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U.S. Cynicism Delayed the Lebanon Ceasefire

By Ian Williams, TheNation.com. Posted August 14, 2006.


Secretary of State Condoleezza's Rice's declaration, several hundred mangled children ago, that it was "premature" for a cease-fire in Lebanon will haunt the Bush administration for the rest of its term.

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After thirty-one days of war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, more than 1,000 dead and a week of haggling between France and the United States, the United Nations Security Council finally approved a cease-fire resolution on Friday.





With visible exasperation, Kofi Annan, beyond American retaliation as his term finishes at the end of this year, told the Council, "my disappointment and sense of frustration are shared by hundreds of millions of people around the world. For weeks now, I and many others have been calling repeatedly for an immediate cessation of hostilities, for the sake of the civilian population on both sides who have suffered such terrible, unnecessary pain and loss. All members of this Council must be aware that its inability to act sooner has badly shaken the world's faith in its authority and integrity."




And that that was just frustration over the time it took to get the resolution. An actual cease-fire will take longer. One reason is that acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and his American friends want to disguise the unpalatable truth that they have achieved nothing that could not have been done within days of the Hezbollah kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers, which sparked the conflict.




While the US delegation included the Israelis, the Lebanese surrogate was France, which ironically was one of the major movers of earlier UN resolutions designed to hobble Hezbollah. Israeli actions in Lebanon, however, have created such a constituency for Hezbollah in Lebanon that Paris ended up negotiating on its behalf.




The tie-breaker in the deadlocked negotiations was the Lebanese offer to send in 15,000 troops to match a phased Israeli withdrawal, although Friday's attack on a refugee convoy under Lebanese Army escort -- yet another murderous "accident" -- seems designed to show what the Israeli Defense Forces really think of them.




In the same insensitive vein, knowing that an agreement was near in New York, Olmert's government launched a new offensive on the very day the draft was coming to fruition. Even as he professed support for the resolution, he announced that the offensive would continue until the Cabinet could meet on Sunday to decide whether to call it off. Olmert called Bush early Saturday morning "to thank him for the concern he showed for Israel's interests in the Security Council."



The Israeli leader has reason to be grateful for the Bush Administration's callous and foolish procrastination of a cease-fire in order to give time for Israel to "finish the job" with Hezbollah. However, beyond the ruined infrastructure of Lebanon and hundreds of new graves, it is difficult to see what the Olmert administration achieved. Hezbollah now enjoys immense prestige across the Arab and Muslim world for standing against Israeli arms longer than any of the national armies of the region.




UN Deputy Secretary General Mark Malloch Brown, due with Annan to finish his term at the end of the year, also showed that lame ducks have teeth by drawing attention to the almost irreparable damage that George W. Bush and Tony Blair have done to both American and British diplomatic standing by making themselves subservient to Olmert's political interests. Bush could have rescued Olmert from his own folly by supporting a cease-fire, but caught up in the same Manichean mindset, encouraged him in his folly. In a concentrated version of Vietnam, the Israeli military almost daily claimed impending victory, declared free-fire zones, and lost the hearts and minds of a nation as it shattered their bodies. And the Katyushas kept coming.




The resolution itself has plenty of hostages to fortune, taking diplomatic ambiguity to its outer limits. At American insistence, it contains no criticism of Israeli actions, and makes few demands. It calls for "the immediate cessation by Hezbollah of all attacks and the immediate cessation by Israel of all offensive military operations." Yet Israel's continuing offensive already shows a very flexible definition of immediacy, and according to its representatives, everything that its forces do is "defensive."




The resolution calls for "the unconditional release of the abducted Israeli soldiers" but merely encourages "the efforts aimed at urgently settling the issue of the Lebanese prisoners detained in Israel." In case anyone forgets, Israel kidnapped these prisoners in incursions into Lebanon every bit as illegal as the Hezbollah incursion that the UN has agreed sparked the current hostilities.




