average snowfalls in California from December to February of 2008 were recorded, by May state-wide water reservoirs that feed, drive and grow the state's economy -- the eighth mightiest on the planet -- were only slightly above 53 percent of their respective capacities.

The drought from March to May along with warmer temperatures evaporated at least 30 percent of the Sierra Nevada snowpack -- which accounts for the brunt of California's annual water supply -- directly into the air by-passing the solid (ice) to liquid (water) phase.

While the California House and Senate continue to debate where the state will secure more water for our future, we are running out of time.

Across the state the moisture content of grasses and brush are near or at 5 percent (usually at this time of year they should be around 20 percent) -- conditions mimicking tinder-dryness usually found in October -- at the end of the fire season.

What can Californians do at the state and local level? The state needs to mobilize its massive prison population to help thin out the overstocked forests and fire-proof the communities most at risk. The state needs to significantly beef-up its fire protection and emergency system because, like it or not, wildfires burning with greater ferocity and higher intensities and more prolonged droughts are on their way. At the local level, every home-owner can help removing dead trees, excessive brush, overhanging vegetation on roofs and keeping fuel cans at least 100 feet from homes. There's no room for carelessness, whether it's making an illegal campfire, lighting firecrackers this 4th of July or tossing lit cigarettes out a car window. We need to come together to solve this problem before anyone else loses a home, or even a life.

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See more stories tagged with: global warming, climate change, drought, wildfire

Dr. Reese Halter is the author of the upcoming book Save Money -- Go Green. He can be contacted through www.DrReese.com.

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View:
Read the last paragraph...
Posted by: ahmlco on Jun 30, 2008 2:45 PM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
At least the last paragraph of the article is informative.

The rest of the article attempts, rather unsuccessfully, to lay the blame once again at the footsteps of global warming. It fails, however, to provide a real correlation.

One gets tired of hearing that every bump in hurricanes, dry seasons, wet seasons, hot spells, cold spells, rainfall, drought, and forrest fires is the direct effect of global warming.

Then again, fire management policies could also be to blame. As is California's penchant to import all of the water it can get from OTHER western states. Perhaps if its residents used LESS water its reservoirs wouldn't be so dry?

Or if Californians didn't fight every water project, including desalination, tooth and nail? It couldn't simply be that CA and its citizens are being hoisted on their own petards? Could it?

Nah. Better to accuse the global warming boogieman.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

» Less water... Posted by: ahmlco
» RE: Less water... Posted by: Crazy H
» Can you make simple generalizations? Posted by: ReallyBearish
Fire Management
Posted by: ahmlco on Jun 30, 2008 2:58 PM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
BTW, it's also easy to blame the fire management board for its "failed" policies.

The truth, however, is that the concept and practice of doing controlled burns is relatively new. And one, I might add, that local residents ALSO fought as being an unwarranted and unnecessary risk. Not to mention the impact of a nearby burned out forrest on property values.

Once again, you reap what you sow.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

» RE: Fire Management Posted by: Lauren
Harbinger of ecosystem collapse
Posted by: dobermanmacleod on Jun 30, 2008 10:02 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Leemans and Eickhout (2004) found that adaptive capacity decreases rapidly with an increasing rate of climate change.

Their study finds that five percent of all ecosystems cannot adapt more quickly than 0.1 C per decade over time. Forests will be among the ecosystems to experience problems first because their ability to migrate to stay within the climate zone they are adapted to is limited. If the rate is 0.3 C per decade, 15 percent of ecosystems will not be able to adapt.


If the rate should exceed 0.4 C per decade, all ecosystems will be quickly destroyed, opportunistic species will dominate, and the breakdown of biological material will lead to even greater emissions of CO2. This will in turn increase the rate of warming" --Leemans and Eickhout (2004), "Another reason for concern: regional and global impacts on ecosystems for different levels of climate change," Global Environmental Change 14, 219–228.

By the way, we've been heating at a rate of 0.2 C/decade for the last two decades.

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And It's Not Just California ....
Posted by: mmckinl on Jul 1, 2008 1:55 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The lower 48 states and Alaska all have these problems in one form or another. One just has to remember the prairie fires in Texas and Oklahoma.

The South East is now a hot spot with devastating drought and fires in Florida and Georgia.

The problem is fourfold. Certainly Global warming, but also overbuilding, overuse and building in ever more remote and fire prone areas.

It may be the case that in the future we will have to just let 'em burn, buildings or not until they reach a real town ...

