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Russia's back, and it will kick your ass

Posted by Jan Frel at 12:59 PM on July 13, 2006.


The Cold Warriors almost managed to stomp Russia into the ground over the past 15 years, but now the country looms mightily over Asia and Europe once again.

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It's G-8 time, and Russia is host. Couldn't come at a better time for Russia, really, as $78-a-barrel oil has billions pouring in its coffers. That and the announcement that it will be backing a $7 billion gas pipeline project going from Iran to Pakistan and India.

As Mark Ames and later Stephen Cohen illustrated in their essays overviewing U.S. foreign policy toward Russia in the Bush era, Dick Cheney and the Houston boys had a big plot to contain Russia and steal away its old territories, and while it worked for a time, those days are over. All of those colored Revolutions in the former Soviet Republics are practically meaningless at this point.

The eXile's latest editorial on the appearance of Russian forces in Iraq sums up the new state of things, and where we can expect them to go, channeling Joe Pesci:

Russia is going to come in like a white knight, like a stern yet effect parent, and clean up li'l America's mess in the sandbox known as Iraq. Because as the only responsible adults left in the neighborhood, Russia simply has no other choice...
While Americans approach the Iraq quagmire like good hard-working schoolboys, trying to solve problems with teacher-pleasing complicated coalition-building schemes and military feints, advances, and PR, the Russians have proven that by behaving like an adult and sticking to good' ol' fashioned killing or disappearing half the population, you can solve these kinds of problems.
You don't hear much about Chechnya these days, do you? Not the way you hear about Iraq, not even close. That's because out of a prewar population of 1.3 million, today Chechnya only has about 300,000 people left. That's just the number to the right of the dot in 1.3. If I was one of the guys on the right side of that decimal, I'd be pretty quite too, for a long, long time.

"Hey, what about human rights?" we can hear you squeal.
That's an excellent point and a fine question. To which Russia is ready to answer with its own question: "What about your fucking gas, huh? Do you still want it? Huh?"
Then the West'll go, "No, wait-wait-wait, we didn't -- we just meant, you know, we're concerned, but it's not like, heh-heh, you know?"
"No, we don't know," says Russia. Then Russia gets all Joe Pesci like and goes, "You said 'human rights.' You said it, you motherfucker. What the fuck is so human rights-y about your country without natural gas, huh? What the fuck, please enlighten me, you fuck! I've got my finger on the fucking off switch at Transneft. Just bleat one more fucking time, you fuck, and I swear I'll turn it off!"
"Yeah, yeah, we're done, we swear!"
"Good, now get the fuck out of my face. You motherfucking mutt."
And with that, the Russian Special Forces will enter Iraq. And the Americans will step aside with all their little "coalition" playfriends. And when the Russians are through cleaning up the mess, and they drive America home in its stationwagon back from occupation practice, we guarantee that in the new Russia-controlled occupied-Iraq, every Iraqi who survives will be a very light sleeper for the rest of his or her life.
That's the key to building consensus and democracy. Turning the population into light sleepers. It worked in Chechnya. It'll work again in Iraq.
And a great summary on Russia's sudden geopolitical power gains from the hottest strategy writer with a pseudonym, Pepe Escobar:
Putin is an accomplished chess player. Accusations of heavy-handedness -- on civil liberties and on energy policy -- aside, the Kremlin does not need a confrontation with the "colonialist" West (the qualification is Putin's). What it needs is to find the best use for the massive financial flows that are pouring over Russia. The Russian weekly Vlast identifies "a new Russophobia in the West, hypocrite and erroneous". The Russian response is to challenge the West to accommodate to its own terms. The Kremlin calls its own internal experiment "sovereign democracy". As the Kommersant daily put it, "the West must answer to a series of ultimatums posed by Russia, including its refusal of European rules on the energy market, it particular position regarding Iran and the assurance of non-intervention on Russian internal affairs."
Putin's message to the G8 is loud and clear: we're back. And this Gazprom nation, also reveling on oil at $75 a barrel, and rising, is doing things its own way -- like exterminating, with perfect timing, public enemy number one, Chechen rebel leader Shamil Basayev, or banishing homeless people, street vendors, intellectuals and opposition voices from St Petersburg ahead of the G8 summit. There's virtually nothing the West can do about it. Russia is not struggling to be part of "the West" anymore; it has evolved its own system, and not unlike the Middle Kingdom, at the center of the system lies the Kremlin.

Digg!

Jan Frel is an AlterNet staff writer.


