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Corporate Think Tanks: Recession Ain't All That Bad!

By Kevin Tillman, AlterNet. Posted January 21, 2008.


All those worries about economic hardship are just more liberal media myths.
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I've been awfully worried about the economy lately, but instead of soothing my anxieties with the sweet numbness of illicit drugs, I prefer to numb my jangled nerves by reading the rich economic triumphalism spewed out by right-wing corporate think-tanks.

You should try it. Give the American Enterprise Institute's Kevin Hassett a moment of your time, and he'll show you that recessions aren't all that bad. The following comes from his brilliant op-ed, "5 Myths About That Depressing R Word" (which ran on Sunday -- I'm a little late) …

David Mamet once told an interviewer that he got the inspiration for his 1984 Pulitzer Prize-winning play "Glengarry Glen Ross" from an account of a salesman's fatal heart attack, caused by a recession "so vicious the competition was for jobs and sales, especially among older men." However, for most Americans, the story is quite the opposite. Americans get healthier as the economy gets worse. Unemployment tends to increase during recessions, but economist Christopher J. Ruhm of the University of North Carolina at Greensboro has found that a temporary one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate leads to a 0.5 to 0.6 percent reduction in the mortality rate, or about 14,000 fewer deaths per year.

Why the health benefits? With more free time and less money on their hands, people tend to consume less tobacco, exercise more, prepare healthier meals and lose weight. In addition, they are much less likely to have car and other accidents, and to catch communicable and sometimes fatal diseases such as influenza. Among the top 10 causes of death in the United States, only suicide rates show a substantial unemployment-driven increase. Even deaths caused by heart disease fall substantially.

Thank God for the clear-headed scholars at America's leading right-wing think-tank. Clearly, the idea that recessions cause real people a lot of real pain is just another lie by the Bush-hating media. The reality is that there are two sides of the story -- those who can't make their car payments appear to be in dire straights, but they just don't appreciate the benefits of getting out there for a strenuous walk!

There's even more sunny news for Hassett in the WaPo:

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See more stories tagged with: housing bubble, debt crisis, fed, deregulation, aei

Joshua Holland is an editor and senior writer at AlterNet.

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Recession matters, unless you're super rich
Posted by: lamar on Jan 21, 2008 2:00 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Recessions also depress prices so that the super-wealthy can buy up capital and land at lower prices. If they buy your job and lay you off, they might just buy a big box store and hire you there for half the wage! YAY! Who needs choice or community! Woo hoo!

.......I obviously took the cheap drugs route...

@8)-

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It gets worse from here
Posted by: asilsfable on Jan 21, 2008 2:30 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Alan Greenspan said in a speech on Bloomberg TV here in the US years ago that we were going to see a major hit to the economy in 2010 due to our entitlement programs. He also said that we would also begin to feel the effects of it in 2008.

I agree that "the economy is taking a nose dive for a variety of reasons"---the markets-though closed in the US--are showing scary slides due to unease about the US economy. Hong Kong's market got hit hard with a 4% drop.

Though I agree in part to a "a banking deregulation crisis that was three decades in the making"--the Bush administration has got to take the brunt of the blame here. Bush's track record has always shown him to be an unabashed corporate raider--this guy takes the money and runs no matter where you put him. The leadership sets the tone.

Though you're quoting Robert Kuttner, I'd take some issue that "rather than diffusing risks (a course that economic theory urges on a prudent capitalist nation), however, securitization concentrated them."
Companies that hold large amounts of debt often swap or sell parts and buy others--so that if a downfall in the market occurs they won't be wiped out. So, debt is spread around as a safety measure--except that now there are less companies to do that with because of consolidation. So a relative handful hold a lot of each other's debt. When a hit happens, e.g. the sub-prime market, it delivers a swift kick in the gonads to everybody.

By the way--isn't anyone going to cover what's happening in Gaza? That's HUGE--where's the reporting, Alternet? Also, about the Iraqis supposedly interfering with the visa process in Syria--as per Riverbend's latest post.

Yeah, America's gonna hurt but there are a lot of people hurting much more right now.

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» RE: It gets worse from here Posted by: Joshua Holland
» RE: It gets worse from here Posted by: JSquercia
Recessions suck, but they can create space for positive social change
Posted by: hound dog on Jan 21, 2008 2:48 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
People losing their jobs and homes is definitely bad. And further concentrating wealth into the hands of corporate bosses would not be a good outcome.

There can, however, be an upside to a recession or even a depression. To the degree that citizens get active and demand structural change to correct trade and economic policies that favor wealthy corporations, this would be a positive outcome that is unlikely to happen when Wall Street is flying high.

Consider, too, that our entire economic system is juiced by the availability of cheap, carbon-emitting energy. If economic hardship forces us to localize (rather than swallow the mantra of globalization = universal good) and seriously invest in non-polluting renewable energy, then clearly that will be a net good. The trick will be in navigating the inevitable hardship.

