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Why Robert Gates is a Terrible Pick

By Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation. Posted December 1, 2008.


The appointment of Robert Gates -- a vocal critic of Obama's Iraq withdrawal plan who will undoubtedly shape policy-- is alarming.

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Barack Obama not only had the good judgment to oppose the war in Iraq but , as he told us earlier this year, "I want to end the mindset that got us into war." So it is troubling that a man of such good judgment has asked Robert Gates to stay on as Secretary of Defense -- and assembled a national security team of such narrow bandwidth. It is true that President Obama will set the policy. But this team makes it more difficult to seize the extraordinary opportunity Obama's election has offered to reengage the world and reset America's priorities. Maybe being right about the greatest foreign policy disaster in U.S. history doesn't mean much inside the Beltway? How else to explain that not a single top member of Obama's foreign policy/national security team opposed the war -- or the dubious claims leading up to it?

The appointment of Hillary Clinton, who failed to oppose the war, has worried many. But I am more concerned about Gates. I spent the holiday weekend reading many of the speeches Hillary Clinton gave in her trips abroad as First Lady, especially those delivered at the UN Beijing Women's Conference and the Vital Voices Conferences, and I believe she will carve out an important role as Secretary of State through elevating women's (and girl's) rights as human rights. As she said in Belfast in 1998, "Human rights are women's rights and women's rights are human rights." That is not to diminish her hawkish record on several issues, but as head of State she is in a position to put diplomacy back at the center of U.S. foreign policy role -- and reduce the Pentagon's role.

It's the appointment of Gates which has a dispiriting, stay-the-course feel to it. Some will argue, and I've engaged in my fair share of such arguments, that Gates will simply be carrying out Obama's policies and vision. And a look at history shows that other great reform Presidents -- Lincoln and Roosevelt -- brought people into their cabinets who were old Washington hands or people they believed to be effective managers. Like Obama, they confronted historic challenges that compelled (and enabled) them to make fundamental change. But Gates will undoubtedly help to shape policy and determine which issues are given priority. And while Gates has denounced "the gutting" of America's "soft power," he has been vocally opposed to Obama's Iraq withdrawal plan. And at a time when people like Henry Kissinger and George Shultz are calling for steps toward a nuclear weapons free world (a position Obama has adopted), Gates has been calling for a new generation of nuclear weapons.

For Obama, who's said he wants to be challenged by his advisors, wouldn't it have made sense to include at least one person on the foreign policy/national security team who would challenge him with some new and fresh thinking about security in the 21st century? Isn't the idea of a broader bandwidth of ideas also at the heart of this ballyhooed "team of rivals" stuff?

Powerful establishment voices have been quick to praise the continuity, expertise and competence of Obama's team. But if President-elect Obama is really serious about changing the global perception of the U.S. -- not just in Paris, London, Tokyo and Berlin but in the Middle East, the global South and the developing world -- he would worry less about reassuring establishment stakeholders and the representatives of the tried, the true and the failed, and make some appointments that represent some genuinely new departures and new directions. Instead, as one longtime observer of U.S.-Russian relations reminded me the other day, in Gates, a veteran Cold Warrior, you have "an establishment figure with the longest institutional involvement in our failed Russia policies of anyone in DC."

And with all the talk about the importance of foreign policy experience, why is there so little attention paid to the quality of that experience? (Let's not forget, Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney had quite a bit of Washington experience.) What we need after eight ruinous years is experience informed by good judgment. What is gained by bringing in people who traffic in conventional wisdom and who have shown the kind of foreign policy timidity that acquiesced to disasters like the Iraq war?

Obama may believe that Gates will give him the cover and continuity he needs to carry out his planned withdrawal from Iraq. But so could many others, including Republicans like Chuck Hagel who, at least, opposed the Iraq war. By keeping Gates on Obama worsens the Democratic image on national security -- sending the message that even Democrats agree that Democrats can't run the military. And even more troubling for our future security, Gates has sounded ominous notes about how more U.S. troops can pacify Afghanistan. Speaking only days after a National Intelligence Estimate concluded that the U.S. was caught in a "downward spiral" there, Gates asserted that there is "no reason to be defeatist or underestimate the opportunity to be successful in the long run." Extricating the U.S. from one disastrous war to head into another will drain resources needed to fulfill Obama's hopes and promises for economic growth, health care, energy independence and crowd out other international initiatives.

