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Times slammed for Gore "hit-piece"

Posted by David Roberts at 8:17 AM on March 14, 2007.


David Roberts: "The worst, sloppiest, most dishonest piece of reporting I've ever seen in the NYT."
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This guest post first appeared on Gristmill

Yesterday, Drudge breathlessly reported a coming "hit on Gore" from The New York Times. Today that hit has come, in the form of a state-of-the-art piece of slime from Bill Broad.

This may be the worst, sloppiest, most dishonest piece of reporting I've ever seen in the NYT. It's got all the hallmarks of a vintage Gore hit piece: half-truths, outright falsehoods, unsubstantiated quotes, and a heaping dose of innuendo. As usual with these things, unless you've been following the debate carefully, you'll be left with a false impression -- in this case, that scientists are divided over the accuracy of Gore's film An Inconvenient Truth. I find it difficult to believe that Broad doesn't know exactly what he's doing here. (See RealClimate for a discussion of one of his previous travesties.) I could go almost sentence by sentence, but let's just run through some of the highlights. I apologize for the length, but there's really a lot of trash here to shovel through.

Here's the central thrust:

"… part of [Gore's] scientific audience is uneasy. In talks, articles and blog entries that have appeared since his film and accompanying book came out last year, these scientists argue that some of Mr. Gore's central points are exaggerated and erroneous." All right, so let's see some exaggerated and erroneous claims, right? Things start promisingly, as the article names one of these critics: Don J. Easterbrook, professor of geology. Easterbrook said, "there are a lot of inaccuracies in the statements we are seeing [from Gore], and we have to temper that with real data." What inaccuracies? Astoundingly, the article doesn't cite a single alleged inaccuracy until 28 paragraphs later. It's this:

[Easterbrook] hotly disputed Mr. Gore's claim that "our civilization has never experienced any environmental shift remotely similar to this" threatened change.

Nonsense, Dr. Easterbrook told the crowded session. He flashed a slide that showed temperature trends for the past 15,000 years. It highlighted 10 large swings, including the medieval warm period. These shifts, he said, were up to "20 times greater than the warming in the past century."
But Gore never said (as far as I know, no one has ever said) that the temperature swing in the last century is the widest temperature swing ever. Gore's point is that the global average temperature has never shifted so much so quickly -- about ten times faster than previous swings. That speed, after all, is the primary evidence of human involvement. So we have exactly one "inaccuracy," and it's based on a thuddingly obvious misunderstanding. Here's something else you never hear about Easterbrook in the piece: he doesn't believe human GHG emissions are causing current global warming. That's fine. More power to him. But it puts him way outside the scientific mainstream; the recent IPCC report put confidence in the culpability of human GHGs at between 90-99%. Does Easterbrook's … idiosyncratic stance on the basic science of climate change not warrant a mention, since he is the critic most prominently featured? Apparently not.

Moving on. Many of Gore's critics, the piece says, "occupy a middle ground in the climate debate, seeing human activity as a serious threat but challenging what they call the extremism of both skeptics and zealots." Sound familiar? You just know what's coming next, right? Yup, brace yourselves for Tweedle-Dum and Tweedle-Dee:

Kevin Vranes, a climatologist at the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado, said he sensed a growing backlash against exaggeration.

"[Gore]'s a very polarizing figure in the science community," said Roger A. Pielke Jr., an environmental scientist who is a colleague of Dr. Vranes at the University of Colorado center.

Let's be frank here. Vranes -- Robin to Pielke Jr.'s Batman -- is a climatologist only under a strained definition of that term; he's published little peer-reviewed work and mainly blogs (like me!). The only reason anyone knows his name is that he once had a "sense" that scientists had "oversold" climate science -- a sense not shared by other climate scientists. Why is Vranes' sensation worth reporting? God knows, but google around a bit and you'll see it's made Vranes famous.

As for the next 'graph, where to begin? First, Roger Pielke Jr. is not an "environmental scientist." He's not a scientist of any kind, though he's got a track record of encouraging that misapprehension. RPJr. is a policy guy who spends most of his time blogging and getting quoted in the media. Given that he's not a scientist, why should anyone care what he thinks is going on "in the science community"? Shouldn't we hear from an actual scientist about that? I know Gore "polarizes" the conservative political community, with whom RPJr. incessantly plays footsie, but as this trainwreck of an article illustrates, there aren't too many mainstream scientists willing to talk about how polarizing Gore is.

