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Environment

How Conservatives Have Duped Us in the Global Warming Fight

By Joe Brewer, The Rockridge Institute. Posted April 1, 2008.


We've let them decide how we talk about climate change and what's important.
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The movie Field of Dreams had a wild idea -- that a person could build his dream in the corn field and others would come from miles around to take part. This attitude is not restricted to Hollywood: It is a common notion in government that if we build a good policy the people will come rally around it. But because most policy solutions are bureaucratic and technical, people are often uninterested. To get people to care and to rally around good policies, we need to advance the ideas from which the policies flow.

When it comes to the climate crisis, there's been plenty of talk about cap-and-trade, carbon offsets, taxes on fossil fuels, and investment plans for renewable energy. But there is hardly any talk about what all this means to everyday folks or why public understanding matters. What most people are missing is that the solution may well lie in the way people think about and understand the climate crisis.

Recently, my colleague George Lakoff and I released a report called Comparing Climate Proposals: A Case Study in Cognitive Policy. Our goal was to demonstrate the importance of human cognition in the policymaking process. We didn't set out to create an "ultimate solution" or anything like that. We simply suggested that a good place to start looking for solutions is in our own heads.

The cognitive dimension of climate policy is a big topic that needs to be unpacked carefully. But we can start by discussing two competing ideas. One has been advanced by conservatives for decades through a multimillion-dollar communications campaign. The other has appeared from time to time in discussions of environmental philosophy, especially about the ethics of management practices.

So what are the ideas? You'll no doubt recognize one of them:

Idea No. 1: Protecting the environment harms the economy

This idea has been promulgated for decades by conservative think tanks like Cato Institute, Heritage Foundation, Competitive Enterprise Institute and others. It is based on the foundational claims that (1) the environment and the economy are fundamentally different things, and (2) they compete with one another in a zero-sum manner -- meaning that a gain for one amounts to an equivalent loss for the other. This idea takes many forms. Here are a few that we hear all the time:

  • Environmental action will cost us jobs.
  • American companies will be burdened by additional costs.
  • Addressing global warming will put our economy at a competitive disadvantage versus the rest of the world.
  • Renewable energy must compete with traditional energy sources, like coal and oil, before it can be implemented.

The opposition of the environment and the economy is at the heart of the climate debate. It is the starting point of the Lieberman-Warner "Climate Security" bill in Congress now. We see this is in the two stated purposes of Lieberman-Warner:

  1. To avert the long-term catastrophic impacts of global climate change.
  2. To accomplish that purpose while "preserving robust growth in the U.S. economy" and "avoiding the imposition of hardship on U.S. citizens."

This climate bill has been the one to gain the most traction, partly because its advances are minimal. Many environmentalists are critical of the bill, but they focus on policy mechanisms: it gives away billions to polluters; it doesn't reduce carbon dioxide emissions enough; it doesn't address major threats scientists warn us about. All of these things are true, but there is something more fundamentally wrong with it: The Lieberman-Warner is premised on a flawed idea!


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See more stories tagged with: global warming, climate change

Joe Brewer is a cognitive scientist and fellow at the Rockridge Institute.

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Try these three simple rules first
Posted by: Rune on Apr 1, 2008 12:51 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
1. Quit calling it "climate change." "Climate change is a euphemism cooked up with help from focus groups to allow deniers of the core concept to talk about it without conveying the distress associated with "global warming."

2. Quit calling it "global warming." Although descriptive of the long term, average trend for the Earth's temperature as a whole, the term is received by plain old folks to mean that every day, everywhere should be hotter (and drier) than what was recently regarded as normal for a particular local and season. As a consequence, whenever they experience weather extremes that are on the cold and wet side of normal, they convince themselves (often with help from certain P.R. firms and media companies friendly to them) that "global warming" is not real, which remains a significant impediment to even thinking about taking realistic mitigation measures.

3. Start calling it "Climate Destabilization," which gets to the heart of the matter as it is experienced by the common person as a costly and disruptive force around the world, whether in the form of a powerful storm, a prolonged drought, an untimely freeze, floods due to rapid snow melting, or what have you.

"Climate destabilization is readily understood as something that is unsettling to farmers, to insurance companies, to holiday plans, and many other simple, human endeavors that hinge on predictable timing and ranges of weather activity. It is a term that raises appropriate concern and invites explanations of how many things we take for granted in nature become vulnerable when seasonal norms can no longer be assumed to hold up.

Some will still want to argue about whether climate destabilization is primarily the consequence of human activities involving the burning of carbon fuels. That question becomes less pertinent once it is understood that many of the prudent responses to the theory of human induced climate destabilization are the same or similar to the responses to other limits confronting us at the same time, such as peak oil, top soil loss, marine dead zones, fisheries collapses, mercury pollution, conventional forms of air pollution, water shortages, water pollution, unsafe food imports, drug, bacteria, and virus infected livestock, etc., just to name a moderate list of things off the top of my head that tend to resolve themselves when we start thinking in terms of how to not only conserve "natural resources" and "services," but to actually rebuild and stabilize them--all of which clears the way for reductions in costly inputs and efforts that have even more costly and unwelcome side effects, such as the 3-D horror show of disease, disasters, and death.