Of course, Obama still has an opportunity to change the mindset that got us into Iraq and, more important, he has a popular mandate to challenge and change failed policies and craft a smarter security policy for this century. But he's sure making his work tougher by bringing people like Robert Gates on board.


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See more stories tagged with: iraq, russia, afghanistan, robert gates, national security, barack obama, hillary clinton

Katrina vanden Heuvel is editor of The Nation.

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View:
Read Melvin Goodman's "Failure of Intelligence"
Posted by: FeralCat on Dec 1, 2008 11:40 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Ex CIA agent Goodman has quite a bit to say on the failed policies of Casey and Gates during the Reagan Bush years. Well actually it wasn't failed policies. They were the ones that started to really politicize intelligence. Reagan needed to build up the military to pay for his tax cuts for the wealthy. Casey and Gates obliged by cooking up false intelligence on the Soviet Union's military strength.

It's all connected. Volcker's shock to the economic system made the rich richer and the unions grow weaker. And Gates helped.

Can anyone say deja vu?

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

why not chomsky?
Posted by: whealeydj on Dec 1, 2008 6:16 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
at todays news conference Obama was talking about how he wanted people with strong opinions on his team. it occurred to me why not chomsky if he was serious about some real change in in national security and some strong opinions to challenge the neoliberals and neoconsevatives. I have always wary of Gates since the Iran Contra scandal.

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» RE: why not chomsky? Posted by: thekid
Barrack is immature
Posted by: jreal on Dec 2, 2008 1:18 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
He got too big for his britches. I first thought that he needed some insiders in his cabinet to make his transition smoother and he would later trade them in for his "Time for a Change" team once he was comfortable in his leadership role. But I think he has too many "insiders" bouncing fear rays at him from every angle.

It seems that it is all the crooks in congress and Washington that are happy with Barrack's decisions.

Right now, Barrack is being Fear-Boozzeled. I understand that he actually is a conservative. So maybe we were the ones that have been Bam-Boozzeled.

Seriously though, I think the right has won again with there slanderous campaigning and bogus journalism. They convinced many Americans (although not as many as Washington Right-Wing Insiders would have you to believe) that Obama is an extreme leftist Muslim Liberal. Oh, and he is black. So now it seems that he is pandering to this overblown sector of the right-wing fascist, religious nut-case, pro-all-out-war group of Americans.

Karl Rove was Bush's Brain. Now it's K-Street that is Obama's brain, they have it in a vice and Barrack doesn't show any signs of fighting back.

Welcome to the new road block to progress.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

syed salamah ali mahdi
Posted by: salamah on Dec 2, 2008 1:39 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Remember Saul who was Terminator # 1 of the Apostles and Disciples? You know his story after he became Paul. Obama needs a Saul-Paul character to push his agenda. Gates has always 'implemented' what he has been 'ordered' to from Gipper times to this day and shall continue doing so under Obama. The big question mark is on what this Terminator would be ordered to do by Obama and Obama ONLY without Foggy Bottom, CIA, Pentagon diluting the orders.

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Bitter, bitter laughter. The "I told you so"s begin.
Posted by: -matti on Dec 2, 2008 2:46 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Do not DARE act ignorant of the inevitablity of this outcome!

This is what you all purchased.

There were those who told you it was false and you ignored and disdained them.

Why continue to delude yourselves further?

Justify or Apologize, Obamites.

Those are your choices.

Ask yourself this: "WHY IN THE WORLD KEEP GATES IF YOUR POSITION IS REALLY ONE OF 'CHANGE'?"

And "WHAT EASIER WAY TO REPUDIATE THE BUSH 'WAR ON TERROR' THAN TO REPLACE ONE OF ITS CHOSEN ARCHITECTS?"