OK, let's take stock. So far, to establish that "part of [Gore's] scientific audience is uneasy," we have a gross misunderstanding from one scientist who doesn't believe GHGs cause global warming, and the unsubstantiated quotes of two well-known media hounds. And that's what Broad led with. Some 12 paragraphs in, we finally hear from mainstream climate scientists. What do they say?

"He has credibility in this community," said Tim Killeen … director of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, a top group studying climate change. "There's no question he's read a lot and is able to respond in a very effective way."

Kinda puts a new spin on things, huh? At least for the three people who read this far into the piece. Then, after a few paragraphs showing that the mainstream scientific community largely supports Gore's movie, and that neither they nor he senses any "backlash," we come to … the skeptics. Richard Lindzen. Bjorn Lomborg. Naturally, they say what they say. But didn't Broad promise earlier that criticism came "not only from conservative groups and prominent skeptics of catastrophic warming, but also from rank-and-file scientists"? I'm still waiting for the rank-and-file to show up. Then comes another cheap shot: "Some of Mr. Gore's centrist detractors" -- Who? No names offered. -- "point to a report last month by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change … [which] portrayed climate change as a slow-motion process." But Gore, "citing no particular time frame, envisions [sea level] rises of up to 20 feet and depicts parts of New York, Florida and other heavily populated areas as sinking beneath the waves, implying, at least visually, that inundation is imminent."

Notice that all the work here is being done by the weasel phrases "citing no particular time frame" and "at least visually." Of course, as those awake during the movie know, Gore cited no time frame because he was talking about what could happen if the Greenland and/or Antarctic ice sheets pass a tipping point and melt quickly, as many scientists fear. As Gore noted -- you know, verbally -- nobody knows when or if that tipping point will be passed. But I guess he "implied" otherwise. Visually. Another cheap shot: "So too, a report last June by the National Academies seemed to contradict Mr. Gore's portrayal of recent temperatures as the highest in the past millennium." Did the NAS report contradict Gore? No, it did the exact opposite. Here's a quote from the report:

The basic conclusion of Mann et al. was that the late 20th century warmth in the Northern Hemisphere was unprecedented during at least the last 1,000 years. This conclusion has subsequently been supported by an array of evidence … Based on the analyses presented in the original papers by Mann et al. and this newer supporting evidence, the committee finds it plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was warmer during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period over the preceding millennium.

At this point Broad appears to be regurgitating right-wing talking points without even, as they say, using the google. If you can believe it, it gets worse. Next we hear that "other critics" take issue with Gore's claim that fossil fuel companies have conspired to obscure evidence of climate change, and that "virtually all unbiased scientists agreed that humans were the main culprits." Remember, in the movie Gore cited a study by Naomi Oreskes that showed that out of 928 peer-reviewed scientific articles on some aspect of climate change, exactly … none disputed the basic consensus. But, Broad tells us:

Benny J. Peiser, a social anthropologist in Britain … challenged the claim of scientific consensus with examples of pointed disagreement.

"Hardly a week goes by," Dr. Peiser said, "without a new research paper that questions part or even some basics of climate change theory," including some reports that offer alternatives to human activity for global warming.

Oh? Devotees of this debate will recall that when Peiser tried to dispute Oreskes' study, he fell on his face, spectacularly, and eventually admitted as much. Yet he's still getting quoted in The New York Times -- without citing any of these allegedly numerous "examples of pointed disagreement."

All right. That's enough. I doubt anybody's still reading. For those who are, let's summarize: Bill Broad took to the pages of the paper of record to establish that there is significant concern in the scientific community about the accuracy of Gore's movie. To do so, he trotted out scientific outliers, non-scientists, and hacks with discredited arguments. In at least two cases (Pielke Jr. being a scientist and the NAS report contradicting Gore) he made gross factual errors. As for the rest, it's a classic case of journalistic "false balance" -- something I thought we were done with on global warming. I guess when it comes to Al Gore, the press still thinks it can get by on smear, suggestion, and innuendo. Broad, and The New York Times, should be embarrassed.

