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The Superstitious Right Fights Good Science on Global Warming

By David Michael Green, AlterNet. Posted July 7, 2008.


In a society devoted like no other to the politics of fear, we have somehow managed to forget the one thing we should probably fear most.

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We live in the most astonishing of times, politically speaking.

And I don't mean that as a compliment.

There is so much I would hate to try to explain to an alien about our politics. Same with a human five centuries from now -- it's just that I'm not so sure there'll be any.

One president has oral sex in a private consensual relationship and lies about it, so right-wing freaks spend $40 million to investigate this most heinous of crimes and bring impeachment charges against a president for only the second time in American history. Meanwhile, one of their own trashes the Constitution at every turn and isn't even investigated, let alone impeached, let alone removed from office.

This same president plunged the world into war on the basis of non-existent weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, but couldn't be less concerned when North Korea actually goes nuclear on his watch. This president went to war to bring democracy to the Arab world, but can't even be bothered to pressure Egypt or Saudi Arabia to move a tad in that direction. This president uses an attack on the US to justify international belligerence and mass human rights violations, but doesn't seem very interested in even attacking, let alone vanquishing, the supposed perpetrator.

We could go on and on detailing the ludicrous inanities of American politics in the age of Bush (himself Exhibit A), but really my favorite has to be the case of global warming. In a society devoted like no other to the politics of fear, we have somehow managed to forget the one thing we should probably fear most.

Imagine if there was a meteor headed toward our one and only planet, with the potential to do devastating and possibly lethal damage to the planet. Imagine that we had the technological capability to divert the course of this weapon of the massiest mass destruction, and all we needed was the will to do so. And imagine that we chose to focus our society's energies instead on ... gay marriage. Or illegal immigration. Or premarital sex.

Not only would we screw up all of those policy areas, but we be toast anyhow, along with all our unmarried gays, undocumented workers and 'virgin' teenagers (who have anyhow become experts at anal and oral sex in order to avoid the forbidden kind). So, what fool handed us the keys to this planetary oil tanker? Shouldn't, like, um, the Swedes or the Norwegians be the world's Only Superpower? They seem harmless enough.

Remember Dick Cheney's 'one percent doctrine'? He argued that if there's even a one percent chance of a terrorist attack, you have to go on the offensive. There's this little thing called cost-benefit analysis that seems to have gone sorely missing over the last, er, eight years or so. It was last seen flowing down the sewers of Baghdad. It would lead to a conclusion that yes, you should take threats seriously, but that if the solution to a one percent probability of danger that could threaten the lives of a thousand people is to adopt a policy which definitely kills 100 million of your own citizens, that's probably a bad plan. Costs and benefits, you see. I mean, people can differ on this, of course, but I'd vote to take the one percent risk in such a case. Admittedly, though, that's not so helpful when you're in the middle of trying to scare the hell out of people so they'll vote for you, or acquiesce to your destructive policies.

But I digress. There is a monstrous catastrophe not only headed our way, but actually already here. I'm not a climatologist, but my sense from paying attention to media reporting on this issue over the last two decades is that there is not only a one percent chance that global warming is both real and anthropogenic, but rather a ninety-five percent chance. Perhaps ninety-nine. Yep, sure, there are a few scientists out there still making the opposite argument. Probably some of them aren't even on oil company payrolls! But the vast majority of reputable climate scientists now agree that this is happening, that we are making it happen, and that the results will be catastrophic. This, after ten and twenty years of a (somewhat) healthy scientific skepticism about those claims, which only further underscores the validity of the findings.

Last week we had James Hansen reminding Congress, twenty years after originally doing so, of the gravity of this situation. One of the top scientists from one of America's premier science agencies -- who was told, by the way, to shut the hell up by the Bush administration -- was reminding us yet again that we are facing mass species extinctions and ecosystem collapse among the lovely perils awaiting us if we continue in the current direction. Assuming, that is, that it isn't already far too late to turn it around now.


