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Environment

Global Warming is Here. Now What?

By Don Monkerud, Register-Pajaronian. Posted January 2, 2007.


Changing the course of global warming could take a major upheaval to affect public policy -- a Pearl Harbor-type event in the environment.
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The world's economy appears to be robust, but masks an approaching crisis -- the sustainability of future generations "can no longer be taken for granted." That's the opinion of the 1,300 scientists who participated in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, a four-year analysis of the world's ecosystems sponsored by the Worldwatch Institute and reported in Vital Signs 2006-2007.

Examining 24 major ecosystems that support human life, scientists found that 15 are "being pushed beyond their sustainable limits," toward a change that will be "abrupt and potentially irreversible." Humanity's genius at economic development has taxed our ecosystems to the point where we face "imminent ecological and economic crises."

Economically, the world is booming. Steel, aluminum, vehicle production and Gross World Product set records in 2005, as did Internet usage and cell phones. Unfortunately, the production of atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the main greenhouse gas, is also booming -- 2004 measured the highest annual increase ever. Average temperatures in 2005 were the hottest ever recorded on the earth's surface, the warmest in 10,000 years.

Warming has led to the destruction of 20 percent of the world's coral reefs and 25 percent of the world's mangrove forests. Sea ice fell to the lowest levels ever recorded and almost a third of the Arctic Ocean, normally covered by ice in the summer, has melted. Weather-related disasters, attributed to global warming, reached a record cost of $204 billion, with record hurricane, forest fire and tornado seasons in the US.

Global warming is here and scientists predict that the number and severity of weather-caused disasters will increase as the earth warms through the heat trapping effects of greenhouse gases created by burning oil, coal and natural gas, which accounts for 80 percent of the world's energy use. With the US consuming roughly a quarter of the world's oil and, along with automobile exhaust, creating almost a quarter of the world's greenhouse gases, pressure is mounting to switch to alternative sources of fuel to modify the amount of damage created by global warming in the future.

With the Bush Administration and the oil, gas and automobile conglomerates rejecting scientific findings of man-made global warming, how will the country take action to curb it?

American voters lurch from crisis to crisis, have a short attention span and get their information from a very fad-obsessed media, according to Daniel Press, professor and chair of Environmental Studies at UC Santa Cruz. Any crisis that requires a change in behavior or tremendous investment, such as global warming requires, will take a major upheaval to affect public policy -- a Pearl Harbor-type event in the environment.

"Unfortunately, we will have many disruptions with extreme climate events, rising sea levels and possibly some cascading collapses in various ecosystems," said Press.


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priorities
Posted by: edith on Jan 2, 2007 12:36 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
someone (the UN's IPCC, a conference of the five biggest CO2 producers?) has to set priorities. Unless this overwhelming problem is broken up and priorities of change are agreed on, a mish mash of meaures costing billions could occur. The result could be economic disaster paralleled by ecological disaster. Where do we get the most immediate impact that actually delays the most destructive effects of climate change?

The article mentions hurricanes for example, yet meteorologists do not concur that recent storms are the direct result of man-caused changes. Resources to adjust to climate change are not infinite. Thus what damages have been or are caused that are the most urgent need to be identified, and solutions universally adopted. Europe and China have been slow to implement kyoto, and the US has done nothing. On the theory that something is better than nothing, the successor to Kyoto, which I understand is under negotiation now, needs to be a)approved by the US and major carbon producers and b) dictate specific steps which are consensus and which address the problems deemed to be "out of control" without drastic measures. State action is better than nothing, but is just symbolic and futile if major nations don't adopt across the board measures that parallel the nationally caused, uncontrolled carbon production of the 20th & 21 centuries.

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» RE: It IS possible Posted by: Edward George
» Bigger storms Posted by: YogiBear
Mother Nature fighting back
Posted by: johnecolby on Jan 2, 2007 2:07 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Global warming is Nature's answer to hyper-capitalism's corporate rape of the planet. Gaia is putting the breaks on this unstainable party.

This is a great opportunity. Not to save the consumption-production economoy with technological fixes, but to change both our economic and social order. A chance to conceive an economic/political/social system which works better for the planet and for people.

Nature is giving us no choice. Change for the better, or ...?
Let's not blow it.

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» RE: Mother Nature fighting back Posted by: eggnog2464
lot
Posted by: rsaxto on Jan 2, 2007 2:15 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
We need to get a lot wiser and a lot more active if we are going to solve this global warming problem. First step: stop making heavy dinosaur cars and trucks.