WHY Obamites? WHY WAS THIS DONE?!?

YOU MADE THIS HAPPEN!!

YOU chose this!

JUSTify it damn you, justify it!

-matti.

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» Wow, you're delusional. Posted by: Scientz
Everyone take a big breath..
Posted by: thekid on Dec 2, 2008 3:41 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I am not concerned about this one, as the President Elect stated yesterday, 'the buck stops with him'-he is the one who is making the policy and the vision, and he as much so stated about the new mission to get us out of Iraq.

Okay? Gates, or anyone else, is NOT the President-President Elect Obama will be.

Now, I would be interested in the Nation's picks for each member of the National Security team, which oh by the way,this one, the one that the President Elect has selected?-it has DIPLOMACY as a central focus and more of it.

For those who don't remember it, I will quote something from one of my favorite Presidents:

The American Eagle, in it's talons, has in one talon, the olive branch for peace, and in the other talon, arrows, representing the power for war. This Administration with give attention to both.

President John F. Kennedy

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» RE: Everyone take a big breath.. Posted by: John Annis
I'm not sure I understand you...
Posted by: westomoon on Dec 2, 2008 6:17 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
... but after reading it twice, I think this is a truly brilliant take on what's going on.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

Little late
Posted by: Teller on Dec 2, 2008 4:51 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Kool Aid on the chin, what's that on the drainboard?

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

I would rather it were Anthony Zinni or Admiral Fallon, but.
Posted by: PrinceRobert on Dec 2, 2008 6:49 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
First, give the new decider time and space to work. I have, all along been bothered by Obama's and others' attitudes on Afghanistan, which is every bit as criminal a war as Iraq and time will tell whether or not there will really be change. If the future were to look too radical at this point, there are many ways that the very entrenched powers could prevent the Obama Presidency from ever happening.
Second, the alternative in a McCain/Palin choice was horrendous, ludicrous, disasterous.
Third, we will have to wait and see if an Obama administration continues the steady drift to a police state which is nearly completely in place by virtue of specific steps taken by the GW Bush admin. and previous administrations. If we continue down that road, as presented by Naomi Wolf, then the people of this nation will have to rise up and clean house and get it back under control, re-establish government under the US Constitution.
Like others have posted, Take a deep breath and give it time.

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Picks have been brillant
Posted by: kmcd on Dec 2, 2008 7:08 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Obama's picks have been brillant -- and incredibly strategic if you look at the bigger picture.

Obama isn't Reagan or Clinton or Bush. He's a non-ideologic transformational leader who has an incredibly pragmatic management style. He's clearly confident in his abilities yet willing to listen to others' positions. He's established that he can bring differing ideologies together on all levels. And he expects excellence. Either this team works to gether and figures it out, or they'll be politely told to leave.

Everyone he's picked so far -- can really step up to the position and fly -- or they'll be gone. They're all intelligent people. But think about it -- Hillary -- if she doesn't step up -- if she acts out or is a loose cannon -- she's out. Her supporters can't grumble and she's out of the Senate. Then what? The Republicans -- Obama's reaching across the isle and putting together a bi-partisan team -- if those picks obstruct, then what? The Republicans can't say Obama picked the wrong Republicans without looking like fools. And even Gates -- in terms of timing, the Iraq war is winding down -- whether he wants it to or not due to the economy, pressures in areas like Afganistan,etc. If Gates puts up a fight, he's out and Obama still smells like a rose because he picked Gates, is bi-partisan -- and Republicans look like obstructionists to the greater good.

Obama has effectively neutered everyone. It's genius. It's strategic and it's smart.

But I don't believe that Obama's is doing some sort of mental chess game, I actually think he thinks these folks are the right people for the respective jobs -- and that they have just been lacking the right leadership.

Obama is a smart guy -- on more than just the surface.