In fact, as even Tony Blair admitted, the conflict goes back much further and cannot be resolved without a general settlement of the Middle East issue, including Gaza, the West Bank and the Golan Heights. One almost has to admire the chutzpah of Israeli spokespeople demanding the immediate implementation of Resolution 1559 to disarm Hezbollah, while ignoring the numerous resolutions about annexation of Arab territory. It is perhaps illustrative of Israeli attitudes that six years after its last withdrawal from Lebanon, the resolution urges Israel to hand over maps of the minefields it left behind.




The cease-fire resolution offers some hope, however, assuming the Bush Administration will pressure Olmert to help redeem the tattered reputation of American diplomacy by implementing it.




The last UN commission, acting on Mandate-era maps, decided that the disputed Shebaa Farms were Syrian territory. Syria, which has difficulty recognizing Lebanon, let alone its boundaries, claimed that the farms had been handed over to Lebanon, which has provided Hezbollah's militia with its raison d'etre as a national liberation movement.




Lebanese or not, this is not Israeli territory, and a solution that puts an international force in place there would indeed allow Hezbollah to claim victory again. But it would also deprive Hezbollah of its last excuse to remain armed, and direct it into politics.




With a resolution cobbled together from two such differing worldviews, one side trying to implement international law and the other holding that such law does not apply to Israel (or the United States), there are some genuine difficulties.




The augmented UN force is charged to enforce and defend Lebanese sovereignty and control over its own territory. The resolution calls for an arms embargo for all military material not requested by the Lebanese government.




The US and Israeli side sees this task simply as disarming Hezbollah. The augmented UN force, with potential contributors like France and Turkey, may well see the task as restraining Israeli impingements on Lebanon and defending civilians against their attacks.




Additionally, Israeli actions have mainstreamed Hezbollah, which has become the most popular force in the country. It is easy to see some permutation of the movement's influence in the government and the incorporation of its military wing into the Lebanese Army that would quickly frustrate any such enforcement.




The cease-fire resolution charges the UN with much of the detail of implementation, including settling the Shebaa Farms dispute, marshaling international troops, monitoring Israeli and Hezbollah withdrawal, exchanging prisoners and returning refugees. We can only hope that the UN is not being set up for failure. After all, the US stance at the UN over this conflict has weakened the one organization that can provide a framework for it.




We should remember not only the resolution that took so long to pass, but those that fell to a threatened American veto, which has, for example, implicitly legitimized bombing UN peacekeepers in Khiyam.





The fundamentalists in Washington have shown that they have not learned a thing from the murderous fiasco in Iraq. US behavior -- from expedited delivery of cluster bombs to an Israeli Army, mainstreaming a fundamentalist militia in one of the new Middle Eastern democracies, alienating even "friendly" Arab regimes, and making a mockery of international law and the UN itself -- puts the Bush Administration's "war on terror" in perspective.





Secretary of State Condoleezza's Rice's declaration, several hundred mangled children ago, that it was "premature" for a cease-fire, should come back to haunt the Administration each time it tries to rally support for its amoral adventures abroad.

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Ian Williams writes on the United Nations for AlterNet. His work has appeared in Foreign Policy in Focus, the Nation and Salon. He is also the author of Rum: A Social and Sociable History of the Real Spirit of 1776.

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Ceasefire, what next?
Posted by: medbear on Aug 14, 2006 3:18 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
A fragile ceasefire is in place, effective as of 14th August, 0600 GMT. Israeli forces continued their offensive operations until the last minute. Hezballah has decleared that it is not accepting disarmament, a prerequisite in UNSC resolutions. Israel will adhere to the ceasefire, and the reolution that calls for a withdrawal coordinated with the deployment of Lebanese and UN forces, but also declares that it will not tolerate any provokation, upon which they will react with force. Prime minister Olmert has stated that the UN forces must be in place before any withdrawal starts, and that they must be predominately European.

