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Signs of Life In Iran's Reform Movement

By Fatemeh Haghighatjoo, AlterNet. Posted February 22, 2006.


A close look at the numbers of Iranians supporting reform makes it clear that change is still possible.

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[Editor's Note: This essay is part of a series of Audits of the Conventional Wisdom, a project of the Center for International Studies at MIT.]

The surprise victory of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in the Iranian Presidential election last June brings up the question of whether the reform movement is dead in Iran. Does Ahmadinejad's success imply that Iranians have economic demands only? Who now are the supporters of reform?

Political reform is defined as constitutionality; monitoring political authorities and making them responsive; strengthening the civil society and its institutions; increasing the socio-political participation of all citizens; fair distribution of wealth, power, and freedom; and respect for humanity.

Looking at the first round of the presidential election, we see that the total votes of all the conservative candidates combined (Mahmud Ahmadinezhad, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, and Ali Larijani) was 11 million, while the total votes for all the reformist candidates (Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani, Mehdi Karrubi, Mostafa Moin, and Mohsen Mehralizadeh) came to 17 million votes. Therefore, the reformists got 6 million votes more than the conservatives, despite many allegations of election fraud and interference. Also, around 20 million of the eligible voters boycotted the election, believing that it was not going to be free and safe.

In the second round, both Rafsanjani and Ahmadinejad entered the competition with promises to improve the economy. The key point is that Ahmadinejad was relatively unknown to the public and without a negative record, while Hashemi-Rafsanjani had a not-so-positive past record, and faced well-organized campaigns against him.

Despite all of its shortcomings, the reform movement has some of its achievements planted so deep into society that they survive; even conservative hardliners adopted reformist slogans during the June elections, proof that change remains underway. As Mohammed Khatami, the reformist president from 1997 to June 2005, said: "A need for reform has been entrenched in the heart of the society and that will help the reform going." But will it keep going, and what will prevent its forward movement?

Obstacles to reform

There are three major obstacles for the reform movement:

1. The political structure of Iran. Iran's constitution is not democratic, because the Supreme Leader has the ultimate power. The president, parliament, the judicial system, the army and police, national television and radio, the Guardian Council, the Expediency Council, the Council of Constitutional Change, and some important economic enterprises, among others, are supervised by the Supreme Leader. Even though the president and parliament are two sections of the power structure that are elected by the people, the formation and authority of both can be strongly controlled by those branches chosen through the Supreme Leader. This came very clear in the 6th Majlis (parliament), which was very limited in law-making and monitoring power. According to the constitution, all bills passed by Majlis have to be approved by the conservative Guardian Council, and in case of any disputes over legislation between the Majlis and the Guardian Council, the Expediency Council makes the final decision.

The formation of the 7th Majlis was not the result of a free election, considering that over 2500 registered candidates were barred from entering the competition.

Islam is recognized by the constitution as the principal religion, with the Shi'a sect being superior to others. There is little freedom of religion, and there are legal barriers for the participation of religious minorities and minority Islamic sects in key positions such as the presidency; the only exception is membership of the parliament, which is specifically mentioned in the constitution. In cases where there are no legal barriers for the participation of religious minorities, still some Shi'a clerics oppose the participation of minorities including Sunni Muslims.

According to the constitution, parliament cannot make any laws that are contrary to Sharia (Islamic law), and the final decision is made by the Guardian Council.


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Dr. Fatemeh Haghighatjoo is a visiting scholar at MIT's Center for International Studies. A native of Tehran, she was elected to the Majlis in 2000 and served for four years. This article was translated from Farsi by Negar Mortazavi.

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let Iran do its own thing
Posted by: rsaxto on Feb 22, 2006 3:35 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Iran has a bright future if the corrupt/violent Bushies would leave them alone so their progressive elements can grow their political health. Gross USA meddling is only making things worse as in Iraq.

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the Iranian oil bourse
Posted by: dadanbetty on Feb 22, 2006 3:59 AM   
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Apparently 20-March-06 is the big day when Iran will start using Euros instead of dollars for it's oil transactions. Hmmmmmmmmm, it will be interesting to see what happens with this.

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I expect a protracted no-war conflict between US and Iran
Posted by: Sojourner on Feb 22, 2006 7:14 AM   
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Starting a war with Iran would be suicidal for the Iraq troops. It would also endanger the longer term program of maintaining our air bases in Iraq. However, we can expect Bush to play "maniac" President whenever it suits him. Americans love a dictator, it seems--or, at least, are willing to elect one.

So long as we continue to elect leadership that is not interested in change, we will be in the mideast to stay, as long as we can. America's choice is between business as usual or building a new world. It's always easier to keep things the same. I expect that to be US foreign policy for the forseeable future. We've given Bush everything he wants.

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Where Iran goes, the US follows
Posted by: ScottP on Feb 22, 2006 8:49 AM   
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Well not exactly, but in many ways. For example, the supreme court that is now installed will happily deconstruct the constitution to make it function as if it had Christianity as the official religion. They'll continue to flat out ignore portions of it such as the right to a speedy trial (which is not as they claim a right for selected citizens but rather a restriction on government power over anyone). And they'll continue to support election stealing when it puts their man in power.

Congress will continue to self limit itself, making itself no more powerful than the Majlis. As far as the executive branch, the US continues to head further in the direction of Iran, where they "have embedded an authoritarian culture in the soul of Iranian life, and have established a master/follower relationship in all parts of society". That is the most ominous of all aspects for those of us who care to use the appendage above our shoulders.

So while there are many permutations which one can use to distinguish the regimes in the US and Iran, there are many similarities. And the US is imitating ever more features of Iran.

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It's not all about the U.S.
Posted by: codingguy on Mar 30, 2006 12:11 PM   
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which is something Americans, even progressive americans, often forget.

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