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Agents of Numbness
Posted by: particle on Jan 21, 2008 4:29 PM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"..but they just don't appreciate the benefits of getting out there for a strenuous walk!"

Point taken, but I gotta say... fewer cars would be a good thing all around. And not just Pintos. Walk, bicycle, rideshare, public transportation. We need to shift.

The article has some choice bits. I think there may be a career in comedy waiting for you.
:-)

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» RE: Agents of Numbness Posted by: Joshua Holland
Collapse happens
Posted by: fifthworld on Jan 21, 2008 5:04 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Actually a "recession" is hardly in the works -- ask the financiers of the world, they know we're in for a serious tsunami. Trump talks about how we're going to see a time now that makes the 30s look like a walk in the park.

Yes there will be suffering. But note how much suffering corporate capital has already brought us and the stranglehold the planet is in from this sick collective way we've fallen into, mostly unconsciously at this point. Out of darkness we'll find a way to proceed (or we'll be doomed) through a complete overhaul of how we see ourselves and our relationships - we can make it still, by the sharing of the wealth that is here.

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» RE: Collapse happens Posted by: hound dog
It doesn't surprise me ...
Posted by: tommy_slothrop on Jan 21, 2008 5:21 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
... that working in jobs whose only function seems to be to allow workers to engage in unsustainable consumption that is leading to environmental and geopolitical catastrophy is unhealthy. It is surprising that the defenders of the corporate overlords would call attention to this.

The coming economic upheaval is probably a good thing. We have to make sure the rich aren't allowed to turn it to their advantage or revert to the status quo. Walking is as good for the rich as it is for the rest of us.

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» RE: It doesn't surprise me ... Posted by: hound dog
I have been calling "think tanks" like AEI "fantasy factories" for decades now
Posted by: UnEasyOne on Jan 21, 2008 9:27 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I hope that eventually catches on. Rethugs know the power of words, ("death tax," "tax and spend," etc.) liberals seem to think the truth will overcome billions in propaganda expenditures.

That's why "For over 30 years, scholars at think-tanks like AEI and Heritage have been the ostensible antidote to the liberal academy. The truth, of course, is that they're corporate-funded hacks whose ideologically-driven "research" would never hold up to peer review. They exist to muddy the waters, and they do it quite well." from the article really resonates with me.

These paid propagandists have provided "balance" to reality in every media outlet for 30 years at least, confusing honest discourse and disagreement by their articulate and unwavering hostility to any idea to the left of Atilla the Hun.

In an honest debate, both sides concede points in the interest of reasoned discourse. Debates populated by these partisan hacks contain no such niceties. Facts are distorted, outright lies are presented as alternate viewpoints and valid arguments are not only ignored but countered with personal attacks or any feasible distraction - much like our resident trolls here do all the time.

Some of the younger readers here may have no idea what a real debate is like at all - because of the jerks the corporate media have foisted on us for decades now as "experts" and the tactics they have been taught to prevent any real exposition of ideas.

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» Also Posted by: Joshua Holland
» We're in agreement Posted by: Joshua Holland
We can only hope
Posted by: weslen1 on Jan 22, 2008 8:10 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
that stockholders who get a paltry amount of return compared to CEOs get wise and get together and start suing for their money that goes into the pockets of the CEOs instead of them. How much do you suppose stockholders are cheated out of in order to give ONE CEO a $57 million dollar bonus?
Wouldn't it be a wonderful thing if the millionaires who stole from others to get rich lost it all?

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» RE: We can only hope Posted by: JSquercia
This comment has been removed from the site due to non-compliance with AlterNet's community policies.
Recession is an opportunity for monopolists
Posted by: nherkowitz on Jan 22, 2008 7:00 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The monopolies and oligopolies who have been printing money for years are able to buy their weakened competition at a substantial discount. For them, recessions are an opportunity to further monopolize their area.

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Another recession
Posted by: willymack on Jan 22, 2008 8:04 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Will be a major hardship for many people, but it's low on a list which includes the erosion of our Constitutional guarantees, loss of credibility in the world at large, the proliferation of slave wage "jobs" our deteriorating infrastructure, inroads into our laws and policies as well as our public education system by religion-besotted nitwits, and war without end.

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They may have a point
Posted by: ReallyBearish on Jan 26, 2008 1:20 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In the boom/bust cycle, busts are supposed to be "bad", but the truth is that the "boom" portion wasn't all that good for most people. I recently checked my own earnings picture from 1969 to 1992 and discovered that my income, although growing substantially in that period, had actually been cut in half in real dollars.

The boom/bust cycle is something that benefits a minority, but it fools a majority into thinking that they somehow benefited from the credit expansion of the boom period.

The following piece was written by gold-bug Howard Katz:

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Katz/jan182008.html

Keep in mind that what he's actually saying is that the conventional wisdom regarding recessions has some problems. Recessions are NOT based on measures of wealth-- only "economic activity", which could be good or bad. As far as I'm concerned, the boom side is as bad as the bust, and that the bust may be a requirement of an ongoing healthy economy (regardless of what economists think).

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