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Thomas Friedman runs into a brick wall of reality

Posted by Joshua Holland at 1:39 PM on October 26, 2006.


Joshua Holland: How one of the columnist's cookie-cutter kvetches looks to someone who actually knows something of his subject.
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That Thomas Friedman, the New York Times' super-columnist, is considered a leading liberal public intellectual pretty much tells you everything you need to know about how deranged our political discourse is.

Friedman's a narcissistic simpleton who married a billionaire and now spends his life writing columns about how the guy he had lunch with yesterday proves that unfettered global capital is just fabulous for the whole of society.

Normon Soloman does a good job today showing how Friedman, like all global corporatists, sees the world with cookie-cutter consistency. Everything is filtered through his flat-earth goggles; it's all nice and neat and simple, and damn any facts that get in the way. Earlier this year, he confessed to Tim Russert: "I wrote a column supporting the CAFTA, the Caribbean Free Trade initiative. I didn't even know what was in it. I just knew two words: free trade."

Unlike Friedman, Jonathan Weiler, a professor of Russian and East European Studies at the University of North Carolina and a colleague at The Gadflyer, actually knows what he's talking about. I've referenced his book, Human Rights in Russia: A Darker Side of Reform, a couple of times -- it's well worth a read.

Anyway, I wanted to share Weiler's take-down of Friedman's latest piece, on Russian "petropolitics," because it so well illustrates the degree to which The Moustache of Understanding* just pulls these columns right out of his ass.

So, with permission, Weiler:

Jonathan Weiler: Make Him Stop

The bad news is that every time I see that Tom Friedman has written something about Russia, I cringe, awaiting the worst in his tendency to painful, insidious over-simplification. The good news is - he never disappoints. So, it was today in his column "The Really Cold War." (Times Select)

Friedman's opener:

The Berlin Wall fell almost 17 years ago. At the time, the future seemed clear: The fall of the wall would unleash an unstoppable tide of free markets and free people -- and for about 15 years it did just that. Today, though, when you stand where the Berlin Wall once stood and look east, you see a countertide coming your way. It is a black tide of petro-authoritarianism emanating from Russia, and it is blunting the Berlin Wall tide of free markets and free people.

Honestly, I don't know where he gets this stuff. The past fifteen years in formerly Communist Eurasia have witnessed a decidedly mixed bag, with dramatic openings and transformations (though painful) in places like the former Czechoslovakia, Poland and Hungary. Farther East, in Ukraine and Russia, for example, significant pluralistic openings were tempered, from 1991 forward, by rampant corruption, mafia violence and grinding economic depression. By the time we reach the essentially unreformed Central Asian Republics and the troubled Caucasus, poverty, violence and repression have been the norm.

Calling all of this an unstoppable tide of free markets and free people is, even by Friedman's standards, shockingly shallow and inadequate.

On the subject of Russia, Friedman explains why it's newly menacing the good people of Europe:

Russia is a classic example of what I like to call "the First Law of Petropolitics," which posits that the price of oil and the pace of freedom operate in an inverse relationship in petrolist states -- states with weak institutions and a high dependence on oil for their G.D.P. As the price of oil goes down, the pace of freedom goes up. The day the Soviet Union collapsed the price of oil was near $16 a barrel. And as the price of oil goes up the pace of freedom goes down. Today, Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, flush with surging oil and gas profits, is crushing domestic opponents, renationalizing major energy companies, throwing out Western human rights groups and generally making himself the big man on campus in Europe.

I have previously attempted to explain, in great (or mind-numbing, if you prefer) detail, why Friedman's application of his "First Law of Petropolitics" is so badly flawed. In a nutshell, he's trying to tell a story here that simply doesn't fit the facts. President Putin has been essentially cracking down on Russian civil society since the day he took office, way back on New Year's eve, 1999. Though some of his actions have been more egregious recently, like the new laws forcing "re-registration" of NGOs, Putin's attacks on independent television date back to 2000 and when I was interviewing human rights activists in Moscow in January 2002, the pall that had been cast over their activities was already unmistakable by that time, leaving a sense of defeatism and resignation.