Digg!

Tagged as: grist, media bias, enviroment, new york times

David Roberts is Grist's staff writer.


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sickofsleaze
Posted by: ladybug1@carrollsweb.com on Mar 14, 2007 9:57 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
This is the way the slime machine did when Gore was running for prez, with his words twisted enough that he could be accused of not telling the truth.
It worked once,why not keep a good thing going?

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frank67
Posted by: frank67 on Mar 14, 2007 10:05 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The NYT is a mere shadow of it's former self. Who believes the Times would dare publish the "Pentagon Papers" today? Sure, when pigs fly! The NYT has become a corporate shill for right wingnut drivel. Just another bunch of stenographers posing as reporters!

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Gore and Michael Moore
Posted by: channing on Mar 14, 2007 10:47 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The slime-machine is tasked with one objective only; the slurring of anyone/anything that provides a reasonable basis for Americans to reconsider their life style and over-consumption. The wealth of those who have a direct stake in maintaining fossil-dependency is too great a concession for these maggot-beneficiaries... regardless the cost to society.

NYT and WaPo both have been inundated by these neocon gatekeepers with astounding persistence, which only proves that large corporations regardless of their "mission" are vulnerable to the greediest and most deceptive vultures in their mix. Like rising sea-levels however, these dinosaurs and their ideas will shortly be inundated... we are only hearing their last-gasps for air, their real credibility is already gone.

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What did Gore exaggerate?
Posted by: Michael Robin on Mar 14, 2007 11:08 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The coastal flooding dramatizations in An Inconvenient Truth all focus on a scenario that NOBODY is predicting -- complete melting of all icecaps on Greenland and Antarctica. Let me repeat, nobody is predicting this. Yet that is the requirement for the 20-40 foot sea level rise that is illustrated in the movie's graphics.

How did he get there? By statistically extrapolating out to the extremes of the predicted temperature rise assuming that the data points follow a bell-shaped curve -- they do not.

Here's the FAULTY logic: The median prediction is for a mean temp rise of 2-3°F over 50-100 years. If you apply the same data to a bell-shaped distribution, then there would be a 1% chance of 9-15°F over that same time frame; so Gore offers that as his what-if scenario. His graphics all focus on that totally invalid extrapolation.

The underlying science isn't flawed, only Gore's analysis and conclusions.

Gore shows people the graphic results of a rapid 40-foot rise in sea level, and it scares the Hell out of folks. Why do that? If he demonstrated a 2-3ft rise over 50-100 years, peoples reaction would logically be, "So what?"

That's my reaction too. 50 years from now, if people on the coast are complaining about wet feet, we should ask, "You've had 50 years to move to ground that's 3 feet higher; what have you been doing?"

And when it gets warmer: Canada and Russia will farm ground that's farther north; some farm ground will get more or less rain, so we will grow different crops there; some deserts get more rain, so we farm them. Things will be different, but not all of the changes will be bad.

The real point here is that the falsehood of An Inconvenient Truth is in the certainty of its disaster implications.

Due to global warming, life on Earth will be different -- but it will NOT be like the graphics of An Inconvenient Truth!

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» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: xconservative
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: Michael Robin
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: xconservative
» What are you waiting for? Posted by: Michael Robin
» RE: What are you waiting for? Posted by: xconservative
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: drmflorida
» Third, fourth, fifth, ... whatever Posted by: Michael Robin
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: particle
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: SatanicJamboree
» RE: What did Gore exaggerate? Posted by: themotie
Ignore the propaganda
Posted by: Alan8 on Mar 14, 2007 11:38 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
This is precisely why I don't get my news from corporate outlets like the NY Times anymore. The Internet allows me to bypass these corrupt relics.

Corporate corruption to favor the interests of the wealthy is out of control. We're in the midst of a corporate crime wave, which is aided and abetted by the corporate media.

We must resist it any way we can. www.buzzflash.com, www.consortiumnews.com, and www.commondreams.org are sources of news the corporate power structure would prefer you didn't see. www.afterdowningstreet.org is a good source for keeping up on the right-wing corruption infecting the US.

