Election 2016

Why South Carolina Is Arguably a Lot More Important for Republicans Than Iowa or NH (VIDEO)

No Republican has ever become president without winning South Carolina.

Photo Credit: Scott Olson/Getty Images

In the last four decades, four out of seven Republican candidates who won Iowa went on to lose the GOP nomination. The state most likely to show a clear nominee is actually South Carolina. 

Culturally, Iowa tends to go more evangelical and social-conservative, while New Hampshire tends to go more centrist, liberalist Republican. South Carolina brings them all together, mainly due to greater wealth disparity than other swing states. Iowa and New Hampshire narrow the field and the nominee then comes out of South Carolina.

New Hampshire winner Donald Trump spent less time in New Hampshire than all other candidates and is the predicted winner in South Carolina by at least five points. So, depending on your perspective, that's either worrisome or it's good news.

Watch: political columnist Erick Erickson explain below:

 

Alexandra Rosenmann is an AlterNet associate editor. Follow her @alexpreditor.

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