I have also written before that the seeds of the current authoritarian regime were all sown during the Yeltsin years, and with the full, effective support of the United States. Russian politics were far more free-wheeling and cacophonous in the mid-1990s, and groups were freer to engage in independent, adversarial activity. But, at critical moments, such as the 1993 political deadlock the resulted in the destruction of Russia's parliament, or the 1996 general election, in which Yeltsin came from behind to beat his Communist challenger, the regime deployed undemocratic and illegal means of ensuring the desired outcome. If democracy is, at its core, what the political scientist Adam Przeworski calls institutionalized uncertainty, Russia in the 1990s would have failed that test. And, oh by the way, Russia has launched two wars in Chechnya since 1994, obliterating over 100,000 people in the process and I dare Friedman to find a relationship between that set of developments and the price of oil.

Friedman devotes considerable column space to quoting various European observers and politicians about Russia's newfound ability to flex its muscle as an energy giant. This prospect, of an assertive, aggressive Russia bringing Europe to its knees by its control of the oil spigots is made more menacing, Friedman warns us, by the fact that Russia is also a nuclear power. It's in discussions like these that you can see why non-Americans would find our arrogance and blindness so utterly irritating. I mean, imagine a major nuclear power using its economic and resource leverage to influence global politics - the gall of it all! Of course, that the United States has hundreds of military bases ringing the planet and far greater global reach - not all of it deployed for good purposes, in case Friedman hadn't noticed - that's not a problem. But, Russia using its energy resources for leverage - now, that's a world historic crisis.

Friedman does make one concession to the actual facts of the past fifteen years: "In fairness to Mr. Putin, turnabout is fair play. After the Soviet Union collapsed and Russia was enfeebled, the U.S. and the E.U. crammed NATO expansion down his throat." But that acknowledgment doesn't salvage the piece. It's myopic, ill-informed and pointlessly alarmist.

All this from our leading commentator on global affairs.

*Hat-tip to reader lamar for the Moustache of Understanding link.

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Tagged as: putin, russia, thomas friedman

Joshua Holland is a staff writer at Alternet and a regular contributor to The Gadflyer.


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Posted by: albrechtkrausse on Oct 26, 2006 2:18 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Good job and good points. He has had some good ideas but in general your take is accurate. He totally sees the world through his rose-coloured glasses and reports as such. The only decent thing about him though is at least he is positive. Unlike the hard-core 'free traders' who view trade as really a war in which if we enact 'free trade' "American ideals and lifestyle" will 'take over the world' and view it more as a way to force 'others' to conform to our will and markets. But I have to point out though there are many on the left that see the world likewise through their political spectrum. Whether its the 9-11 crowd where 'everything' is a conspiracy, the neo-communists who can't see any benefit in trade or competition, or the total Bush-haters that see every single evil in the world a direct cause of Bush (the right sees every single evil in the world coming from Clinton!).

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Anyone can 'see a trend'
Posted by: Bic Pentameter on Oct 26, 2006 9:08 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Friedman is just one of many who try to distill from the totality of events some broad trend that in some coincidental way has points is common with the details, regardless of any causal connection or any cohesive direction. They synthesize a 'big picture' that hints of a wise man on the hill with a better view, to gain prestige for themselves and some world-view that may mask more complex circumstances.

I could just as well say that globalization displaces traditional agrarian lifestyles and local interdependencies, depriving local populations of self-sustenance and forcing them into a national currency economy, where they become surplus labor. And that it is intentional, done for the purpose of keeping low the costs of direct labor, workplace conditions, and ultimately environmental and other regulations. Where life is hard, if you build a miserable sweat-shop, they will come. Alternatively, you can lure the miserable with promises of a good far-away job, keep their passports as collateral and treat them as indentured servants.

I could argue broadly that we have increasingly allowed commerce to regulate congress instead of the other way around, and we call it the era of free trade. Ordinary folks are involved in the complexities and distractions of their own lives, and rely on the investigative and explicative journalistic efforts of a commercial media that regularly lightens the fare to attract an increasingly casual audience.

I could further argue that we gave Coase a Nobel prize and allowed the Coase Theorem to replace The Economics of Social Welfare and The External Costs of Production (Pigou & Marshall) rather to supplement those ideas that took so long to establish. We demonized the word 'welfare' and forever associate it with handouts and no longer with the well-being of whole societies. In so doing we set loose the un-checked concentrated efforts of the well organized and well capitalized. And where the rules are fewest, and the resources and/or labor most abundant, the dealing is most vigorous.

Many see trends, if not conspiracies.