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David Michael Green is a professor of political science at Hofstra University. He is delighted to receive readers' reactions to his articles (dmg@regressiveantidote.net), but regrets that time constraints do not always allow him to respond. More of his work can be found at www.regressiveantidote.net.

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View:
Few understand how serious it is
Posted by: dobermanmacleod on Jul 7, 2008 12:45 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Few seem to realise that the present IPCC models predict almost unanimously that by 2040 the average summer in Europe will be as hot as the summer of 2003 when over 30,000 died from heat. By then we may cool ourselves with air conditioning and learn to live in a climate no worse than that of Baghdad now. But without extensive irrigation the plants will die and both farming and natural ecosystems will be replaced by scrub and desert. What will there be to eat? The same dire changes will affect the rest of the world and I can envisage Americans migrating into Canada and the Chinese into Siberia but there may be little food for any of them." --Dr James Lovelock's lecture to the Royal Society, 29 Oct. '07

In case you doubt the above; we warmed at 0.2C/decade the last two decades, and warming will accelerate, probably doubling by mid-century:

"Leemans and Eickhout (2004) found that adaptive capacity decreases rapidly with an increasing rate of climate change. Their study finds that five percent of all ecosystems cannot adapt more quickly than 0.1 C per decade over time. Forests will be among the ecosystems to experience problems first because their ability to migrate to stay within the climate zone they are adapted to is limited. If the rate is 0.3 C per decade, 15 percent of ecosystems will not be able to adapt. If the rate should exceed 0.4 C per decade, all ecosystems will be quickly destroyed, opportunistic species will dominate, and the breakdown of biological material will lead to even greater emissions of CO2. This will in turn increase the rate of warming" --Leemans and Eickhout (2004), "Another reason for concern: regional and global impacts on ecosystems for different levels of climate change," Global Environmental Change 14, 219–228

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

» Choose your trees wisely Posted by: HoboHomo
» Amish are king! Posted by: carbon-based
» RE: Amish are king! Posted by: Lauren
» RE: Amish are king! Posted by: carbon-based
» Particle********************** Posted by: pfeifer999
» How convenient for you Posted by: pfeifer999
» Corporate or religious Rethugs Posted by: bobtr900
» Idealogue Posted by: pfeifer999
» what are you on about Posted by: pete1029
» What about THIS NASA study?!? Posted by: pfeifer999
» Ah, very interesting Posted by: PaulC
from 10.000 years ago
Posted by: richholland on Jul 7, 2008 1:28 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
at the end of the Ice Age global warming caused a sealevel raise of 120 meters.
So England and Ireland became islands.
Even with the worst scenario ( 10 % chance) we expect in Europe 5 metres in more then 100 years.

The federal states of Europe decide to have renewable and alternative energy between 15 and 20 % around the year 2020.

There is no reason for panics if the governements (public) and the companies (private and profit orientated) work together and the aim of the activities is to serve humanity instead of profit .

It is not fair to complain because so much money is needed for the WARS.
It is not possible to invest in the effects of the normal natural climate change
AND the militairy.

AS in the Al Gore movie, drastic changes of activities in the USA, a return to the live of our grandparents are not required if the uSA has the same energy need of Schwitzerland or Scandinavia the average people will have probably a better life then now.
Unless the American Dream of "Freedom"" means every billionaire has the right to have his private Jetplane.

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» RE: from 10.000 years ago Posted by: edith
All things die
Posted by: teel on Jul 7, 2008 2:48 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
So what?

People are such arrogant selfish little pricks that they honestly consider themselves the center of the universe. This little hamster-wheel that we've created for ourselves is the thing that matters, nothing else. The rain forest can get bent for all we care, as long as the wheel keeps spinning. Meanwhile people keep ranting about how children are out future. Children are not our future, they represent another turn of the hamster wheel. Doesn't mean that the wheel is going places, doesn't mean that we're getting any closer to having a meaning to our rampaging existance.

If there where 8-900 million of us, we'd be living it up with ample resources to draw from and with plenty of time for the planet to catch up and reproduce what we use. As a matter of fact we had that at one point, and clever cats that we are we humped ourselves out of it because, yes that's right, the children are our future.