[« Reply to this comment] [Post a new comment »] [Rate this comment: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5]

» Crazy H: Do you LIKE Malthus? Posted by: january37
» opmoc, get your head examined Posted by: AsteroidMiner
» Try these ... Posted by: bornxeyed
» ... and these ... Posted by: bornxeyed
» ... and then ... Posted by: bornxeyed
» ... and finally Posted by: bornxeyed
I have 4 friends.....
Posted by: Marlena on Apr 1, 2008 6:37 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
they are a bit strange looking, and they all have strange horses, that match in color. They are already riding slowly up and down, to and fro on the earth...it's already too late, folks.. .we must stop talking about who's fault, who is causing, and deal with it. It's past time cause the horsemen are on the move. Dont be suprised that they are in your town, right now

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The ban on Cannibas and poor quality OBSCENELY expensive crumbling public transportation.
Posted by: maxpayne on Apr 1, 2008 7:19 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The cons have been winning for 71 years ever since the ban on Cannabis first through OBSCENELY high tax rates followed by BIG GUBBMINT DEA banning it outright. To cure global warming, allow INDUSTRIAL HEMP to make its way into the market and let it compete with fossil fuels. Yes, progressives and liberals can learn to embrace a truly free market that is for the people rather than let the currently RIGGED fossil fuel market keep FUCKING AMERICA TO DEATH !

Oh, and get to work on improving the quality and costs on public transportation, conservation, etc ... Cut down those OBSCENELY high bus/rail fares, improve transporation routes to free up traffic, and improve the buses and trains to be more fuel efficient and less sloppy in delays and mandatory "holdups". It's time to override Big Auto and Oil as they are the culprits what with the gubbmint giving them "free handouts".

P.S.: Removing the ban on Cannabis will make high quality solar panels and voltaic cells along with wind energy turbines and machines more commonplace since we'll no longer be forced to use fossil fuels for all our manufacturing needs.

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I'm sorry, but I can no longer buy the underlying premise here. . .
Posted by: Beck on Apr 1, 2008 7:23 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
. . .or of other articles on the subject, such as last week's "the Bush and Clinton administrations suppressed scientific knowledge" and its implication that, had we only known, we'd have done much better by now. I no longer believe that conservatives succeeded and we failed. I believe conservatives merely state what almost all Americans, liberal, conservative, want to hear: that there is a solution that will enable us to continue living exactly as we are, and furthermore, we not only deserve that solution but actually need it! That we should settle for nothing less than hybrid SUVs and "green" McMansions and constant brainless air travel.

It isn't suppression that's the problem or lack of inspiration or reframing that's needed, although those things are needed. Just go to an environmental meeting that deals with global warming (and PLEASE don't spread the idea of calling it "climate destabilization". Unconsciously, this culture would embrace a new soul-numbing term, one even more detached-sounded, however accurate, because the more distant and abstract the term sounds, the more we all get to ignore its implications) and try to engage in any kind of realistic discussion. Just attempt to have even a three-minute discussion on air travel, or why, if we're advocating carpooling or biking, we should actually do it ourselves! Watch the group come up with these ideas, interspersed with conversations insulting Hummer drivers or ethanol, then take umbrage in a later meeting when it's pointed out that even WE aren't following our own example. And we can seize on any distraction, any worse environmental sin than our own, to avoid looking at our own lives. We're basically no different than conservatives, with their decision that God only cares about the sins of gayness and abortion. We exempt ourselves from our own values systems. We think the only moral carbon is our carbon.

We already have enough information. We have heard enough inspiring speakers. People I know were so MOVED by An Inconvenient Truth! Oh, you should just SEE it! I lose points because I haven't but gain none because I drive rarely and don't fly. We're symbolic now. We Support The Troops with words but don't care if they have body armor. We Protest The War by holding a sign at a convenient time, and pout because Bush, who didn't pay any attention at first, is still not paying the least attention. In the past week or so I received forwards about turning off lights for an hour to Send A Strong Messaage To Our Leaders (wow, we really showed them! haven't you all noticed the big reaction they had?) and the importance, on this fifth anniversary of the war, on Staying The Course and being sure to attend as many vigils as possible.

It is starting to seem as though a culture that, on one hand, takes symbolic ancient teachings literally and thinks there was an Adam and an Eve, but on the other hand, futily attempts to eradicate the right half the brain and the human importance of symbolic stories to present universal truths, is doomed to blindly act out our dilemnas symbolically until we get the message or destroy ourselves. It isn't that the World Wildlife Fund had a bad idea about turning off the lights, it's that they set the bar childishly low, naively expected attention and action by elected and corporate leaders, and didn't ask us for anything real. Why not google and email them, letting them know you're ready for something not only symbolic, not only demanding OF action, but actually consisting of action? They let the cause down when they encourage our false beliefs and enable us in our addictions, by playing into our dearly-loved belief that if we just accumulate enough symbolic points, someone will fix everything and our intact lifestyles will continue.

