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Election Tuesday: A Mixed Bag for Progressives

By Jan Frel, AlterNet. Posted June 7, 2006.


John Tester's victory in Montana offers a great chance for a serious progressive in the Senate; a loss for Marcy Winograd in CA against Dem hawk Jane Harman; Busby comes close in Republican-heavy San Diego in spite of $10 million in GOP cash; new -- corporations get a county smackdown.

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Tuesday's slate of primary and special elections in eight states included some chances for progressive pickups and could indicate a tide of anti-GOP sentiment in the 2006 general elections this November.

The biggest and best news of the primary elections is that the progressive John Tester won a big victory over the less-than-progressive John Morrison in the Montana Democratic Senate primary. Among the disappointments, progressive challenger Marcy Winograd lost to Iraq-war supporting incumbent Rep. Jane Harman in the 36th House District of California. And Democrat Francine Busby lost in her attempt to claim the 50th District congressional seat in San Diego from a slew of Republicans running to replace the disgraced Rep. Duke Cunningham.

In more encouraging news, in Montana and California two incumbent Republicans with ties to disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff did not get overwhelming party support, indicating their weakness heading toward the general elections in November. The following is a summary of important results in Monday's primary elections.

Montana Senate primary results:

Progressive John Tester scored a surprise landslide victory by 25 percent over the "centrist" candidate John Morrison, whose candidacy was run out of consultants' offices in D.C. via remote control. These results are all the more impressive considering that poll taken only a few weeks ago in Montana had Morrison leading Tester 42 percent to 41 percent.

John Tester's candidacy against the incumbent Republican, Conrad Burns -- whose ties to Jack Abramoff are the subject of increasing scrutiny for federal investigators -- is suddenly one of the best chances for a serious progressive to make it to the Senate. Tester wants an exit strategy for Iraq and a massive switch toward sustainable energy, and he has a record of supporting progressive economic measures on taxes and health care. Conrad Burns received just over 70 percent of the vote in the GOP primary, demonstrating that he doesn't have full support of Republican voters after revelations of his potentially criminal involvements with lobbyist Jack Abramoff.

California

Special Congressional Election for the 50th District:

Republicans spent more than $10 million to retain the congressional seat in San Diego vacated by former Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham, who retired to spend more time in the federal courts for accepting bribes from defense contractors and cavorting with pals at cards 'n' prostitutes parties at the Watergate Hotel in Washington. Democrat Francine Busby ran a tough campaign against numerous Republican contestants in the open election, the heavily favored GOP candidate Brian Bilbray has narrowly defeated her. Still, Busby's vote tally in the mid-40s in the heavily Republican 50th District is an improvement on her 37 percent showing in 2004.

The 36th Congressional District Democratic Primary:

Progressive Marcy Winograd raised hundreds of thousands and launched a serious challenge to incumbent Jane Harman, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee. Harman's three votes in favor of the Patriot Act, years of complicity with the Bush administration over Iraq and unwarranted wiretapping marked her as a target of Democratic activists who were furious with the Democratic Party's spineless response to the Bush administration.

Winograd appeared to have a fighting chance, as the recently redistricted 36th contains the progressive strongholds of Venice Beach and Santa Monica. Unfortunately for Winograd and her team of volunteers, Harman won her primary by more than 25 percent. Will Winograd's 37% showing be enough for Harman to repent and reconsider her sins against her constituents, the Democratic Party, and the nation as a whole? Probably not. But Harman will likely face a stream of serious progressive challengers for the rest of her political career.


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Jan Frel is an AlterNet staff writer.

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View:
Iowa results
Posted by: nbrown on Jun 7, 2006 12:44 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Here in Iowa, an anti-gay marriage homophobe who supports capital punishment won the Democratic Party nomination for governor.

Seriously, fuck the Dems.

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» RE: Iowa results Posted by: gadfly
NEWS FLASH
Posted by: AlanSmithee on Jun 7, 2006 4:28 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Prowar anti-immigrant democrat Francine Busby has officially lost CA CD-50 to prowar anti-immigrant republican Brian Bilbray. Pwogwessive democrats massively upset. Real liberals don't give a fuck. Film at 11.

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This is good news?
Posted by: LMNOP on Jun 7, 2006 4:41 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Monday's slate of primary and special elections could indicate a tide of anti-GOP sentiment in the 2006 general elections this November."