Let me ask you this. At what point shall we say that the population has grown enough? 8 billion? 9? How much quality of life are you prepared to surrender so that we can have a few more people-of-the-future running around in the rest of the world? So with this infesting, breeding and out of control biped running amoc what's a planet to do? What would you do? There was bound to be a response to us, sooner of later. We're shortsighted creatures with egos the size of mount everest and we're all convinced "I" am the best thing since slized bread and frozen pizza. The planet will push us off the cliff, and I for one can only say to mother nature "you go girl".

People are not the "center of the universe" and we don't matter one bit. Get over yourselves. Imagine an anthill in a forest, an anthill you don't even know exists. All of a sudden a wildfire completely destroys the anthill, thousands of dead ants resulting. An entire society wiped away in seconds. How do you feel about it? Give a crap much? I'd guess not seeing as flashfloods in asia with 80.000 people dead receives a "wow that sucks" kind of response from most people. Let's imagine a meteor crashes into our planet, and the whole thing just explodes. Just explodes, the whole thing caput, gone, no more people, no more roaches, no more nothing. What do you suppose the rest of the universe says in the eerie silence that follows?

"wow that sucks"

Not don't get me wrong, I'm not some bitter nutcase walking the streets with signs that the world is ending. I have a job that I enjoy, a girl that I love and life is pretty damn sweet. I watch all of this calammity with a surprised amusement. I'm enjoying life and I'm enjoying the show but I don't think for a second that we as beings matter to anyone but ourselves, and I certainly don't believe that we're good in any way shape of form for the planet. It would do a whole lot better without us, a whoooole lot better folks. My popcorn is done, bring on the apocalypse.

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» RE: All things die Posted by: Knot_Rich
» RE: All things die Posted by: PeterW
» RE: All things die Posted by: HoboHomo
» RE: All things die Posted by: john mont
» i agree 100% ... Posted by: ptown
» RE: All things die Posted by: HoboHomo
» RE: All things die Posted by: mr. joshua
» Or perhaps... Posted by: LeeAnnG
31,000 Scientists Have Signed a Petition Denying That Man Is Responsible For Global Warming
Posted by: opmoc on Jul 7, 2008 4:53 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Climate change is completely normal. Its always changed and always will. Humans do not have the capability to significantly alter it - except by letting off all their nuclear weapons at the same time. Even that will only affect the climate for a few years and the cockroaches should do fine.


linked text

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» More theocratic reasoning Posted by: pfeifer999
» RE: More theocratic reasoning Posted by: Libsrule
» Lazy or just not alarmist? Posted by: pfeifer999
James Hansen Censored?
Posted by: bburk on Jul 7, 2008 5:10 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Dr. Hansen conducted hundreds of press interviews during this period that he claims he was censored by the Bush Administration. Professor, do your homework before spreading false information to your students and the public.

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» See Paul here you go again Posted by: pfeifer999
» Rhetoric Posted by: LeeAnnG
Democracy starts in one's own backyard
Posted by: outlook on Jul 7, 2008 5:12 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
'This President went to war to bring democracy to the Arab Nations'. Can anyone truly declare that Bush was fairly and democratically elected? Lets turn back the clock; Gore becomes President. Is 9/11 now inevitable? If possibly 'yes', would he have used it as an excuse to create a war for oil?
Is it not more likely that large funds would have been mobilised to transform American infrastructure and minimise oil dependancy? Sadly, we will never know, the American people colluded with that travesty 'Election 2000' and bought into the fear in the wake of 9/11.