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Reverse tactic
Posted by: Mimi on Apr 1, 2008 7:32 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In addition to these great and important suggestions, reframe current economics-as-usual as 1) "the toxic economy" and 2) borrow/link the toxic economy to the human rights concept of "unacceptable practices."

It is an unacceptable practice to poison the bodies and brains of children with mercury. It is unacceptable practice to poison AND deplete topsoil. It is unacceptable to render the commons unfit and unsafe for human existence. It is unacceptable practice to cause crops to fail if one can avoid it (and we can), and so on.

The strategy, then, is fourfold:
1) As rune wisely suggests, use "climate destabilization." Consider "extreme climate destabilization" as well as "mass human destabilization."

2)Reframe wealth as wellbeing, as Joe suggests;

3) reframe current economics as usual as "the toxic economy;" add to this that the toxic economy is an "emmiserating" economy - i.e., this system makes us miserable as well as sick, filling us with the poison of despair and hopelessness as well as actual poisons;

4) Use "unacceptable practices" as an organizing principle for political activism.

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Eliminate "Global Warming" talk; the need for a new economic paradigm
Posted by: mcstewey on Apr 1, 2008 9:22 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I enjoyed the article. Yes, pitting the economy against the environment is silly. But the comments above by Rune and Beck are intrinsically more useful. Similar to what Rune argues, I too find the language of "climate change" and "global warming" to be counterproductive. We need to bring the discussion down to the lives of everyday people - talk about water and air pollution and soil erosion. This gets at the heart of the real problem. Furthermore, a discussion about renewable, self-sustaining energy in the context of national security needs to be put on the forefront: eliminate our need for foreign oil and we drastically reduce our need to meddle in the affairs of people who now hate us.
But Beck has some very good points as well: the big picture here is cutting our consumption and restructuring how our economy works. This no-limit, neo-classical economic paradigm simply doesn't jive with nature or logic. We're killing ourselves and our planet. Until we understand this, all this talk about "going green" is pointless.

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Five basic steps to solve from the root
Posted by: gfxdm on Apr 1, 2008 9:59 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Dear all God's Children (May I call you all that as I'm one of God's children too)

To find out the truth and what happening in the next 2 to 4 years, may I invite all of you to visit the only positive news channel at

suprememastertv.com/bbs/board.php?bo_table=sos_main

Here are some suggestions from that website:

“How you can help

1. Save lives and the planet by not eating meat

The 2006 United Nations report, Livestock’s Long Shadow, documents the livestock industry’s 18% contribution to global warming, which is more than the warming effect of all transportation throughout the world.

A 2007 report from the Earth Institute affirms that a plant-based diet consumes only 25% of a meat-based diet. And changing from a meat-based to a vegetarian diet is at least 50% more effective in counteracting climate change as switching from a Suburban SUV to a Toyota hybrid car.

“Please eat less meat – meat is a very carbon intensive commodity. Don't eat meat, ride a bike, and be a frugal shopper – that's how you can help brake global warming.” - Rajendra Pachauri, Chief of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

International environmental organization EarthSave features VEGPLEDGE!TM at www.vegpledge.com, a program dedicated to helping anyone who wants to benefit the planet with a Go Veg! pledge.

Research by University of Chicago geophysics professors Gordan Eishel Gidon Eshel and Pamela Martin concludes that going vegan for one year saves 1.5 tons of emissions relative to the standard American diet, 50% more than switching from an SUV to a Toyota Prius.

New York Times article written by Mark Bittman, a non-vegetarian, explains the detrimental cost of meat consumption to our planet, our health, and to the poor.

If each person in the Netherlands goes meat-free one day per week, the lowered emissions would equal the Dutch government’s goals for emission reductions for all households for one year.

A vegetarian driving a Hummer SUV is more environmentally friendly than a meat-eater on a bicycle.

In South America, where 400 million hectares of soya crops are fed to animals for human consumption, only 25 million hectares would be needed be needed to directly feed all the humans in the world.

2. Recycling does make a difference

3. Planting trees benefits our Earth

4. Reduce carbon emissions with alternative energy transportation

5. Energy efficiency and renewable energy can help renew our Earth “

Thank you so much for your kindness of listening.

"God is here and so lucky for those who know Hes"

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The Global Warming Delusion
Posted by: popsicle67 on Apr 1, 2008 10:09 AM   
Current rating: 1    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
With props to Richard Dawkins for the perfect title I should like to ask just what in the name of Sweet Fanny Adams any of you think you're doing? Why should we be concerned with 25 year fluctuations in temperature gradients when we turn around and make fun of young earth creationists for ignoring evidence of the true nature of geologic time. It seems disingenuous to tout the sprawl of years on one hand then deny it when it suits your agenda. When I was in second grade in 1973 the world was headed for another ice age, What changed? Oh, I know, There wasn't any money in it.

