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As Housing Implodes, U.S. Is at an Economic Tipping Point

By Danny Schechter, AlterNet. Posted July 17, 2008.


Instead of having a light at the end of the tunnel, we have another train. Brace yourselves for a wreck.

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BOSTON -- Sorry Dr. Phil 2, it's time for us to do some whining, not about how bad things are but about what some bad guys are doing to destroy our country and our lives.

Whining of course is only a first step. After that, we need to recognize that we have a right, if not a duty, to talk about more than what the political candidates are talking about. We have to confront the real power brokers who have now broken our economy and are plunging us deeper and deeper into decline.

Are they, perhaps, "tipping" us, beyond that point of no return?

On Friday, July 11, as the world financial markets were quaking because of the threats to two government-linked companies with $5 trillion in mortgages, as the Senate rushed to complete a bailout bill for homeowners that may not bail anyone out, and as the Federal Reserve Bank announced tough new and perhaps irrelevant regulations on a subprime real estate market that has all but disappeared, news outlets were reporting the death of the owner of the Benihana restaurant chain and Larry King was doing another show about UFOs.

With a distraction machine working overtime, we seem to be living in a permanent three-ring circus, with a constantly titillating sideshow often sucking up most of the airtime and attention. Britney Spears has replaced the bearded lady from days gone by as the iconic draw.

In the central ring of this circus is the political campaign, with its focus only on the evolving Obama/McCain slugfest. Every sound bite, grimace, phrase and gasp is grist for endless punditizing with little in-depth analysis of the issues.

In the second ring, there's the news of the world that usually means superficial reporting about America in the world. Then comes the daily partial war body count and visuals about where the president is this week. Now we are also getting some news from China about the Olympics and back-and-forth about whether there will be an attack on Iran.

That's about it!

In the third ring, the economic crisis is slowly coming into focus only because it can't really be ignored even though both major candidates try to focus on minor reforms rather than a structural transformation.

A year ago, the Dow was about to hit 14,000; this past week it dropped below 11,000. Panic, volatility and fear can no longer be contained. On talk radio, conservative callers still mostly lambaste irresponsible borrowers, but more and more they recognize that this crisis is systemic and nonpartisan in origins.

Even John McCain's ex-CEO economic adviser, Carly Fiorina, who of course doesn't want to blame anyone or name anyone, says, "There was a situation where there was greed on Wall Street, there was a lack of transparency around a new set of financial instruments. ... There were a whole new set of financial players who were less regulated than banks, and all that together created a situation, which now is rippling through the economy."

"A situation" -- that's a rather vague way of putting it.

As it turns out, one of McCain' closest advisers, Phil "Mr. Mental Depression" Gramm, played a direct role in planting the seeds of the subprime "situation" that started the ball free-falling downhill and gathering more than mere moss.

Appearing on Democracy Now with Amy Goodman, journalist David Corn explained that it involved "a sly backroom legislative maneuver mounted by Phil Gramm, who was Republican chairman of the Senate Banking Committee in the '90s."

It was the week that the Supreme Court was giving the election to George W. Bush. As often happens in Washington, Congress had yet to pass most of the appropriation measures that are needed to before that Congress coming to a close, and so they were lumping together, you know, six, seven different appropriation bills into one mega-bill, working all hours of the day. ...

And in the midst of all that chaos, Senator Phil Gramm slipped into this must-pass spending bill a 268-page bill, the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. ... A portion of the bill deregulated these financial instruments called "swaps." ... The problem is that these swaps, thanks to Phil Gramm's bill, are totally, totally unregulated, and the swap market is something like now about four times the size of Wall Street, in terms of securities that are regulated. And it really turned a lot of the economy into a secret casino, all this action going back and forth, people betting on bets.

And how this related to the subprime crisis is, about this same time, you know, securities firms started bundling all these bad or risky mortgages and securitizing them, and then they would sell these securities or buy them and then buy swaps or sell swaps to cover the possible loss. So it really enabled a lot of firms to go hog wild on the subprime stuff.

The subprime "stuff" has now led to a massive rise in foreclosures and a fall in profits as investment banks are forced to write off billions in bad investments. That in turn destroyed credit markets and confidence in Wall Street. Even after interest rates were cut seven times by the Fed, little improvement was registered, and there was a rise in joblessness and inflation.


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News Dissector Danny Schechter made "In Debt We Trust," warning of the crisis, and has written Plunder, a new book chronicling its spread. He is also involved in the HomeSweetHome Project, with songs against foreclosures. Send comments to Dissector@mediachannel.org.

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Fire up the BBQ and put a banker on the spit. Unless and until the
Posted by: thekidde on Jul 17, 2008 11:09 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
perpetrators (perp - pe - traitors?) of the corporate rape of the globe are severly punished (in Communist China, rumor has it, the family has to pay for the bullet), this kind of crap will not stop. It's like the drug trade - there's too much money to be had for little effort (except fucking over the hoi polloi) so it won't stop until some examples are made of the greedy bastards (and bastardetts Carly). Eat the rich.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

HOOOhahahahaha
Posted by: Crazy H on Jul 17, 2008 1:41 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
When I read this story, on the same page there was an ad for Countrywide Mortgage - one of the biggest players in the subprime market.

