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The Iraqi constitutional committee could not come to an agreement on the issues that separated it by the Monday's deadline: the role Islam should play in the constitution, federalism as a model of government, the rights of women, even the official name of the new Iraqi state. The result is that the national assembly has given the negotiators a week's extension, until August 22 -- a period both long enough (in principle) to resolve differences, and short enough to sustain the pressure to do so.
The fact that none of the major issues have been settled is a worry, both for the Iraqi political process and for a George W Bush administration determined to see the negotiations end quickly. But the manner in which the process was extended is also significant.
The Transitional Administrative Law (TAL) of 2004, passed by Paul Bremer -- head of the United States-appointed Coalition Provisional Authority set up following the end of the Saddam Hussein regime in April 2003 -- has operated in Iraq as a sort of interim constitution. It sets out the political timetable that the Iraqis are supposed to follow until a new constitution is passed and a permanent government is formed. The terms of the TAL specify that the drafting process should have been completed on 15 August 2005, but also indicate that the national assembly could request a six-month extension if a draft could not be completed by that date. However, the TAL makes no provision for a one-week extension. The national assembly's last-minute intervention is therefore its own invention.
The one-week extension has been presented as an amendment of the Transitional Administrative Law itself. This explanation is problematic. For example, Article 32(c) of the TAL provides that the national assembly cannot vote on a bill in the first four days after a bill is presented to it. An amendment passed in the final moments before the August 15 deadline expired clearly does not meet this four-day requirement. The national assembly, in other words, violated the TAL in order to amend it.
The Americans were desperate to avoid this type of development, and are especially disturbed by it. In practice, it means that the Iraqis are starting to deviate from the path that the occupation authorities had set for them. If a final constitution is indeed agreed on 22 August, the effect could be considered "benign". But what if no agreement is reached and the national assembly seeks a further extension? The pressure the Bush administration applied to secure agreement by 15 August did not work, and it may be no different next time around.
The scale of the differences that still divide the parties on three significant issues -- federalism, religion, and women -- reinforce the sense that meaningful agreement will be hard to reach.
Federalism or Centralism?
The first fundamental issue yet to be resolved is whether Iraq should become a federal country, and if so of what kind. It raises a number of vital subsidiary questions, such as the control and distribution of oil revenues.
The latest version of the draft constitution provides for four different levels of government:
"The state guarantees the fundamental rights of women and their equality with men, in all fields, according to the provisions of Islamic sharia. The state assists women to reconcile duties towards family and work in society."Some Iraqi and international women's rights groups balked at the obvious suggestion that women are in fact not equal to men; as a result, the second draft dropped the sentence relating to sharia. A later draft then abandoned any mention of women's rights. This left the issue to be covered by the draft constitution's non-discrimination clause ("All Iraqis are equal before the law, irrespective of their sex, race, sect, origin...").
"The state shall guarantee the conformity between the role of women towards family and their work in society and their equality with men in relation to political, social, cultural and economic life so long as this does not contradict the fundamental principles of this constitution."The impact of this article is far from obvious, since the wording suggests that equality between men and women will be dependent on other constitutional provisions. The most evident are Article 2 (compatibility with the principles of Islam) and the general non-discrimination clause.
Zaid Al-Ali is an attorney at the New York Bar and specialises in international commercial arbitration. He is also an editor at IraqEconomy.org.
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