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POLLUTION AND PEOPLE
Posted by: aberdeen on Apr 1, 2008 10:31 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The real problem with the climate change debate is that so-called "progressives" have allowed the media to focus the debate on climate change, rather than over the well-documented and well-known fact that pollution is very harmful to people.

The known harmful effects of pollution on people is plenty reason enough to get rid of as much pollution as possible, even if global warming is a total myth. If the debate were centered on the harmful effects of pollution on people, then the voices from the conservative wrong would be effectively silenced. What right-wing radio or tv wonk wants to argue that pollution is not harmful to people?

More Information
Pollution, People and Global Warming

Richard Aberdeen www.FreedomTracks.com

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» RE: POLLUTION AND PEOPLE Posted by: opmoc
Units of Measurement
Posted by: gorak on Apr 1, 2008 10:41 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Measurement is key to wealth and your syllogism doesn't mention it. Air quality is certainly a utility value but it like any other good has a price (some utilities are not goods such as love but that is another story...).

What libertarians and conservatives are saying is not that the environment is not wealth at all, but that the monetary units involved in solving such a problem are far greater than the equivalent value in good air and the like.

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We have
Posted by: willymack on Apr 1, 2008 11:21 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
A great champion for the defense of Mother Earth in the person of Academy Award and Nobel Peace Prize winner, Al Gore. The trouble with our country is that it's largely composed of know nothing, do nothing numbskulls, who resent and dislike those with more intelligence and better educations than themselves. We've simply got to get those schools back up to speed, folks.

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YES!!! WE HAVE:
Posted by: crazy carlos on Apr 1, 2008 1:59 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
1. POPULLUTION

2. "SIX DEGREES" BY MARK LYNAS

3. GOOGLE:SIX DEGREES AND WATCH NATIONAL
GEOGRAPHIC'S PRESENTATION 1 DEGREE AT A
TIME.

4. PRAY TO HELL THEY ARE WRONG!!!

Crazy Carlos

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who believes this?
Posted by: Boatboy on Apr 1, 2008 3:27 PM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"The well-being of our communities (isn't that what we mean by a healthy economy?)"

Ask almost anybody their definition of a healthy economy and they will say something like: "me getting a raise and a fat year end bonus". Not the pie in the sky sentiment quoted above. I'm all for changing the terms of the debate, but lets get real.

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Malthusians Unite
Posted by: nonein2008 on Apr 1, 2008 5:16 PM   
Current rating: 1    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Excellent cover to use the "environmental" movement to oppress the poor and developing countries. At its core this is a Malthusian movement to reduce the population of the "lower classes".
Let's impose restrictions that stop other countries from developing. China is growing too fast for the Malthusians and is now the number one CO2 producer. Let's roll them back.

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progressives dupe us by neglecting overpopulation
Posted by: stilldreaming on Apr 1, 2008 5:17 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Do conservatives and progressives both agree to avoid the biggest taboo subject of all, overpopulation?

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Terrorist
Posted by: HeKnew on Apr 1, 2008 5:25 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
We can limit population growth through mandatory birth control or it will limit itself through plague and starvation.

Which is more humane?

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» You know what will really happen Posted by: AsteroidMiner
Bring them to a sudden stop with this:
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 1, 2008 6:46 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
What is the economic effect of the extinction of the human race?
The denial of anthropic global warming is putting civilization in danger of collapse
and it is putting Homo Sapiens on the endangered species list.

The economic cost of the extinction of Homo Sapiens is infinite, and the cost of
the fall of civilization is very nearly infinite and way beyond any possible benefit
of any kind to anybody. Calculating a cost of global warming in money is
therefore the ultimate in foolishness. Money does not exist without people, but
people can exist without money. ANY such calculation is way beyond morally
wrong. Project 1 is avoiding extinction at any cost.

Nature's eventual wrath and retaliation includes:
1. The impending EXTINCTION of human life in maybe 1 or 2 centuries.

2. The downfall of civilization a lot sooner than our extinction. Maybe
civilization will fall within 30 years.

1. The Existential Risk that is virtually certain to happen if we don't mend our coal
burning ways is the same as the End Permian mass extinction: Hydrogen Sulfide
[H2S] bubbling out of a hot ocean killing everybody and almost everything. It is
possible to avoid it, but the power of wealth must be overcome. 5 groups of
paleontologists have come to the same conclusion independently. That is
sufficient evidence to take drastic action regardless. Reference list in next post.