Sort of like an having advert for SUVs with a story about global warming. Or Chinese Takeout on a story about feral cats.

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ain't gonna be pretty
Posted by: particle61 on Jul 17, 2008 3:00 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
bank run blog posted a segment yesterday from CNBC that ticks off a list of banks whose ratio of nonperforming loans to cash on hand is dangerously lopsided.

reuters reported on sunday that an analyst from RBC Capital predicted that 300 banks could fail over the next three years.

redstateupdate.net reported earlier this year that the FDIC had hired more bank examiners this year in the expectation of an increased rate of bank failures.

'it is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profooundly sick society' - krishnamurti

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The E-CON-UH-MEMEMEME already passed the tipping point years ago !
Posted by: maxpayne on Jul 17, 2008 3:21 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Those of you who have been reading M/I for years know we are the only news source that, while even Democrats talked of "recovery" following the 2001 dowturn, M/I has always said there never was recovery but merely a flushing of the nation's funds down an abyss, which would lead shortly to a massive collapse.

For those new to M/I, read this recent one and get caught up:

It's Not Just the ARM's - Deflation Across the Board is Due

http://www.moderateindependent.com/v6iJanarmandcards.htm

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Go on a Diet, America
Posted by: edith on Jul 17, 2008 4:02 PM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
53% more foreclosures over last year, says Sen.Dodd. Sounds like a lot. But percentages are relative numbers. Where are you starting from to calculate your increase. More relevant would be some info on what percent of households own their own homes today compared with a year ago. it could be that number has increased. it certainly has not dropped 53% this crisis is overblown. the media's overcoverage causes the hyper-psychological stock market to sink, despite a relatively low unemployment rate, significantly more jobs than eight years ago, and no significant changes in per capita income.

what is hurting americans and will continue to hurt americans regardless of which economic illiterate is elected in november, is the weak dollar. this is not george bush's fault, it is not the Democratic Congress' fault. it is the fault of the weak, greedy, and insipid american public which wants a upper middle class life style complete with vacations on low fare airlines and with auto that guzzle a lot of gas. in addition, the public just loves to buy everything (even much food now) from other nations. our balance of payments would put a private firm in bankruptcy. to remedy this funny money crisis that drives down real estate prices and raises prices of imports(i.e., almost everything we use), we need to ruthlessly slash federal spending including defense and entitlements (so-called) and raise short term interest rates from the ridiculously low rates the Fed maintained for the past few years despite the flood of red ink in Wasington and in the real estate market. As in the early 80's when Reagan joined with Democrat Fed Chair Volker to cut spending and raise interest rates to smash Carter horrid misery index of 20% inflation and 11% unemployment, there is short-term pain as government stops hiring, perhaps even lays off govt employees who contribute little to the economy outside of NIH type researchers. Our "troops" in Iraq need to be unemploye as do a couple hundred thousand "analysts" in the the BS departments like "Education", "Interior" and especially "HHS". As for the Pentagon, shut it down. We have militias and people can now arm themselves under the Supreme Court decision(why shouldn't WE be the "guerillas" for once").

Once the poison is drained from the economy and we recover our economic independence, put the moneylenders out of business, and jail or execute a few Wall St biggies at Goldman Sachs and the commodities market, a smaller economy but more stable will arise. I guess doctors will have to live on 'normal' salaries like the rest of us, but we won't need federal health care if we don't have billions of fed dollars bidding up health costs. and we know the doctors will accept these lower salaries because they are in medicine to save lives and help people, right? hee hee.

let docs and the defense contractors do something that is priced to meet the demand of communities' needs, not what Wasington will pay with sloppily audited contracts. Same for the "education" racket that now costs federal taxpayers over 60 billion since Bush took over with the quality of education worse than ever.

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» Right Wing Trojan Horse Posted by: CatDad
Bucket Brigade on the Titanic ...
Posted by: mmckinl on Jul 17, 2008 5:54 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The United States has borrowed more than it can pay back. It is called insolvency. Inflation will only crash the economy after other nations redeem our debt. Borrowing to inflate only creates more debt, the evil that brought us here. It is now coming to a head now as the economy weakens and more and more debt becomes uncollectible.

Is there a solution?

Yes ... Nationalizing the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve and having the new Public Central Bank create money without debt.

The problem? Bankers would rather crash the economy or go to war rather than give up their money making monopoly.

With a Public Central Bank money stays in circulation as it isn't destroyed by the debt implosion at the banks. With a Public Central Bank the issuance and use of credit and currency is shared by the government producing conservatively $1 trillion a year for use by the people.

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Subprime Mortgages
Posted by: dwreno on Jul 17, 2008 7:08 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I think you have at least one of your facts wrong. Freddie and Fannie are not having problems as a consequence of their getting into subprime mortgages. They weren't allowed to do that, from what I have read elsewhere. The problems at Freddie and Fannie are instead collateral damage from the subprime meltdown because the property secured by Freddie and Fannie is no longer worth the amount of the mortgages held by Freddie and Fannie due to the foreclosures of other properties in the same neighborhoods that did have subprime mortgages.

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» RE: Subprime Mortgages Posted by: mmckinl