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» RE: Ignore the propaganda Posted by: motamanx
Some perspective is in order.
Posted by: tap17x on Mar 14, 2007 1:50 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
If the seas rise only 2-3 feet, lots of places will be endangered, although conservatives may not have heard of them. Such as Venice, New Orleans, Bangladesh, and numerous Pacific islands. Sure these places could be raised, but at colossal cost which they can't afford. The world won't end but the rich/poor gap will increase, which conservatives think is just fine.

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ok i may be young, but...
Posted by: rockstrigoi on Mar 14, 2007 3:47 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
it's blatantly obvious that broad's report was just another right wing idiotic attempt at a smear. will this bs ever end? i doubt it. that's a pretty sad realization from someone (me) who's only 19. all i can do is encourage my peers to see through the nonsense thrown around about these types of issues.

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Cancel your subscription to the NYT, and don't even refer to it anymore.
Posted by: blitzmesser on Mar 14, 2007 8:33 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I think that would be the best thing to do. If no one reads their BS... they might wake up.
I have cancelled my subscription quite a while ago, and do not read it any more online, either, since access to pieces by Herbert, Krugmann and Dowd could only be read for an extra fee.
When the NYT goes out of business... we have done our job.

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Is this the guy
Posted by: bookwoman on Mar 15, 2007 8:57 AM   
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Is Esterbrook the "scientists" who was pandering to the interviewer on the Fox Network the other day?

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Liars and fools
Posted by: willymack on Mar 15, 2007 11:56 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In the past, liars wrongfully and dishonestly smeared Gore on several fronts, only to be refuted after it was too late to do Gore any good, and, of course, the usual fools believed the lies. Gore won the 2000 election, anyway, only to have his victory stolen from him by the neocon thugs. This time is different for several reasons. We know Gore was lied about. We know the 2000 "election" was fradulent. We know there is ABSOLUTELY NO CONTROVERSY OR DISAGREEMENT AMONG HONEST SCIENTISTS as to the reality of global warming and the fact that human activities are largely responsible for it. We know that Gore is an honorable crusader for the truth, and genuinely concerned for the welfare of humanity-so much so that he's in the running for a Nobel Peace prize. We know that Gore has all the requirements and qualifications to make him a great President, unlike the bufoon unlawfully occupying that office at present. The attempts to smear Gore only elevate him in the minds of concerned Americans as the TRUTH is out there for everyone to see. I hope Gore changes his mind about running in "08.

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Ginny in CO
Posted by: Ginny in CO on Mar 15, 2007 9:44 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Media Matters, as always, has the case covered:

http://mediamatters.org/items/200703150012?src=other

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Kevin Vranes
Posted by: themotie on Mar 19, 2007 2:23 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I don't have the slightest intention of doing anything but slam the NYT piece, but from what I gather Vranes is actually a resonably relevant scientist. He holds a Ph.D. in Physical Oceanography and Climatology from Columbia University. His dissertation covered tropical ocean flow from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean via the Indonesian Seas. He seems to feel he has been misquoted though. Was the slamming of Vranes really called for?

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Roger A. Pielke -- not a scientist?
Posted by: Noah Zark on Mar 24, 2007 6:51 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
If you want to see his academic position, credentials and publications , go here:

http://cafescicolorado.org/Pielke%20Jr.htm
.
He's described as "Environmental Studies professor at the University of Colorado at Boulder. " Yep, he's a scientist --- or at least the UCB says so. (his father is a big time climatologist as well).

Pielke Jr's major field of interest is in "researching how to depoliticize the issue of climate changes." He's published over 200 articles in numerous policy AND science publications. I can't determined how many of the latter are peer-reviewed, but it's clear that he has exactly the credentials a journalist seeking comments on Gore's presentations would look for. He does seem to be an expert in dealing with science policy issues. And if one looks closely, it is apparent that he is NOT a global warming "denialist ." So why does Roberts attack him personally? simply because he disagrees with him! WHAT CHICKENBLEEP!

Roberts got Kevin Vrane's CV wrong as well. Vrane, also at UCB, is a "believer" in GW, and a fairly strident one at that.

So, Mr. Roberts has seemingly soiled himself, big time: when faced with criticisms of the Goracle, even from those on his side of the GW debate (and, 'pace', it really is a debate), he blindly lashes out and vilifies them.