Reference Book: "Six Degrees" by Mark Lynas. See a summary at:
http://www.marklynas.org/2007/4/23/
six-steps-to-hell-summary-of-six-degrees
-as-published-in-the-guardian

2. Reference Book: "The Long Summer, How Climate Changed Civilization" by
Brian Fagan, 2004 Basic Books, ISBN 0-465-02281-2
Summary: Smaller climate changes than we have caused already, caused the fall
of many civilizations.
Reference Book: "Collapse, How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed" by Jared
Diamond. 99.99% of all people in the collapsing civilization die, including the
richest. Hunting the neighbors as food happens. We really really don't want to
go there.
See:
http://environmentaldefenseblogs.org/
climate411/2008/01/14/global_winds/
The drought in Georgia, California, Australia, Greece, Turkey, the Sahel, China
and other places is part of the desertification that will soon cause agriculture to fail
and civilization collapses when agriculture fails. The rich have the privilege of
being the last to die of starvation, but their deaths will happen quite soon after the
deaths from starvation of everybody else.

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promised references
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 1, 2008 6:51 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Environmental policy IS energy policy because Global
Warming can lead to Hydrogen Sulfide gas coming
out of the oceans.

Hydrogen Sulfide gas will Kill all people. Homo Sap will go
EXTINCT unless drastic action is taken.

October 2006 Scientific American

"EARTH SCIENCE
Impact from the Deep
Strangling heat and gases emanating from the earth and sea, not
asteroids, most likely caused several ancient mass extinctions.
Could the same killer-greenhouse conditions build once again?
By Peter D. Ward
downloaded from:
http://www.sciam.com/
article.cfm?articleID=
00037A5D-A938-150E-
A93883414B7F0000&
sc=I100322
....................Most of the article omitted......................
But with atmospheric carbon climbing at an annual rate of 2 ppm
and expected to accelerate to 3 ppm, levels could approach 900
ppm by the end of the next century, and conditions that bring
about the beginnings of ocean anoxia may be in place. How soon
after that could there be a new greenhouse extinction? That is
something our society should never find out."

Press Release
Pennsylvania State University
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Monday, Nov. 3, 2003
downloaded from:
http://www.geosociety.org/meetings/2003/prPennStateKump.htm
"In the end-Permian, as the levels of atmospheric oxygen fell and
the levels of hydrogen sulfide and carbon dioxide rose, the upper
levels of the oceans could have become rich in hydrogen sulfide
catastrophically. This would kill most of the oceanic plants and
animals. The hydrogen sulfide dispersing in the atmosphere would
kill most terrestrial life."

www.astrobio.net is a NASA web zine. See:

http://www.astrobio.net/
news/modules.php?op=
modload&name=News&
file=article&sid=672

http://www.astrobio.net/
news/modules.php?op=
modload&name=News&
file=article&sid=1535

http://www.astrobio.net/
news/article2509.html

http://astrobio.net/news/
modules.php?op=modload
&name=News&file=article
&sid=2429&mode=thread
&order=0&thold=0

These articles agree with the first 2. They all say 6 degrees C or
1000 parts per million CO2 is the extinction point.

The global warming is already 1.3 degree Farenheit. 11 degrees
Farenheit is about 6 degrees Celsius. The book "Six Degrees" by
Mark Lynas agrees. If the global warming is 6 degrees
centigrade, we humans go extinct. See:
http://www.marklynas.org/
2007/4/23/six-steps-to-hell-
summary-of-six-degrees-as-
published-in-the-guardian

"Under a Green Sky" by Peter D. Ward, Ph.D., 2007.
Paleontologist discusses mass extinctions of the past and the one
we are doing to ourselves.

ALL COAL FIRED POWER PLANTS MUST BE
CONVERTED TO NUCLEAR IMMEDIATELY TO AVOID
THE EXTINCTION OF US HUMANS. 32 countries have
nuclear power plants. Only 9 have the bomb. The top 3
producers of CO2 all have nuclear power plants, coal fired power
plants and nuclear bombs. They are the USA, China and India.
Reducing CO2 production by 90% by 2050 requires drastic action
in the USA, China and India. King Coal has to be demoted to a
commoner. Coal must be left in the earth. If you own any coal
stock, NOW is the time to dump it, regardless of loss, because it
will soon be worthless.
I have no financial connection to the nuclear power industry.

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When agriculture fails, civilization falls
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 1, 2008 6:56 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Downloaded FROM: Environmental Defense
http://environmentaldefenseblogs.org/
climate411/2008/01/14/global_winds/

This post is by James Wang, Ph.D., a climate scientist at Environmental Defense.

You may have heard about the persistent droughts in the western U.S., Australia,
and other regions. The Upper Colorado River Basin is experiencing a protracted,
multi-year drought that started in 1999. Australia's record drought is threatening
the livelihood of traditional farmers and ranchers.

At what point does a passing drought become a permanent shift to desert
conditions, and why would such a thing happen?

It can happen because of global warming. Climate change can alter global winds,
the strength and location of high and low pressure systems, and other climate
factors.

.........shortened.........Graphics and URLs omitted.

Global winds shape the Earth's climate, determining - in broad strokes - which
areas are tropical, desert, or temperate. Here's a simplified overview of how it
works.

The Sun heats the Earth most intensely in the tropical zone around the equator. The
heated air rises, cools, and then dumps its moisture as rain. That's why there are
rain forests in the tropics.