So, what's going to happen next? To this, there are several possible answers. The one we hope for, is that the parties actually respect the ceasefire. That Israeli troops no longer commence offensive action, and that they withdraw when others are ready to take over (what the resolution calls for). That Israel will have the intention, will and ability to not react automatically to every minor incident, but give it consideration with a high treshold for breaking the ceasefire. They are occupying foreign territory and must accept some resistance, ceasefire or not. Furthermore, we would hope that Hezballah respects the terms in the same fashion. That they refrain from making provokations, that they focus on their political work, and that they free the personnel they have abducted. And that the local population and their politicians help Hezballah transform into an unarmed organisation (disarming), supporting one legal government in Lebanon with one armed force, instead of putting Lebanon in jeopardy through the maintaining of militias. And finally, hoping that other states involved on either side respect the ceasefire and the possibility of further negotiations and peace by not supplying weapons, by not stirring the situation with stupid statements.

Nothing would please me more than being wrong, but I think the above will not happen. I think both the Israelis and the Hezballah will look with eagerness for the most minute excuse to attack the other part. I fear that the Israeli forces will by their precense alone provoke attacks, even more so with their agressive posture and arrogant behaviour, if earlier occupations could be used as examples. They have put themselves in a bad position; they can't withdraw without someone to fill the security vacuum, and if they stay they provoke the locals and makes the task for the UN force more dangerous and impossible day by day. Hezballah will regroup as long as hostilities cease, to prepare for a counterattack or for starting a new, revitalized campaign. In my most dire version of reality, Hezballah also prepares for continuation of hostilities against Israel and any force they can label "Israel friendly" - that is the UN force and the Lebanese army - by taking up their old ways preparing suicide bombers. And I fear that the states supporting Hezballah will continue to provide weaponry, resources and make public statements to destabilize the situation, just as the ones in cohort with Israel will respond in kind at every opportunity. I refrain from pondering on the possible conspiracies aired in Alternet foras, but any such sinister "master plan" would be the final, deadly touch to my pessimistic version of the future.

Hezballah has played Israel "like a fiddle". Israel has responded in what I see as a stupid and counter-productive way, using military force which only legitimices Hezballah actions, rather than trying to solve the problem, meet the challenge, in a long term, sensible way. Being macho now has overshadowed being smart for the future. The parties have committed themselves. This is not a ceasefire, but a dead-lock, where both see their existence in the balance. Too much pride is at stake for the Israelis. Too much new-gained power and influence at stake for Hezballah.

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» RE: Ceasefire, what next? Posted by: medbear
» RE: Ceasefire, what next? Posted by: medbear
Irans President is right
Posted by: marklar on Aug 14, 2006 4:34 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
As President Amhadminijad said during Mike Wallace's inquisition of him, "The time for bombs is over. it time for diaologue and culteral echanges."
Israel may just have to do what it detests so much - suck on an olive branch.

Uri Avner, a military analyst wrote this summation:

The main lesson of the war, beyond all military analysis, lies in the five words we inscribed on our banner from the very first day: "There is no military solution!"

Even a strong army cannot defeat a guerilla organization, because the guerilla is a political phenomenon. Perhaps the opposite is true: the stronger the army, the better equipped with advanced technology, the smaller are its chances of winning such a confrontation. Our conflict – in the north, the center, and the south – is a political conflict, and can only be resolved by political means. The army is the instrument worst suited for that.

The war has proved that Hezbollah is a strong opponent, and any political solution in the north must include it. Since Syria is its strong ally, it must also be included. The settlement must be worthwhile for them too, otherwise it will not last.

The price is the return of the Golan Heights.

What is true in the north is also true in the south. The army will not defeat the Palestinians, because such a victory is altogether impossible. For the good of the army, it must be extricated from the quagmire.

If that now enters the consciousness of the Israeli public, something good may yet have come out of

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» RE: Irans President is right Posted by: medbear
A resolution set-up to Fail - This is the UN's darkest hour
Posted by: IanA on Aug 14, 2006 4:38 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The UN and the Security Council in particular has shown itself to be inadequate and incapable of doing anything that does not following the hegemonic policies of the USA. Therefore this cease fire, as it is bent to Israel's interests, is bound to fail.

