Has There Been a Great Progressive Reversal? How the Left Abandoned Cheap Electricity
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Editor's Note: From time to time we publish articles we don't necessarily agree with. We encourage differences of opinion, for the sake of open debate. AlterNet's environmental editor Tara Lohan replies to Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger at the end of their article, and we've added the authors' response to Lohan below it.
Eighty years ago, the Tennessee Valley region was like many poor rural communities in tropical regions today. The best forests had been cut down to use as fuel for wood stoves. Soils were being rapidly depleted of nutrients, resulting in falling yields and a desperate search for new croplands. Poor farmers were plagued by malaria and had inadequate medical care. Few had indoor plumbing and even fewer had electricity.
Hope came in the form of World War I. Congress authorized the construction of the Wilson dam on the Tennessee River to power an ammunition factory. But the war ended shortly after the project was completed.
Henry Ford declared he would invest millions of dollars, employ one million men, and build a city 75 miles long in the region if the government would only give him the whole complex for $5 million. Though taxpayers had already sunk more than $40 million into the project, President Harding and Congress, believing the government should not be in the business of economic development, were inclined to accept.
George Norris, a progressive senator, attacked the deal and proposed instead that it become a public power utility. Though he was from Nebraska, he was on the agriculture committee and regularly visited the Tennessee Valley. Staying in the unlit shacks of its poor residents, he became sympathetic to their situation. Knowing that Ford was looking to produce electricity and fertilizer that were profitable, not cheap, Norris believed Ford would behave as a monopolist. If approved, Norris warned, the project would be the worst real estate deal “since Adam and Eve lost title to the Garden of Eden.” Three years later Norris had defeated Ford in the realms of public opinion and in Congress.
Over the next 10 years, Norris mobilized the progressive movement to support his sweeping vision of agricultural modernization by the federal government. In 1933 Congress and President Roosevelt authorized the creation of the Tennessee Valley Authority. It mobilized thousands of unemployed men to build hydroelectric dams, produce fertilizer, and lay down irrigation systems. Sensitive to local knowledge, government workers acted as community organizers, empowering local farmers to lead the efforts to improve agricultural techniques and plant trees.
The TVA produced cheap energy and restored the natural environment. Electricity from the dams allowed poor residents to stop burning wood for fuel. It facilitated the cheap production of fertilizer and powered the water pumps for irrigation, allowing farmers to grow more food on less land. These changes lifted incomes and allowed forests to grow back. Although dams displaced thousands of people, they provided electricity for millions.
By the '50s, the TVA was the crown jewel of the New Deal and one of the greatest triumphs of centralized planning in the West. It was viewed around the world as a model for how governments could use modern energy, infrastructure and agricultural assistance to lift up small farmers, grow the economy, and save the environment. Recent research suggests that the TVA accelerated economic development in the region much more than in surrounding and similar regions and proved a boon to the national economy as well.
Perhaps most important, the TVA established the progressive principle that cheap energy for all was a public good, not a private enterprise. When an effort was made in the mid-'50s to privatize part of the TVA, it was beaten back by Senator Al Gore Sr. The TVA implicitly established modern energy as a fundamental human right that should not be denied out of deference to private property and free markets.
The Rejection of the State and Cheap Energy
Just a decade later, as Vietnam descended into quagmire, left-leaning intellectuals started denouncing TVA-type projects as part of the American neocolonial war machine. The TVA’s fertilizer factories had previously produced ammunition; its nuclear power stations came from bomb making. The TVA wasn’t ploughshares from swords, it was a sword in a new scabbard. In her 1962 book Silent Spring, Rachel Carson described modern agriculture as a war on nature. The World Bank, USAID, and even the Peace Corps with its TVA-type efforts were, in the writings of Noam Chomsky, mere fig leaves for an imperialistic resource grab.
Where Marx and Marxists had long viewed industrial capitalism, however terrible, as an improvement over agrarian feudalism, the New Left embraced a more romantic view. Before the arrival of “progress” and “development,” they argued, small farmers lived in harmony with their surroundings. In his 1973 book, Small is Beautiful, economist E.F. Schumacher dismissed the soil erosion caused by peasant farmers as “trifling in comparison with the devastations caused by gigantic groups motivated by greed, envy, and the lust for power.” Anthropologists like Yale University’s James Scott narrated irrigation, road-building, and electrification efforts as sinister, Foucauldian impositions of modernity on local innocents.
With most rivers in the West already dammed, US and European environmental groups like Friends of the Earth and the International Rivers Network tried to stop, with some success, the expansion of hydroelectricity in India, Brazil and elsewhere. It wasn’t long before environmental groups came to oppose nearly all forms of grid electricity in poor countries, whether from dams, coal or nuclear. “Giving society cheap, abundant energy,” Paul Ehrlich wrote in 1975, “would be the equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun.”
