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Are You Ready for a Recession? [VIDEO]

Posted by Adam Howard, AlterNet at 2:16 PM on January 12, 2008.


The Dow Jones Index has suffered its worst start to a new year since 1904 and there are more looming signs of recession are on their way.
Are You Ready for a Recession?

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Dow Jones Index Suffers Worst Start to New Year Since 1904

In economic news, more signs are emerging indicating the country might be heading toward a recession. The reported unemployment rate hit 5 percent in December -- it was the biggest jump in unemployment since a month after the Sept. 11 attacks. The price of oil briefly topped one hundred dollars a barrel for the first time ever last week. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average suffered its worst start to a new year since 1904. The Nasdaq composite index dropped over five percent last week--its worst start to a new year ever. And the Times of London reports the living standards in Britain are set to rise above those in the United States for the first time since the 19th century.

Ethan Harris, the chief economist at Lehman Brothers, predicted 2008 would be a difficult year for the U.S. economy.

Ethan Harris: "We are going into a very uncertain period for the economy with lots of downside risks. The fact that the stock market started the year on a down note is a reminder that there are significant risks out there, so that's the message. It's just confirming what we knew, which is it's going to be a difficult year. The stock market could be up in the year if the economy can skirt recession, but it's going to be a choppy ride this year. "

President Bush: "This Economy of Ours is on a Solid Foundation" President Bush has attempted to put a positive spin about the recent economic news. President Bush: "While there is some uncertainty, the report is that our financial markets are strong and solid. And I want to thank you for being diligent. This economy of ours is on a solid foundation. But we can't take economic growth for granted. And there are signs that cause us to be ever more diligent in making sure good policies come out of Washington."

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Tagged as: bush, recession, economy

Adam Howard is the editor of PEEK.


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Recession?
Posted by: solitariodude on Jan 12, 2008 6:46 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Naw... How about DEPRESSION!

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» Depression is right Posted by: fifthworld
» RE: Recession? Posted by: Corruptian
'Are you ready for a recession?'
Posted by: YogiBear on Jan 13, 2008 12:05 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
You should have asked that question three or more years ago when it began for most of us. It's only as recession now because rich people aren't doing as well.

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You don't have to be an economist...
Posted by: Trazom on Jan 13, 2008 7:00 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
to know we're in trouble. Forget about GDP, inflation, weak currency, rising cost of living, $100 barrel oil. The answer is shockingly simple.

Bush said the economy was fundamentally strong. That's all you need to know.

Bush, wrong on the war, wrong on the economy. Come to think of it, pretty much wrong on EVERYTHING.

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Sometimes, a recession is good for democracy. . .
Posted by: thoughtcriminal on Jan 13, 2008 9:46 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
And what is a recession, anyway? Why should we be paying attention to the values of the Dow Jones Index - all that is is the weighted values of some 30 of the biggest public corporations in the United States)? Who actually makes up the DOW? Here they are:

3M, Alcoa, Altria Group, American Express, American International Group, AT&T, Boeing, Caterpillar, Citigroup, Coca-Cola, DuPont, ExxonMobil, General Electric, General Motors, Hewlett-Packard, Home Depot, Honeywell, Intel, IBM, Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase, McDonald's, Merck, Microsoft, Pfizer, Procter & Gamble, United Technologies Corporation, Verizon Communications, Wal-Mart, Walt Disney

Somehow, we're all led to believe that if these corporations, and their Wall Street financiers, are pulling in a lot of cash, then "the economy" is doing well and everyone is happy - that's just propaganda put out by NPR, CBS, ABC, CNN, FOX, NBC, and all the major U.S. newspapers.

Why should we be paying close attention to what the Gross Domestic Product is? The GDP feeds off all material consumption - end the war and it will hurt the GDP, because the military will be buying fewer weapons. Cure a disease, and it hurts the GDP, because fewer people are buying drugs and being sent hospital bills.

We need a new and realistic indicator of economic progress that tracks the status of everyone in the country, not just the fortunes of the wealthy and powerful. One suggestion is to use Genuine Progress Indicators:

"Redefining Progress created the Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) in 1995 as an alternative to the gross domestic product (GDP). The GPI enables policymakers at the national, state, regional, or local level to measure how well their citizens are doing both economically and socially.

Economists, policymakers, reporters, and the public rely on the GDP as a shorthand indicator of progress; but the GDP is merely a sum of national spending with no distinctions between transactions that add to well-being and those that diminish it.

The GPI is one of the first alternatives to the GDP to be vetted by the scientific community and used regularly by governmental and non-governmental organizations worldwide. Redefining Progress advocates for the adoption of the GPI as a tool for sustainable development and planning.

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» Look At The Big Picture Posted by: calm
» RE: Look At The Big Picture Posted by: Doubtom
» Hi! Doubtom Posted by: calm
» One More Thing To Add Posted by: calm
Same old answer to depression or recession is tax cuts?
Posted by: Chloe2005 on Jan 14, 2008 11:39 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The repukes keep calling for extending bu$h tax cuts. Lets see, as soon as bu$h got in, he called for tax cuts to help the bad economy which was all clintons fault and of course 911. We have had tax cuts to stimulate the economy. No one I know got over $200. After years of tax cuts for the rich we are headed or in a recession. So can anyone tell me why more tax cuts for the rich will help when we have been sliding downhill while they got all the tax cuts?

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THE FARM DEPRESSION BEGAN IN THE EARLY TWENTIES
Posted by: Raymond Emerson on Jan 14, 2008 8:41 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
but it didn't "trickle up" until 1929. The "working man" pays the bills and most of the taxes in the US. You kill him and you kill the nation. You don't have to be a mental giant to figure that out.

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