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» RE: lot Posted by: richholland
» RE: lot Posted by: WitchyNy
Woodpecker
Posted by: Fantasyartist on Jan 2, 2007 3:24 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Only two kinds of people dispute that global warming is happening. fringe right wing commentators( pace the editorial page and op-ed writers of neocon Wall Street Journal) using the same specious reason that cigarette companies used to deny that their product caused cancer and loonies such as Rush Limbaugh!
I plan to buy a Suzuki Grand Vitara( an SUV but definitely mote energy efficient than say a HUMMER)!

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» C'mon Fantasy Artist Posted by: fifthworld
» RE: C'mon Fantasy Artist Posted by: YogiBear
Relax - somebody's working on it!
Posted by: MAD on Jan 2, 2007 5:09 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
"Changing the course of global warming could take a major upheaval to affect public policy -- a Pearl Harbor-type event in the environment."

Gee, ya think? Because the fact that 41 square miles of the Ayles Ice Shelf broke free a little over a year ago and now roams the high seas in search of adventure and booty was apparently not important enough to warrant more media attention than a blurb on page 12 - right under the story "Man Stubs Toe" in the Buttfuck America Times.

That this story broke only recently should serve as notice of just how concerned most people really are. I guess we won't be taking this seriously until that "Pearl Harbor-type event" is a Carnival Cruise Liner hitting and iceberg and actually sinking . . . in Pearl Harbor. Now, back to your regularly scheduled programming: "The Brangelina Britney Hour".

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» Nice one, dude! Posted by: angstotheclown
» RE: Nice one, dude! Posted by: Fat Man at the Buffet Line
» finally, someone who gets it Posted by: FoolThis
You mean something like Katrina?
Posted by: thoughtcriminal on Jan 2, 2007 5:47 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The US corporate media would go into full spin mode, claiming that it was all due to "natural variability" in order to protect the interests of the fossil fuel tycoons who own the media as well. That's what happened with Katrina anyway - but the fact is that warmer oceans will lead to more intense hurricanes.

How about this: getting the media to tell the truth about fossil fuel industry propaganda put out by the American Petroleum Institute, which is currently using Edelman PR to coordinate the PR blitz? All the disasters in the world won't matter if the media keeps covering up the actual causes.

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» RE: You mean something like Katrina? Posted by: Fat Man at the Buffet Line
Pearl Harbor maybe....
Posted by: Farmertim on Jan 2, 2007 5:48 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
but I would think it would be easier to tie the climate change we now egnore and or cannot detect to the thing most people do three times a day...eat.
Having lived in Northern Wi until just recently, I saw the changes most people miss, tree species dieing off and moving north, bird species arriving never seen so far north, and food potential diminishing that use to walk across my fields.
Here in Western ohio I am surrounded by food and little else.
But food knowone can eat unless massive amounts of energy turn it into corn syrup, pork chops, chicken or hamburger.
None of the fields one drives by in most of the country is edible by the species that grow it.
And now with our warming planet, those crops are in danger as well and coupled with the fact it is all grown heavily dependant on oil in all aspects from seed to plate, its sustainabilty has long passed.
Given we had three (at least) massive outbreaks from food bourne pathogens related to using noncomposted manure from large feed lots and dairy operations that use the food in the fields we cannot eat ourselves, "because" the cost of oil based fertilizers is too high and the feed lots are running out of places to put the manure created from feeding a high percentage of grain diets from fields that are subsidiesed and no longer sustainable...just what Pearl harbor are we needing other than that!!
It is a domino of Pearl harbors but known one is looking at the the long view of the situation.
All mentioned above are creating greenhouse gasses on a vast scale.
Coupled with the fact that they are now using the unsustainable crops to make fuel at a barely positive outcome, all the while ruining the ability of the ground to support human life being advanced by subsidies that should be used to prepare the ground we have to support a local food base with simple biological and cost effective practices.
If it is not done soon, we will not have the energy left to amend the soil to bring back its normal state. One in which can support life of all kinds and reduce carbon emission as well as carbon sequester much of what we have created in our last 100 years.
Once again a too simple practice is bowled over for technology, but then who has the ear of the money managers, and God forbid if the common man could make a fair living producing, selling local and direct.
Farmer Tim

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» RE: Pearl Harbor maybe.... Posted by: eggnog2464
» RE: See "It IS possible" above Posted by: Edward George
The environmental Pearl Harbor already happened.
Posted by: KeepsonTickn on Jan 2, 2007 6:10 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
It's already happened - it's called the Bush administration. The analogy is appropriate too. We think of Pearl Harbor as a vicious sneak attack - that is exactly what Bush and company have done to the environment, in the name of corporate greed.