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» Agree 100% Posted by: Scientz
» RE: Agree 100% Posted by: willymack
» Dream on, Sunshine Posted by: leafsong1
I see his point
Posted by: jstepp590 on Dec 2, 2008 7:32 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The time to change the leadership at the top of the military establish is not when the bullets are flying. Putting inexperienced or people who are not intimately familiar with the day to day running of these conflicts is a good way to have bad decisions made that get our troops killed.

What I see is Gates running things at the Pentagon for a year or two but then leaving for his retirement, something which he has already commented on. Gates has the respect of people at the Pentagon and is very familiar with every aspect of our current deployments. As for him being warlike? Well duh! You need aggressive warlike people running as SecDef, that is their job. President Obama will set the policy which he will have to follow.

I see President Obamas point. So far he has made very good decisions in about every area that I can see so please, support your president. This kneejerk cynicism that seems to infect the lefts thinking is a great way to end up with President Palin in 2012.

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» I was on patrol in Fallujah... Posted by: leafsong1
» Thank you Leafsong1 Posted by: David/Daoud
» Just curious Posted by: westomoon
» RE: Just curious Posted by: leafsong1
» Sarcasm Posted by: westomoon
Close the Gates
Posted by: Archie1954 on Dec 2, 2008 8:32 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The first time this guy opposes his boss's orders or tries to throw a monkey wrench into the works then he is gone, big time!

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"team of rivals" stuff
Posted by: babka on Dec 2, 2008 9:01 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
that is the subtext (conscious or un-) of the child of divorce:

to reconcile opposites.

best form of this:

"By upbringing and intellectual training, I belong to the "children of heaven"; but by temperament, and by my professional studies, I am a "child of earth". Situated thus by life at the heart of two worlds with whose theory, idiom and feelings intimate experience has made me familiar, I have not erected any watertight bulkhead inside myself. On the contrary, I have allowed two apparently conflicting influences full freedom to react upon one another deep within me."

- Pierre Teilhard de Chardin in HOW I BELIEVE

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Gates is a brilliant choice!
Posted by: Scientz on Dec 2, 2008 9:48 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I know you anti-war types have your judgment clouded by your pacificism. So I'll give your hyperbole the benefit of the doubt.

Look, Gates is brilliant. He's brilliant because he is the SecDef who put Iraq on the road to some modicum of recovery. Rumsfeld was an egomaniacal ideologue who screwed Iraq and the US military over so badly it will years to fix. But Gates came up with a new plan and a new strategy. He was the guy behind the idea of a Sunni Awakening. He is the reason why attacks are down. He is the reason why we might actually be able to get out of Iraq without leaving a power vacuum for Iran to step into.

Gates is the guy who did that.

Gates stays on, because it shows Obama is serious about Iraq, and not about to appoint to an pacificistic ideologue to appease the far-left wing of the Dems.

Brilliant pragmatism.

Someone above actually suggested to appoint Noam Chomsky to SecDef. Wow. Chomsky's brilliant, but he's a left-libertarian/anarchist. This is a guy you want as a ivory-tower commentator, not in a position of power.

Gates is brilliant. How can the right accuse you of naivete when you keep their guy? I've never seen such brilliant political machinations as Obama's in the last few weeks, and he's not even president yet!

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» Pacifism is not at issue Posted by: leafsong1
» My momma is a skank whore? Posted by: Scientz
» RE: Pacifism is not at issue Posted by: David/Daoud
» I'm a Zionist? Posted by: Scientz
» Yup Posted by: gellero1
A bigger challenge than Iraq/Afghanistan
Posted by: westomoon on Dec 2, 2008 1:09 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
That's the Defense "base" budget, which has ballooned during Bush's tenure. It eats more than half our discretionary budget, and sows poison around the world.

The Defense budget is a labyrinth, incorporating self-protective strategies from the smallest input to the huge, bland, and seamless result. It takes several years to get familiar enough with it that a Presidential appointee can do more than rubber-stamp what the military tells him to.

I'm hoping/assuming that Obama will have his long-term choices for SecDef apprenticing at Gates' side, so that when Gates gets to take that retirement he's yearning for, the person who steps in will be fully fluent in the local language. And fully capable of the necessary surgery on the Defense base budget.