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Corporations & Politicians must need another boogeyman--Russia will fill the bill!
Posted by: four_legs_good_two_legs_bad on Jul 13, 2006 3:38 PM   
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I guess the think tanks must have run some focus groups and found that Osama and the islamic "menace" is losing its power as a boogeyman useful for scaring the American public manufacturing consent for more power grabs. That, and the fact that the corporate oligarchy is going to have to resort to democrats in power now that the GOP popularity is so low (they sacrificed their political capital so that investor profits might grow strong! (((trumpets flourish!!)))

Check out the internet for recent articles by political "pundits" on the "growing menace of Russia" and you will find several such articles recently. What a coincidence!

I predict that we will see even more articles on the Dark And Growing Russian Menace.
Thank Dog we have tame liberals like Jan ready and willing to do the bidding of the corporate oligarchy!

Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old Boss.

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huh?
Posted by: codingguy on Jul 13, 2006 5:01 PM   
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the desire for freedom in the former soviet republics is no neocon cheney etc. plot. to say so is to be as america-centric as rush limbaugh. reminds me of one of my well-intentioned left-of-centre american friends who sincerely believed Canada was loosening pot laws just to piss off the U.S., as though we didn't have our own history and reasons for doing things.

also why is it seemingly ok for russia to blow off human rights in such a massive way but wrong for israel to do much less when its own borders are attacked?

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Russia has already emerged more powerful
Posted by: maxpayne on Jul 13, 2006 8:42 PM   
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The Real Price of Iraq: Cold War Victory Lost As Russia Reemerges Without A Peep From Distracted US

Inept Republican Foreign Policy Left America Lost In The Desert While Intelligent Putin Plan Has Undone Cold War Damage and Prepared Russia To Once Again Dominate - Especially Over Economically Depleted US

by Samuel A. Stanson

http://www.moderateindependent.com/v4i3russia.htm

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» I'm not buying it... Posted by: sirossisofliver
And this is a good thing?
Posted by: EZJ on Jul 13, 2006 9:28 PM   
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I realize that Russia may be tougher game than in the past, and perhaps I didn't grab the pun, but I don't see the usefulness in this article.

I am certainly not a supporter of the way things are in our government at the moment, but I certainly do not support the idea of Russia coming into Iraq and turning the people to dust.

I certainly do not support the idea of them turning our own soldiers to dust as we sit by and write pun about it.

Certainly some better constructive criticism can be brought forward instead of glorifying Russia and their abuse of human rights.

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Does anyone remember Afghanistan?
Posted by: davinci on Jul 13, 2006 11:20 PM   
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The Russian big boys got their asses kicked and eventually left that quagmire.

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» RE: Does anyone remember Afghanistan? Posted by: sirossisofliver
Russia remains a much-weakened rump state.
Posted by: wli on Jul 14, 2006 1:59 AM   
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Yes, a rump state. The US' defeat of the USSR may have been by espionage instead of open warfare, but the USSR was indeed defeated. Triumphalism is still wrong, but not for the reasons specified.

The Cold War was a long-anticipated affair, but the original anticipations of it in 1939 were not of it being with Russia. The intent was instead for Germany to reduce Russia to a rump state during WWII and become a superpower itself, though without anything like a conquest of Europe. The foremost task was to eliminate socialist and communist movements in Europe and destroy the USSR. The ensuing Cold War was meant to be the US vs. Germany.

The big problem with this was that the USSR defeated Germany. The US, which had been planning to take over the Japanese Empire, had to step in to prevent the USSR from rolling over the whole of Europe, hence its participation in Europe during WWII, which consisted primarily of stopping the USSR's advance (e.g. when the US so famously invaded Normandy, the USSR was engaging 80% of the German army, and Stalin was suspicious that the US had arrived as reinforcements for the Germans instead of to fight them, and quite rightly so given subsequent revelations about Gladio, ratlines, the US' extermination campaigns against the former anti-fascist resistance everywhere, etc.). The Japanese empire rapidly spiralled out of the Anglo-US orbit save for the Philippines and Japan itself, particularly China. The James Burham -inspired war planners had bungled their grand design.

The lesson of actual warfare from WWII was largely lost. Victory was decided by the manufacturing base's ability to rapidly produce replacement weapons. The Axis could never succeed; its manufacturing base was exposed to direct attack by proximity to enemies. The USSR's was insulated by vast land area; the US' by vast oceans.