The now drier air is forced by the continuously rising equatorial air to move
towards the temperate latitudes on either side of the equator. At roughly 30° N and
S - called the "horse latitudes" - it can move no further due to the Earth’s rotation,
and settles to the surface. As the air sinks, it compresses and warms, creating hot,
rain-free conditions. This circulation pattern, called a Hadley cell, is why the
deserts of the world are located just poleward of the tropics, to the north and south.

Poleward of the desert belt, strong, high-altitude winds known as the jet streams
flow from west to east, carrying large storms with them. These mid-latitude,
temperate-region storms are an important source of rain and snow, especially
during the winter season. Much of the world's population lives in the temperate
region. It includes most of the U.S. and southern Canada, most of Europe, East
Asia, southern South America, southern Africa, and southern Australia and New
Zealand.

But climate regions aren't fixed. Several independent studies have found that
global winds are shifting due to global warming, and the shifts are faster than
predicted by climate models. Most recently is this new study in Nature
Geoscience. The tropical belt has widened by several degrees latitude since 1979.
This is consistent with other observations suggesting that the jet streams and storm
tracks have moved poleward.

The drought-stricken Upper Colorado River Basin, which includes Lake Powell, is
located just poleward of the horse latitudes at around 37° N. This has historically
been in the temperate zone, but the desert zone may be gradually encroaching upon
it. (Since nothing is simple, there are other factors contributing to this particular
drought, as well.) Similarly, water-starved Sydney, Australia at 34° S is just
poleward of the southern horse latitude.

What we may be seeing here is not so much drought as desertification - a shift in
global climate patterns due to global warming. Areas that used to be in temperate
zones may be shifting into desert, while areas that had been arid receive more
precipitation.

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My Opinion on This Subject...
Posted by: luciennh on Apr 2, 2008 4:31 AM   
Current rating: 1    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I believe the world is so engrossed with this "Global Warming" thing that the basic roots of human needs is placed in the backround...namely our "Global Pollution" and addressing its reversal. We had better open our eyes. On that note, I have written a few articles that I hope enlighten some.

Al Gore's Decree on Global Warming is Not Our Only Crisis


Our Energy Conservation Dilemma

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Dear opmoc, bornxeyed & others
Posted by: Squarehead on Apr 3, 2008 8:24 AM   
Current rating: 1    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
1.The equation that ‘practical’ energy is necessarily from Nuclear or Oil or Coal is just not a reasonable examination of the facts

2.The Malthusian belief that we humans are gong to over-populate, destroy our environment and then DIE, is accessible / believable to many people, but does not fit the facts of how most of humanity lives.

3. The best available models show a strong correlation between wealth and increase in population size (in the negative)

4. These models also suggest that this planet can support ~9,000 to 10,000 million humans, which is also the predicted stabilising point (no further population growth). About 1.5 times our existing population.

5. Wealth is intimately tied up to (a) cheap energy) (b) affordable money/ credit

6. Alternative energy sources can be extremely CHEAP, if you employ enough SCALE

7. Current elites, particularly the extractive industries and PARTICULARLY the Oil industry, are the greatest bunch of ignoble, greedy, exploitative, dishonest shits that we as a species have ever had to deal with. Closely followed by the banks and the rest of ‘Big’ industry. The Nazis are almost likeable by comparison to the Cheney- Bush – Roves of today.

To examine ‘do-ability’ of energy; for a NUCLEAR powerplant of 1000 Megawatt size, at 8760 Hours per annum, OutPut kW/Hr Annual = 8,760,000 MegaWatt/Hrs At 75% Efficiency, (Grid inefficiencies Incl) and at $0.15 per unit (Retail), gives $985,500,000 Revenue (1 Unit of electricity = 1 kW/Hour)

HOWEVER: Solar, at a suitably large scale, 12.25 km x 12.25 km, in (most of) USA will give 150,001,256,250 Units of energy, At 15% efficiency (Photovoltaics are 13.5% and improving, expected to be at 20% efficiency within a couple of years) translates TO: 150,001,256,250 units, and at $0.15 per unit (Retail), gives $3,375,028,266 Revenue

The Difference is a factor of 3.4, PVs at the size indicated, give 3.4 TIMES more energy, and 3.4 times more revenue.

Thermal Solar is much higher efficiency, (initially 93%) but heat, while useful locally, is not as readily transmissable as electricity. Hence the comparison.

PLEASE ALL, Read Richard Smalley, "The Terrawatt Challenge" for interesting answers (Short pdf paper, just google it)

Now on the subject of conversion of existing Coal, Gas, Oil & Nuclear plants, yes I agree that coal is a terrible fuel, when simply burnt (though it might be a feedstock for a near future of synthetic diesel production)

BUT since all these generating stations essentially heat water from ambient temperature, to 100 Celsius, (steam) and then Superheat to ~500 Celsius, to power steam turbines, and considering that water takes a great deal of energy to heat from 20 to 100 Celsius, and a much smaller amount of energy to then top it up to superheat, then the implications and possibilities of FREE Solar heat become apparent.