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When natural disasters overwhelm insurance companies, they just declare bankruptcy.
Posted by: Sojourner on Jan 2, 2007 6:22 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Why should business worry about the consequences of global warming? Social responsibility and business are two different worlds. Where else do you think Bush learned how to invade and occupy Iraq and then whine about how it is necessary to let our troops be sitting ducks in a civil war--the Brits had been through the very same experience earlier in history. Rewriting history is a GOP trait. Domestically, it's called advertising.

Avoiding disaster requires leadership. When was the last time we saw leadership in Washington, DC? Andrew Jackson?

We will have to crash and burn before anything is done about the environment, just as corporate management has let our once world-dominant auto industry crash and burn. American auto manufacturers may have to shut down and lay off their workers, but they won't lose their money, just stockholders' money.

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Chicken Little!
Posted by: teblackman on Jan 2, 2007 6:33 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Wow, I am impressed. The hysteria is pretty amazing. Chicken Little is not just a poor cartoon movie but the mantra of the looney left! Everything is the cause of global warming. I am surprised someone didn't stub their toe and blame global warming. A below average hurricane season, must be because of global warming. Yea, and buying a Grand Vitara instead of a Hummer, the planet is now saved!

We can't predict the weather 2 days from now, how in the world can we predict global warming? The hurricane forcast for this past season was off by a huge margin. To economically imperil this nation and planet to possibly stave off global warming is ridiculous. The same scientists now say we can't even do anything at this point anyways.

The looney left has never made sense to me. Removing a brutal dictator and giving a nation a chance to decide for themselves if they want freedom and democracy should be viewed as an amazing opportunity and we should be proud of that. Instead the looney left wants to cut and run. Lets see if we can establish a new set of bases for terrorists and destabilize an entire country. Let's prove to the world and all the despots that America will not follow through and will grow tired and run away from anything. Let's just ask to be attacked again. It is a little off topic but it is all part of the same irrational and emotional perspective of the looney left.

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» RE: Chicken Little! Posted by: benzene
» RE: Chicken Little! Posted by: tiellis
» RE: Chicken Little! Posted by: Coll
» Ever visit a casino? Posted by: thoughtcriminal
the solution to combatting Global warming
Posted by: dbaker on Jan 2, 2007 6:35 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Human excrement + nuclear waste = Hydrogen

combining two watse streams to generate electricity.

sewage is the only viable source of sustainable renewable materials capable of sufficent volume to replace the fossil fuel powered electrical generating facilities.

Dennis Baker

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» Nuke Mauna Kea Posted by: eddie torres
Harness the Power of the Right
Posted by: benzene on Jan 2, 2007 6:58 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
What the world needs is a process by which to convert stupidity and/or ignorance to energy. Then the Right and religious fundamentalists would actually have a useful purpose. Instead of wasting energy with blowhard stupidity, they could generate it. Perhaps by using a combination of a Stirling engine to capture to heat energy of the hot air and a windmill to capture the translational motion of the hot air would be ideal. Also, a gigantic see-saw device might be practical in that it could hold a very large number of Republicans upon it's surface. Then, all one would need to do is alternate between showing pictures of prominent Democrats at opposite ends and they'd rush that picture en masse and thereby generate energy.

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global baloney
Posted by: dikaiosyne on Jan 2, 2007 7:17 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I hope things continue to get warmer if only in the hopes that you all die of hysteria. If you folks look beyond the history of your own existence you'd find (and no doubt reject because it violates the template you've accepted) that there have been times in our past which were actually warmer than now. There have also been times when the climate was cooler than now and as recently as the 1970's there was hysteria over global cooling. Its all BULLSHIT based on enviro-whackos creating crisis ex nihilo because they truly believe that "gaia" is doomed because of the puny and irresponsible efforts of man(and cow farts) to alter global climate. Just keep telling yourselves that you're going to die by slow cooking. I'll just sit back at laugh at ya from the air conditioned comfort of my well insulated home and/or my monster SUV. You folks are really pathetic.

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» RE: global baloney Posted by: eggnog2464
» RE: global baloney Posted by: tiellis
» Fundamental Disconnect Posted by: benzene
» Troll - The Game Posted by: MAD
» RE: Troll - The Game Posted by: asilsfable
» Comes the revolution... Posted by: MatthewSavage
» Gobble baloney Posted by: eddie torres
» The difference is... Posted by: MatthewSavage
» RE: The difference is... Posted by: WitchyNy
» RE: The difference is... Posted by: MatthewSavage
» Enough with the hysteria! Posted by: YogiBear
Keep distance from Environuts
Posted by: ng1944 on Jan 2, 2007 8:28 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Dems shall stay away from Environmental extremists
or in 2008 they will get another Bush and
both houses controlled by republicans