However, the USSR was essentially shattered during WWII and never recovered. It suffered about half of all casualties during WWII, and had been under nonstop attack since its formation (invasions by ca. 30 countries including the US) with severe famines even striking a number of times before and after WWII. Major cities were destroyed, and it could barely afford to rebuild itself to the extent that it did, forget a Russian Marshall plan for Eastern Europe. Various claims have been made that the weak Russian economy due to Communism hurt it, but in reality it was a smaller country population-wise that had suffered immense casualties and devastation during its struggle for existence (including WWII) from which it never recovered. Add continuous external economic pressure from the Western bloc, and it was doomed to fall apart.

The US, on the other hand, is simply committing suicide. Kleptocrats may be nominally building up the military, but that can't be sustained or rapidly replenished because the industrial base is gone. The US has become a paper tiger in no small part because the economy is too gutted to afford sustained warfare or to resupply the military when materiel is destroyed in combat. So now the US is rapidly spiraling toward a USSR-like implosion without ever having been devastated by an invasion or the loss of huge fractions of its population, though the developments have a character more strongly resembling US-installed Latin American dictatorships such as late 1960's Brazil.

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Mightily? It has a much shorter reach.
Posted by: brunowe on Jul 14, 2006 2:52 AM   
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It's reassertion of power consists of expanding influence in areas that used to be under its direct control. The Baltic States are in NATO, the US is in Afghanistan. Agreed that Putin has reestablished a more typically Russian autocratic system with the fossil fuel resources to thumb its nose at the West. That means that Russia is more powerful than it was in the 1990s but that is setting the bar very low indeed.

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Russians cruely punished over the past fifteen years
Posted by: Bobsays on Jul 14, 2006 5:16 AM   
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I have travelled throughout the ex-Soviet Union. The suffering the people have endured is painful to see. They now see their young women having to turn to prostitution to get ahead. All of it didn't have to be this way.

For starters, Jeffrey Sach's cruel shock treatment destroyed public services and left people near starvation. Worse still, it destroyed people's souls. I have met people whose fathers just died of a heart attack in their thirties when the societ union dissolved. It was that bad a shock to these people - they lost everything, savings, jobs, purpose in life.

One reason I think the UN is full of idiots is that Sachs is now in charge of the Millennium Development Goals project. This guy's policies are mean and thoughtless.

Now that the Russian government is awash in money I don't blame them for wanting to walk tall again. But they would do better by investing that money in public services and getting their people back to good health again. Very pretty Russian girls should not have to be prostitutes to get an education.

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This is almost a year late.
Posted by: BJT on Jul 14, 2006 5:34 AM   
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Russia is reshaping into something akin to the old Soviet regime. They are one of the biggest buyers of gold right now--possibly the biggest--but they are doing it quietly. The other nations of the world are moving from Dollars to Euros and gold. Russia, with its oil and vast amounts of wealth in gold, now has the ability to call the shots in Asia.

Why is gold so important? Because the US currency is weakening rapidly. The true world reserve currency will always be GOLD. The USD usurped it for almost 40 years, but that is nothing compared to gold's 5,000 year history. In the long term, you can expect the USD to lose half of its value in a decade. The colossal debts and unbacked currency of the USA have us poised for monetary collapse.

Russia is just preparing for the inevitable by buying gold. So is Japan, so are the Middle Eastern countries. So is Europe. The Federal Reserve's most recent monthly publication had an article explaining how the US is bankrupt. The wealthiest people in the world know all of this. You do not because their wealth often benefits from the exclusive nature of good financial information.

No nation would be a threat to us if we did not allow private financiers like the Fed print green paper for free and call it money. Money needs intrinsic value, and that's why the Constitution mandates gold and silver coin be our money. Those are not vulnerable to confidence games. Those are not subject to massive arbitrary inflation like that caused by the Fed.

Regardless of how you stand in politics or what you think should be done, the THE DOLLAR IS COLLAPSING. That's not really a doomsday prediction, but times will get pretty hard in the US if you aren't prepared. You should OWN SOME GOLD OR SILVER BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE. Otherwise your savings, retirement and wages will be wiped out when the massive stagflation hits. And it's already starting. Do yourself a favor and buy a little. It doesn't matter how much. Just GET SOME. You'll wish you had gotten more.

Some people will call it "hoarding" but all it is is savings.

Or would you rather rely on the State to take care of you with welfare after the State impoverishes you with its monetary policies? If we had sound money, the government couldn't afford all of its human rights violations, nor could it afford military adventeurism. Therefore, if we had sound money we would not develop enmity with Russia or anybody else.