Elaborate justifications were offered as to why poor people in other countries wouldn't benefit from cheap electricity, fertilizer and roads in the same way the good people of the Tennessee Valley had. Biomass (e.g., wood burning), solar and efficiency “do not carry with them inappropriate cultural patterns or values.” In a 1977 interview, Amory Lovins added: “The whole point of thinking along soft path lines is to do whatever it is you want to do using as little energy — and other resources — as possible.”
By the time of the United Nations Rio environment conference in 1992, the model for “sustainable development” was of small co-ops in the Amazon forest where peasant farmers and Indians would pick nuts and berries to sell to Ben and Jerry’s for their “Rainforest Crunch” flavor. A year later, in Earth in the Balance, Al Gore wrote, “power grids themselves are no longer necessarily desirable.” Citing Schumacher, he suggested they might even be “inappropriate” for the Third World.
Over the next 20 years environmental groups constructed economic analyses and models purporting to show that expensive intermittent renewables like solar panels and biomass-burners were in fact cheaper than grid electricity. Greenpeace and WWF hired educated and upper-middle class professionals in Rio de Janeiro and Johannesburg to explain why their countrymen did not need new power plants but could just be more efficient instead.
When challenged as to why poor nations should not have what we have, green leaders respond that we should become more like poor nations. In The End of Nature, Bill McKibben argued that developed economies should adopt “appropriate technology” like those used in poor countries and return to small-scale agriculture. One “bonus” that comes with climate change, Naomi Klein says, is that it will require in the rich world a “type of farming [that] is much more labor intensive than industrial agriculture.”
And so the Left went from viewing cheap energy as a fundamental human right and key to environmental restoration to a threat to the planet and harmful to the poor. In the name of “appropriate technology” the revamped Left rejected cheap fertilizers and energy. In the name of democracy it now offers the global poor not what they want — cheap electricity — but more of what they don’t want, namely intermittent and expensive power.
From Anti-Statism to Neo-Liberalism
At the heart of this reversal was the Left’s growing suspicion of both centralized energy and centralized government. Libertarian conservatives have long concocted elaborate counterfactuals to suggest that the TVA and other public electrification efforts actually slowed the expansion of access to electricity. By the early 1980’s, progressives were making the same claim. In 1984, William Chandler of the WorldWatch Institute would publish the “The Myth of the TVA,” which claimed that 50 years of public investment had never provided any development benefit whatsoever. In fact, a new analysis by economists at Stanford and Berkeley, Patrick Klein and Enrico Moretti, find that the "TVA boosted national manufacturing productivity by roughly 0.3% and that the dollar value of these productivity gains exceeded the program's cost."
Even so, today's progressives signal their sophistication by dismissing statist solutions. Environmentalists demand that we make carbon-based energy more expensive, in order to "harness market forces" to cut greenhouse gas emissions. Global development agencies increasingly reject state-sponsored projects to build dams and large power plants in favor of offering financing to private firms promising to bring solar panels and low-power "microgrids" to the global poor — solutions that might help run a few light bulbs and power cell phones but offer the poor no path to the kinds of high-energy lifestyles Western environmentalists take for granted.
Where senators Norris and Gore Sr. understood that only the government could guarantee cheap energy and fertilizers for poor farmers, environmental leaders today seek policy solutions that give an outsized role to investment banks and private utilities. If the great leap backward was from statist progressivism to anarcho-primitivism, it was but a short step sideways to green neoliberalism.
But if developed-world progressives, comfortably ensconced in their own modernity, today reject the old progressive vision of cheap, abundant, grid electricity for everyone, progressive modernizers in the developing world are under no such illusion. Whether socialists, state capitalists, or, mostly, some combination of the two, developing world leaders like Brazil’s Lula da Silva understand that cheap grid electricity is good for people and good for the environment. That modern energy and fertilizers increase crop yields and allow forests to grow back. That energy poverty causes more harm to the poor than global warming. They view cheap energy as a public good and a human right, and they are well on their way to providing electricity to every one of their citizens.
The TVA and all modernization efforts bring side effects along with progress. Building dams requires evicting people from their land and putting ecosystems underwater. Burning coal saves trees but causes air pollution and global warming. Fracking for gas prevents coal burning but it can pollute the water. Nuclear energy produces not emissions but toxic waste and can result in major industrial accidents. Nevertheless, these are problems that must be dealt with through more modernization and progress, not less.
Viewed through this lens, climate change is a reason to accelerate rather than slow energy transitions. The 1.3 billion who lack electricity should get it. It will dramatically improve their lives, reduce deforestation, and make them more resilient to climate impacts. The rest of us should move to cleaner sources of energy — from coal to natural gas, from natural gas to nuclear and renewables, and from gasoline to electric cars — as quickly as we can. This is not a low-energy program, it is a high-energy one. Any effort worthy of being called progressive, liberal, or environmental, must embrace a high-energy planet.
