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Tinderbox: Turkey and the Iraqi Kurds

Posted by Philip Barron at 9:20 AM on April 13, 2007.


Philip Barron: The fire next time will be in Kurdistan...and the sparks are flying now.
kurdistanmap
The next theater of operations

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Each time we come back to the slow-boil disaster that is Turkey and the Kurds of northern Iraq, the situation is closer to a spillover. Last May, we saw that George Bush's laissez-faire approach to that region had resulted in a dangerous absence of dialogue between the parties. Back in August, we witnessed the literally explosive development of Turkey and Iran massing troops on the border and lobbing shells into Iraqi territory. As I remarked at the time:

Turkey - an American ally, a member of NATO, and wannabe European Union member - has long awaited the help of the United States on the matter of the PPK hiding out in Iraq, but to no avail. Now Iran - which cares little for the US or its concerns - is demonstrating to Turkey that waiting on America is a fool's game.

Turkey seems to have decided that it's tired of playing that game. This from Juan Cole:

The powerful Turkish General Yasar Buyukanit said Thursday that Turkish forces needed to go into northern Iraq after Kurdish PKK guerrillas he believes are being given safe haven there. He said he had not yet submitted a request to parliament for authorization. The Turkish-Iraqi border is now a tinderbox. This is the other shoe in the Iraq conflict.

And it's dropping, thanks to provocative rhetoric from Iraqi Kurd leaders.

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan attacked the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government (IKRG), Massoud Barzani, for Barzani's comments on April 6 in an interview with the al-Arabiya satellite television station. Barzani rejected Turkish concerns over the attempts by the IKRG to incorporate the oil city of Kirkuk into its territory, saying that if Ankara interfered, that he would interfere in Turkish cities. The Turks are anyway raw about Kurdish political violence in eastern Anatolia near Iraq, since 37,000 were killed in a low-intensity guerrilla struggle of radical Kurds against the Turkish state. Erdogan accused Barzani of getting above himself and said that the Iraqi Kurds would pay a "high price" for Barzani's threats.

The US State Department protested to Barzani over the vehemence of his statements.

This conflict could blow up the whole world.

Or a significant portion of it, at least, one that's already aflame.

Oh, the official American rebuke to Barzani?

State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said, "We think that those kinds of statements are really unhelpful, and they certainly do not further the goal of greater Turkish-Iraqi cooperation on issues of common concern, including fighting the PKK."

Tough stuff. That'll show the Kurds.

This latest ineptitude on the part of the White House - the lack of serious engagement of both parties - has contributed to a boilover that will make the recent extension of troop deployment in Iraq look like stateside R&R.

If anyone in the mainstream press here in the States is paying much heed to the war around the bend, I haven't heard about it.

Digg!

Tagged as: iraq, kurdistan, kurds, turkey

Philip Barron is a St. Louis writer and author of the blog Waveflux.


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Endless War
Posted by: Kitty Lady Oregon on Apr 13, 2007 10:23 AM   
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This simply feeds into the cheney/bush plan for war without end. They want to nuke Iran, and do not give a damn if Iraq gets bombed by Turkey. This way, they can declare martial law in the US when the people rise up to resist. They then can use those prison facilities they have been having Halliburton build in the US.
It is grim and getting more grim.

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kurdisfan
Posted by: schister on Apr 13, 2007 12:33 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Didn't the Turks reneg under the Treaty of Versaille and fail to live up to it promises to the Kurds under that treaty? Between the Armenians and the Kurds, the Turks certainly haven't behaved very civilized and therefore unworthy of EU membership. The kurds are one of the most progressive groups in that area and it would seem that everyone, besides the hardliners, would benefit from an autonomous Kurdistan- including Turkey and the US.

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» RE: kurdisfan Posted by: AlienSlave
A HUGE problem
Posted by: CJC on Apr 16, 2007 11:42 AM   
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What little news there is in the US media about the Kurds is laudatory reports about how peaceful (relatively) Iraqi Kurdistan is with busy towns, kids (including girls) going to school, even universities thriving. The fact that there are actually two governments isn't much mentioned, one governed by Barzani, and one by Talabani, also an Iraq VP. That in itself speaks to generations if not centuries of fractionalism.

There are probably one or two people in the State Dept tearing their hair out about how we're ignoring the simmering political strife and the certainty that Turkey will hold its fire only so long.

I count myself a friend of and usually an advocate for Turkey. But in the 1960's I was a Peace Corps Volunteer English teacher in a small southeastern province that was 100% Kurdish, except for the Turkish government civil servants, teachers etc. So I've always been critical of the bone-headed, harsh, and intransigent way that Turkey has dealt with the southeast and the Kurds. Almost every policy has exacerbated tensions and ignored grievances. In contrast to our view of how "developed" the Kurds are in N Iraq, the southeast of Turkey, where the Turkish Kurds live, is its poorest and most marginalized region. Economic development has largely involved big dams first on the Euphrates and now on the Tigris. These projects mainly benefit the richer parts of Turkey with hydropower. The resevoirs flood village land and have acted as a way to displace populations. Locally, the richest landlords have benefitted from irrigation while poor villagers suffer. I have this on first hand reports and observations from trips to the region and local acquaintances. Nonetheless, it is also the case that there has been a nasty and violent insurrection going on since the 1980's. Turkey will do what it thinks it has to do to defend its national interest against Kurdish "insurgents" going across the borders.

I know less about Iran, but I'd guess that they wouldn't sit idly by and let their own Kurdish population become restive and active.

Here are some population estimates from a book about Kurdistan from 2003 (Christiane Bird, "A Thousand Sighs, A Thousand Revolts: Journeys in Kurdistan")
Total number of Kurds 25-30 million

Turkey c. 13 million 50% of all Kurds
Iraq 5 million 20%
Iran 6.5 million 25%
Syria 1.4 million 5%

And given that very few of our personnel in Iraq even speak Arabic (our new ambassador, however, is reported to be fluent) how many Kurdish speakers do we have?

Ignorance is not bliss.

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MSM paying attention???
Posted by: TruthBeTold on Apr 17, 2007 2:19 PM   
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You can't expect the so-called mainstream media to pay attention to anything that might cast daylight on the screwups of the Bushies. Many in the MSM are cocktail party and dinner party guests of George W Bush and Dick Cheney.

Just watch the easy ride given to Bush/Cheney and their apologist when interviewed by people like Tim Russert, Bob Schieffer, Katie Couric, Matt Lauer and the like.

I would not even be surprised to learn that many of these people have stock in KBR and Hallibuirton. There has to be a reason they keep quite while THEIR country is being destroyed. And money for some people trumps everything else.

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