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Poll: Democrats Maintain Edge

Posted by DemFromCT , Daily Kos at 12:11 PM on April 17, 2009.


It was a much better week for Democrats than Republicans.

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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 4/13-4/16/2009. All adults. MoE 2% (04/05-04/09 results):

  FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NET CHANGE
PRESIDENT OBAMA 69 (68) 27 (29) +3
       
PELOSI: 37 (36) 45 (46) +2
REID: 35 (34) 49 (49) +1
McCONNELL: 22 (23) 57 (56) -2
BOEHNER: 17 (18) 60 (58) -3
       
CONGRESSIONAL DEMS: 44 (43) 50 (51) +2
CONGRESSIONAL GOPS: 16 (18) 69 (68) -3
       
DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 52 (51) 42 (42) +1
REPUBLICAN PARTY: 24 (26) 67 (66) -3

Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.

With a MoE of 2, it takes more than twice that to call it "significant", but the best way to read these small changes is to say that it was a better week for Dems than Rs, and that the trend lines tell the story. For example, the right/wrong track is now the best it's been since the poll started in January, Obama's fav's remain strong, and the GOP remains (in a political sense) significantly unpopular.

Here are the Congressional parties:

And here are the national parties:

Charlie Cook looks at his own numbers and comes to a similar conclusion:

As I wrote last week, for clues about what the political environment will be in November 2010, watch the economy, President Obama's job-approval ratings, and the generic congressional ballot test. The jury will be out on each of those factors for another year and a half, but new data hint at where they now stand.

Although the economy continues to be in "one-step-forward, one-step-back" mode, it is doing better than even a month or two ago. And Obama's numbers are holding up impressively well.

I encourage everyone to click that link, but one other thing (among many, including a good generic ballot test for Dems) from that Cook/RT Strategies poll of note:  

Next, voters were asked which of these statements was closest to their own view: "I like Obama personally, and I like his policies"; "I like Obama personally, but I do not like his policies"; "I do not like Obama personally, but I like his policies"; "I do not like Obama personally, and I do not like his policies." A majority, 51 percent, liked Obama and his policies; 23 percent liked him but not his policies; 3 percent did not like him but liked his policies; 13 percent did not like him or his policies; and 11 percent weren't sure.

That should put to rest the "unpopular Obama policy" argument for a few hours. Obama remains more popular than his policies, but the policies are themselves popular enough (54-36). Glomming on to the usual April 15th tax protest fringe doesn't change that.

 

Digg!

Tagged as: democrats, republicans, public opinion

DemFromCT is a regular blogger for Daily Kos


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