Israel’s history of aggression is only part of a complex pattern showing that this deliberate smashing of an entire country had nothing to do with the excuse of two Israeli soldiers captured for exchange against other prisoners held by Israel and captured in tern by Israeli incursions into southern Lebanon.

The whole world has watched Israel and the USA act as state terrorists while Britain's Tony Blair was the cheer leader. But, the demonstration was a total failure in every sense.

Olmert, Bush and Blair are like three gangsters staying in power either by violence, fear or the threat of worse to come. If it was just posing it would be bad enough, but these war criminals are implicitly justifying the killing of hundreds of civilians in Lebanon for a political end and a power play that was lost. This is worse than any two bit terror organization because these are supposed to be responsible sovereign states including world leaders.

The failure of this designer Cease Fire is a prerequisite to the Bush Fascist-Neocon administration to wind the confrontation up a couple of notches (not down) to the next step. A desired strategic "defeat and humiliation of Syria and Iran", which will without doubt provoke a far greater conflagration. This is the aim, another delusion of insane proportions in Washington and Tel Aviv, a show attempt at taming the Arab hordes, while in fact whipping them up to justify a real global war, and most cynically using the UN to do it.

Who would have thought at the time of formation that two of the founder Security Council veto vote holders would be themselves "terrorist states" headed by war criminals, and we the civilian populace of the world actually depending on NGO's, militias, and organizations listed as terror groups to oppose and defeat these criminals.

This is the UN's darkest hour.

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Sorry but....
Posted by: davcrock on Aug 14, 2006 5:15 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
... this isn't the Americans screwing up the middle east. This is the Israelies and the Palestinians screwing up their own land. It is not America's responsibility anymore.

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» Yes, you are sorry Posted by: russianblue1
» Sorry, but who? Posted by: gazevans
» RE: Sorry, but who? Posted by: Benjaminsjw
» RE: Sorry, but who? Posted by: amazed again
FOR THE LOVE OF GOD (FFS!)
Posted by: LMNOP on Aug 14, 2006 7:14 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"All members of this Council must be aware that its inability to act sooner has badly shaken the world's faith in its authority and integrity."

Wasn't that Bush's intention? By interfering with the UN's ability to wage peace, the Klingons - er, the neocons - are self-fulfilling prophecy again, this time, their own. This is the same trick as with New Orleans: cripple the government and then point the finger when it fails, saying, "See, I told you so."

This is yet another victory for religion and its unlimited ability to keep people divided and belligerent. I mean *real* religion here, now, the kind the world actually gets over and over and over again - not the unicorns and rainbows stuff that many call "true" Christianity. Religious apologists generally trot out at the disclaimers about this point when yet *another* example of their religion's failures is discussed. Where are religion's successes in improving life? I guess that we just have to take it on faith that there are some, but I don’t get to see it. Instead, I see prolongation of the war and hostilities caused by Christians acting as Christians.

What difference does it make what Jesus said if nobody is listening? Blessed are the meek and the peace keepers? Not in America.

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A Good Start For Peace
Posted by: NoPCZone on Aug 14, 2006 7:15 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Cut off all trade & foreign aid to Israel until they come to their senses and the negotiating table. The modern state of Israel is just another form of an Apartheid regime. Their thugging is going to end up causing a huge war nobody wants.

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Rice and Albright
Posted by: DCostello on Aug 14, 2006 8:43 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Anyone remember Madeline Albright and her comment about dead children? It was in relation to Iraq and the US sponsered sanctions against Iraq. When asked, on either 20/20 or 60 minutes, if the deaths of 500,000 children under the age of 5 due directly to the effects of sanctions was worth it, Ms Albright responded, 'Yes, we think the price is worth it'.

America is disgusting.