So, consider pre-heating your water with thermal solar panels [Say 100 metres x 100 metres, 1 Hectare, ~ 2.4 Acres] This will give 10 MegaWatts for about 8 hours of most of your summer OR averaged across the year, 8-10 MegaWatt/Hours per annum. (Taking Solar Insolation as ~ 1 KW/hr per sq metre, per annum)

That is a lot of energy, for FREE (After you pay off the infrastructure costs, ($3,000,000 or Less?) for this 2.4 Acres of solar collection]

The next part of the trick has to be to design machines to process that 100 degrees Celsius heat to get it easily to say 450 degrees Celsius. So far, 150 Celsius is relatively easy.

Stop getting depressed; Start getting ACTIVE; intellectually bludgeon the careless Right (which is to say most of them) with the force of polite and effective FACTS; as somebody once said 'Don't let the bastards get you down!'

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» RE: FACT: Solar power [PART TWO Posted by: Squarehead
» RE: FACT: Solar power [PART THREE Posted by: Squarehead
» How exactly are you storing the heat? Posted by: AsteroidMiner
» No I didn't assume that Posted by: AsteroidMiner
Enhancing Sustainable Uses of Symbols
Posted by: davemcarthur on Apr 8, 2008 6:27 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I am not happy to report that both this article and the “Comparing Climate Proposals” both are unsustainable and lack science. When I apply the Sustainability Principle of Energy (www.bonusjoules.co.nz) to key symbols I detect a net denial of change and stewardship.
Take the headline
How Conservatives Have Duped Us in the Global Warming Fight

The conservative symbol is here associated with people that do not conserve the resources that sustain us. Implicit is the idea that those that do conserve resources are framed as non-conservatives. Hence any call to conserve climate balances is framed by grand denial because the symbol is associated with activities that put our climate balances at risk for us. This use of the conservative symbol reflects dissonance within the user and onto the audience with the dissonance being manifest as confused and conflicting associations with the symbol.

The global warming symbol is here associated with malevolence and constitutes a profound denial of change and stewardship. The use here denies the fundamentals of thermal change in our universe and the life sustaining power of global warming. It denies stewardship by projecting responsibility for our activities. The climate is framed as the problem, not our activities with their affects on climate balances.

This denial is compounded by the use of the fight symbol. Having framed the issue as a climate problem the headline promotes a militaristic response. A more sustaining symbol use might include the harmony symbol.

The association of the duped and us symbols implies that there was no active involvement in the process by the writer and those described as “us”. The symbol uses in the headline and in the articles reveal an active denial of sustaining change and stewardship. This suggests a high degree of compliance with the current popular use of these key symbols. I hypothesise that the authors and the “us” they refer to are more likely to lead lives that fail to conserve resources eg mineral oil and gas that can never be replaced.

Thus though the articles contain many sustaining ideas these are framed in non-science and are thus rendered unsustaining.


A more sustainable headline might read:
How we have failed to conserve our climate balances.
Or How we have failed to conserve our climate symbols.

The Sustainability Principle of Energy provides us with a profound spiritual challenge and please note this is written with compassion, a state of being that I cannot value too highly. Readers interested to see how an education system founded in compassion might work can visit my website. The curriculum framework page links to my proposals for conserving the potential of key symbols, such as the energy, power, atmosphere, warming and global warming symbols.

I have attempted to communicate with George Lakoff and the Frameworks Institute a number of times over the years but have failed in my endeavours.
Readers can go directly to key symbols list http://tinyurl.com/6xqwww

In compassion

Dave McArthur

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» Could you go over that again coach? Posted by: AsteroidMiner
Enhancing Sustainable Uses of Symbols footnote
Posted by: davemcarthur on Apr 8, 2008 6:39 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Example of dissonance in Comparing Climate Proposals paper:
Carbon trading and carbon taxes are framed together.
According to the Sustainability Principle the carbon trading symbol works to generate high risk and misery because it involves the active denial of change (e.g. the eonic change involved in the formation of fossil fuels) and stewardship (something called “the market” will put a sustainable value on carbon.) The carbon trading mechanism is simply derivatives trading where the value placed on a resource has no relationship between the sustainability of the use of the carbon resource and the market value.
The carbon tax symbol works to generate lower risk and harmony because it is tends to an acceptance of change (the resource is valued as finite) and stewardship (a definite value is placed on the carbon resource).
Note: The tax symbol has been actively re-engineered in Anglo-American nations since the 1980s so it is associated with malevolence. In corrupt societies taxes become a mechanism for enriching a few and promoting warfare. However in sustainable societies taxes are experienced as investments in civilisation and a means of active stewardship. In such societies a carbon tax is automatically used to conserve by placing value on a resource with the taxation money being used to ameliorate the impact of uses.