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» RE: Anyone can 'see a trend' Posted by: albrechtkrausse
» RE: Anyone can 'see a trend' Posted by: oregoncharles
First Rule?
Posted by: americanpolitico on Oct 27, 2006 5:13 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Friedman's rule about the inverse relationship between oli prices and freedom does seem to work, in the U.S., under the present administration.

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» RE: First Rule? Posted by: Joshua Holland
Friedman described something accurately once!
Posted by: badkitty on Oct 27, 2006 9:57 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Yes, I remember seeing him on TV before the war/occupation started and he said something like this: Iraq is like a box--you don't know what will happen when you open it. Because Saddam is (was) a strongman who kept ethnic strife down, ala Tito, we could end up with a Balkans-like situation. Or it could turn out like post-war Germany, where the west Germans pulled together and created an economic powerhouse. I've always felt that that was the most intelligent thing he's ever said--like so many other writers for the NYTimes and Wall Street Journal, he seems to have a very tenuous connection to reality and I give you a lot of credit, Joshua, for reading anything he's written. I don't have the time.

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Friedman & Putin
Posted by: oregoncharles on Oct 27, 2006 11:19 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The trick to Friedman is that he's an excellent writer, and utterly corrupt. Good writing will get you heard, and also serves to mask his obsequious service to the economic powers-that-be - which is what gets you paid really well. (Bet he's making a lot more than you, Joshua, and he doesn't even need it. You're just not kissing the right asses.)

Putin is all too Russian. As I'm sure Mr. Weiler knows, Russian history is, well, colorful. And extremely authoritarian. The Czars amassed an extraordinary record: essentially all were mad, feeble-minded, or both. Except for a couple of women who weren't even Russian, the "great" ones (Ivan the Terrible, Peter the Great) were merely mad. And all of them exercised absolute power - or someone exercised it for them.

That's a tough history to overcome. In that context, Lenin was one of their "good" rulers, and Stalin was channelling Ivan the Terrible. In more general terms, they have no democratic tradition - all their impulses and habits are wrong.

Then, of course, the Reaganites got virtual control of their chance at democracy. So it's not like the US bears no responsibility.

Putin is just what you expect from Russia: a nationalist strongman. From the Russian point of view, he is at least asserting Russian interests against foreign powers, & he's presiding over a recovering economy. No wonder he's popular.

Friedman, of course, hasn't a clue & doesn't care.

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So all we need to do is force him to shave?
Posted by: bugs on Oct 27, 2006 10:52 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
This article was worth reading for the "Mustache of Understanding" link alone :)

I've never understood why Friedman is considered a good writer, though.

"It is a black tide of petro-authoritarianism emanating from Russia, and it is blunting the Berlin Wall tide of free markets and free people."

How can a tide be blunted? Was it sharp to begin with? And, um, he does realize that a tide is not the same as a wave, right?

Maybe the ocean is hard to make out when you're flying above it on a private jet chatting on your Blackberry while typing on your Dell notebook on the way to a golf game.

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Template journalism
Posted by: hagwind on Oct 28, 2006 11:01 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Long time ago, ca. 1980, a housemate pointed out to me that stories filed by a certain foreign correspondent for the Washington Post often followed the same pattern: Intrepid correspondent arrives at airport in capital of Country A, gets ride to hotel with perceptive and articulate taxi driver who tells intrepid correspondent what's really going on in Country A, intrepid correspondent (over course of next few days) files stories that prove that taxi driver was 100% right. What made this remarkable was that it happened in several very different countries -- the USSR was one, I think Zimbabwe (about which my housemate knew a fair amount) was another. We called it "mag card journalism" -- "template" would be a better word these days. Call up template; customize with proper names and current issues; file story.

I happened to be living in Washington, D.C., at the time. I started paying more attention to how the Post covered the city I knew -- the city where you don't think much about the federal government unless it's your employer. Amazing how often stories followed a similar pattern! (Often the taxi driver was replaced by a plucky schoolteacher, an unsung neighborhood leader, an astute hooker, or comparable archetype.) The reporter would get hold of a modest piece of the truth then generalize it into the Big Picture.

Bleah. It makes me appreciate all the more the Robert Fisks of the world.

P.S. Joshua H., I love your lede -- "deranged" is an especially nice touch. [g]

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frank67
Posted by: frank67 on Oct 30, 2006 11:38 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Friedman is an ass!

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