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» RE: ice and Albright Posted by: elmertwittle
the empire has no clothes
Posted by: wawa on Aug 14, 2006 9:25 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The following is excerpted from August 14 WAWA Blog

The Cult of the Antichrist

The way to protect the USA from the violence and mayhem in the Mid East from revisiting our shores is to truthfully deal with the immorality of trusting in weapons of destruction to change hearts and minds. What is needed is imagination and intelligent leadership that reflects upon what we have done wrong and courageously seeks to right it.

The age of warrior kings and of warrior presidents has passed. The nuclear age calls for a different kind of leadership....a leadership of intellect, judgment, tolerance and rationality, a leadership committed to human values, to world peace, and to the improvement of the human condition. The attributes upon which we must draw are the human attributes of compassion and common sense, of intellect and creative imagination, and of empathy and understanding between cultures." - William Fulbright


We the people have been told that the "terrorists" hate us because of "our freedoms". Not a word is heard from the MSM about USA made weapons being used by Israelis to massacre refugees or that target Red Cross ambulances and have now slaughtered more than 1,000 Lebanese civilians.

And yet, President Bush clings too- and the limp MSM continues to report- that it is our freedoms that they hate!

Journalists quote "security sources" without challenging the information/propaganda and for those who dare to speak out about the other side of the wall, we are ignored or labeled anti-Semitic. Speaking out against inhumane and violence perpetuated by any government is a moral imperative for those who know the truth and are compelled to share it. Criticizing USA policy does not make one an unpatriotic American, but a thinking, feeling and compassionate world citizen. Opposing Israel's occupation and oppression of the Palestinian people does not make one anti-Semitic, but proves one cares for the weak, the vulnerable and those without a voice.

"The Israeli aggression is relentless, and Israel benefits from Lebanon, in that the world is not paying attention to Gaza," said Interior Minister Said Syiam in Gaza City. "I appeal to the world to pay attention." http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2006/807/re2.htm

Two months after Israel's offensive on Gaza began; the civilian population is desperate, isolated, and defenceless before Israeli massacres.

On July 24, 2006 Franklin Graham, President of Samaritans Purse, issued a "Prayer Alert: Crisis in the Holy Land." He states the "latest conflict between Israel and the Hezzbollah terrorist group in Lebanon has created a unique opportunity for the church of the Lord Jesus Christ to reach out with God's love to thousands of families displaced by the fighting."

The good news is that in the midst of the mayhem of the Middle East the potential now exists as never before, to wake up USA Christians to the six decade long refugee crisis in the land we all call Holy, and the nearly four decades of occupation that has been allowed to not just continue unchallenged by America, but is also supported by the USA with billions of dollars worth of weapons of destruction and billions of USA tax dollars.

Graham sites Matthew 5:44, that Christians are to "love your enemies" and Psalm 122:6 that we are to "pray for the peace of Jerusalem." Good advice, but prayer without action is hypocrisy.

Because Lebanon is 30% Christian evangelicals have begun to arouse from their blind allegience to the Israeli governments policies and with education of the true facts on the ground there is hope that the real crisis in the Holy Land can now be addressed, a partial list includes:

List posted on Aug. 14 WAWA blog

public service message from the ProBono
.org
WeAreWideAwake

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Cheney shoots Israel in face
Posted by: cold2touch on Aug 14, 2006 2:11 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Moral issues apart (these guys never heard of the term anyway), this is what happens when warmongering is left to under-the-table generals like Cheney, Bush, Rumsfeld and Olmert, none of whom saw a day's service.

To them, it's all about shiny hardware, LCD monitors flashing stuff they don't understand while porky 8-star generals and Congress alternately salute and present ass for some down home cornholin'.

They don't understand that in order to win, weaponry is not enough to overcome skill, determination and preparedness.

Israel wiped out on the same banana peel of hubris that downed Americans in Iraq, Vietnam and whatever is next.

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also: Israelis are way brighter than Americans
Posted by: cold2touch on Aug 14, 2006 2:20 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Item: 80% of Israelis supported invasion of Lebanon in July.
Item: 60% of Israelis now think it was a lousy idea and Israel lost militarily and politically.
Item: 60% of Republicans support extended occupation of Iraq, think things are hunky-dory and that Bush was right in his WMD claims.