Dave McArthur
The Sustainability Principle of Energy

“When a symbol use works to deny change it will materially alter the potential of the universe (energy) in a way that results in a reduction in the capacity of the symbol user to mirror reality. When a symbol use works for the acceptance of change it will increase the capacity of the symbol user to mirror reality.”

www.bonusjoules.co.nz

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I'm just wondering
Posted by: rickiey on Apr 8, 2008 8:01 PM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
With all this talk, by people who obviously care about the environment, no one is screaming for us to stop storing nuclear waste, and start recycling it? This would be reducing existing waste, and providing carbon-neutral power at the same time, win-win.

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» RE: I'm just wondering Posted by: Squarehead
Yes, squarehead, examine critically SOLAR
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 11, 2008 12:04 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
SOLAR doesn't work at night.
AND put your money where your mouth is.

As I have said many times.

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All of Squarehead's questions answered
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 12, 2008 10:05 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Please read this book: "Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy", by B. Comby
English edition, 2001, 345 pp. (soft cover), 38 Euros
TNR Editions, 266 avenue Daumesnil, 75012 Paris, France;
ISBN 2-914190-02-6
order from: http://www.comby.org/livres/livresen.htm
Read a review of this book by the American Health Physics Society at:
http://www.comby.org/media/
articles/articles.in.english/
HealthPhysics-NUC-July2002.htm

www.ecolo.org
Association of Environmentalists For Nuclear Energy [EFN]

Fossil fuels such as coal oil, and gas, massively pollute the Earth's atmosphere
(CO, CO2, SOX, NOX...), provoking acid rains and changing the global climate
by increasing the greenhouse effect, while nuclear energy does not participate in
these pollutions and presents well-founded environmental benefits.

Renewable energies (solar, wind) not being able to deliver the amount of energy
required by populations in developing and developed countries, nuclear energy is
in fact the only clean and safe energy available to protect the planet during the XXI
st century.

This book answers essential questions about nuclear safety, the Chernobyl
accident, the public health problems our society has to face, viable solutions for
nuclear waste, the benefits of clean nuclear energy for the environment, and
important information about the future of our planet.

Book Review by the American Health Physics Society:

"Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy", by B. Comby
English edition, 2001, 345 pp. (soft cover), 38 Euros
TNR Editions, 266 avenue Daumesnil, 75012 Paris, France;
ISBN 2-914190-02-6

Reproduced from the journal "Health Physics" with permission from the Health
Physics Society.
Subject book: "Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy", by B. Comby
AT A TIME when most of the media and politicians seem to be brainwashed by
antinuclear cults, it is refreshing to encounter a book that presents the issues
regarding nuclear energy in a clear and dispassionate manner. In plain non-
technical language, the author, a French environmentalist trained as a nuclear
engineer, presents a primer, in large letters, of the essential facts regarding all the
major areas of controversy about nuclear power.

The first half of the book, titled "The Atomic Paradox," describes in layman's
language the risks of nuclear power, its environmental impact, quality and safety
standards, waste management, why a power reactor is not a bomb, energy
alternatives, nuclear weapons, and other major global and environmental problems.
In each case the major conclusions are framed for greater emphasis. Although
examples are taken from the French nuclear power program, the conclusions are
equally valid elsewhere.

The second half of the book is titled "Information on Nuclear Energy and the
Environment" and briefly provides a historical survey, an explanation of the
different types of radiation, radioactivity, dose effects of radiation, Chernobyl,
medical uses of radiation, accident precautions, as well as a glossary of terms and
abbreviations and a bibliography (…)

Its simple language makes the book suitable as a primer for high-school classes,
teacher training courses, or environmental discussion groups.

Despite the slightly provocative title, it is a well-balanced if unapologetic
exposition of the competitive advantages and disadvantages of nuclear energy as a
power source. It should appeal to all readers with an interest in the subject who
have not already closed their minds.

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TOTAL cost of nuclear is 30% LESS than COAL
Posted by: AsteroidMiner on Apr 12, 2008 10:14 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The opinions expressed in this section are those of the authors and do not represent
the official position of the Journal, the Health Physics Society, or the authors'
institutions.

Environmentalists For Nuclear Energy
Table of Contents
Preface of the English edition by James Lovelock
INTRODUCTION
An environmentalist For Nuclear energy

PART I :

THE ATOMIC PARADOX

CHAPTER 1: Nuclear energy: it's cleaner than you think.

CHAPTER 2: A well-designed nuclear power plant has little effect on the
environment.

CHAPTER 3: The risk of accident is reduced by strict quality and safety standards.

CHAPTER 4: Safe management of nuclear waste.

CHAPTER 5: A nuclear power station is not an atomic bomb.

CHAPTER 6: Managing the planet's energy as best we can.

CHAPTER 7: The economic and strategic advantages of nuclear energy.

CHAPTER 8: The real environmental issues lie elsewhere: starvation,
malnutrition, political unrest in third world countries, drugs, alcohol and cigarette
addictions, destruction of tropical forests, chemical pollution of the environment,
urban wastes, overpopulation…

CHAPTER 9: The example of France, the world's leader