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Election 2008

Top 10 Reasons Obama Defeated Clinton for the Democratic Nomination

By Robert Creamer, Huffington Post. Posted May 17, 2008.


It's worth looking systematically at the major factors that gave victory to Obama.
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Now that the outcome of the battle for the Democratic nomination has been settled beyond a reasonable doubt, it's worth looking systematically at the major factors that gave victory to Obama. After all, fifteen months ago, conventional wisdom viewed Obama as an audacious long shot. The very idea of a first-term African American senator with a name like Barack Obama defeating the vaunted Clinton machine seemed preposterous.

Here are my Top Ten reasons why lightning struck in the contest for the 2008 Democratic nomination (apologies to David Letterman ):

#10. Great Team. Obama assembled a great team that could work together. He stayed away from lobbyist insiders like Clinton's Mark Penn or McCain's Charlie Black, and choose political professionals who are committed to progressive values like David Plouffe, David Axelrod, Steve Hildebrand and Paul Tewes. From the first he insisted on one key rule: no drama. There was little of the infighting and division in the Obama operation that ate away at the Clinton campaign. Clinton had many capable staffers and consultants, but Penn's divisive leadership style and failures as a strategist doomed the campaign organization to dysfunction. When the brilliant Geoff Garin was tapped to succeed Penn as Chief Strategist in April, it was simply too late.

#9. All-State Strategy. Mark Penn was convinced that Clinton could sew up the nomination by Super Tuesday focusing only on the big states. In fact, some have reported that he mistakenly believed that California had a "winner take all" primary. Obama's team hunted for delegates in every nook and cranny of America -- especially in the caucus states that Clinton really didn't contest. Obama ran an active, on-the-ground campaign in every contest, from California to Guam. As a consequence, as one anonymous Clinton insider reports, Clinton lost the nomination in February after Obama ran the table in 11 straight states.

#8. No Plan B. The Clinton campaign had no fall-back plan when it failed to capture the nomination on February 5. There was no money, no organization and no plan to contest the states that lie in the land beyond Super Tuesday.

#7. Excellence in Execution: Great Field. Obama ran the best field operation in American political history -- particularly in the all important Iowa Caucuses. His campaign left no stone unturned, or a vote on the table, in any state. It opened offices everywhere, hired and trained great staff, and managed through simple, streamlined structures. It would have been easy for Obama to squander the massive influx of volunteers who were mobilized through his inspirational message. But the campaign developed structures to integrate and effectively use volunteers, both on the ground and through the Internet. In particular, it developed highly sophisticated new Internet tools to allow volunteers around the country to participate meaningfully in voter ID and get out the vote operations.

#6. Explosive Obama Fundraising. Obama's ability to compete everywhere, to build great field structures and to out-communicate Clinton in the paid media rested squarely on the massive fundraising operation. Obama's traditional fundraising program ended up matching the vaunted Clinton fundraising machine. But the newly developed Internet operation provided a massive advantage. So far Obama has recruited over one-and-a-half-million donors. In other words, by the time the primary season ends, almost one of every ten Obama primary voters (so far there have been 16.3 million) will have made a financial contribution to his campaign. That is beyond unprecedented.

#5. Obama Out-Communicated Clinton Using One Consistent Message. Obama's message has been consistent from Day One. Clinton lurched from "experienced insider" to "populist outsider" from Margaret Thatcher-like "Iron Lady" to a "victim being bullied." And of course, Obama's huge small-donor-driven fundraising advantage gave him the ability to out-communicate her in the paid media -- often by a factor of two-to-one.


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See more stories tagged with: barack obama, hillary clinton, election 2008

Robert Creamer is a long time political organizer and strategist, and author of the recent book: Stand Up Straight: How Progressives Can Win.

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View:
Huckabee's "Joke' to provoke 'Clingers'
Posted by: Purple Girl on May 17, 2008 5:06 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Mr Huckabee has far more work to do to rectify the damage (and insinuation) from his 'Little Joke' .Apology NOT accepted- time to put your time & effort Where Your mouth isNot a Great NRA supporter- bu trecognize it is one of the few Rights we have Left. Not against the Faithful- but an a Recovered Catholic, who considers herself a 'Atheistic' Steward ( How we came about and where it could end is Irrelevant, It's what we do while we are Here and that we do our Duty to pass it on in the best shape possible)
bu twhen You Mix Guns and God you are speaking to a segment o fOur society that has been allowed to lurk in the Shadows- the version of the Taliban which has been allowed to highjack our country for Far too long.WV is Proof it still is infecting Our society. Obama will never get their Vote- they are Backward ass MF'ing Racist- Literally. These isolated groups are not What we should be catering too, 'Appeasing' with ANY political influence or Power! Hillary should bite her tongue Off for suggesting they are the 'base' of anything American! I'm insulted to be lumped into these Extremeist who have infiltrated MY Democratic party-"all men are Created Equal' 'We the People". If she considers them a viable group in this Country- She's in the Wrong Country.
Huckabee needs to get out and Try to yank these Morons into at least the late 20th century and This countries founding ideology. should anything Befall Sen Obama I will See the Blood on Huckabee's, Mac's and Hillary's hands for Suggesting this vile segment has any place in Our National identity!These are the Groups to disavow, Rebuke, Refutiate, REJECT!Start by exposing the Likes of Hagee & Parsley, not with filters but Fully Exposed to the Light.It is not only the Catholic Church they consider their Whores to be Used, maligned, Judged and Persecuted!If they can't catch up by Now they need to be Run Out!

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» You know things are changing Posted by: hurricane hugo
I really liked Robert Creamer's book.
Posted by: Longdream on May 17, 2008 4:23 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
And this is a fine summation of what happened.

See you guys? We were right!

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Another reason is activist disgust with Hillary's triangulations
Posted by: fanny666 on May 19, 2008 2:48 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I started to have my doubts about HIllary Clinton when she seemed much more interested in courting "centrist" (whatever that means) positions, like supporting a flag-burning amendment, making it clear to anybody within earshot that she was ready and willing to resort to violence. She was much more interested in trying to win independents than she was in trying to energize the democratic base.

Molly Ivins said it best, of course.

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