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Cali and Florida on Fire, The Midwest Drowning, Oh My! The Shock Doctrine!
Posted by: williameon on Jul 1, 2008 7:06 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Out with the Chimp and in with
McPain!
The face changes but,
Everything else stays the same.
You thought things were tough under BUSH?
Just wait till McPain takes over.
The Hanoi Candidate.
A Psychopath Loser.
The best the Alien Aristocracy has to offer, more
Evil spawn

Every disaster is a Gold mine for the Corpirates.
Pour more money into the black hole as
Franken Foods gobbles up the Midwest.
Let’s Trade Chinese Torture Cookies for Caribou
That's the ticket!
Exxon on and Exxon off.

WAR
Foreclosure
Depression
Sorry no WATER!
No food!

Been there, done that!
Cut down the fruit trees to water the lawn.
Who is going to feed the Beast?
The grain bins and Treasury are empty.
The cupboards are bare.
The Factories boarded up or closing

You're:
Privatized
Hypnotized
Conditioned
Hood winked and
Bamboozled

W for WRONG Bush is the greatest
Corpirate Suck a-s in History
Remembered for
Strangling the Dollar.
Job 1 well done.

Destroy America

Now, get ready for renewal
Slash, burn &
Rebuild.

False flags
Mercenaries
Reality checks
Broken Heads
Cocks and clubs

Mix in a missing
WMD and it is
A recipe
For
MASS destruction.

Take the money and run
It’s all good clean fun
It has been going on for a long,
Long time.

Get ready for Marshall Law everyone

Now it’s in the open.
As Dead Eye sticks a
H-BOMB in your FACE
Laughs and pulls the Trigger.

Some ignorant poor slobs still believe it?
They believe a Mass Murderer has morals!
Now that is unbelievable.
What BU__! SH__!

It does work.
Drown the gullible in BU__! SH__! and
They start to like it and
Even ask for more

Ignorance is the enemy.

Guess what?
The safety is off!
All the safe guards subverted
The Shock Doctrine enforced!

When you’re next one in line
Bent over the Barrel
Screaming
Kaaa whyyyyy?

Why?
Because they are sick Mother Fu-kers and you deserve it.

You’re not in Kansas anymore, Dorothy.
Click your heels together and prey!

There is no place like Home!

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

seriously...
Posted by: tbone on Jul 1, 2008 9:03 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"The state needs to mobilize its massive prison population to help thin out the overstocked forests..."

This is how I know the writer did only about 3 minutes of "research", plus we all know she is not a degreed forestry professional.

Statements like this are not only stupid, but completely miss the point. It is our interaction with the forests that have brought about the current conditions. Fire suppression is the worst "tool" devised by modern forestry policy. Anyone who lives in a region prone to fire should seriously consider your options, its now a matter of when, not if.

I agree that G.W. is for real, anyone that CHOOSES to ignore the facts is in for a real wake up call.

Asian pine beatles are the most obvious indicator here in Colorado that something is amiss. The front range is about to be destroyed...and you can't just go in and take out the dead trees...THEY'RE ALL DEAD! Whose going to build the roads? Whose going to pay for it? The answer: NO ONE, IT WILL BURN! Get out while you can, I predict this year we will see a MAJOR FIRE SEASON in Colorado, it will be international news.

If you live in/near mountains I suggest you look into cleaning up your property, store water, and have an evac plan in place, good luck.

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Bark beetles
Posted by: pangolin on Jul 1, 2008 2:13 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
As chance may have it I was camping in the Sierra foothills the weekend the fires started. There were dead trees all over the campground and large bark beetles that I had never seen before in a lifetime of California camping. As we drove out on Sunday we could see three fires from one point on the road.

Among the combination of factors we should include the suppression of early and late season fires that would have cleared out excess fuels and logging. Logging leads to an overgrowth of smaller trees and brush in some places so thick that the pine saplings resemble hedges.

It has only been the complete lack of wind in the last week that has prevented the 1000 fires from becoming a firestorm. As is the air has been so smoky as to be toxic almost every day. It's like suddenly taking up a three pack a day smoking habit.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

GLOBAL WARNING
Posted by: billgee on Jul 1, 2008 11:37 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
You been done warned
It'll surely get worse.

Nobody - scientist or theologian - can tell you whats gonna happen. The future just aint their game.

What are you doing?