Why would the author say this? In the face of recent news events and in more normal times, there would have been a resounding vote of no confidence in the conservative candidates. But Winograd was apparently completely obliterated by a hawkish, anti-privacy incumbent in a Democratic primary. How is that encouraging. To me it is the same as voting for Bush in 2004, and 50 million people plus or minus a few hundred thousand fraudulently counted or deleted votes were unable to see that a change was necessary.

I read this as an ominous omen. If the left does this badly in times like these, when does it expect to ever appeal to the voters again? All of this talk about taking back either or both houses of Congress seems a little far fetched. The data above suggests that, unbelievable as it seems, the Republicans might actually gain ground in November with or without Diebold.

Seriously, people, for how long will you continue to cast your lot with the American people? These people are brain dead and there is no sign of impending recovery. Would you have someone as incompetent and dangerous as the American people as a spouse or business partner? To make the analogy more apt, give this other person two votes for your one in all matters to represent the large number of votes of the American people compared to your (our) one (or few). How do feel about sharing your fate with them now?

The alternative is to emigrate. Stop paying taxes to this government. Be gone before they close the borders and declare martial law. Why risk becoming a political prisoner for your opinions? Or living through a possible economic cataclysm here soon, one featuring the equivalent of debtors prison. Someplace where religion isn't a propaganda weapon rammed down our throats. Someplace where the government, if it isn't working for the people, is at least not working against them.

There is more freedom in Canada, for example (pot, gay civil union), and much less will or capacity to monitor you, control you or retaliate against you. Upward bound countries (I am familiar with a few: Singapore, Malaysia, and former Warsaw pact nations like Czech Republic and Hungary) are happy places unlike this country which is a frustrated and fearful place.

And as a liberal, I like the idea of liberals abandoning America because I am despised there for that. I wan't America to taste life without liberalism (1st stop: Victorian capitalism a la Dickens Oliver Twist or David Copperfield with children in coal mines 6.5 days a week from 7AM to 7PM; next stop, the early middle ages with prison towers but no votes, habeus corpus or courts).

Since we're such parasites, traitors and wackos, let's free their lives of our toxic influence by leaving here and refocusing our attention on more deserving and more receptive people.

This isn't for everybody, I know. Some can't get away because of obligations here like having a loved one in a nursing home. But for the rest of us, shouldn't we be looking elsewhere, and shouldn't we try to become more liquid so that if we have to do something extreme with short notice, we won't be leaving our homes, investments and retirement funds (if any) behind.

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» RE: This is good news? Posted by: DavidK
» RE: This is good news? Posted by: LMNOP
» RE: This is good news? Posted by: gadfly
» RE: This is good news? Posted by: LMNOP
» RE: This is good news? Posted by: jareilly
» RE: This is good news? Posted by: LMNOP
The Midwest can turn progressive when people like Freudenthal, Schweitzer, Tester, etc ...
Posted by: SDres11 on Jun 7, 2006 5:42 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
are given the chance. Even better, these three in 2002, 2004, and 2006 were the rare few genuine progressives in the midwest who never gave up the fight for a progressive America despite the DC ilk. The third one was especially underfunded just for being a farmer but having visited his site and seen what he's been getting at, his stature fits more perfectly with Montanans than does Morrison's. It must also be remembered that back in 1994, when Jack Mudd, a city lawyer, ran against Conrad Burns, Burns easily dragged Mudd into the mud as it was all too easy to expose Mudd as some "elitist".

One of these days, South Dakota will come out with Freudenthal/Schweitzer/Tester Democrats for a change. Until then, I'm afraid SD will be the last to see the light of day in progress.

P.S.: Like South Dakota, trial lawyers, especially from bigger cities like Missoula, MT where Morrison is from, don't sit well with most Montanans.

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In the absence of exit polls, how can we believe any of this?
Posted by: thoughtcriminal on Jun 7, 2006 7:46 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In the case of the Harman-Winograd contest, how can we be sure the vote wasn't rigged by those who want a pro-war candidate? Why did the media abandon the concept of exit polling as an independent check on rigged electronic voting machines? See Black Box Voting...

What a nightmare.

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The American People refuse to fight back!
Posted by: gadfly on Jun 7, 2006 10:36 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I suppose thoughtcriminal could be right about the Jane Harman-Marcy Winograd race being rigged by e-voting machines, but I suspect that it probably has more to do with what Ben Franklin said, to paraphrase: The Constitution and system of checks and balances will survive until the point when the people become corrupt. That's right, THE PEOPLE... I think, collectively, we've become corrupted, we longer fight back against injustices or government abuse, we shrug and declare our impotence to change anything, and we betray our genuine progressive champions, Marcy Winograd, Ralph Nader, Cynthia McKinney and others who fight for us and get slimed and shit on for trying to help us. I agree with previous postings saying the Dems will lose even more ground in November. They're not hungry and, apparently, neither are the American people. We are like Jews heading to the showers, docile and cooperative in our own demise.