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Gates will be a conduit to the military/corporate sector
Posted by: dustdevil on Dec 2, 2008 3:15 PM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
If Gates is allowed to participate in the closed door sessions of Obama's cabinet, everything discussed there will be relayed to the rogue elements of the Bush administration that remain in the government agencies and the Pentagon. Gates would be an automatic mole. His allegiances have always been to the people who create clandestine operations. He will betray Obama.

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A rare Katrina boo boo
Posted by: realveive on Dec 2, 2008 5:07 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Make no mistake, Obama will run the show and anyone that's not a team player will be sent down. Gates has good instincts and knows how to get things done. Obama couldn't have made a better pick at this time.

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Dobrzepolak63
Posted by: dobrzepolak63 on Dec 2, 2008 6:57 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Anyone out there have any idea why both Casey and Gates had the nickname "O'Brien?"

No, Gates is not to be trusted. For that matter, neither is Obama. In third grade (in 1952), I well remember the teacher, Mrs. Kincannon, explaining that "campaign promises" were either unreal or outright lies. Still true.

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Robert Gates
Posted by: koolwoman on Dec 2, 2008 8:09 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Robert Gates may be a hawk, and he may make recommendations, but Barack Obama will make the final decisions. Wait and see!!!!! President Obama is not a pushover. He is the best of the best.

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IF THE WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ SCREWS UP OBAMA WILL HAVE A
Posted by: Raymond Emerson on Dec 2, 2008 11:55 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
republican to blame. I think it is clever. I suspect a sucessful withdrawal is going to be harder that going in was. If I have this wrong I will apologize.

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Katrina Is Always Right
Posted by: bessie on Dec 3, 2008 12:47 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I don't like listening to Katrina. It's always painful but she's always right. Gates and Hillary are exactly the ones that I voted against. I thought that meant something especially when I was among the overwhelming majority of voters who must have had the same thoughts. I'm still hoping that Obama is a total genius and he knows something that I can't quite grasp. But I've been around the track and sincerity is a hard bought comodity that presents itself in a clarity that is difficult to deny. There's not much to deny here but to say that like with a horrible boyfriend who is suddenly going to be reformed, it's not going to happen. Obama is suddenly looking like a misdirected youngster who actually bought into some hype from Doris Goodwin about poor Abe Lincoln who was just trying to get through the Civil War. These times are totally different and I don't quite remember anyone talking about Abe creating a productive government. Abe spent most of his time trying to find someone to direct the war, as the government was sacked. Obama is vulnerable as we are all. I'm holding on here, hoping, that he's smart enough to listen to people like Katrina. It's not rocket science - it's common sense. And we've known it all along. The idea that you can buy something from your local store or farm. The idea that any local business still exists. The idea that you can visit your local bank & talk to someone you know. It's all quite simple & Obama can make his choice. And so can we.

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the Lincoln complex
Posted by: sicntired on Dec 6, 2008 12:58 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Obama is fascinated and in awe of Honest Abe.He thinks that by appointing his enemies(the pissing out factor)he too can be another Abe Lincoln.Those of you that voted for real change will have to wait for 2012.Just look at the recent auto bailout and you can see the only thing you have to fear is the same incompetence you feared all along.Money for the incompetent rich,taxes for the willing poor.If you don't take to the streets now,they'll have your great grandchildren in debt.

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Gates represents an important power center in DC
Posted by: leveymg on Dec 6, 2008 6:06 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
He comes out of the same pragmatic-Center-Right group of national security professionals that surrounded Bush 41. Scowcroft is another.

These are guys who know how Washington, the Pentagon, and the Langley work. They also know how to undo an Administration that doesn't work well with them.

So long as Gates continues to adhere to the basic policy guidelines set down by Obama, he's not a bad choice. As a transitional figure, and a bridge to the national security establishment, he's essential.

Just look at what happened to Carter when he tried to directly confront that same group. Obama learns from history, and that's a good omen for his success.

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