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

Al Gore made a movie;
Posted by: richholland on Jul 1, 2008 12:50 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
the capitalistic corporations have something to do with the global warming???/

And now we expect that THEY will do something to solve the problems??????

Thank God for every problem we now have global warming; the war in Iraq =GW
Mortgagebubble= GW
a weak president GW

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» My bald spot Posted by: Romans1
California population grows by 500,000 every year
Posted by: stilldreaming on Jul 1, 2008 11:47 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Is anyone asking about how to accomodate so many new inhabitants? Or better yet, how to stabilize population?

Increased demand for water, increased demand for new construction on formerly wild or ranch land, it's all connected with increasing population.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

Natural forces
Posted by: Romans1 on Jul 2, 2008 5:59 AM   
Current rating: 1    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Fire has been one of God's natural methods of forest management since the creation of the earth. There is nothing new. Don't look at a flood or a forest fire as if the world has never seen one before. What we're seeing now is not remotely the worst the world has seen.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

A Green Sustainable Lifestyle is the only way out
Posted by: PeaceThinkTank.org on Jul 6, 2008 5:30 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Fire has been around for millions of years. Back in the 1800's thousands of square miles burned in dry years all across the US..

Man decided to suppress Mother Nature and fire... thinking he had the POWER and could dominate and control everything... Large corporations abusing people, the planet and animals are just one expression of this ego based self centered belief system.

Guess what? We are not in control of Mother Nature (Gaia). She actually has the power and controls everything. Man is close to being a helpless pawn in her hands, and should be listening to what she is saying.

Yes, we managed to suppress fires for about 100 years, but now just about every forest in the US is full of tinder dry dead wood from the ground up into the canopy.

The result is an inviting super fire storm condition everywhere that makes nuclear bombs look like toys, given the right conditions. We can do nothing to stop super fire storms in a drought, especially when combined with any kind of wind conditions. Just run when that happens.

There is no way to stop the natural processes. Gaia will do the cleansing and we will watch. If you want to live in the woods, build underground, and/or build with cement and tile. Cover your windows with steel fire proof shutters. Clear a 100 foot space. Now you have a chance. This does not solve the larger problem though..

C02 levels are increasing rapidly and this has a HUGE effect, even if one ignores or believes global warming does not exist.

We need to learn how to live in a green, carbon free manner, using sustainable living principles that are not yet common. I am pointing at things like Earthships, solar powered vehicles, hydrogen engines, etc...

The price of not living in harmony with Gaia by using green and sustainable solutions is a messy, bitter, divorce. Humanity will soon be on the losing end.

I wonder if we can turn it around. The divorce proceedings have begun, especially for those who are not paying attention to her, and ignoring what Mother Earth is saying. On the other hand, there is also a birth happening.. Are you seeing it? Are you part of it?

http://www.care2.com/c2c/group/agreennetwork

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What is about to happen (scientific study)
Posted by: dobermanmacleod on Jul 28, 2008 3:11 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Leemans and Eickhout (2004) found that adaptive capacity decreases rapidly with an increasing rate of climate change. Their study finds that five percent of all ecosystems cannot adapt more quickly than 0.1 C per decade over time. Forests will be among the ecosystems to experience problems first because their ability to migrate to stay within the climate zone they are adapted to is limited. If the rate is 0.3 C per decade, 15 percent of ecosystems will not be able to adapt. If the rate should exceed 0.4 C per decade, all ecosystems will be quickly destroyed, opportunistic species will dominate, and the breakdown of biological material will lead to even greater emissions of CO2. This will in turn increase the rate of warming" --Leemans and Eickhout (2004), "Another reason for concern: regional and global impacts on ecosystems for different levels of climate change," Global Environmental Change 14, 219–228

Sound familiar? The IPCC says the world heated up 0.2 C/decade for the last two decades. This is what will happen by mid-century due to the virtually inevitable rate of warming:

"Few seem to realise that the present IPCC models predict almost unanimously that by 2040 the average summer in Europe will be as hot as the summer of 2003 when over 30,000 died from heat. By then we may cool ourselves with air conditioning and learn to live in a climate no worse than that of Baghdad now. But without extensive irrigation the plants will die and both farming and natural ecosystems will be replaced by scrub and desert. What will there be to eat? The same dire changes will affect the rest of the world and I can envisage Americans migrating into Canada and the Chinese into Siberia but there may be little food for any of them." --Dr James Lovelock's lecture to the Royal Society, 29 Oct. '07

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