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Where does Bilbray live?
Posted by: badkitty on Jun 7, 2006 10:59 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Just out of curiosity, where is Brian Bilbray's official residence? Where has he been paying taxes? Is it in Virginia or in this district? Was he a legal resident of this district when he filed his candidacy?

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Busby-Bilbray election -- not surprised
Posted by: paul_revere on Jun 7, 2006 2:25 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I used to live in Cunningham's district until about two years ago (10 years total). That's where I started getting involved in protesting the Bush Administration and the Iraq Invasion. The area is inundated with both military families and the ultra rich, and there is a large Hispanic population that occupies an area that is commonly known as the Barrio, which runs parallel and close to Interstate 5. There is also a Hispanic population in the eastern border of the 50th district, in Escondido.

One of the most courageous group of people I know -- the NCCPJ -- started protesting against Bush and Cheney and the Invasion months before the first bombs dropped. I joined them and was greatly inspired. Though we focused on the War, there were a small group of patriots comprised of members from our group and another who used to go to Cunninham's office in Escondido to protest in front of his office. Though I never had the chance to join them in those separate forays, I got the feeling that the intensity of anger toward Cunningham was greatly increasing. When the story broke about Duke's bribery and corruption, I could only feel that those courageous and unflinching patriots were vindicated.

Was it the lack of Iraq in her message that Busby didn't expand on that caused her defeat? Maybe, but probably not. Read on ...

When my wife and I moved into a small community of high-priced houses by the beach in Carlsbad, I told my wife (and repeated it many times) to watch how money corrupts and how the people living in the area will turn out to be whiney, selfish snobs (and probably mostly Bush supporters). My prediction was ever so correct.

In addition, there are a great many fundamentalist Bible-thumpers that inhabit the more conservative wealthy areas. From my research and from one personal experience, I found that ministers in many of the churches and meeting places were preaching support of the war from the pulpit. As long as the population of in Cunninham's district was the rich and the military (and military-related), you were going to find support for Bush and the War everywhere. It still persists today.

The Hispanic population, of course, was undoubtedly a factor in the Busby vote. This segment of Cunninham's district are the workers who do the landscaping for the rich, service the motels and hotels, work in the expanding construction of the new houses in the area, cook in the restaurants, and generally take part in the tasks that the rich white population in Carlsbad, Encinitas, Escondido would never think of doing. Generally, the Hispanics are a quiet population, not getting too involved in politics for fear of rejection and physical retribution by the rich white racists and the racists Marines (especially officers) that inhabit or do business in Duke's district.

I applaud Francine Busby for her courage and convictions. The election was close, given the conditions. I monitored the election from afar, hoping that a miracle would take place. But I was not surprised by the outcome.

I think her message about the immigration issue (amnesty) garnered votes from the silent Hispanic population and also from the compassionate Democrats (and possibly few Republicans) in Duke's district. But as long as you have money and military in an area like the 50th district, you will have voters who don't care about corrupt politicians, nor who lives or dies, just so long as they have their money, their Bibles and their golf courses.

Sorry, you Bush apologists in the 50th. I know whereof I speak.

From a former resident of The Puke's district.

"We satisfy our endless needs
and justify our bloody deeds
In the name of destiny
and in the name of God."

- The Eagles

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It's about the voting system
Posted by: Polenium on Jun 7, 2006 4:56 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I'm wondering if the disappointing results, even in a district as hard core as Cunningham's, isn't a Diebold rather than a GOP victory.
I can see the demographic holding up when approval ratings are in the high thirty's but not when they are in the twenties and the distruct has been at the heart of a high profile corruption dust up, I don't think so.
Against all reason, the Governor's appointed Secretary of State certified machines that cannot pass any effective certification process.
A recent flaw has been discovered in the Diebold machines that persists throughout the lifetime of the machine, no matter many fixes are applied. These machines cannot be audited.
Diebold scanners, with some of the same insecurities that the DRE's have, count the vote.
We know the voter registration system in California has been corrupted and thousands of registrations were dropped.
The absense of exit polls should trouble everyone. They are used internationally to determine whether an election has been manipulated.
Insecure voting equipment, corrupt Secretary of State, no exit polls, no audit =another rigged election.
resetnow.blogspot.com

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