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a lot of it comes right down to selfish egoism
Posted by: aislinnluv on Jul 7, 2008 5:53 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
and we see the attitudes reinforced every day. what could be more ego-pumping than driving the biggest, baddest piece of automotive crap in the known universe (hummer)? oh, maybe it would be having 17 children?? almost any day on cable channels you can see a program extolling the extraordinary virtues (?) of procreating beyond any reasonable limit. look for "jon and kate plus 8" or find one of the many programs that have been aired about that weird family that has now 18 children, all of whose names begin with the letter j. whatever happened to "zero population growth"? have we lost sight of it because we now tolerate with "compassion" endless fertility treatments for couples with whom Nature has refused to cooperate, which often result in multiple births? the trough is only so long, and we are seeing now not only the far side of the trough, but also an end to our ability to fill it. human egos inflate to presume that the individual interest trumps the general good ("i want to make more money so i will develop this little piece of land, razing all the trees, removing habitats for multiple species, inviting disastrous runoff/flooding...") WTF, people? rewrite that gem from WWII... they came for the deer, and i said nothing, because i am not a deer...

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» You make some good points..... Posted by: pfeifer999
This is really alarming...
Posted by: loxias on Jul 7, 2008 6:03 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
that I made it through my teens not finding any experts on oral and anal sex. No fair! As for the rest of it, you might as well be copying from Psalms. Those that believe, will lie peacefully with their faith, uninterested in your opinion. Those that understand, don't have a clue how they can stop giant global mining, manufacturing, and other poisonous enterprises from destroying the planet. I'm sure some of those were folks who think Obama is going to do something about it. Rarely, if ever, does the track change directions before a catastrophe. I think the biggest distraction is all this media focus on selling people that THEY can make a difference. Don't get me wrong, a low-impact lifestyle is great. But if you think the combined effect of 50 million individuals (which is a bigger number than I think actually will) running their shower into a bucket, or coasting on the freeway, will somehow mediate the ecological cost of big business, global shipping and resource extraction, well, all I can say is, lie peacefully with your faith. It will soon be all you have. Once the disaster is bad enough, regulation will be re-visited in government, amidst a scarred world. This cycle is as old as ... well, we are.

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» RE: This is really alarming... Posted by: WyrdSister
Just watch out: if the anti-science "frankenfood" shriekers ever align...
Posted by: ABetterFuture on Jul 7, 2008 6:08 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
...with their counterparts on the right, they may become audible enough to matter.

A little.

Science marches on.

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» I'm not questioning your faith. Posted by: ABetterFuture
Environmental Pollution has got Significantly Worse in Some Parts Of The World
Posted by: opmoc on Jul 7, 2008 7:04 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Like China and India

In other parts of the World both attitudes and practices have dramtically improved.

If you check out a film made in 1971 - Get Carter - it shows coal waste being dumped directly into the North Sea continuously. So less than 40 years ago such practice was actually "acceptable".

Most of the UK was still running on coal. North Sea oil and gas was only just starting.

The air was highly polluted as a result of people burning coal directly in all towns across the country.

Now of course developing and exploiting North Sea oil and gas will have caused some environmental destruction to the North Sea, but the environmental benefits greatly outweighed the destruction.

The environment improved dramatically to the benefit of everyone living in the UK.

No one ever mentions that at least in some parts of the World - that the environment has actually improved - and this improvement is largely due to technical progress.

All we get is continual doom mongering from rich elite appointed preachers most of who'm have no real understanding of fundamental science and are merely spinning the party line which funds their existence.

The real agenda is World Government and World depopulation by those "who know what's best for us"

Its the radical Left who are actually in an unseen partnership with the radical Right.

They are in control of your mind in a similar way as the Pope is with Catholics and in a similar way like the masses who vote for people like George Bush.

No one is telling the truth. Science is being junked to be replaced by Faith.

How do you KNOW virtually anything you believe is actually true?

Did Jesus Christ actually exist as a real live human being around 2,000 years ago - or had the entire story been around and recycled for thousands of years before he was supposedly born?

And does it matter if Billions of people believe in fairy stories? They obviously need them as religion has been endemic throughout human history. It doesn't actually make any of it true though.

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You ask why?
Posted by: reelectnoone on Jul 7, 2008 7:20 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Ref: "Meanwhile, one of their own trashes the Constitution at every turn and isn't even investigated, let alone impeached, let alone removed from office."

Republicans impeached for political reasons, nothing to do with right or wrong. They are dirty fighters that way and have low morals about using Congress for political gain.