At least Dr Frankenstein is smarter than Igor.

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Prelude to Iran Attack
Posted by: sofla100 on Aug 14, 2006 4:27 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
A little more analysis please. Israel is America's strongman in the Middle East. Hezballah was likely strengthened by American/Israel miscalculation with the attack. However, the real intention, besides trying to weaken Hezballah for a US/Israel Iran first strike, was to send a message to Arab civilians. That is this, "if you mess with us you will pay." Hence, when iran is struck it will not be just so-called military facilities, but the plan is to strike also schools and hospitals - inadvertently of course we will be told. See, Iran's people support it's leaders, just like in Lebanon the people supported Hezballah. So, to Israel, and to America, the people now are the enemy, and fair game for white phosphorus and cluster bombs. Doubt it?, American technicians are in Israel now targeting the munitions.

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Haunting the Bush administration?
Posted by: KUCING on Aug 14, 2006 5:38 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Secretary of State Condoleezza's Rice's declaration, several hundred mangled children ago, that it was "premature" for a cease-fire in Lebanon will haunt the Bush administration for the rest of its term."

Unless you, the American electorate, turn into ghosts to haunt those objectionable people, they will not be haunted since "they've done nothing wrong" in their opinion.

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Let's drag out an atlas
Posted by: talkville on Aug 14, 2006 6:56 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Well a cursory look at a recent world atlas would certainly depict Afghanistan - socially, politically, culturally, economically a wasteland; move to Iraq - socially, politically, culturally, economically another wasteland; on to Lebanon - socially, politically, culturally, economically a wasteland.

Capital is positively giddy, drooling over this emerging swath which, of course, will be refilled much to the liking of 'western' values. Such is the shape of the "new Middle East". The return of the blank slate - etch what you will on it.

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» RE: Let's drag out an atlas Posted by: aurora2484
This was a warmup for Iran
Posted by: lafrance on Aug 14, 2006 7:48 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Check out Sy Hersch in the New Yorker. and we all knew it was. Sy just confirmed it. This was designed as a test run for the big one with Iran.
Bush is the one who is the evil doer. Him and Cheney. They murdered all the thousands of iraqis and our troops for thier pie in sky and yet, even with this folly, they want more blood. They want to bomb Iran.
While Hezbolla understands how to win the people with the services they give to thier people, our stupid government has done it's best to take everything away from us and then, give us nothing but wars. endless wars.
Bush thinks he wants to start the "rapture" and cheney has an unquenchable blood lust. Together they want to bomb and go to war against the whole middle east.

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» RE: This was a warmup for Iran Posted by: aurora2484
the cluster bombs and war crimes
Posted by: aurora2484 on Aug 15, 2006 12:09 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
US behavior -- from expedited delivery of cluster bombs to an Israeli Army, mainstreaming a fundamentalist militia in one of the new Middle Eastern democracies, alienating even "friendly" Arab regimes, and making a mockery of international law and the UN itself -- puts the Bush Administration's "war on terror" in perspective.

Use of cluster bombs in civilian areas is a war crime, if I understand it correctly. The US admin, - those people currently representing all the people of the US, not only supplied the sophisticated weaponry to be used in civilian areas, but also failed to call a halt to such attacks despite their occurrence for all the world to see.

It is time to end their reign of terror.

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Israel needs water
Posted by: amazed again on Aug 15, 2006 1:19 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
With parts of the world drying up. Middle East, Australia, Africa etc It doesn't take much imagination to see that the push into Lebanon as far as an important source of water would be a huge incentive for the Israelis to try for an occupation. These Ashke-nazi Jews have always been one step ahead of the main game. They do not give a hoot about the lives of a few thousand Lebonese as long as they get what they want. They just didn't get their way this time. So what will they try next?

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sometimes I wonder
Posted by: sik49 on Aug 16, 2006 9:37 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
...sometimes I wonder... is Tel Aviv our capital city?... hmmm

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