What 'Cheap' Energy? A Response by AlterNet's Environmental Editor Tara Lohan
Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus believe that the left has abandoned cheap energy, but the truth is cheap energy doesn’t really exist anymore. We’ve dammed two-thirds of the globe’s major rivers and we’ve drilled and mined the easiest to reach fossil fuels. Cheap energy also doesn’t exist because we’ve come to understand that massive hydro projects and burning fossil fuels come with a price tag — a cost to human health and the environment that gets externalized and is a price often paid by the poorest. Asthma, heart disease, cancer, undrinkable water, and unlivable homes are just some of the bills that have come due for communities that live near areas where fossil fuels are extracted or burned. And this so-called “cheap" energy that is often produced — where does it go? Are the communities of Appalachia any richer for the coal mining that’s taken place there for 100 years? Coal that keeps the lights on in Washington DC and in China.
When Shellenberger and Nordhaus get to the end of their piece and assert that, “the 1.3 billion who lack electricity should get it. It will dramatically improve their lives, reduce deforestation, and make them more resilient to climate impacts,” I’m not convinced at all of how exactly they plan to provide that energy. I only know it’s supposed to be “cheap” and shouldn’t come from “intermittent” renewable sources.
There are very few progressives and environmentalists who would argue that poor people around the globe should be denied access to food and electricity that will improve their lives, as Shellenberger and Nordhaus seem to assert. Although since both movements are large and diverse, it would be impossible to generalize about everyone as they seem to.
It is important to understand that poor communities not only bear the brunt of resource extraction and development, they will also suffer theworst impacts of climate change. And it is poor nations that have been outspoken in demanding action on climate change, including drastically reducing global greenhouse gas emissions.
Shellenberger and Nordhaus are quick to criticize the left and groups like International Rivers for being opposed to massive hydro power plants, but what about the communities that actually live there? It turns out that there is huge backlash against such projects by local and indigenous communities across the globe, in Brazil, Guatemala, Ethiopia, China, Malaysia, and other countries. These too are poor people and they’re likely to be even poorer—both culturally and economically—if they’re displaced from their traditional lands because of large dam building or the associated environmental/agricultural costs.
These are complex problems, and there are no easy solutions — and in fact solutions are likely to vary from one place to the next. What may be beneficial to one community, may not be in another. And certainly, regardless of which side of the political and ideological spectrum you’re on, the communities themselves should have the primary voice.
Yet Shellenberg and Nordhaus assert that burning coal saves trees, an idea that would be laughable to Appalachians who’ve watched their forested mountaintops be blown off for coal mining. And to say that “Fracking for gas prevents coal burning but it can pollute the water” is a gross understatement. Fracking can and does pollute water. It also pollutes the air, emits more greenhouse gases during extraction than the industry would like to admit, fragments wildlands, industrializes rural and suburban communities, and sickens people.
Let’s not trivialize the impacts of fossil fuel extraction; this is serious business. If we’re going to find solutions, we have to be realistic and forward-thinking. It’s hard to see how the "modernization and progress" they espouse comes from pushing for more reliance on the dirtiest forms of energy we know.
Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus respond:
It is a testament to the hold that apocalyptic, Malthusian environmentalism has upon contemporary progressivism that publishing an article arguing that the Left ought to get back in the business of fighting for cheap grid electricity for the world's poor requires a warning label.
Nonetheless, Lohan does a useful service, illustrating our point even as she attempts to rebut it. Lohan insists, “there are very few progressives and environmentalists who would argue that poor people around the globe should be denied access to food and electricity that will improve their lives.” But she has already told us that cheap energy doesn’t exist, that she is not convinced it is possible to provide it, and that poor communities around the world don’t want it anyway.
Lohan points to the fact that 2/3 of the world's rivers are dammed. One wonders whether she has followed the news of plans by Brazil and the Congo to dam theirs. She claims "we’ve drilled and mined the easiest to reach fossil fuels," but then turns around and complains about the drilling resulting from the boom in natural gas.
Lohan acknowledges that bringing electricity to the poor involves trade-offs and then proceeds to ignore them. She points to the local impacts of dam building in China and Brazil without acknowledging that those dams have played a large role in allowing those nations to achieve universal access to grid electricity. She invokes the poor as those who will suffer most from climate change and ignores the reality that modern energy makes the poor vastly less vulnerable to climate impacts. And she bizarrely suggests that coal mining is a major cause of deforestation, pointing to the Appalachia region. In reality, cheap electricity (whether it comes from coal or less polluting sources of energy) creates fertilizer and electricity, which obviate the need for high rates of deforestation.
A progressivism truly committed to social justice would take the trade-offs associated with social justice and the environment seriously, including the uncomfortable reality that the global poor deserve access to modern electricity, just like us, even if it comes from coal. It would recognize that the real alternatives to coal for most of the world today are hydro, nuclear, and gas. And it would stop insisting that a couple of solar panels, sufficient to run a light and a cell phone for a few hours a day, are all the global poor really need while luxuriating in the comfort of modern, high energy societies.