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Global Warming heralds a welcome change
Posted by: WadeZim on Jan 2, 2007 9:04 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
It doesn't matter if global warming really does mark the end of the world, with the exception of the religious who are anxiously awaiting the rapture, people whom I only have a problem with when their religion becomes an excuse to be lazy, or to try to change someone’s life without any contribution to our survival as a species. Which brings up the crux of the global warming issue? It is framed as a life or death struggle against the greedy people making money under the current system, which they have set up through legislation to make sure it lasts as long as possible for them. This outlines the societal problem with people. People are genetically written to be a certain way; one of those characteristics is greed. No political system (capitalism, communism, or whatever) will work 100% when this is not acknowledged and planned for. Furthermore, we are not all created equal, why else do professional sports players get paid so much, but more to the point; this is true of a person’s morality. As global warming exposes the greed of each player in the system, let it remind us that laws need to be written to exclude greed from our government. Governments' only goals should be the survival of our species in the most stress free egalitarian way possible. One final point, it is morally wrong to put profit ahead of health, of both the planet and an individual. Ensuring less polluting ways of enjoying the comforts of modern life is what our government is there to do for us. If it really is harder to make less polluting machines then it should create more jobs, the problem is those jobs aren't going to the old money, they would take away from the currently wealthy, hence no change. When enough people get mistreated by the system the new majority will set a new course.

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Oh, yeah?
Posted by: monkeywrench on Jan 2, 2007 9:18 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
From the article:
". . .manufacturing sectors around the world are more energy-efficient than the US."

We pat ourselves on the back incessantly about what a fine nation we are, and how we are home to "the best and the brightest." If so, then why are we always the last to "get it?"

Note to american corporations: It's a rhetorical question.

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Yeah right, we're gonna fix global warming and ignore overbreeding...
Posted by: Pat Kittle on Jan 2, 2007 10:15 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
So California's going to reduce its ecological "footprint" at the same time our population explodes due to immigration, which we can't even discuss without being called nasty names.

Ultimately, knee-jerk liberals are just as absurd as money-grubbing neocons.

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Edelman PR strategy: blame the consumer, fight off CO2 regulations...
Posted by: thoughtcriminal on Jan 2, 2007 10:26 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The PR firm Edelman, recently retained by the American Petroleum Institute for $100 million or so, ran this same ad program for the European Comission: "You control climate change. Turn Down. Switch Off. Recycle. Walk." Check their website - they also work for Shell. After all, global warming's all your fault - oil and coal interests have nothing to do with it... really.

$100 million dollar PR efforts have only one real goal: protect the profit margins of the corporate clients who are footing the bill by any means necessary. Edelman is a big advocate of using the blogosphere to 'get the message out' as well.

Meanwhile, the British press is reporting that 2007 will likely be the hottest year on record:

"World faces hottest year ever, as El Niño combines with global warming
By Cahal Milmo
Published: 01 January 2007
A combination of global warming and the El Niño weather system is set to make 2007 the warmest year on record with far-reaching consequences for the planet, one of Britain's leading climate experts has warned. As the new year was ushered in with stormy conditions across the UK, the forecast for the next 12 months is of extreme global weather patterns which could bring drought to Indonesia and leave California under a deluge."

We need regulations: fuel efficiency standards for all automobiles sold in the US (i.e. CAFE), strict limits on coal combustion, and an end to massive subsidies for industrial agriculture and petroleum exploration - instead, solar, wind and sustainable biofuel production should be subsidized. Edelman and the API will do as much as they can to prevent this from happening - all so that coal and oil tycoons can continue to enjoy inflated profits.

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The Next Ten Years = The Future
Posted by: djnoll on Jan 2, 2007 10:26 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
This weekend I had occasion to pause and realize that several events will all come together just as I am about to retire: Global warming will no longer be stoppable; oil depletion will be recognized and begin its economic devastation; and several million baby boomers will be pulling their money out of 401k's and IRAs as required by law all at once. 2017 does not look like a good year!

If we are going to talk about global warming and the affects of man on this planet, we need to start by taking personal responsibility for how we live our lives. All three of the events I mentioned above are directly connected, and if they are not addressed by those of us who have to power to act, they will destroy the world completely for future generations.

So, start by looking at where you invest your hard earned dollars. How many of you look at the criteria for social and environmental responsibility of the companies you invest in? Not many, I suspect, you just go with what your stock broker or financial adviser suggests. Insist that your money go into companies that are working on solutions to energy production; organic food production; local businesses, and if the stock brokers will not cooperate, do your investing online by researching the companies you invest in. And for Godsake's do not put these investments in mandatory withdrawal accounts like 401K's or IRAs which only help big businesses keep your investment capital tied up. Remain flexible in how you invest.