It always amazes me how much of the "pro"AGW crowd has to focus on the scientific credentials or lack thereof of those who oppose them, but not those with whom they agree. Thus Vranes and Pielke are mistakenly derided as lightweights solely because of their position on Gore's exaggerations, when (a) Gore himself has no scientific credentials, and (b) neither does Mr. Roberts!

Why not argue the case "on the merits"? What all the ad hominem crap?? Why does Vranes, for example, sneer at "climate expert" Rush Limbaugh, but strews laurels at the feet of former-divinity-student-who-barely-graduated AlGore? Or does Roberts think an honorary PhD is as good as the real thing?

willymack wrote: "We know there is ABSOLUTELY NO CONTROVERSY OR DISAGREEMENT AMONG HONEST SCIENTISTS as to the reality of global warming and the fact that human activities are largely responsible for it."

LOL! Then please explain all the scientific articles written to counter that claim, and the public statements of major, major climatologists who disagree! Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain! But the game is given away by that word "honest" : like many liberals, who think their position holds the moral high ground, willmack thinks anyone who disagrees has to be evil or dishonest! Methinks a lot of you, many of whom I suspect have no science background whatsover, need to understand that cheesy ad hominems, the kind that would get you thrown off a High School Debate Club, mark you as intellectual nullities.

p.s. Neil Gabler said on Fox News tonight that Roberts' column dedsroyed the NYT article. LOL!!! He didn't read any more closely than any of you did!

p.p.s. please explain, if you can, why, if CO2 concentrations are behind GW, the years 1940 - 1970 were cooler than today's average. NO CHICKENBLEEP, just some science.

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Easterbrook's inconvenient "sewer trout" in the punchbowl
Posted by: Noah Zark on Mar 24, 2007 8:58 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
http://www.geosociety.org/meetings/2006/pr/wwu.htm

"[Easterbrook] will outline 10 abrupt climate changes during the past 15,000 years that have implications for understanding present-day global warming. Easterbrook predicts that temperatures should cool between 2065 until 2100, and that global temperatures at the end of the century should be less than 1 degree cooler than at present. This is in contrast to other theories that there will be a warming by as much as 10 degrees by 2100.

"Easterbrook will raise the question, “Global Warming: Are we heading for global catastrophe in the coming century?” in a talk Tuesday, Oct. 24. Easterbrook challenges the theory that the global warming of the past century was caused by human input of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Although atmospheric carbon dioxide rose sharply between 1945 and 1980, global cooling occurred and temperatures actually declined. If atmospheric carbon dioxide is not the cause of global warming, Easterbrook says, the computer models predicting global catastrophe are meaningless."

So.....Roberts and the rest of you Kool-Aid drinkers need to explain WHY, if increasing CO2 concentrations are behind "global warming", the earth's average temperature COOLED for 35 years during the recent Industrial Period. No bullbleep, please: no claims that Easterbrook's not a scientist -- he's a geologist. No claims that he's not a climatologist -- lots of the evidence used to *justify* AGW comes from geologists and other scientific disciplines far removed from climatology. [But funny, innit: paleobotanists' studies can be used to support GW, but if a paleobotanist disagrees with the idea? Why. she's nothing but a paleobotanist!!!". You Public School Products are too much! LOL!]

Bottom line: Just give us scientific evidence that explains the 1945-80 cooling in spite of, and thus consistent with, your CO2 theory. Citations, please.

Oh and btw: do you see your logical problem here? Roberts dumps on people like Vranes and Pielke, who (even if he is too thick to notice) with the idea of AGW, because they with AlGore. He dumps on Easterbrook for disagreeing with the idea of AGW, AS WELL AS disagreeing with AlGore.

It seems the capital crime is in disagreeing with AlGore. Yet, in addition to his other qualities --- gasbag, failed politician, environmental hypocrite --- HE is not a scientist in any sense. The others ARE.

So you all need to explain why Algore --- a just-barely college graduate, is YOUR SCIENTIFIC ORACLE, ABOVE CRITICISM. Explain why you treat him as being as sacred and inviolable as jihadists do Mohammed.

You've gotta whole lotta splainin to do. Get to work.

If I get a substantive response, I will be very happy and surprised, because YOU (sir or madam), and I can have a discussion.

Key: AGW = Anthropogenic Global Warming.

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