Democrats tend to be spineless and uncoordinated and unable to agree on anything. Tend to fight a bit cleaner.

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» RE: You ask why? Posted by: aonghus36
Rational Left Fights Good Science
Posted by: solrev on Jul 7, 2008 8:00 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
“How about if we made it a giant national priority to wean ourselves off carbon-based energy sources”
The left has such a narrow mindset we are doomed to create another ice age. Maybe the next interglacial people will learn from our mistakes. We mystics view our selves on a journey through the space-time continuum, which we call the dimension of the flush. You rational people have a real problem thinking in the correct scale.

Here our some stats from my state:

Illinois Stats Annual (approx.) usage MW (where necessary MW estimated from co2 footprint)
Nuclear 11500
Fossil fuel 15000
Transportation 12000
Industrial 7500
Residential 4500
Commercial 2000

Total solar replacement required 52500 MW (Ignore solar ½ on time avg. output zero) co2 foot print 230 million metric tons annual

Nevada Solar One 64 MW .5 sq. mi.

.5 sq. mi./64 MW - 410 sq. mi./52500 MW
@ 260 million $ /64 MW - 213 trillion $ /52500 MW
184000 mirrors/64MW - 151 million mirrors/52500 MW
7 million tons aluminum/64 MW - 6 billion tons aluminum/52500 MW

Is there enough extruded aluminum on the planet, for the planet to go electric? How much co2 was released into the atmosphere to create a 64 MW thermal plant? How much co2 will be released on a planetary scale to go electric? We mystics ask this question. How can we go electric on this planet and repair the damage to the carbon cycle that we have already caused? The green machine has too big of a co2 footprint to create, but it is just good business and that has always been our problem, but it is bad science. The fossil fuel boys are going to make a fortune building your green machines. The carbon cycle has supported life on this planet for two billion years, use it or lose it.

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» Mr. Joshua Posted by: pfeifer999
» you bark like a little dog Posted by: pfeifer999
» RE: Before we go in reverse. Posted by: nightgaunt
» the real rubbish..... Posted by: pfeifer999
» nightgaunt Posted by: pfeifer999
The military
Posted by: kahalab on Jul 7, 2008 3:24 PM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Do you know which sector in America is the biggest contributor to the greenhouse effect? The military. Want to make a major change in greenhouse gas emissions, then do like Costa Rica and eliminate the military. Of course, if you think that they will give up the empire and all the fun of killing and torturing and destroying and raping and abusing and distorting just cus it might save billions of humans then you really don't understand what it's all about to be a sociopathic psychopath.

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Totalitarian propagandists agree with you, David Michael....
Posted by: pfeifer999 on Jul 7, 2008 5:10 PM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"I'm not a climatologist, but my sense from paying attention to media reporting on this issue over the last two decades is that there is not only a one percent chance that global warming is both real and anthropogenic, but rather a ninety-five percent chance. Perhaps ninety-nine."

"A lie told often enough becomes truth." V. I. Lenin.

“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it." Josef Goebbels

By your argument ("paying attention to the media reporting") then it was also somehow significant that Ms. Lewinski performed fellatio in the Oval Office.

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Are any subjective agendas compatable with science?
Posted by: Dickinseattl on Jul 7, 2008 7:29 PM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
If CO-2 is the weakest of the greenhouse gases comprising less than 2%, and we contribute around 3%, are we looking in the right areas for global warming? How many solar cycles have been documented and what are they? How many different Earth orbit cycles are there? What influence does the solar wind have? On what? If you don't address these issues what is your real agenda?

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» OK let's try again Posted by: pfeifer999
» Conclusions first, then data.... Posted by: pfeifer999
» LOL! Whatever! n/m Posted by: PaulC
Where's the beef (the science)?
Posted by: Romans1 on Jul 7, 2008 8:47 PM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In the whole article there was no science discussed at all. It was just a rant and it didn't even stick to the subject. You want me to believe in global warming? OK Where's the science. WHERE'S THE SCIENCE?

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