Second, start the equivalent of victory gardens in your neighborhoods and at your home. Support CSA's, farmer's markets, and local food producers. Boycott large food chains until they return to buying locally. Get HOA's to change landscaping rules so that front yards and parks can be converted into vegetable and fruit production for the people in the developments. Demand legal action against companies like Monsanto, Conagra, Pfizer, Archer Daniels Midland, and all the rest of the industrial ag companies for endanger the public health and creating environmental disaster areas where we once grew food, at the local, state, and federal levels. Demand that these companies be broken up and their land sold to organic farmers and ranchers. Demand that their heritage seed patents be revoked. Take back your food system.

Finally, stop driving gas guzzlers. Use alternative energy public transportation (and demand it if it is not available); ride a bike or walk. Demand cities enact environmental regualtions that are tougher than federal or state laws for your communities. Demand that developers make new homes energy independent with the use of solar and wind power. Demand that tax credits be made permanent that are sufficient to offset at least 50% of the cost of installation of these systems. Demand that developers and utilities recharge water tables and use recycled grey water for landscaping use.

In short, stop talking and start acting. We created this mess, now it is up to us to clean up. We are the only ones who have the capital and political clout right now to do this. Corporations claim to provide us with what we demand in the marketplace, so change the marketplace by changing the nature of the demand. Withhold the demand, and the marketplace will change. ACT!

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Nothin' much but build arks
Posted by: fifthworld on Jan 2, 2007 10:30 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The question is, what is the responsible thing to do when the ship is sinking? As a broad approach, I think that's the way to look at where we are. And, I don't think there are any answers that have been adequately dreamed up yet, since this is all unprecendented, the scale of the 'catastrophe' (FANTASTIC word, downward/falling movement of star)

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Further thought on denial
Posted by: fifthworld on Jan 2, 2007 10:36 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Way I see it, until people far and wide acknowledge that things are going to keep getting worse, they’re going to keep getting UNBEARABLY worse.

Happy New Year anyway

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» I should add... Posted by: JohnF
» RE: I should add... Posted by: HeroesAll
» RE: I should add... Posted by: JohnF
» RE: I should add... Posted by: HeroesAll
» "Eat your way to citizenship" Posted by: eddie torres
Overpopulation: The Solution
Posted by: MAD on Jan 2, 2007 1:58 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
To be perfectly honest, I think mother nature is going to sort out the overpopulation issue for us. H5N1, SARS, AIDS and other fast-evolving diseases will do what humans have heretofore been so unwilling to do - drastically reduce human populations. This rather macabre solution will ironically create a whole new dilemma that will likely dispense with a few hundred million more . . . Just what will we do with all those dead bodies?

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Northern Va. county plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
Posted by: maxpayne on Jan 2, 2007 3:13 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
ARLINGTON, Va. (AP) -- Inspired in part by former Vice President Al Gore, Arlington County officials said they plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 10 percent over the next five years.

The plan, announced by new County Board Chairman Paul Ferguson at the county's Jan. 1 meeting, calls for purchasing more wind-generated electricity, making county buildings more energy efficient and adding hybrid vehicles to the county's fleet of cars, along with other initiatives.

County residents who purchase hybrid vehicles also would receive a tax break on the county car tax under the plan.

Ferguson said he was inspired to launch the initiative after seeing Gore's documentary on global warming, "An Inconvenient Truth."

"Our climate is changing, and that change is causing harm," Ferguson said. "The question is, what can each of us do to slow the trend and eventually reverse it?"

Arlington joins Montgomery County, Md., and other local governments in the Washington, D.C., region that have launched similar environmental initiatives.

The board's plan calls for the county to increase the amount of wind power it buys from 3 percent to 5 percent. The county will also refit one or two county buildings with solar technology and require all new major public buildings to be green-certified.

Plans also call for planting 1,200 trees this year and handing out 2,000 fluorescent light bulbs at local fairs and other events.

Costs for the initiative are unknown. Ferguson estimated it would entail about $5 million in upgrades to municipal buildings, which he said will be recouped in lower utility costs. The goal is to reduce energy usage in county facilities by 2 percent annually through 2012.

The energy initiatives are a natural fit for a county that prides itself on smart growth and promoting mass transit, Ferguson said.


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But as for the answer to the question. Stop subsidizing Big Oil, Chemical, etc .. and
Posted by: maxpayne on Jan 2, 2007 4:33 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
fund alternative renewables such as solar, wind, biofuels, etc ...

[« Reply t