I'm only nervous abour Russia because of what the USA's dictators might do to provoke them.

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» RE: This is almost a year late. Posted by: AlienSlave
Russia is just biding its time
Posted by: xbj on Jul 14, 2006 7:55 AM   
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Russia will come out the winner in the upcoming inevitable all out nuclear confrontation between China and the US over Bush's nuking of Iran, because China will take the brunt of the attack. Russia will wisely only deal the final blows once the entire US arsenal is completely exhausted against China.

So yes, Russia wins the cold war, with China a distant second, as they rebuild because of their vastly greater population as vastly greater rural land mass.

While the US remains a black glowing cinder for a long, long time. Which was always Lucifer's plan for the US, brought about by his sweetheart sonny boy, George W. Bush and his insane desperate power mad blood bathing moneygrubbing crew of Neocon Nazi madmen.

What is ironic in all of this is that neither Russia or China want this war with the US; they will only undertake it as a final last resort. Putin himself has time after time tried to warn the US and save it from itself through sabotaging the Bush Adminstration's plans time and time again. China itself has told Bush to his face if he dares to nuke Iran it will mean all out nuclear war.

The neocons don't care; they're out of their minds with the desperation of Hitler & crew in their bunker in Berlin in 1945. For them it's an all-or-nothing gamble; if they can't have it all, then NO ONE WILL HAVE IT.

Indeed.

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Hmm
Posted by: Brutus on Jul 14, 2006 1:48 PM   
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So you suggesting the adult thing to do in Iraq is kill 20 million people are so? Great. And why the hell the Russians would want to go into Iraq except for complete insanity?

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» RE: Hmm Posted by: xbj
Exile is a loony toon.
Posted by: Franco33 on Jul 14, 2006 5:40 PM   
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According to Wikipedia, the Chechen population hasn't decreased at all ( except for ethnic Russians leaving ). It has the highest growth rate in the former Soviet Union. Those people breed like rabbits, probably nursing their kids on eternal hatred of Russia while they're at it. And indulging in neo-nazi torture and extermination fantasies is mentally sick.

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Interestingly enough...
Posted by: brunowe on Jul 14, 2006 5:43 PM   
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...The Economist's cover on the new issue reads "Living with a strong Russia".

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» RE: Interestingly enough... Posted by: four_legs_good_two_legs_bad
Reply
Posted by: Alex Zeka on Jul 15, 2006 3:02 PM   
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The ramifications of a resurgent Russia are fascinating. A while ago, neocons were praising Sozhenitsyen's anti-Communist writings. He is now almost entirely forgotten, his more recent criticisms of the "subversive idea" (what neocon "patriots" call America) terrifying the think tank geek fraternity. I think Russia might have a similar effect on them: an implacable ally in the War on Islamic Terror, an equally implacable opponent of the global democray peddled by the Revolutionary Tribune in the White House.

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"In Your Face" Hypocrites
Posted by: sofla100 on Jul 15, 2006 4:35 PM   
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Putin's message to the USA is simple enough, "in your face" hypocrites. Remember what he told Dan Rather, "what about that election of yours down in Florida in 2000,..." After Guantanamo, after Abu Gharib, after our client-state Israel toasts a few hundred Lebanese with US made bombs, after the NSA illegal spying, and after Italy wants to indict a few CIA boys for taking people off the street for a date with the torturer (guilty or not), you can see how Putin laughs. Look, Mr. American Democracy, the oligarches in your country long ago took over the media and bought out the politicians. So, Mr. Bush, what are you talking about. And, oh, yes, go ahead with that cold-war relic NATO, in a couple of the whatever -stans it is, we'll see how they do when we shut off the gas in the winter.

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wise remember where there is two war and talk of war
Posted by: timeless on Jul 18, 2006 6:06 AM   
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go to zero...wheres' side in zero..all ah are here for a purpose lighten up and lets' go for the fun music dancing and playing yes...aho

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Enough! with the history. Peak Oil looms and all planners are waiting to see what that means.
Posted by: Sojourner on Jul 18, 2006 8:31 AM   
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Oil is $75/barrel because it's running out. So is fresh water, tillable soil, and ocean food sources. Oil rich countries need to invest elsewhere for their future. In addition to armaments (and yes, star wars is not to be discounted) what are they investing in?

Alternative energy? Patents?

I don't believe in fighting the last war over and over, as seems to predominate in this thread. Invest in gold and silver? I'd love that security, but that's the rich man's luxury. And where can anyone run away to on this Planet of Slums?

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